Jonathan Taylor vs Amon-Ra St. Brown

“$39M guaranteed The #Colts and star RB Jonathan Taylor have agreed to terms on a big-time 2-year, $44M extension, per me and @AdamSchefter”

“QB Health This season, the upside cases for Jonathan Taylor and Kenneth Walker III largely depend on the health and production of their QBs, who are coming off significant lower-body injuries.”

“Top-12 Drafted RBs in 2025 RB 2025 ADP 2024 Finish 2025 Games Played Bijan Robinson RB1 RB3 17 Saquon Barkley RB2 RB13 16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB3 RB4 17 Christian McCaffrey RB4 RB1 17 Derrick Henry RB5 RB7 17 Ashton Jeanty RB6 RB12 17 Josh Jacobs RB7 RB15 15 De’Von Achane RB8 RB6 16 Jonathan Taylor RB9 RB2 17 Bucky Irving RB10 RB33 10 Chase Brown RB11 RB8 17 Kyren Williams RB12 RB9 17 2025 RB Health Last season, nine out of 12 top RBs drafted finished as an RB1, resulting in a mostly chalky season at the top for RBs.”

“Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason. He’ll be motivated, have his quarterback returning, who might need to lean on the run game more, and once again has virtually no competition for touches. There’s a very real world where Taylor is a top-two back this season.”

“Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND) Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season. Had Daniel Jones not gotten injured, Taylor most likely could have stayed effective throughout the whole season.”

“Yes, Jonathan Taylor is the bellcow for Indy, and I don’t see that changing, but the RB2 spot is up for grabs in Indy.”

“Taylor was the fantasy RB4 in points per game, but from Week 12 onwards, he was the RB21, with an explosive run rate of 0.7% (41st), and he ranked 36th in yards after contact, while scoring only three rushing touchdowns.”

“Colts running back Jonathan Taylor ranks second in the NFL with 626 rushing attempts since 2024, as well as a snap share over 80%. He also led the league with 323 carries and took a whopping 46% of his team's offensive touches last year. Taylor's workload has led to elite production: 3,016 yards and 29 touchdowns in the last two seasons, both top-three numbers at his position.”

“Jonathan Taylor was averaging 25.9 points per week, Alec Pierce was finally coming alive, ending his 1000-yard season with an average 21.3 yards per reception, and it looked like Tyler Warren was all he was cracked up to be.”

“Taylor was the catalyst for the Indianapolis offense last season, turning 369 touches into 1,963 yards from scrimmage and a league-high 20 touchdowns. Taylor led the NFL in rushing attempts (323), rushing scores (18), and first downs on the ground (84). He also handled a league-high 84.4% of Indy's backfield touches.”

“Jonathan Taylor's current workload is completely unsustainable. Taylor recorded a massive 327-carry workload last season, and we already know what happens when he crosses that 300-touch threshold. The last time he did it, his body broke down for the next two seasons.”

“The entire Colts offense runs through Jonathan Taylor, with DJ Giddens and incoming seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as his backups.”

“Amon-Ra St. Brown Wide receivers to clear 3.00 yards per route run against both man and zone since 2016:”

“Brown (WR – DET) To kick things off, I took Amon-Ra St. Brown”

“The Detroit Lions are an interesting case, because everyone is pretty much where they should be: Jahmyr Gibbs is a top-two pick, Amon-Ra St. Brown is a fringe first-rounder, Jameson Williams is a WR2, and Sam LaPorta is a backend TE1 (and Jared Goff goes too late).”

“Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown was voted as the fifth-best receiver in the NFL in a poll by execs and coaches around the league: “Savvy, knack for getting open, plays faster than his timed speed,” an NFL coordinator said.”

“Amon-Ra St. Brown is consistently viewed as a tier above Puka Nacua, Ja'Marr Chase and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. In half-PPR formats, St. Brown has finished as the WR3 for three consecutive seasons.”

“Amon-Ra St. Brown continued his remarkable consistency in 2025, finishing as a top-3 fantasy WR for the third straight season. The Lions star once again dominated high-value usage, leading the NFL in red-zone targets. Even with Detroit transitioning to a new offensive coordinator in 2026, St. Brown's elite target share and reliable weekly production give him one of the safest floor/ceiling combos at the position.”

“Despite losing their offensive genius in Ben Johnson, Amon-Ra St. Brown still finished with 115+ receptions, 1,200+ receiving yards and 10+ touchdowns for the third straight year. Only Ja'Marr Chase (185) had more targets than St. Brown (172) in 2025.”

“St. Brown has been a paragon of consistency.”

“There might not be a safer wide receiver to draft in fantasy football than St. Brown. The superstar has four straight top-seven finishes, including three consecutive WR3 finishes, and averaged 19.1 PPR fantasy points per game last year, scoring 14.8 or more in over 70% of the outings.”

“Perhaps the ceiling gets capped slightly if Jameson Williams trends upwards and Sam LaPorta is healthier, but the Lions were bad last season, and the most important thing is that they might have a competent play-caller once again in Drew Petzing. The team has said they want to lean into what Jared Goff does best by using play-action passes heavily. That would be a bonus for St. Brown, who has consistently led the team in first-read target share on such plays.”

“When you draft St. Brown, you have a pretty solid idea of what you're getting. He has recorded over 119 targets in every one of the five seasons he's played in the NFL and scored double-digit touchdowns in each of the last three.”

“Amon-Ra St. Brown falling to the turn on Sleeper is one of the biggest values in early drafts. While many drafters chase youth and upside, they are overlooking one of the safest elite assets in fantasy football. St. Brown has delivered elite volume and consistency for three straight seasons, thriving on heavy target share, red-zone usage and his chemistry with Jared Goff.”