Josh Allen vs Trey McBride
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Jul 5, 2026
Should you draft Josh Allen or Trey McBride?
The matchup
You're taking either of these players for how far he separates from his own position, not for raw points. Allen's edge over other quarterbacks is his legs — the goal-line carries and scrambles that hand him a scoring source pocket passers don't have — and that part of his game doesn't lean on scheme. What's genuinely new in Buffalo is the staff: Joe Brady takes over as head coach, there's a new quarterbacks coach, and DJ Moore joins the receivers, so the passing concepts around him change for the first time in years. McBride's edge is target volume — he was the most-targeted tight end in football last season, even with a backup at quarterback. His uncertainty runs the other way: a new Arizona staff and a rookie first-round running back point to a more run-leaning offense, with Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson competing for looks too.
AI-written, fact-checked summary. Neutral — no pick implied.
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 38.8 | QB1 | 46 | 33 | 394 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
2 | NYJ | 11.8 | QB25 | 25 | 14 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
3 | MIA | 23.0 | QB5 | 28 | 22 | 213 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
4 | NO | 25.9 | QB7 | 22 | 16 | 209 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
5 | NE | 20.4 | QB12 | 31 | 22 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 0 |
6 | ATL | 17.4 | QB17 | 26 | 15 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CAR | 23.2 | QB9 | 19 | 12 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
9 | KC | 28.8 | QB3 | 26 | 23 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 |
10 | MIA | 20.3 | QB8 | 40 | 28 | 306 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
11 | TB | 44.7 | QB1 | 30 | 19 | 317 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
12 | HOU | 10.1 | QB22 | 34 | 24 | 253 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
13 | PIT | 17.7 | QB13 | 23 | 15 | 123 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
14 | CIN | 37.8 | QB1 | 28 | 22 | 251 | 3 | 0 | 78 | 1 |
15 | NE | 24.5 | QB6 | 28 | 19 | 193 | 3 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
16 | CLE | 6.9 | QB27 | 19 | 12 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
17 | PHI | 23.2 | QB6 | 35 | 23 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NO | 9.1 | TE13 | 9 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
2 | CAR | 10.8 | TE5 | 7 | 6 | 78 | 0 |
3 | SF | 12.8 | TE6 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 1 |
4 | SEA | 8.7 | TE15 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
5 | TEN | 6.6 | TE23 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
6 | IND | 17.2 | TE2 | 11 | 8 | 72 | 1 |
7 | GB | 24.4 | TE3 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 2 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DAL | 14.0 | TE6 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
10 | SEA | 23.2 | TE1 | 13 | 9 | 127 | 1 |
11 | SF | 22.5 | TE1 | 11 | 10 | 115 | 1 |
12 | JAX | 12.4 | TE3 | 10 | 9 | 79 | 0 |
13 | TB | 18.2 | TE2 | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 8.3 | TE13 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 0 |
15 | HOU | 31.4 | TE2 | 13 | 12 | 134 | 2 |
16 | ATL | 4.7 | TE21 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
17 | CIN | 18.6 | TE1 | 13 | 10 | 76 | 1 |
18 | LAR | 10.0 | TE8 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Although he is about to enter his age-30 season with zero Super Bowl appearances, Allen remains on the shortlist of elite QBs. Allen has gone 8-7 in the playoffs despite a 101.5 passer rating, the fifth-best mark ever.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 4“Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset. But drafting McBride in the second round and Allen is a recipe for disaster.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 3“Buffalo enters the season among the top tier of AFC contenders, and as long as Josh Allen remains healthy, they should make the playoffs.”
Joe Gibbs· Jun 30
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“Josh Allen feels fortunate that the team has QB coach Bo Hardegree to add experience and new concepts to the playbook. Allen noted that while the playbook may be similar to what he's been in for the last eight years, there are a lot of different nuances this year, and Hardegree brings knowledge from his previous stops in the league.”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 29“Paying up to get a surefire QB only worked for Josh Allen. Even then, the gains don't outweigh the losses: Sure, Allen got 3.2 more PPG over QB10, but I'd rather have Caleb Williams and $31.”
Evan Hoovler· Jun 28“Allen has finished as the QB1 or QB2 every season over the past six years, despite not having a big-name No. 1 wide receiver since Stefon Diggs was traded away. Yet, the superstar quarterback hasn't needed an elite set of weapons because of his touchdown production, totaling at least 39 passing and rushing scores in six consecutive seasons.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22“Josh Allen is listed as the QB1, which is fine and fairly standard, but his ADP is 4.42. Allen finished with about 43 more points than Matthew Stafford last season. At MFL, you need to spend a top-five pick to acquire him, which doesn't make any sense from a fantasy football perspective.”
