Luther Burden
vs Terry McLaurin
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Burden
at GB
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
McLaurin
vs NYG
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
10.6
Projected
9.5
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 7.0 | WR42 | 5 | 5 | 63 | — |
2 | — | 4.7 | WR66 | 7 | 3 | 32 | — |
3 | — | 16.3 | WR15 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 |
4 | — | 9.4 | WR40 | 6 | 4 | 63 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 0.2 | WR118 | 1 | 1 | -3 | — |
2 | DET | 1.0 | WR115 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
3 | DAL | 18.3 | WR6 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 |
4 | LV | 0.6 | WR110 | 2 | 2 | -4 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | WAS | 7.1 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 51 | — |
7 | NO | 2.6 | WR78 | 2 | 1 | 22 | — |
8 | BAL | 0.4 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NYG | 6.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 51 | — |
11 | MIN | 4.2 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 27 | — |
12 | PIT | 7.6 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 46 | — |
13 | PHI | 5.6 | WR47 | 6 | 4 | 33 | — |
14 | GB | 9.0 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 67 | — |
15 | CLE | 11.4 | WR26 | 7 | 6 | 84 | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | SF | 23.8 | WR1 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 |
18 | DET | 6.0 | WR38 | 4 | 3 | 35 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 2.4 | WR86 | 4 | 2 | 14 | — |
2 | — | 6.0 | WR46 | 9 | 2 | 50 | — |
3 | — | 16.7 | WR13 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 3.7 | WR75 | 4 | 2 | 27 | — |
2 | GB | 7.3 | WR52 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
3 | LV | 8.9 | WR34 | 4 | 3 | 74 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | KC | 12.9 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 1 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | DEN | 19.1 | WR9 | 14 | 7 | 96 | 1 |
14 | MIN | 5.6 | WR42 | 6 | 3 | 41 | — |
15 | NYG | 14.4 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 69 | 1 |
16 | PHI | 6.8 | WR45 | 4 | 3 | 53 | — |
17 | DAL | 8.8 | WR32 | 7 | 5 | 63 | — |
18 | PHI | 7.7 | WR28 | 4 | 4 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 2.7 | WR78 | 4 | 2 | 17 | — |
2 | NYG | 5.2 | WR52 | 8 | 6 | 22 | — |
3 | CIN | 18.0 | WR10 | 6 | 4 | 100 | 1 |
4 | ARI | 14.7 | WR20 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 1 |
5 | CLE | 11.4 | WR27 | 8 | 4 | 112 | — |
6 | BAL | 20.3 | WR5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 2 |
7 | CAR | 12.8 | WR16 | 6 | 6 | 98 | — |
8 | CHI | 15.0 | WR16 | 8 | 5 | 125 | — |
9 | NYG | 14.9 | WR16 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
10 | PIT | 13.8 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 113 | — |
11 | PHI | 1.5 | WR89 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | DAL | 18.7 | WR7 | 6 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
13 | TEN | 23.3 | WR2 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 2 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 22.8 | WR5 | 10 | 7 | 73 | 2 |
16 | PHI | 14.5 | WR18 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 1 |
17 | ATL | 1.0 | WR113 | 7 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | DAL | 16.2 | WR12 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 1 |
Expert takes
“Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 27, 2026
See 8 more
“Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 24, 2026“Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“Luther Burden was just as buzzy as Parker Washington within the fantasy community this summer. Like Washington, Burden did some things late last season that whetted our appetite for a full breakout in 2026.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Luther Burden of the Chicago Bears is my pick for league-winner at receiver. With DJ Moore now in Buffalo, Burden steps into a much larger role alongside Rome Odunze and should command a significant target share in an improving Bears offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“Shifting Burden into this alpha role makes perfect sense. Burden is an elite YAC monster, and Ben Johnson would use him as an offensive weapon all over the formation. In a record-breaking year, Burden’s ceiling isn’t just a low-end WR1 – it is an overall top-5 standard/PPR finish fueled by manufactured touches and explosive chunk plays.”
Nate Henry· Aug 28, 2026“The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14, 2026“Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
“Terry McLaurin is the WR37 in fantasy points per game, with his best showing of the season last week as the WR14 in weekly scoring. McLaurin is tied for the team lead with a 22% target share, 1.40 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.4% first-read share (leads the team). This week, McLaurin faces an Indy pass defense that has utilized single high at the ninth-highest rate (57.1%).”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“McLaurin was a favorite of mine at cost this offseason, as despite his down performance in 2025, his underlying metrics were still good. McLaurin’s playing style and archetype, as primarily a downfield player, mean his production will always have a bit of variance to it, but you should start him as a fringe WR2 moving forward. Drake Maye’s Awful Start Drake Maye ‘s sophomore season in 2025 was incredible, as he finished first among quarterbacks in adjusted yards per attempt and Expected Points Added (EPA).”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin won’t block him long term, either. McLaurin just turned 31, even if his contract runs through 2028. At some point, Washington will want the younger, faster guy on the field more often.”
Jon Machado· Oct 9, 2026
See 10 more
“McLaurin: Targets and share held roughly flat (27.0% adjusted → 28.1% adjusted), continuing as Washington’s clear passing-game priority — but for the second straight week, a real, meaningful gain of his was taken away by replay review (see Replay Reversal above).”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 29, 2026“Against two high, McLaurin has had a 24% target-per-route-run rate, but he has produced only 1.12 YPRR. Even if the coverage structure leaned in McLaurin’s favor, I wouldn’t expect much from him against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per target and fantasy points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. Sit McLaurin this week, if possible.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“Terry McLaurin has also struggled to start the season, but his outlook for the near future is not as bright as Jamo’s. Jayden Daniels ’ elbow injury makes McLaurin a shaky flex play until he returns. Carnell Tate might end up being a product of a bad situation with Cam Ward struggling so far, and he can stay on your bench until something changes.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Though he led the Commanders in targets (9) and receiving yards (50), McLaurin’s season-long outlook is concerning because of the rise of Stefon Diggs and the nasty, dislocated elbow injury Jayden Daniels suffered. We don’t yet have a timeline for how long Daniels will be out, but I expect this injury to cost him several weeks, and veteran Marcus Mariota will fill in his stead. The major thought I had going through this weekend: if McLaurin isn’t able to have a big game against the Dallas secondary, what will it take?”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 21, 2026“Going back to the Commanders’ offense, Terry McLaurin had a scary bad game for a 31-year-old receiver in the late stages of his career. He finished the afternoon with just two receptions on four targets for 14 receiving yards. He managed just an 11% target share and 0.40 yards per route run (YPRR), basically just running cardio the entire game.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 15, 2026“Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS) Both Finish as Wide Receiver Twos The prediction: both receivers finish this season as at least a top-24 fantasy option. Diggs isn’t washed the way public perception might suggest. He averaged a respectable points-per-game clip last year and ranked top 10 in yards per route run among receivers with 100-plus routes, along with a 90th-percentile mark in targets per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin set career highs across the board in Jayden Daniels ‘ rookie season. If Daniels can stay healthy, McLaurin is set up for another big year.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 23, 2026“Terry McLaurin is still the top target in the Commanders’ passing game. I expect them to be much more successful through the air with David Blough calling plays.”
Frank Ammirante· Aug 11, 2026“McLaurin is a target of mine because he doesn’t have much competition for targets of his. The Commanders’ passing game is essentially McLaurin and newly signed Stefon Diggs.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Aug 11, 2026“With Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz gone, only Antonio Williams and Chig Okonkwo were added to this receiving depth chart; McLaurin should return to his target hog WR2 ways in 2026. He’s a strong bounceback candidate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
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