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Jaylen Waddle
vs Zay Flowers

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Jaylen Waddle
WR · DEN
Questionable
Zay Flowers
WR · BAL

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Waddle

at LAC

Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET

Flowers

at ATL

Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET

Questionable

10.1

Projected

16.1

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.

2026 season, per game

WaddleFlowers
9.0Fantasy pts19.4
4Games3
6.5Targets7.3
4.0Receptions6.0
46Receiving yds117
—Touchdowns—
WaddleFlowers
10.1Fantasy pts11.8
16Games17
6.3Targets6.9
4.0Receptions5.1
57Receiving yds71
0.4Touchdowns0.4
Full game log & past seasons +
Jaylen Waddle
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
0.7
WR103
3
1
2
—
2
—
17.8
WR12
10
8
138
—
3
—
5.4
WR64
7
2
10
—
4
—
12.0
WR25
6
5
35
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
IND
5.0
WR57
5
4
30
—
2
NE
15.3
WR14
6
5
68
1
3
BUF
12.4
WR23
6
5
39
1
4
NYJ
6.3
WR47
6
3
48
—
5
CAR
20.0
WR4
9
6
110
1
6
LAC
12.8
WR17
8
6
95
—
7
CLE
2.0
WR86
4
1
15
—
8
ATL
18.4
WR4
6
5
99
1
9
BAL
11.2
WR27
9
6
82
—
10
BUF
16.9
WR11
7
5
84
1
11
WAS
6.7
WR40
7
3
52
—
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
NO
5.5
WR48
6
3
40
—
14
NYJ
15.6
WR10
7
5
50
1
15
PIT
3.6
WR72
4
2
26
—
16
CIN
9.7
WR29
9
5
72
—
17
TB
0.7
WR118
1
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
13.7
WR17
5
5
109
—
2
BUF
6.5
WR39
4
4
41
—
3
SEA
4.6
WR68
5
4
26
—
4
TEN
5.6
WR60
6
4
36
—
5
NE
6.6
WR48
8
4
46
—
6
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
IND
1.6
WR93
2
1
11
—
8
ARI
6.5
WR56
6
4
45
—
9
BUF
6.6
WR46
2
2
-4
1
10
LAR
7.1
WR35
6
3
57
—
11
LV
4.7
WR57
3
2
37
—
12
NE
24.4
WR3
9
8
144
1
13
GB
9.3
WR36
4
4
53
—
14
NYJ
16.4
WR16
12
9
99
—
15
HOU
0.0
WR138
2
—
—
—
16
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
17
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
18
NYJ
7.0
WR52
9
4
44
—
Zay Flowers
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
23.5
WR5
6
5
150
1
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
12.9
WR23
6
5
84
—
4
—
21.8
WR6
10
8
118
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
BUF
24.6
WR1
9
7
143
1
2
CLE
11.4
WR31
11
7
75
—
3
DET
2.3
WR89
3
2
13
—
4
KC
10.9
WR26
8
7
74
—
5
HOU
9.7
WR33
5
5
72
—
6
LAR
5.6
WR47
10
6
46
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CHI
10.6
WR28
9
7
63
—
9
MIA
8.9
WR33
5
5
64
—
10
MIN
10.1
WR30
6
4
75
—
11
CLE
9.8
WR21
5
3
78
—
12
NYJ
9.4
WR30
6
5
58
—
13
CIN
-0.4
WR158
7
2
6
—
14
PIT
16.6
WR8
11
8
124
—
15
CIN
14.3
WR17
5
3
68
1
16
NE
17.7
WR10
7
7
84
—
17
GB
11.0
WR24
5
4
30
1
18
PIT
27.8
WR1
6
4
138
2
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
KC
8.1
WR39
10
6
37
—
2
LV
18.6
WR11
11
7
91
1
3
DAL
3.8
WR73
4
3
20
—
4
BUF
1.5
WR94
2
1
10
—
5
CIN
15.5
WR15
12
7
111
—
6
WAS
17.9
WR11
9
9
132
—
7
TB
3.5
WR65
1
1
11
—
8
CLE
15.0
WR17
12
7
115
—
9
DEN
27.2
WR2
6
5
127
2
10
CIN
5.4
WR50
6
4
34
—
11
PIT
10.9
WR31
6
2
39
1
12
LAC
8.7
WR33
8
5
62
—
13
PHI
8.6
WR41
7
3
74
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NYG
8.3
WR38
7
6
53
—
16
PIT
12.8
WR23
8
5
100
—
17
HOU
4.1
WR71
5
2
31
—
18
CLE
2.6
WR89
2
1
12
—

Expert takes

Jaylen Waddle
  • “Waddle has a 19.3% target share, 1.70 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.2% first-read share. It has been tough when you can see Waddle getting open on film, but he can’t toss the ball to himself. If Bo Nix can get himself together this week, Waddle could have a nice game, but that’s a huge question mark.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
  • “His 8.0 FPPG are well below every other receiver on your roster, and even though I have voiced my concern over Denzel Boston ’s season-long outlook, Waddle is no more than your WR4…arguably your WR5 behind Matthew Golden , so I would have no hesitation in trading him away for a solid RB2 who may also be currently underperforming; but who could you target? We can split this list into “ guys who are significantly underperforming compared to their draft spot ” and “ guys who are significantly overperforming compared to their draft spot ”…with both offering potential for a bargain. Let’s start with the underperformers.”

