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Josh Allen
vs Jaxon Smith-Njigba

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Josh Allen
QB · BUF
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Allen

at LAR

Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET

Smith-Njigba

vs SF

Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET

22.5

Projected

18.6

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

AllenSmith-Njigba
28.7Fantasy pts25.2
4Games4
260Pass yds—
—Pass TD—
—INT—
8.3Carries—
30Rush yds—
3.6Yds/carry—
—Targets10.5
—Receptions8.0
—Receiving yds120
—Touchdowns—
AllenSmith-Njigba
22.0Fantasy pts17.7
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries0.4
34Rush yds2
5.2Yds/carry5.1
0.0Targets9.6
0.0Receptions7.0
0Receiving yds105
0.8Touchdowns0.6
Full game log & past seasons +
Josh Allen
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
—
35.7
QB2
29
20
334
2
—
23
2
2
—
40.8
QB1
31
20
248
3
—
69
2
3
—
19.0
QB18
26
16
204
—
2
22
2
4
—
19.5
QB10
33
23
253
1
1
4
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
—
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
—
—
59
—
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
—
25
—
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
—
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
—
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
—
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
—
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
—
2
20
—
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
—
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
—
48
—
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
—
—
17
—
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
—
—
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
—
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
—
2
—
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
—
44
—
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
—
—
21
—
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
—
54
—
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
—
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
—
1
—
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
—
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
—
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
—
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
—
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
—
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
—
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
—
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
—
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
22.2
WR7
11
8
122
1
2
—
38.0
WR1
11
9
155
3
3
—
30.4
WR1
14
10
128
2
4
—
10.1
WR35
6
5
76
—
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
SF
14.9
WR14
13
9
124
—
2
PIT
14.3
WR19
10
8
103
—
3
NO
18.1
WR7
6
5
96
1
4
ARI
11.0
WR25
5
4
79
—
5
TB
23.2
WR3
9
8
132
1
6
JAX
26.2
WR3
13
8
162
1
7
HOU
22.3
WR7
14
8
123
1
8
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
WAS
18.0
WR9
9
8
129
—
10
ARI
17.8
WR9
6
5
93
1
11
LAR
16.1
WR10
12
9
105
—
12
TEN
33.1
WR1
10
8
167
2
13
MIN
3.3
WR71
4
2
23
—
14
ATL
24.6
WR3
10
7
92
2
15
IND
14.8
WR14
9
7
113
—
16
LAR
19.6
WR6
13
8
96
1
17
CAR
11.7
WR22
12
9
72
—
18
SF
11.4
WR16
8
6
84
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DEN
2.9
WR75
2
2
19
—
2
NE
17.7
WR12
16
12
117
—
3
MIA
5.4
WR59
3
3
39
—
4
DET
9.1
WR40
12
8
51
—
5
NYG
11.1
WR30
7
4
31
1
6
SF
7.8
WR39
9
5
53
—
7
ATL
3.8
WR60
6
3
9
—
8
BUF
9.9
WR42
7
6
69
—
9
LAR
33.5
WR1
13
7
180
2
10
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
11
SF
16.8
WR12
11
10
110
—
12
ARI
16.7
WR11
7
6
77
1
13
NYJ
9.9
WR33
4
4
74
—
14
ARI
17.1
WR15
5
5
82
1
15
GB
13.3
WR23
12
10
83
—
16
MIN
20.0
WR7
12
8
95
1
17
CHI
4.7
WR66
6
3
32
—
18
LAR
3.3
WR82
5
4
9
—

Expert takes

Josh Allen
  • “Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”

    The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026
  • “Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026
  • “LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”

    Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026
See 10 more
  • “Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026
  • “Josh Allen led Buffalo to a 36-31 victory on the road against Houston, finally able to shake the monkey from his back at Reliant Stadium. A 34-yard touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining in the game proved to be the decisive score and the cherry on top of Allen’s four-touchdown masterpiece. Houston’s typically stingy defense surrendered 334 passing yards and was unable to contain Allen on the ground as a runner, allowing him to score two rushing touchdowns.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “BUF @ HOU (BUF-1.5, O/U 44.5) Josh Allen ranks as the Ballers consensus QB9 behind some names that may be on your waiver wire. However, the Ballers recommend starting Allen over names like Stafford and Goff, who rank above him this week. DJ Moore ranks as a potential FLEX play, but lower your expectations against Houston’s defense.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
  • “1 — Josh Allen , Buffalo Bills Allen is a model of consistency. In two of the last three years, his adjusted completion rate was above 76 percent. His big-time throw rate went from 6.1 percent in 2023 to 7.0 percent in 2024 to 5.1 percent in 2025, all while keeping his turnover-worthy play rate below three percent.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Josh Allen is always startable, but temper expectations slightly. The Rams play the 49ers in East Melbourne on Thursday night (Netflix), a marquee international matchup between two top-10 offenses. Both SF (+0.09) and LA (+0.14) have the firepower to put up big numbers – your Rams and 49ers skill players are strong plays.”

