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Jahmyr Gibbs vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

ADP 2
Jahmyr Gibbs
RB · DET · RB2
ADP 8
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR5
VS
The crowd's leanALL-TIME
83.9% would rather draft Gibbs over Jefferson
83.9%Gibbs
16.1%Jefferson
Based on 62 duels

Last season — 2025, per game

GibbsRB4 finish
2025
JeffersonWR24 finish
19.3Fantasy pts9.4
17Games17
14.3Carries0.1
72Rush yds0
5.0Yds/carry3.5
5.5Targets8.3
4.5Rec4.9
36Rec yds62
1.1TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Jahmyr Gibbs
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
GB
10.0
RB25
9
19
0
10
10
31
0
2
CHI
17.9
RB9
12
94
1
3
3
10
0
3
BAL
24.4
RB3
22
67
2
6
5
32
0
4
CLE
16.7
RB15
15
91
1
2
2
6
0
5
CIN
15.7
RB12
12
54
0
2
2
33
1
6
KC
7.0
RB26
17
65
0
2
1
0
0
7
TB
35.3
RB2
17
136
2
3
3
82
0
8
9
MIN
4.3
RB40
9
25
0
3
3
3
0
10
WAS
36.7
RB3
15
142
2
4
3
30
1
11
PHI
17.1
RB12
12
39
0
8
5
107
0
12
NYG
49.9
RB1
15
219
2
12
11
45
1
13
GB
10.1
RB28
20
68
0
4
3
18
0
14
DAL
33.5
RB1
12
43
3
7
7
77
0
15
LAR
7.8
RB33
13
38
0
7
4
20
0
16
PIT
17.8
RB13
7
2
0
13
10
66
1
17
MIN
5.4
RB37
17
41
0
3
2
23
0
18
CHI
18.8
RB4
19
80
0
5
3
33
1
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0

Latest takes

Jahmyr Gibbs
  • The star back for the Lions is one of the 2023 first-rounders on the books through 2027 thanks to his fifth-year option, with Detroit long expected to pursue an early extension. Gibbs is in line to handle an even larger workload than before without David Montgomery in the fold, and a recent projection from The Athletic's Austin Mock has Gibbs slotting in with a projected $19.9MM AAV and $46.7MM in guaranteed money, though Mock adds Gibbs is likely to land more than his projected figure.

    Adam La Rose· Jun 26
  • Jahmyr Gibbs dramatically outperformed his expected rushing touchdown total last year, but that is just the norm for a player who has the explosive ability to score from anywhere. While nearly doubling expected rushing touchdown production would be a regression red flag for a lot of players, it is not for Gibbs because of his track record.

  • Detroit already paid Jack Campbell, who is now the NFL's second-highest-paid off-ball linebacker, and must decide on Jahmyr Gibbs' value and whether to let Sam LaPorta play out a contract year or reach an agreement now.

    Sam Robinson· Jun 7
See 12 more
  • Gibbs has the clearest avenue he's ever had and is coming off a career-high 94 targets. With more touches, Gibbs could be one of the highest ceiling plays in fantasy football, and an auto-click if he makes it this far.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 6
  • Another young running back who has seen things clear out behind him is Jahmyr Gibbs, with the departure of David Montgomery, and only Isiah Pacheco has been added to the running back room. Gibbs has had over 50 receptions in each of his three seasons in the NFL and averages 13 total touchdowns per season.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 6
  • The idea behind "Stars & Scrubs" is to build your team primarily around a few star players. For example, you may be able to walk away with Ja'Marr Chase, Jahmyr Gibbs and someone like Christian McCaffrey, but this will leave you with a significantly lower budget for the remaining picks.

  • Gainwell ranked fourth among all backs in receptions in 2025, trailing only the dual-threat elites of Christian McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs.

    Ted Chmyz· May 25
  • Jahmyr Gibbs had a rough end to the fantasy football season last year, costing managers who leaned on him all year championships. Gibbs should return to fantasy prominence with a wonderful start to the NFL season. The Lions start the season facing the Saints, Bills, Jets, Panthers, and Cardinals.

  • Pianowski looked thrilled to land Gibbs fourth overall. The argument centered around Detroit's favorable projected schedule and the belief that Gibbs can anchor multiple roster constructions, including hero-RB builds.

  • Gibbs was already one of fantasy football's most efficient weapons. Now there's a legitimate path toward elite volume to pair with that efficiency. That combination is how overall RB1 seasons happen.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • The Lions landed the best overall strength of schedule, the highest projected team win total in the league, and one of the easiest schedules against opposing run defenses. That's about as close to a perfect setup for Jahmyr Gibbs as you can realistically ask for.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • Given the ease of their last-place schedule (and the fact that they are a massive positive-injury-regression team), we should expect the Lions to rebound after a down 2025 season. Gotta admit....the planets might be aligning for a Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 overall szn.

  • Gibbs still offers massive upside, especially in PPR formats. His explosiveness and receiving ability keep him firmly in the elite tier. The concern is whether Detroit continues rotating backs enough to slightly cap his weekly ceiling.

  • CBS Sports' Jonathan Jones thinks Falcons RB Bijan Robinson will get a slightly more lucrative extension than Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs this offseason, but feels both will easily get more than $15 million per year.

  • Robinson should receive more than fellow 2023 first-rounder Jahmyr Gibbs. The Falcon has outperformed the Lion in terms of rushing and receiving yards since they were drafted, though Gibbs has significantly more touchdowns.

    Nikhil Mehta· Apr 29
Justin Jefferson
  • Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.

  • Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.

  • Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 25
See 12 more
  • Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.

  • Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.

  • Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.

  • J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jun 19
  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).

    Tom Strachan· Jun 17
  • Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."

  • Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."

  • The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.

    Jon Machado· May 16
  • Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.

    Tom Strachan· May 15
  • Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.

So who do you have — Gibbs or Jefferson?

Make the call yourself. Build your own draft board free — quick A-vs-B picks, no spreadsheet — and let the season grade it.

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