Terry McLaurin vs TreVeyon Henderson

“Round 4: Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS) Terry McLaurin was the counter-pick, sitting in an almost identical ADP range as Waddle. The preference here comes down to target-share ceiling: McLaurin’s worst-case target competition still leaves him with a strong floor, while his best case could push into the high-20s percentage range given how thin the target competition around him currently looks.”

“Terry McLaurin (WR – WSH) McLaurin’s 2025 season was derailed almost from the jump by a training camp holdout that eventually turned into a three-year, $96 million contract extension. That kind of disruption tends to torpedo a season, and it did here too.”

“Terry McLaurin is a favorite draft target in the fifth round based on ADP.”

“Both Luke McCaffrey and Jaylin Lane are fighting for targets behind Terry McLaurin in the Commanders' receiver room.”

“Through the first six weeks, McLaurin averaged just 4.2 PPR points per game, topped 50 receiving yards only once, and seemed to spend almost as much time on the injury report as he did on the field.”

“Injuries also limited Terry McLaurin to 10 games.”

“McLaurin started the 2025 offseason as a holdout. Then, shortly after reaching a new deal with the Commanders, McLaurin sustained a quad injury in Week 3 and did not return fully until the Commanders' season was all but over in Week 13.”

“When healthy, McLaurin has been an extremely reliable WR2, posting consecutive 1,000-yard receiving seasons from 2020 to 2024, yet averaged just 80 receptions each season despite being the first read in the offense. Even with Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz gone, Washington will look to spread the ball around to tertiary options.”

“Terry McLaurin was faded at ADP 31 with a 6% win rate and 44% top 6% finish, and the verdict was Right.”

“After recording a career-high 13 receiving touchdowns in 2024, McLaurin regressed last year, totaling three scores in 10 games. Yet, fantasy players should expect a solid year from him if Daniels is healthy. Unfortunately, McLaurin's fantasy playoff schedule is awful, facing A.J. Terrell in Week 15, an elite Minnesota pass defense in Week 16, and an underrated Jaguars' unit in Week 17.”

“Early in the offseason, new offensive coordinator David Blough said he wants to build the offense around getting McLaurin 10 targets, and topping his career-high of 134 certainly sounds like a probability if everything clicks.”

“Ball up Terry McLaurin's 2025 and throw it in the trash. It was a year to forget for the veteran wideout and the Commanders' offense as a whole, with multiple players on offense suffering serious injuries and quarterback Jayden Daniels in and out of the lineup all year long.”

“When Jason’s pick came, he admitted he was purposefully unhelpful in Andy’s decision-making game because he himself wanted Etienne, but settled for TreVeyon Henderson, who he considered taking in the previous round.”

“Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

“For RB2, the cutoffs land at TreVeyon Henderson and Tony Pollard respectively.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (NE) – ADP 53.6 | RB22 Fantasy players had high hopes for Henderson as a rookie. Unfortunately, he was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21.”

“More importantly, Henderson averaged 11.3 touches and 9.5 fantasy points per game in the regular season with Stevenson healthy. By comparison, he averaged 19 touches and 24.3 fantasy points per game without the veteran playing.”

“TreVeyon Henderson fits well in the Patriots' backfield as an explosive complement to Rhamondre Stevenson. However, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Stevenson averaged more yards after contact per attempt and missed tackles forced per attempt than Henderson. He was also given more carries inside the 5-yard line.”

“Without Stevenson in the lineup in Weeks 9-11, Henderson averaged 19 touches and 110 total yards. With Stevenson active, Henderson had 11.2 touches and 57.2 total yards per game. Last year, Henderson was bested by Stevenson in every metric that I care about, namely explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, yards after contact per attempt, yards per route run, and pass protection stats.”

“TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn't nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn't active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”

“Henderson finished nearly dead-on with his draft placement, ending the year as the RB20. As with Harvey, it took time for the coaching staff to fully trust him and feel confident incorporating him into the game plan. Henderson didn't have a top-20 finish at the position until Week 9, and then he truly burst onto the scene.”

“Henderson is being drafted like New England's unquestioned lead back despite trailing Stevenson in missed tackles forced, yards after contact and pass-blocking reliability, which are the exact traits that keep backs on the field in every situation.”

“TreVeyon Henderson is getting pushed way too high on Sleeper. At an ADP in the low 40s, fantasy managers are treating him like a locked-in RB2 even though ECR has him nearly 20 points lower.”