    Samuel DiSorbo· Sep 10, 2026
  • “Patrick Mahomes has led the league in passing yards once, and Josh Allen has yet to do it at all.”

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 31, 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • “As impossibly great as Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been, Zay Flowers has been so much better An all-time buy-low. Your in-season Exodia, obscured by injury. Averaging 20.0 FPG and he hasn't hit a 33% snap share in any game thus far.”

    Kemper Trull· Sep 30, 2026
  • “Smith-Njigba has rattled off 122, 155, and 128 receiving yards this year. The alpha wideout has a 37.5% target share, 0.41 TPRR, 44.3% first-read rate, and 52.6% air yard share, supporting his jaw-dropping receiving yardage outputs. Bhayshul Tuten : 55.5 Rushing Yards – Higher The Bengals have allowed 4.46 yards per carry to running backs this season.”

    Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba is an obvious start at WR, and Mike’s start of the week at QB is whoever starts at QB for the Seahawks.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026
See 10 more
  • “Last week, with backup QB Drew Lock starting in place of the injured Sam Darnold (who’s expected back soon), Smith-Njigba had nine catches for 155 yards and three touchdowns. Smith is the Renoir of route runners. The Seahawks were featured in this summer’s HBO “Hard Knocks” series, and there was a fascinating segment that showed Smith-Njigba practicing his routes alone as teammates and coaches talked about his talents.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Through two games, Smith-Njigba has caught 17 of 22 targets for 277 yards and four TDs . That is a 77.3% catch rate while averaging 138.5 receiving yards per game , making it abundantly clear that he is picking up right where he left off as one of the premier WRs in fantasy. Next up is Washington, and as a Commanders fan, I am already preparing for the reckoning.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 11 targets, 9 rec Much like ARSB, I don’t need to go into much detail for JSN. He was drafted to be a stud and is paying off through two weeks. He has seen over a 40% target share in both games so far, and there’s no reason to believe that will come crashing down anytime soon, if at all.”

    Aaron Larson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 11 targets, 8 rec Another familiar name on the list, JSN’s 11 targets equated to a massive 46% target share. He led the NFL with a 36% target share last season, which may not be as unsustainable as it seems. Those targets, however, may be coming from Drew Lock for the next few games.”

    Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026
  • “It was quite the surprise to see Jaxon Smith-Njigba available after the first four selections. We did weigh some of the running back options available, but ultimately felt that Smith-Njigba is the type of talent that can set you far apart from the rest of the league.”

    Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Jaxon Smith-Njigba is coming off a season in which he had 35.8% of the Seahawks' targets and 50% of the team’s air yards He also led the league in receiving yards.”

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 21, 2026
  • “It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba , who led the league in receiving yards (1,793) and helped the Seahawks reach the Super Bowl. He also scored 10 touchdowns and was targeted a whopping 163 times (119 receptions).”

    Tom Strachan· Aug 15, 2026
  • “It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, leading the league in receiving yards and helping the Seahawks to a Super Bowl. The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak, the former offensive coordinator, moving to become the Head Coach of the New Orleans Saints and a potential dip in efficiency from Sam Darnold .”

    Tom Strachan· Aug 9, 2026
  • “Like Nacua, Smith-Njigba ranked outside the top 20 wide receivers in total routes run, at just 495 despite perfect health. Seattle was a run-first team by choice last year, but they also played a lot of un-competitive 2nd halves — at times induced by a Smith-Njigba eruption. I could see the team’s PROE rising given the changeover in their backfield, and could especially see the actual pass rate rise if the team plays more competitive games.”

    Jakob Sanderson· Aug 8, 2026
  • “It's hard to ignore how efficient Jaxon Smith-Njigba was in 2025. Smith-Njigba ranked fifth in targets, but was second in receiving yards (1,794). Four of his touchdowns came on passes of 20+ yards downfield, with an absurd 60% catch rate.”

    Tom Strachan· Jul 6, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 20.5
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 9.4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA · WR4
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
60.1% would rather draft Smith-Njigba over Allen
39.9%Allen
60.1%Smith-Njigba
Based on 153 comparison results