    PaulMarnie· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Nix/Waddle is a bet on DEN getting its TDs through the air, and I would keep that as a secondary tournament build.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 8 more
  • “Jaylen Waddle was the prince who was promised to solve all of Denver’s offensive issues and to finally be the joker that Sean Payton craved for the Broncos. Unfortunately, over four games, he has as many weekly finishes below 5.5 half-PPR points as he does above 12.0. half-PPR points While it can be frustrating to see that kind of return from Waddle, it’s abundantly clear when you look at the film and the stats that this isn’t on him.”

    Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026
  • “This year, we have JK Dobbins swearing to the old gods and new that he will play 17 games, and a rookie RB Jonah Coleman getting rave reviews in camp (ready to step in when Dobbins does inevitably get hurt); Jaylen Waddle is exactly what this team needs offensively , offering up YAC opportunities, strong route running in the short + intermediate part of the field, and a level of improvisation with Nix that Franklin + Mimms just weren’t able to offer.”

    Ryan Steinberg· Sep 13, 2026
  • “Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Now the alpha receiver for the Broncos, Waddle will bring his electric route-running to an offense that thrives upon precision and isn’t afraid to sling it. Fantasy managers can look for a spike in Waddle’s yards per route run and target rate, as Courtland Sutton draws away defensive attention downfield.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 3, 2026
  • “Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) “ Jaylen Waddle is one of my favorite targets this year because I think people are looking too much at last season’s final numbers and not enough at how well he actually played. He ranked 12th in targets per route run, 12th in yards per route run, and seventh in first downs per route run, so the talent and efficiency are clearly still there.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026
  • “4.11: Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) Jaylen Waddle is being overlooked as he enters his first year with the Broncos. Evan Silva of Establish The Run projects him to a huge year under Sean Payton, comparing him to Brandin Cooks during his time in New Orleans.”

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026
  • “Adding Jaylen Waddle is not some small improvement.”

    Ellis Johnson· Aug 19, 2026
  • “The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he’ll take a backseat to Waddle.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
Zay Flowers
  • “See the latest odds of Zay Flowers playing this week >> What the Experts Are Saying Our injury model gives Zay Flowers a 91% chance to play this week. Week 5 expert consensus rankings have Flowers ranked as the WR10. His injury is listed on the injury report as: Foot He was a Limited Participant on Wednesday, a Limited Participant on Thursday, and a Limited Participant on Friday.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 11, 2026
  • “With just three games played, Flowers already has four red zone targets and is on pace to nearly double his career-high in red zone targets that he set as a rookie back in 2023. While getting 22 red zone targets doesn’t seem like much, that would have ranked fifth among the leaders in 2025, so Flowers would be considered a high-end red zone weapon if that played out. With Flowers getting his first red zone TD of the season and already eclipsing his red zone receiving yardage from a year ago, there is real top-10 WR vibes coming from his start to the season.”

    Kurt Mullen· Oct 6, 2026
  • “Zay Flowers | WR, Baltimore Ravens (QUESTIONABLE) Flowers missed practice earlier in the week with a hamstring injury; however, he was a limited participant on Friday. Flowers is a must-start if active, as he will regain his role as the Ravens’ alpha receiver. If he misses his second consecutive game, Mark Andrews and Rashod Bateman are the primary fantasy beneficiaries.”

    Edward DeLauter· Sep 26, 2026
See 7 more
  • “The yards after catch haven’t shown up either, and with Zay Flowers projected to be back in the lineup, Andrews’ target competition is only getting tougher. Until the usage changes, I’d rather chase the matchup upside somewhere else at the position. Final Thoughts Three weeks into the season, the gap between box score and underlying performance is starting to matter more than ever.”

    Matty Kiwoom· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Zay Flowers is coming off WR12 in FPPG last season, and could have an improved situation with Declan Doyle as offensive coordinator.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026
  • “There’s a world where Zay Flowers has the talent to be a top-5 fantasy WR if he can ever score TDs. Over 1,200 yards. 86 catches and 5 TDs (WR7) in 2025. WR3 over the last five games. 4+ catches in 13 of his 17 games: a testament to his reliable floor and consistent involvement.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 29, 2026
  • “Zay Flowers will be the focal point of the passing attack, leading Baltimore in targets. However, Lane is competing with Rashod Bateman and an aging Mark Andrews for the No.”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 25, 2026
  • “Zay Flowers dominated Baltimore’s passing game in 2025 and remains Lamar Jackson’s most trusted target.”

    Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19, 2026
  • “Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) “ Zay Flowers is being drafted as WR17, which is a bit of a head scratcher considering he finished as WR12 in PPG for receivers that played more than half the year (WR14 if not).”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
  • “Flowers posted 86 catches, 1,211 yards, and six total touchdowns last year despite playing for a team that threw the fewest passes in the league over the last three years.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 10, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 44.5
Jaylen Waddle
WR · DEN · WR20
ADP 40.9
Questionable
Zay Flowers
WR · BAL · WR18
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
61.5% would rather draft Flowers over Waddle
38.5%Waddle
61.5%Flowers
Based on 78 comparison results