Justin Jefferson vs Trey McBride
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NO | 9.1 | TE13 | 9 | 6 | 61 | 0 |
2 | CAR | 10.8 | TE5 | 7 | 6 | 78 | 0 |
3 | SF | 12.8 | TE6 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 1 |
4 | SEA | 8.7 | TE15 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
5 | TEN | 6.6 | TE23 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
6 | IND | 17.2 | TE2 | 11 | 8 | 72 | 1 |
7 | GB | 24.4 | TE3 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 2 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DAL | 14.0 | TE6 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
10 | SEA | 23.2 | TE1 | 13 | 9 | 127 | 1 |
11 | SF | 22.5 | TE1 | 11 | 10 | 115 | 1 |
12 | JAX | 12.4 | TE3 | 10 | 9 | 79 | 0 |
13 | TB | 18.2 | TE2 | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 8.3 | TE13 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 0 |
15 | HOU | 31.4 | TE2 | 13 | 12 | 134 | 2 |
16 | ATL | 4.7 | TE21 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
17 | CIN | 18.6 | TE1 | 13 | 10 | 76 | 1 |
18 | LAR | 10.0 | TE8 | 8 | 7 | 65 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25
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“Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 16“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24“The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.”
Tom Strachan· May 15“Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 9
“Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high. McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25“Trey McBride was first-team All-Pro after posting 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Trey McBride was excited to have QB Jacoby Brissett back at practice at mandatory minicamp: "I feel like guys are excited that he was here. Guys want him to be here. Obviously, would love to have him in the building, but he's working through some things on his own. So we totally understand that. But you could just tell the presence that he brought today being in the building was awesome."”
Logan Ulrich· Jun 22
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“Trey McBride broke franchise records and officially stamped his mark as one of the best TEs in football. McBride racked up 315 PPR points, tying Travis Kelce's legendary 2022 season for the most at the position in over 15 years. Brissett absolutely unlocked him in the red zone, connecting for 10 TDs.”
Brittney Foxworth· Jun 21“McBride caught fire with positive touchdown regression while the Cardinals led the league in passing, and he ran 67 more routes than any tight end in at least 20 years.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21“Last season, McBride averaged 18.6 PPR points per game, and Bowers averaged 15.5 in 2024, the better season of his two years in the NFL. It's incredibly hard for tight ends to score as highly as the top wide receivers and running backs, and both elite tight ends still have issues to face.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21“Trey McBride will continue to lead the way, but Yeboah could emerge as a backup ahead of the likes of Elijah Higgins, Tip Reiman, Teagan Quitoriano, Jameson Geers, and Rivaldo Fairweather.”
Ben Levine· Jun 12“He saw a truly absurd 1.93 end-zone targets per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite. No other player with as many games played was above 1.06 (Trey McBride).”
Ted Chmyz· Jun 11“The tight end position remains the toughest position to navigate in fantasy football, and if you don't pay up for a top stud like Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, finding the next mid-to-late-round breakout is key.”
Alex Roberts· Jun 8“McBride was the TE1 in total half-PPR points (252.9) and half-PPR points per game (14.9) in 2025. However, McBride's 667 routes run were the most by a tight end in 2025, 156 clear of Travis Kelce's 511 routes in second, and the Cardinals shouldn't be expected to lead the NFL in pass rate over expectation again with Mike LaFleur as their new head coach. Additionally, Jacoby Brissett is currently holding out and the Cardinals drafted Carson Beck in the third round, meaning McBride could be saddled by rookie quarterback play during the fantasy playoffs.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 7“Nobody questioned McBride's talent, but there were concerns about repeating last season's massive workload and production. Changes within Arizona's offense and questions about future quarterback stability create enough uncertainty for some drafters to rank him behind Bowers.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 30“Trey McBride shattered the NFL record for receptions.”
Bruno Mulé· May 28
So who do you have — Jefferson or McBride?
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