Terry McLaurin
vs David Montgomery
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McLaurin
vs NYG
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
Montgomery
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
9.5
Projected
12.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 2.4 | WR86 | 4 | 2 | 14 | — |
2 | — | 6.0 | WR46 | 9 | 2 | 50 | — |
3 | — | 16.7 | WR13 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 3.7 | WR75 | 4 | 2 | 27 | — |
2 | GB | 7.3 | WR52 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
3 | LV | 8.9 | WR34 | 4 | 3 | 74 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | KC | 12.9 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 1 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | DEN | 19.1 | WR9 | 14 | 7 | 96 | 1 |
14 | MIN | 5.6 | WR42 | 6 | 3 | 41 | — |
15 | NYG | 14.4 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 69 | 1 |
16 | PHI | 6.8 | WR45 | 4 | 3 | 53 | — |
17 | DAL | 8.8 | WR32 | 7 | 5 | 63 | — |
18 | PHI | 7.7 | WR28 | 4 | 4 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 2.7 | WR78 | 4 | 2 | 17 | — |
2 | NYG | 5.2 | WR52 | 8 | 6 | 22 | — |
3 | CIN | 18.0 | WR10 | 6 | 4 | 100 | 1 |
4 | ARI | 14.7 | WR20 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 1 |
5 | CLE | 11.4 | WR27 | 8 | 4 | 112 | — |
6 | BAL | 20.3 | WR5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 2 |
7 | CAR | 12.8 | WR16 | 6 | 6 | 98 | — |
8 | CHI | 15.0 | WR16 | 8 | 5 | 125 | — |
9 | NYG | 14.9 | WR16 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
10 | PIT | 13.8 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 113 | — |
11 | PHI | 1.5 | WR89 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | DAL | 18.7 | WR7 | 6 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
13 | TEN | 23.3 | WR2 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 2 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 22.8 | WR5 | 10 | 7 | 73 | 2 |
16 | PHI | 14.5 | WR18 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 1 |
17 | ATL | 1.0 | WR113 | 7 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | DAL | 16.2 | WR12 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.4 | RB6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 3.4 | RB47 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | — |
3 | — | 5.8 | RB36 | 11 | 33 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
4 | — | 4.3 | RB46 | 10 | 24 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 6.3 | RB35 | 11 | 25 | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | — |
2 | CHI | 12.6 | RB23 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
3 | BAL | 28.9 | RB2 | 12 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
4 | CLE | 1.2 | RB62 | 9 | 12 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
5 | CIN | 17.7 | RB9 | 18 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
6 | KC | 7.1 | RB25 | 4 | 24 | — | 2 | 2 | 37 | — |
7 | TB | 4.9 | RB36 | 13 | 21 | — | 3 | 2 | 18 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 10.0 | RB21 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
10 | WAS | 9.6 | RB25 | 15 | 71 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
11 | PHI | 4.2 | RB43 | 6 | 27 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | NYG | 5.2 | RB36 | 5 | 18 | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
13 | GB | 11.8 | RB22 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | — |
14 | DAL | 13.8 | RB15 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
15 | LAR | 9.2 | RB30 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 1.4 | RB63 | 4 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | MIN | 5.0 | RB40 | 10 | 25 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
18 | CHI | 6.0 | RB35 | 8 | 42 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 15.8 | RB14 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | TB | 15.0 | RB13 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 35 | — |
3 | ARI | 19.7 | RB8 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | — |
4 | SEA | 14.5 | RB18 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | DAL | 20.5 | RB5 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
7 | MIN | 6.5 | RB35 | 9 | 31 | — | 4 | 3 | 39 | — |
8 | TEN | 14.4 | RB17 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
9 | GB | 11.1 | RB24 | 17 | 73 | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | — |
10 | HOU | 12.1 | RB16 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | — |
11 | JAX | 23.0 | RB4 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | — |
12 | IND | 14.8 | RB10 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
13 | CHI | 13.9 | RB15 | 21 | 88 | — | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
14 | GB | 16.9 | RB10 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 33 | — |
15 | BUF | 5.5 | RB37 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 31 | — |
Expert takes
“Terry McLaurin is the WR37 in fantasy points per game, with his best showing of the season last week as the WR14 in weekly scoring. McLaurin is tied for the team lead with a 22% target share, 1.40 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.4% first-read share (leads the team). This week, McLaurin faces an Indy pass defense that has utilized single high at the ninth-highest rate (57.1%).”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“McLaurin was a favorite of mine at cost this offseason, as despite his down performance in 2025, his underlying metrics were still good. McLaurin’s playing style and archetype, as primarily a downfield player, mean his production will always have a bit of variance to it, but you should start him as a fringe WR2 moving forward. Drake Maye’s Awful Start Drake Maye ‘s sophomore season in 2025 was incredible, as he finished first among quarterbacks in adjusted yards per attempt and Expected Points Added (EPA).”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin won’t block him long term, either. McLaurin just turned 31, even if his contract runs through 2028. At some point, Washington will want the younger, faster guy on the field more often.”
