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Jonathan Taylor vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

ADP 6
Jonathan Taylor
RB · IND · RB3
ADP 8
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR5
VS
The crowd's leanALL-TIME
57.9% would rather draft Jefferson over Taylor
42.1%Taylor
57.9%Jefferson
Based on 57 duels

Last season — 2025, per game

TaylorRB2 finish
2025
JeffersonWR24 finish
20.0Fantasy pts9.4
17Games17
19.0Carries0.1
93Rush yds0
4.9Yds/carry3.5
3.2Targets8.3
2.7Rec4.9
22Rec yds62
1.2TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Jonathan Taylor
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
MIA
11.3
RB22
18
71
0
3
3
27
0
2
DEN
28.5
RB1
25
165
0
2
2
50
1
3
TEN
31.3
RB1
17
102
3
4
3
16
0
4
LAR
12.1
RB22
17
76
0
5
5
20
0
5
LV
30.1
RB2
17
66
3
4
3
20
0
6
ARI
21.7
RB7
21
123
1
4
4
14
0
7
LAC
32.7
RB3
16
94
3
3
3
38
0
8
TEN
36.4
RB1
12
153
2
2
2
21
1
9
PIT
6.7
RB30
14
45
0
2
2
12
0
10
ATL
48.1
RB1
32
244
3
3
3
42
0
11
12
KC
7.6
RB26
16
58
0
3
2
8
0
13
HOU
13.6
RB19
21
85
0
5
3
36
0
14
JAX
11.4
RB20
21
74
1
0
0
0
0
15
SEA
11.6
RB21
25
87
0
4
3
14
0
16
SF
15.4
RB18
16
46
1
3
3
33
0
17
JAX
15.9
RB13
21
70
1
6
3
14
0
18
HOU
4.9
RB48
14
26
0
2
2
13
0
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0

Latest takes

Jonathan Taylor
  • Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season. From Week 12 onwards, he was the RB21, with an explosive run rate of 0.7% (41st). Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason, and he'll be motivated with his quarterback returning and virtually no competition for touches.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 25
  • The entire Colts offense runs through Jonathan Taylor, with DJ Giddens and incoming seventh-round rookie Seth McGowan as his backups.

  • Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason. He'll be motivated, have his quarterback returning, who might need to lean on the run game more, and once again has virtually no competition for touches.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 21
See 12 more
  • Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season. According to teams synced with our FantasyPros tools, the Colts back led all players in playoff advance rate at 66.8%. Simply drafting Taylor gave you a two-in-three chance of making the playoffs.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 21
  • Jonathan Taylor led the NFL in snap share last season (89%) and ranked second in opportunity share (84%). Without an injury, he isn't coming off the field.

    Jeff Krisko· Jun 21
  • Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason. He'll be motivated, have his quarterback returning, who might need to lean on the run game more, and once again has virtually no competition for touches.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season, leading all players in playoff advance rate at 66.8%. However, from Week 12 onwards, he was the RB21, with an explosive run rate of 0.7% (41st).

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason. He'll be motivated, have his quarterback returning, who might need to lean on the run game more, and once again has virtually no competition for touches. There's a very real world where Taylor is a top-two back this season.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season. Had Daniel Jones not gotten injured, Taylor most likely could have stayed effective throughout the whole season.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Of course, much of this inefficiency was due to quarterback turmoil as Daniel Jones got beaten up and eventually tore his Achilles. If you're that vulnerable to poor quarterback play, you do not deserve to be drafted with the third overall pick.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 6
  • Taylor was the fantasy RB4 in points per game, but from Week 12 onwards, he was the RB21, with an explosive run rate of 0.7% (41st) and ranking 36th in yards after contact, with just three rushing touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 6
  • If you had a tier of running backs with Jonathan Taylor and Omarion Hampton, but you can get Hampton cheaper, you'll then need to determine whether the difference moves you more toward targeting someone like Hampton or if the cost justifies taking Taylor.

  • They noted how dramatically his fantasy production shifted depending on the health and effectiveness of the Colts' offense, and questions about Daniel Jones' health, the passing game, and Taylor's long-term durability all contributed to skepticism about drafting him as a top-three running back.

  • While Jonathan Taylor still sits near the top of fantasy RB rankings, the conversation highlighted growing concerns surrounding his current draft cost. The hosts pointed to Taylor's heavy workload and dependence on quarterback play as reasons for caution.

  • Jonathan Taylor rushing yards Under 1225.5 CZR -115 (1 unit)

    Warren Sharp· May 20
Justin Jefferson
  • Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.

  • Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.

  • Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 25
See 12 more
  • Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.

  • Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.

  • Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.

  • J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."

  • Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."

  • The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.

    Tom Strachan· May 15
  • Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.

So who do you have — Taylor or Jefferson?

Make the call yourself. Build your own draft board free — quick A-vs-B picks, no spreadsheet — and let the season grade it.

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