Tyler Warren
vs David Montgomery
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Warren
at PIT
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Montgomery
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
8.8
Projected
12.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.8 | TE14 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
2 | — | 11.4 | TE10 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 1 |
3 | — | 10.2 | TE13 | 10 | 9 | 55 | — |
4 | — | 6.6 | TE21 | 5 | 5 | 41 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIA | 11.4 | TE5 | 9 | 7 | 76 | — |
2 | DEN | 9.9 | TE7 | 7 | 4 | 79 | — |
3 | TEN | 5.3 | TE22 | 5 | 3 | 38 | — |
4 | LAR | 15.8 | TE3 | 6 | 5 | 70 | — |
5 | LV | 12.4 | TE11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
6 | ARI | 15.3 | TE3 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 1 |
7 | LAC | 14.9 | TE6 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 1 |
8 | TEN | 7.3 | TE13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | — |
9 | PIT | 5.1 | TE29 | 7 | 5 | 26 | — |
10 | ATL | 13.9 | TE5 | 10 | 8 | 99 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | KC | 7.0 | TE14 | 7 | 5 | 45 | — |
13 | HOU | 9.7 | TE11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
14 | JAX | 2.7 | TE29 | 6 | 2 | 15 | — |
15 | SEA | 3.4 | TE34 | 6 | 3 | 19 | — |
16 | SF | 4.5 | TE24 | 9 | 3 | 30 | — |
17 | JAX | 6.8 | TE20 | 5 | 5 | 43 | — |
18 | HOU | 5.1 | TE24 | 8 | 5 | 26 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.4 | RB6 | 20 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 3.4 | RB47 | 6 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 14 | — |
3 | — | 5.8 | RB36 | 11 | 33 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
4 | — | 4.3 | RB46 | 10 | 24 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 6.3 | RB35 | 11 | 25 | — | 4 | 4 | 18 | — |
2 | CHI | 12.6 | RB23 | 11 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
3 | BAL | 28.9 | RB2 | 12 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
4 | CLE | 1.2 | RB62 | 9 | 12 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
5 | CIN | 17.7 | RB9 | 18 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
6 | KC | 7.1 | RB25 | 4 | 24 | — | 2 | 2 | 37 | — |
7 | TB | 4.9 | RB36 | 13 | 21 | — | 3 | 2 | 18 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 10.0 | RB21 | 11 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
10 | WAS | 9.6 | RB25 | 15 | 71 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
11 | PHI | 4.2 | RB43 | 6 | 27 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | NYG | 5.2 | RB36 | 5 | 18 | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
13 | GB | 11.8 | RB22 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | — |
14 | DAL | 13.8 | RB15 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
15 | LAR | 9.2 | RB30 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 1.4 | RB63 | 4 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | MIN | 5.0 | RB40 | 10 | 25 | — | 2 | 2 | 15 | — |
18 | CHI | 6.0 | RB35 | 8 | 42 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 15.8 | RB14 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | TB | 15.0 | RB13 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 35 | — |
3 | ARI | 19.7 | RB8 | 23 | 105 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | — |
4 | SEA | 14.5 | RB18 | 12 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | DAL | 20.5 | RB5 | 12 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
7 | MIN | 6.5 | RB35 | 9 | 31 | — | 4 | 3 | 39 | — |
8 | TEN | 14.4 | RB17 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
9 | GB | 11.1 | RB24 | 17 | 73 | — | 3 | 3 | 23 | — |
10 | HOU | 12.1 | RB16 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | — |
11 | JAX | 23.0 | RB4 | 15 | 75 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | — |
12 | IND | 14.8 | RB10 | 8 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
13 | CHI | 13.9 | RB15 | 21 | 88 | — | 3 | 3 | 36 | — |
14 | GB | 16.9 | RB10 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 33 | — |
15 | BUF | 5.5 | RB37 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 31 | — |
Expert takes
“Tyler Warren has checked almost every top-five TE usage metric we want to see. The only things holding him back right now are efficiency and Daniel Jones . The Colts game was in London this week.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Oct 4, 2026“TE Tyler Warren @ WAS Warren has given you consistency so far this year, scoring at least 8.5 fantasy points in all three weeks. Mike thinks this could be the week we see his ceiling against a Washington defense that won’t offer much in the way of resistance. They are currently ranked 31st in fantasy points allowed to the TE position.”
Parker Hagen· Oct 1, 2026“None of those metrics are good, but we know the type of talent Warren has, so I’m not pressing any panic button after only three games when his quarterback has been playing horrible football. Warren has three red zone targets and zero deep targets. Warren should have a nice week against a Washington pass defense that has allowed the third-most yards per target and the most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Warren has been used near the line of scrimmage so far, averaging only 1.9 air yards per target. 36.4% of his targets have been at or behind the line of scrimmage, the third-highest rate among tight ends with double-digit targets. That said, he is playing a ton of snaps and getting regular targets.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026“Tyler Warren played 94.4% of the snaps, ran 92.7% of the routes, and had a 27.8% target share. Laquon Treadwell filled in for Pierce, running clear-out routes. Downs, Allen, and Warren all had good days, scoring 12.7, 18.3, and 14.7 PPR points, respectively.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“While the Colts signed Darius Slay ton as Pierce’s replacement in the offense, Josh Downs and Tyler Warren will likely benefit the most from Pierce’s absence. TE Quick Hitters Brock Bowers | TE, Las Vegas Raiders (QUESTIONABLE) – Bowers is officially questionable after getting in two limited practices to start the week and then not practicing Friday. The Raiders indicated that Bowers’ Friday absence was planned and not a setback.”
