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Josh Allen vs Jaxon Smith-Njigba

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 9, 2026

ADP 24.2
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 7.3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · SEA · WR3
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
72.4% would rather draft Smith-Njigba over Allen

All time: Allen 43.8%Smith-Njigba 56.2%

27.6%Allen
72.4%Smith-Njigba

Should you draft Josh Allen or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

Last season — 2025, per game

AllenQB1 finish
2025
Smith-NjigbaWR2 finish
22.0Fantasy pts17.7
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries0.4
34Rush yds2
5.2Yds/carry5.1
0.0Targets9.6
0.0Rec7.0
0Rec yds105
0.8TD0.6
Full game log & past seasons
Josh Allen
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
0
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
0
0
59
0
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
0
25
0
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
0
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
0
7
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
0
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
0
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
0
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
0
2
20
0
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
0
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
0
48
0
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
0
0
17
0
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
0
0
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
0
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
0
2
0
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
0
44
0
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
0
0
21
0
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
0
54
0
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
0
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
0
1
0
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
0
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
0
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
0
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
0
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
0
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
0
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
0
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
0
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
SF
14.9
WR14
13
9
124
0
2
PIT
14.3
WR19
10
8
103
0
3
NO
18.1
WR7
6
5
96
1
4
ARI
11.0
WR25
5
4
79
0
5
TB
23.2
WR3
9
8
132
1
6
JAX
26.2
WR3
13
8
162
1
7
HOU
22.3
WR7
14
8
123
1
8
9
WAS
18.0
WR9
9
8
129
0
10
ARI
17.8
WR9
6
5
93
1
11
LAR
16.1
WR10
12
9
105
0
12
TEN
33.1
WR1
10
8
167
2
13
MIN
3.3
WR71
4
2
23
0
14
ATL
24.6
WR3
10
7
92
2
15
IND
14.8
WR14
9
7
113
0
16
LAR
19.6
WR6
13
8
96
1
17
CAR
11.7
WR22
12
9
72
0
18
SF
11.4
WR16
8
6
84
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DEN
2.9
WR75
2
2
19
0
2
NE
17.7
WR12
16
12
117
0
3
MIA
5.4
WR59
3
3
39
0
4
DET
9.1
WR40
12
8
51
0
5
NYG
11.1
WR30
7
4
31
1
6
SF
7.8
WR39
9
5
53
0
7
ATL
3.8
WR60
6
3
9
0
8
BUF
9.9
WR42
7
6
69
0
9
LAR
33.5
WR1
13
7
180
2
10
11
SF
16.8
WR12
11
10
110
0
12
ARI
16.7
WR11
7
6
77
1
13
NYJ
9.9
WR33
4
4
74
0
14
ARI
17.1
WR15
5
5
82
1
15
GB
13.3
WR23
12
10
83
0
16
MIN
20.0
WR7
12
8
95
1
17
CHI
4.7
WR66
6
3
32
0
18
LAR
3.3
WR82
5
4
9
0

Latest takes

Josh Allen
  • Josh Allen , Patrick Mahomes , Brock Purdy , Dak Prescott , and Jared Goff were the only quarterbacks selected as top-12 players who were also top 12 in points per game.

    Rich Hribar· Aug 5
  • Josh Allen 2026 Over/Under Predictions The Buffalo offense played at the league's slowest pace and ran the ball at the second-highest rate last season, which seems very counterintuitive for a team with Josh Allen at quarterback.

  • Josh Allen is once again the consensus QB1 in fantasy. He finished QB1 in fantasy scoring last season for the fourth time in the last six years. After down years from Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts , the gap between Allen and other fantasy QBs seems to have widened.

See 12 more
  • There is hope that a healthy Kincaid can live up to the hype that he has carried since entering the league as a first-round pick in the NFL Draft and be an elite TE option in an offense with Josh Allen .

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
  • With the first pick in the draft, Mike takes what feels like an obvious choice of Josh Allen, who has finished as the QB1 overall in four of the last six seasons.

