Trevor Lawrence
vs DK Metcalf

“A high-scoring week overall made him the QB15 (19.8 points), but that was a solid fantasy outcome for gamers, considering Lawrence did nothing in the fourth quarter because of the blowout. Lawrence had 1 dropback in the final quarter, the second time in three weeks Jacksonville has cruised to the end of a game. The Jaguars are 24th in pass rate over expectation (-2.6%) because they have led so often this season.”

“Trevor Lawrence is playing the best ball of his career and WR Parker Washington is the real deal after his late-season breakout last year.”

“Trevor Lawrence has been Jekyll and Hyde to begin the season. He beat up on the Browns as the QB5 for the week, and then he was the QB26 in weekly scoring last week against Denver. Among 28 qualifying quarterbacks, he ranks seventh in yards per attempt, fifth in passing success rate, 20th in highly accurate throw rate, 25th in hero throw rate, and he has the highest turnover-worthy play rate.”

“Two weeks into the season, Trevor Lawrence ranks among the top 10 quarterbacks in both expected points added (EPA) per play and fantasy points per dropback. The issue is that he ranks 28th in total dropbacks, dead last among signal-callers to have played all of their team’s two games. That volume should trend upward, and Lawrence’s fantasy scoring will follow.”

“Trevor Lawrence could have very well finished atop the quarterback leaderboard this week, had he played an entire game. With Jacksonville off to a 24-0 lead at halftime over Cleveland, the Jaguars eased off the throttle, before opting to sit Lawrence in the final quarter of play. Even still, he threw four touchdowns and 245 yards on 18 completions and targeted five players at least twice.”

“Parker Washington Picked Up Where He Left Off Trevor Lawrence has plenty of fantasy points to give, and can support multiple starters. But Washington is unquestionably his favorite target. Lawrence spread the ball around on Sunday, connecting with Washington, Jakobi Meyers , Brenton Strange , and Josh Cameron for TDs.”

“Trevor Lawrence could lean on Strange this week with his perimeter wide receivers staring down tough matchups.”

“In 2023, Lawrence had an 81.1 PFF grade, a 5.8-percent big-time throw rate, a 3.9-percent turnover-worthy play rate, and a 72.3 adjusted completion percentage. Those numbers were virtually identical across the board in 2025, down to a total difference of nine passing yards between the two seasons, and he cleared 4,000 in both. The exception to that would be his big-time throw and turnover-worthy play rates, which dropped to 4.6 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively.”

“Metcalf has averaged 63 receptions per season in each of the last three years, and will now deal with stiffer competition for targets, in the form of Michael Pittman Jr. and second-round selection Germie Bernard from Alabama.”

“Now the Steelers get an offensive-minded coach in Mike McCarthy who should give a boost to every skill position player. I don’t know if Metcalf will ever be a 100-catch receiver, but he established career-lows in receptions and yards, things I believe will be remedied in 2026.”

“Going as the WR34 in PPR leagues, DK Metcalf finished last season as the WR23 in the same format. While he had a lot of middling performances toward the back half of the season, the first six weeks (including a Week 5 bye) featured games with some nice production.”

“While DK Metcalf finished last year as the WR26, averaging 12.5 PPR fantasy points per game, fantasy players couldn't trust him in their lineups. The veteran scored single-digit fantasy points in 40% of his games, including five of the final eight contests. Furthermore, the Steelers vastly improved their wide receiver room this offseason, adding Michael Pittman Jr. and Germie Bernard.”

“DK Metcalf has established himself as the number one option in the Steelers offense and is the only wide receiver of note to have already played with Aaron Rodgers. Last season, Metcalf became a yards after the catch monster, generating 7.2 YAC per reception, the fourth-most among wide receivers with 50+ targets, a massive increase from his career average of 4.25 YAC.”

“Don't be surprised if Metcalf gets back to his 2023 form, when he racked up 1,114 yards and eight touchdowns.”

“DK Metcalf averaged 10.5 fantasy points per game in half-PPR formats last season (WR24). Metcalf recorded his lowest receiving yards per game (56.7) since his rookie year.”

“Metcalf led the team with six receiving touchdowns, but only three came from throws inside the red zone, despite his size advantage down there. If McCarthy's scheme features him more in that area and he can jump to double-digit touchdowns, Metcalf has a chance to be a top-18 fantasy wideout once again.”