Edward DeLauter· Sep 26, 2026“Tyler Warren is being asked to pass block more in 2026 (11.9% versus 6.9% last year) and his aDOT is a paltry 1.4 yards.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 21, 2026“Tyler Warren had a fantastic rookie season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game, but there was plenty of meat left on the bone that should have fantasy gamers excited going into 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“Over his first 10 games of 2025, Warren averaged 5.0 catches, 61.7 receiving yards and 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with four touchdowns. Over his last seven games, Warren averaged 3.7 catches, 28.6 receiving yards and 5.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with one touchdown.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 3, 2026“Warren was excellent last year on a per-route basis. Among 59 qualifying tight ends, he was sixth in target share, ninth in receiving yards per game, 18th in yards per route run and first downs per route run, and sixth in first-read-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). His target share and first-read share should increase this season with Pittman Jr. gone, and his per-route productivity should also improve if Daniel Jones can stay healthy for the entire season and be at least a shadow of his healthy self.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8, 2026“Obviously, Tyler Warren will see a great deal, and Alec Pierce just secured the bag, but Downs should not be forgotten”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6, 2026“While Daniel Jones appears healthy heading into 2026, I expect to see more of Warren taking snaps at quarterback, as he did at Penn State. Warren offers unique upside that has received little discussion this offseason.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“The Colts offense took a big step forward in 2025, and they will need to rely even more on Tyler Warren to keep that momentum going. Warren had an outstanding rookie year after leading the Colts in targets last season. The departure of Michael Pittman (PIT) will lead to even more looks for Warren's second season.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“Warren had a strong rookie season, catching 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown. Warren played 84% of the snaps as a rookie, running a route on 83.6% of the team's dropbacks.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 8, 2026“In the games that Tyler Warren played with Daniel Jones, he averaged 12.36 PPR points and 53.7 yards. In the four that he played in without Jones, his numbers dropped to 6.95 points and 29.5 yards.”
Tom Strachan· May 15, 2026
“Montgomery has seen only 1.02 yards before contact per attempt and has been hit at or behind the line of scrimmage with 55.3% of his carries. I don’t see Montgomery finding any more running room this week. Tennessee has allowed the eighth-lowest explosive run rate and yards per carry, the sixth-fewest yards before contact per attempt, and the 13th-lowest EPA per rush.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“David Montgomery has been horrendous this season. We’re looking at just 2.7 YPA, 2.26 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A) and only seven receptions in four games. As mentioned last week, Woody Marks hasn’t been much better analytically, and the blame shouldn’t be solely placed on them.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“After opening the season with 20 carries, 79 scrimmage yards, and three touchdowns, Montgomery has averaged nine carries and 36 scrimmage yards over his last three games, without scoring a touchdown in any of them. Even worse, Montgomery has turned his 47 carries this season into just 127 rushing yards — a miserable 2.7 yards per carry — and Woody Marks stole Houston’s lone rushing touchdown on Sunday. The workload is shrinking, the efficiency isn’t there and the touchdowns that were masking both problems have disappeared.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026
See 10 more
“Through three games, David Montgomery is averaging a whopping 2.7 YPA. He’s seeing about 52% of the touches, nowhere near the workhorse numbers everyone projected in the offseason. Woody Marks looks like the more explosive back of the two, though his numbers aren’t much better.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“Montgomery has a 4.5% explosive run rate, 1.54 yards after contact per attempt, and a 12% missed tackle rate. If Houston can play with a lead, Montgomery could have a bounceback game this week against Indy’s putrid run defense. Indy has allowed the third-highest explosive run rate, the sixth-highest rushing success rate, the seventh-most yards before contact per attempt, and the fourth-highest missed tackle rate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“We have not seen much usage from Woody Marks yet, but David Montgomery should feast and may leave Marks (RB36) with some decent scraps. Blake Corum , RB, Los Angeles Rams The back half of 2025 saw Corum have an increase in workload with significant touches leading into the playoffs. Corum appears to be maintaining a similar workload and is due for a trip to the endzone.”
Peter Kettering· Sep 24, 2026“On the bright side, Montgomery does still have all four of the Texans’ carries inside the 10-yard line. But goal-line work alone is a recipe for an inconsistent FLEX play, not a viable RB2. The whole thesis behind Montgomery this season was his workhorse volume, and it hasn’t been there through two weeks (he’s also been fairly inefficient, for what it’s worth).”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“David Montgomery (RB – HOU) I’m not buying the offseason narratives that the Texans backfield will be a 50/50 split. David Montgomery will likely operate as the team’s workhorse.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 11, 2026“Longshot Bet: David Montgomery to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+8000) David Montgomery has bell-cow history.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“David Montgomery (HOU) At his cost in the middle rounds, Montgomery has the potential to win your league.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 2, 2026“For all those reasons, David Montgomery is a player I am not leaving any drafts with, especially because this potential top-12 running back can be drafted.” – Adam Dove ( The Fantasy Couriers ) Travis Etienne Jr.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026“Montgomery has played seven seasons in the NFL and has had 201 carries or more in five of them. He fell under that number in the last two seasons (185 in 2024 and 158 in 2025), but that was mostly due to how utterly unstoppable Jahmyr Gibbs is.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
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