Bijan Robinson
vs Justin Jefferson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Robinson
vs BAL
Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET
Jefferson
at NO
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
20.2
Projected
13.4
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.3 | RB7 | 21 | 83 | — | 10 | 8 | 90 | 1 |
2 | — | 9.6 | RB22 | 16 | 72 | — | 4 | 3 | 9 | — |
3 | — | 34.3 | RB2 | 29 | 194 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | — |
4 | — | 27.2 | RB5 | 19 | 145 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 21.4 | RB2 | 12 | 24 | — | 7 | 6 | 100 | 1 |
2 | MIN | 18.3 | RB7 | 22 | 143 | — | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
3 | CAR | 13.6 | RB14 | 13 | 72 | — | 6 | 5 | 39 | — |
4 | WAS | 26.1 | RB5 | 17 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 106 | — |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BUF | 32.8 | RB1 | 19 | 170 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 68 | — |
7 | SF | 18.2 | RB9 | 14 | 40 | — | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
8 | MIA | 4.3 | RB39 | 9 | 25 | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | — |
9 | NE | 13.6 | RB12 | 12 | 46 | — | 10 | 8 | 50 | — |
10 | IND | 9.8 | RB24 | 17 | 84 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — |
11 | CAR | 28.3 | RB4 | 23 | 104 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 39 | — |
12 | NO | 13.7 | RB14 | 14 | 70 | — | 2 | 2 | 37 | — |
13 | NYJ | 27.8 | RB1 | 23 | 142 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 51 | — |
14 | SEA | 8.4 | RB29 | 20 | 86 | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | — |
15 | TB | 25.5 | RB4 | 19 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 82 | — |
16 | ARI | 26.3 | RB5 | 16 | 76 | — | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 |
17 | LAR | 37.4 | RB2 | 22 | 195 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
18 | NO | 5.8 | RB36 | 15 | 33 | — | 3 | 3 | 10 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PIT | 13.6 | RB19 | 18 | 68 | — | 5 | 5 | 43 | — |
2 | PHI | 14.2 | RB15 | 14 | 97 | — | 5 | 4 | 25 | — |
3 | KC | 12.2 | RB17 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | — |
4 | NO | 9.4 | RB27 | 7 | 28 | — | 4 | 4 | 46 | — |
5 | TB | 9.2 | RB27 | 12 | 61 | — | 3 | 3 | 16 | — |
6 | CAR | 24.0 | RB4 | 15 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | — |
7 | SEA | 21.8 | RB10 | 21 | 103 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 40 | — |
8 | TB | 20.1 | RB8 | 13 | 63 | — | 7 | 7 | 43 | 1 |
9 | DAL | 18.0 | RB11 | 19 | 86 | — | 7 | 7 | 59 | — |
10 | NO | 27.9 | RB1 | 20 | 116 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 28 | — |
11 | DEN | 8.3 | RB27 | 12 | 35 | — | 4 | 4 | 28 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | LAC | 22.5 | RB2 | 26 | 102 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 33 | — |
14 | MIN | 19.1 | RB8 | 22 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | — |
15 | LV | 14.0 | RB14 | 22 | 125 | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
16 | NYG | 23.3 | RB8 | 22 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | — |
17 | WAS | 23.3 | RB4 | 17 | 90 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | — |
18 | CAR | 30.3 | RB2 | 28 | 170 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
Expert takes
“Start Bijan Robinson and Drake London for the Atlanta Falcons; everyone else can be benched.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“Bijan Robinson $17,700 Bijan has drawn 15 targets through three games, giving him another way to deliver a ceiling even when Brian Robinson takes a few carries.”
Chris Cash· Oct 5, 2026“With Atlanta limping into this contest on their third-string quarterback, fantasy managers knew that Bijan Robinson was going to be in-line for a major workload against Pittsburgh. Check that box. Robinson led Atlanta in both rushing (21 carries for 83 yards) and receiving (eight receptions on 10 targets for 90 yards and a touchdown).”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
See 9 more
“RB Receiving Usage *Data from PFF Bijan Robinson is on another planet in terms of usage. He saw 62% of Atlanta’s total rush attempts and targets on the day, the highest rate of his career! Looking at the Buccaneers backfield, Bucky Irving was not usurped by any means by Kenneth Gainwell .”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 14, 2026“However, the literal majority of those yards came from dumpoffs to Bijan Robinson, who finished with 90 yards (mostly on catch-and-runs) on ten targets. That leaves, if you can do the math: 53 passing yards on 12 targets that went to the rest of the team. Unfortunately for managers who drafted them, Drake London and Kyle Pitts combined for two catches for 29 yards on five targets.”
Jeff Krisko· Sep 13, 2026“We’ve seen Robinson put up strong fantasy performances with subpar quarterbacks, and Rush should be checkdown-friendly.”
Tera Roberts· Sep 12, 2026“Jonathan Taylor , Derrick Henry , Jahmyr Gibbs , and Bijan Robinson could all threaten 300 rush attempts, making them excellent candidates to become the 2026 NFL rushing yards leader.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“Bijan Robinson (RB – ATL) Robinson has been a fantasy star since entering the NFL, posting a top-nine PPR finish every year of his career. Furthermore, the former Texas star finished as the RB3 in 2024 and the RB2 last season despite totaling only seven rushing touchdowns.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 27, 2026“Robinson is my favorite bet to be the RB1 overall in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Bijan Robinson was the RB2 in fantasy points per game. For most of the season, he was pacing towards a 1,000-yard season for rushing and receiving before tailing off at the end of the season (820 receiving yards).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Meanwhile, Bijan Robinson is the top overall player on my board and should see a spike in goal-line rushing work with Tyler Allgeier finally gone.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 12, 2026“The Case for Bijan Robinson Since entering the league in 2023, Robinson has established himself as an elite running back.”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 10, 2026
“Jefferson missed the Vikings’ 15-10 win over the Dolphins last Sunday with a sprained ankle, and Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 10, 2026“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
See 11 more
“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19, 2026
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