Justin Jefferson vs Amon-Ra St. Brown
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 6.5 | WR48 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 0 |
2 | CHI | 34.7 | WR1 | 11 | 9 | 115 | 3 |
3 | BAL | 17.2 | WR9 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 1 |
4 | CLE | 22.5 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 70 | 2 |
5 | CIN | 14.0 | WR17 | 9 | 8 | 100 | 0 |
6 | KC | 9.2 | WR29 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
7 | TB | 17.6 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 86 | 1 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 14.2 | WR16 | 13 | 9 | 97 | 0 |
10 | WAS | 14.3 | WR18 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 1 |
11 | PHI | 5.2 | WR51 | 12 | 2 | 42 | 0 |
12 | NYG | 25.4 | WR3 | 13 | 9 | 149 | 1 |
13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
14 | DAL | 12.2 | WR19 | 9 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
15 | LAR | 34.9 | WR1 | 18 | 13 | 164 | 2 |
16 | PIT | 7.4 | WR40 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 0 |
17 | MIN | 10.8 | WR27 | 13 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
18 | CHI | 19.4 | WR5 | 15 | 11 | 139 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25
See 12 more
“Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 16“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24“The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.”
Tom Strachan· May 15“Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 9
“Amon-Ra St. Brown continues to dominate as a high-volume receiver, earning 172 targets in 2025.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“There might not be a safer wide receiver to draft in fantasy football than St. Brown. The superstar has four straight top-seven finishes, including three consecutive WR3 finishes, and averaged 19.1 PPR fantasy points per game last year, scoring 14.8 or more in over 70% of the outings.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 24“Perhaps the ceiling gets capped slightly if Jameson Williams trends upwards and Sam LaPorta is healthier, but the Lions were bad last season, and the most important thing is that they might have a competent play-caller once again in Drew Petzing. The team has said they want to lean into what Jared Goff does best by using play-action passes heavily. That would be a bonus for St. Brown, who has consistently led the team in first-read target share on such plays.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21
See 12 more
“When you draft St. Brown, you have a pretty solid idea of what you're getting. He has recorded over 119 targets in every one of the five seasons he's played in the NFL and scored double-digit touchdowns in each of the last three.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 21“The Lions were bad last season, and the most important thing is that they might have a competent play-caller once again in Drew Petzing. The team has said they want to lean into what Jared Goff does best by using play-action passes heavily, which would be a bonus for St. Brown, who has consistently led the team in first-read target share on such plays.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“When you draft Amon-Ra St. Brown, you have a pretty solid idea of what you're getting. He has recorded over 119 targets in every one of the five seasons he's played in the NFL and scored double-digit touchdowns in each of the last three.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Amon-Ra St. Brown falling to the turn on Sleeper is one of the biggest values in early drafts. While many drafters chase youth and upside, they are overlooking one of the safest elite assets in fantasy football. St. Brown has delivered elite volume and consistency for three straight seasons, thriving on heavy target share, red-zone usage and his chemistry with Jared Goff.”
Dennis Sosic· Jun 18“Perhaps the ceiling gets capped slightly if Jameson Williams trends upwards and Sam LaPorta is healthier, but the Lions were bad last season, and the most important thing is that they might have a competent play-caller once again in Drew Petzing. The team has said they want to lean into what Jared Goff does best by using play-action passes heavily. That would be a bonus for St. Brown, who has consistently led the team in first-read target share on such plays.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“When you draft Amon-Ra St. Brown, you have a pretty solid idea of what you're getting. He has recorded over 119 targets in every one of the five seasons he's played in the NFL and scored double-digit touchdowns in each of the last three.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“St. Brown is the unquestioned alpha in the passing game, averaging 159 targets during that span. Detroit's offense has been one of the league's best over the last three seasons, and there isn't really a reason to think that will slow down.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jun 14“"I think it's been great. Meetings have been great. Out here at practice has been amazing," St. Brown noted. "It's still early, it's only been three practices but just being able to sit in the meeting rooms, being out there with him, talking with him, I think it's going to be great for us."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 10“The 2024 offseason brought timely paydays for Amon-Ra St. Brown, Penei Sewell and Jared Goff.”
Sam Robinson· Jun 7“What if you have an Amon Ra, Gibbs, or a DET stack in the works? Swift makes more sense because of the Week 17 correlation.”
Chris Cash· Jun 6“Amon-Ra St. Brown come to mind as an NFL player who has the same WR1 year-over-year and isn't going anywhere, set to produce for fantasy teams once again in 2026.”
Adam Koffler· Jun 1“From Week 5 to Week 16, the Lions play just two outdoor games. One is in Miami in Week 9, and the other is a neutral game in Germany in Week 10 (Amon-Ra St. Brown homecoming).”
Andrew Erickson· May 15
So who do you have — Jefferson or Brown?
Make the call yourself. Build your own draft board free — quick A-vs-B picks, no spreadsheet — and let the season grade it.
Build your rankings