Bijan Robinson vs Justin Jefferson
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 21.4 | RB2 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 100 | 1 |
2 | MIN | 18.3 | RB7 | 22 | 143 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
3 | CAR | 13.6 | RB14 | 13 | 72 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
4 | WAS | 26.1 | RB5 | 17 | 75 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 106 | 0 |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BUF | 32.8 | RB1 | 19 | 170 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 68 | 0 |
7 | SF | 18.2 | RB9 | 14 | 40 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1 |
8 | MIA | 4.3 | RB39 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 |
9 | NE | 13.6 | RB12 | 12 | 46 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
10 | IND | 9.8 | RB24 | 17 | 84 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
11 | CAR | 28.3 | RB4 | 23 | 104 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 0 |
12 | NO | 13.7 | RB14 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 0 |
13 | NYJ | 27.8 | RB1 | 23 | 142 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
14 | SEA | 8.4 | RB29 | 20 | 86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
15 | TB | 25.5 | RB4 | 19 | 93 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 82 | 0 |
16 | ARI | 26.3 | RB5 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 92 | 1 |
17 | LAR | 37.4 | RB2 | 22 | 195 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
18 | NO | 5.8 | RB36 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Latest takes
“The star back for the Falcons has played three years in the NFL and is on the books through 2027 thanks to his fifth-year option, but Atlanta has long been expected to pursue an early extension. Robinson, meanwhile, has seen teammates Drake London and Kyle Pitts each sign notable extensions this offseason, with discussions on a new deal of his own having taken place.”
Adam La Rose· Jun 26“Robinson will no longer have to contend with Tyler Allgeier for snaps; instead, he gets the far less imposing Brian Robinson Jr. as the RB2. The runway is wide open for Bijan to capture even more redzone opportunities without Allgeier in the fold.”
Jonathan Lange· Jun 25“Robinson has been a fantasy star since entering the NFL, posting a top-nine PPR finish every year of his career. The superstar had 366 touches for 2,298 scrimmage yards despite splitting work with Tyler Allgeier, and will have a workhorse role under new head coach Kevin Stefanski.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 24
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“Robinson is viewed as a clear extension priority for the Falcons, who are poised to take the interesting step of firing a GM but extending his first three first-round picks.”
Sam Robinson· Jun 24“Allgeier is familiar with backing up an elite running back prospect, as he shared time with Bijan Robinson in Atlanta for three seasons.”
Edward DeLauter· Jun 23“Robinson has been a fantasy star since entering the NFL, posting a top-12 non-PPR finish every year of his career. Furthermore, the former Texas star finished as the RB4 in 2024 and the RB3 last season despite totaling only seven rushing touchdowns. Yet, the superstar had 366 touches for 2,298 scrimmage yards despite splitting work with Tyler Allgeier.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22“Many executives around the league believe Atlanta's former coaching staff under Raheem Morris "tamped down the production" of Robinson. Executives think the running back will get an extension before Week 1, with one anonymous executive stating: "If you tagged Pitts and you extended London, that tells me Bijan is next. He's the best football player on that roster."”
Tony Camino· Jun 20“Bijan Robinson is the top taken player according to Yahoo's mock auction data. He is projected to have a value of $62, meaning Yahoo thinks $62 is a spot-on price for what his stats are projected to be. But Bijan is going for an average auction value of $71.4. That's over 15% higher than his projection!”
Evan Hoovler· Jun 19“He also appeared on 18.5% of champion teams, according to FantasyPros' league sync tool. That was the highest percentage of any player.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 6“Where Robinson can take the leap is simple — touchdowns. Robinson scored only seven rushing touchdowns, which resulted in the lowest touchdown rate (2.4%) among the top seven running backs in fantasy.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 6“Last year's PPR RB2 in fantasy points per game, and now free from Tyler Allgeier, Bijan Robinson feels primed to take a big step forward in 2026. Robinson led the league in missed tackles forced (75), with 27 more than any other player, while also ranking in the top five in rushing yards, explosive run rate and yards per carry, while topping the league in yards after contact per attempt (3.06).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 6“Gainwell ranked fourth among all backs in receptions in 2025, trailing only the dual-threat elites of Christian McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs.”
Ted Chmyz· May 25“Bijan Robinson got the nod at 1.01 here. Worm pointed directly to Atlanta's new play caller and Robinson's elite talent profile as the deciding factors. Even in a three-receiver league where someone like Ja'Marr Chase could easily justify the top spot, Robinson's combination of workload and explosiveness ultimately won out.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 17“Atlanta's coaching changes could finally unlock the every-down role fantasy managers have been waiting for. Robinson has already produced elite numbers despite sharing goal-line work in previous seasons. If that usage shifts fully in his favor, he could challenge for the overall RB1 finish in fantasy football.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 10“If you have him and Bijan Robinson on opposite sides, those are two guys that can house it from anywhere on the field.”
Wyatt Grindley· May 9
“Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25
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“Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 16“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24“The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.”
Tom Strachan· May 15“Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 9
So who do you have — Robinson or Jefferson?
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