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
  • The most obvious thing to consider is your positional strengths and weaknesses — trading for Lamar Jackson when you already have Josh Allen probably isn’t a good idea.

    Ted Chmyz· Jul 26
  • The counter to this would be that Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage total since 2019 (3,668), and hasn’t thrown for more than 30 touchdowns in the last three seasons.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 25
  • Josh Allen’s 0.8 points per game above QB2 in 2025 was the lowest QB1 to QB2 gap since 2022, when QB1 and QB2 tied atop the ranks.

    Jeff Krisko· Jul 23
  • Skyler Bell is headed to Buffalo to catch passes from Josh Allen after being selected in the fourth round of the NFL Draft.

  • When I say avoid Josh Allen, this is purely a fade at his ADP. He’s definitely the best quarterback to have for fantasy, but his 33rd overall ADP leaves so much value on the board around that spot.

  • Ever since Diggs left, we have been chasing the upside of Josh Allen ‘s WR1.

    Matthew Betz· Jul 19
  • Allen rushed for 14 touchdowns, his third straight year with at least 12 rushing touchdowns. He was second in fantasy points scored inside the red zone in 2025 (148.7). Allen has ranked first or second among all position players in fantasy points inside the red zone for five consecutive seasons.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 9
  • No player has a track record of pushing the top of positional scoring more consistently than Allen. Since 2020, Allen has finished as the QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1, QB2, and QB1 in overall quarterback scoring.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 9
  • Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.

  • Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset. But drafting McBride in the second round and Allen is a recipe for disaster.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • Like Nacua, Smith-Njigba ranked outside the top 20 wide receivers in total routes run, at just 495 despite perfect health. Seattle was a run-first team by choice last year, but they also played a lot of un-competitive 2nd halves — at times induced by a Smith-Njigba eruption. I could see the team’s PROE rising given the changeover in their backfield, and could especially see the actual pass rate rise if the team plays more competitive games.

  • WR5 in expected PPG last year (17.4), just ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba (17.2) Most combined red-zone + downfield (15+ yard) targets per game in 2025: 1

  • Perhaps waiting to take Darnold for the stack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the final round may have been wiser.

See 12 more
  • 4th in yards per route run behind Puka Nacua , Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Luther Burden .

  • Flowers’ draft classmate, Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba , reset the market at over $42 million a year this offseason.

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 19
  • It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba , who led the league in receiving yards (1,793) and helped the Seahawks reach the Super Bowl.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 18
  • Smith-Njigba is coming off a remarkable season, catching 119 passes for a league-leading 1,793 yards and 10 touchdowns. He became the first player in the Super Bowl era to lead the NFL in receiving yards while playing for a team in the bottom three in pass rate.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba proved last season that he is one of the best receivers in the league. He is a true No. 1 weapon, finishing with 1,700+ receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, nearly tripling the next-closest player on the team.

  • It's hard to ignore how efficient Jaxon Smith-Njigba was in 2025. Smith-Njigba ranked fifth in targets, but was second in receiving yards (1,794). Four of his touchdowns came on passes of 20+ yards downfield, with an absurd 60% catch rate.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 6
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the reigning Offensive Player of the Year after leading the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards.

  • The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak leaving to become the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders, which could lead to a dip in Sam Darnold's efficiency. The positive side, though, is that the team didn't make any major additions at receiver, aside from bringing back Rashid Shaheed. If Zach Charbonnet isn't back and rookie Jadarian Price can't adapt to the NFL quickly, could we see even more volume from Smith-Njigba?

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Other notable cap hit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, $10,371,329 (3.44 percent)

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 5
  • The Seahawks wasted no time rewarding reigning Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba with the biggest wide receiver contract in NFL history this offseason.

    Nikhil Mehta· Jun 27
  • The Seahawks have one of the league's best wide receivers in Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

    Nikhil Mehta· May 10
  • That production resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod along with a Pro Bowl invitation in addition to OPOY honors. Smith-Njigba remained an important contributor on offense through Seattle's playoff run and helped the team win Super Bowl LX.

    Adam La Rose· Mar 24