Jon Machado· Oct 9, 2026
See 10 more
“McLaurin: Targets and share held roughly flat (27.0% adjusted → 28.1% adjusted), continuing as Washington’s clear passing-game priority — but for the second straight week, a real, meaningful gain of his was taken away by replay review (see Replay Reversal above).”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 29, 2026“Against two high, McLaurin has had a 24% target-per-route-run rate, but he has produced only 1.12 YPRR. Even if the coverage structure leaned in McLaurin’s favor, I wouldn’t expect much from him against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per target and fantasy points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. Sit McLaurin this week, if possible.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“Terry McLaurin has also struggled to start the season, but his outlook for the near future is not as bright as Jamo’s. Jayden Daniels ’ elbow injury makes McLaurin a shaky flex play until he returns. Carnell Tate might end up being a product of a bad situation with Cam Ward struggling so far, and he can stay on your bench until something changes.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Though he led the Commanders in targets (9) and receiving yards (50), McLaurin’s season-long outlook is concerning because of the rise of Stefon Diggs and the nasty, dislocated elbow injury Jayden Daniels suffered. We don’t yet have a timeline for how long Daniels will be out, but I expect this injury to cost him several weeks, and veteran Marcus Mariota will fill in his stead. The major thought I had going through this weekend: if McLaurin isn’t able to have a big game against the Dallas secondary, what will it take?”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 21, 2026“Going back to the Commanders’ offense, Terry McLaurin had a scary bad game for a 31-year-old receiver in the late stages of his career. He finished the afternoon with just two receptions on four targets for 14 receiving yards. He managed just an 11% target share and 0.40 yards per route run (YPRR), basically just running cardio the entire game.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 15, 2026“Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS) Both Finish as Wide Receiver Twos The prediction: both receivers finish this season as at least a top-24 fantasy option. Diggs isn’t washed the way public perception might suggest. He averaged a respectable points-per-game clip last year and ranked top 10 in yards per route run among receivers with 100-plus routes, along with a 90th-percentile mark in targets per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin set career highs across the board in Jayden Daniels ‘ rookie season. If Daniels can stay healthy, McLaurin is set up for another big year.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 23, 2026“Terry McLaurin is still the top target in the Commanders’ passing game. I expect them to be much more successful through the air with David Blough calling plays.”
Frank Ammirante· Aug 11, 2026“McLaurin is a target of mine because he doesn’t have much competition for targets of his. The Commanders’ passing game is essentially McLaurin and newly signed Stefon Diggs.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Aug 11, 2026“With Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz gone, only Antonio Williams and Chig Okonkwo were added to this receiving depth chart; McLaurin should return to his target hog WR2 ways in 2026. He’s a strong bounceback candidate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
“Montgomery has seen only 1.02 yards before contact per attempt and has been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage with 55.3% of his carries. I don’t see Montgomery finding any more running room this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“David Montgomery has been horrendous this season. We’re looking at just 2.7 YPA, 2.26 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A) and only seven receptions in four games. As mentioned last week, Woody Marks hasn’t been much better analytically, and the blame shouldn’t be solely placed on them.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026
See 10 more
“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”
Peter Kettering· Sep 24, 2026“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 11, 2026“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 2, 2026“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026“Montgomery has played seven seasons in the NFL and has had 201 carries or more in five of them. He fell under that number in the last two seasons (185 in 2024 and 158 in 2025), but that was mostly due to how utterly unstoppable Jahmyr Gibbs is.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
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