Richard Janvrin· Jun 19“Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage since 2019 (3,668), and for the past three seasons, he's not broken the 30 passing touchdown barrier. Allen sustains his value purely through rushing touchdowns with 41 in the last three seasons.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 16“Josh Allen was worth his QB1 capital, returning value on his ADP as the only top-seven quarterback in ADP to finish as a QB1.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 14“He's either finished as the fantasy QB1 or QB2 for the last six straight seasons. In Superflex? Allen is the top player on the board. Even over Jahmyr Gibbs and Bijan Robinson.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 12“The pinnacle of consistency, Josh Allen has been living at the top for years now. In fact, he finished as the QB1, QB2, and QB1 in 2023, '24, and '25, respectively.”
Kyle Lesti· Jun 11“You cannot blame Josh Allen's overall performance as the reason they cannot seem to accomplish their goals of making it to and then winning the Super Bowl.”
Warren Sharp· Jun 8“If you look at the 24 quarterbacks with at least 50 playoff pass attempts since 2020, Allen is the #1 most efficient quarterback in the playoffs. #1 in EPA per play (+0.15) #1 in success rate (50%)”
Warren Sharp· Jun 8“Josh Allen's 18.5 ADP is the problem, as the quarterback position has never been deeper for fantasy players, with Brock Bowers (19.6), Nico Collins (19.7), and Omarion Hampton (19.8) having a later ADP than Allen despite all three should getting drafted over the superstar quarterback.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 7“Allen is the only one with an ADP inside the top 50 picks among the five elite quarterbacks.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 6
“Cardinals TE Trey McBride has become a prolific fantasy scorer. But drafting McBride in the second round and Allen is a recipe for disaster. Taking a high-end quarterback and a high-end tight end prevents you from getting your fair share of early-round value at running back and wide receiver.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 3“Trey McBride lead the way as the top candidates to finish above 200 fantasy points (half-PPR). With the league shifting towards TE-heavy offensive sets, we could see snaps across the position skyrocket.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 2“It will be hard for Trey McBride to top the year he had in 2025. He finished the season with 126 catches for 1,239 yards and 11 touchdowns on 169 targets. Among all pass catchers, McBride trailed only Puka Nacua in receptions.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 1
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“McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 30“He finished the season with 126 catches for 1,239 yards and 11 touchdowns on 169 targets. Among all pass catchers, McBride trailed only Puka Nacua in receptions. McBride also ranked third in targets among all pass catchers and tied for second in TD catches.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29“Last season, McBride averaged 18.6 PPR points per game. Five running backs and five wide receivers averaged more than 18.5 points per game in 2024, and 11 managed the same achievement in 2025. McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 28“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high. McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25“Trey McBride was first-team All-Pro after posting 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Trey McBride was excited to have QB Jacoby Brissett back at practice at mandatory minicamp: "I feel like guys are excited that he was here. Guys want him to be here. Obviously, would love to have him in the building, but he's working through some things on his own. So we totally understand that. But you could just tell the presence that he brought today being in the building was awesome."”
Logan Ulrich· Jun 22“Trey McBride broke franchise records and officially stamped his mark as one of the best TEs in football. McBride racked up 315 PPR points, tying Travis Kelce's legendary 2022 season for the most at the position in over 15 years. Brissett absolutely unlocked him in the red zone, connecting for 10 TDs.”
Brittney Foxworth· Jun 21“McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21“Last season, McBride averaged 18.6 PPR points per game, and Bowers averaged 15.5 in 2024, the better season of his two years in the NFL. It's incredibly hard for tight ends to score as highly as the top wide receivers and running backs, and both elite tight ends still have issues to face.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21“Trey McBride will continue to lead the way, but Yeboah could emerge as a backup ahead of the likes of Elijah Higgins, Tip Reiman, Teagan Quitoriano, Jameson Geers, and Rivaldo Fairweather.”
Ben Levine· Jun 12“He saw a truly absurd 1.93 end-zone targets per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite. No other player with as many games played was above 1.06 (Trey McBride).”
Ted Chmyz· Jun 11“The tight end position remains the toughest position to navigate in fantasy football, and if you don't pay up for a top stud like Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, finding the next mid-to-late-round breakout is key.”
Alex Roberts· Jun 8
So who do you have — Allen or McBride?
Make the call yourself. Build your own draft board free — quick A-vs-B picks, no spreadsheet — and let the season grade it.
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