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Ja'Marr Chase vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 19, 2026

ADP 3.6
Ja'Marr Chase
WR · CIN · WR1
ADP 12.3
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
95.9% would rather draft Chase over Jefferson

All time: Chase 80.3%Jefferson 19.7%

95.9%Chase
4.1%Jefferson

Should you draft Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson?

Last season — 2025, per game

ChaseWR4 finish
2025
JeffersonWR24 finish
15.7Fantasy pts9.4
16Games17
11.6Targets8.3
7.8Rec4.9
88Rec yds62
0.5TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Ja'Marr Chase
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CLE
3.6
WR77
5
2
26
0
2
JAX
29.5
WR3
16
14
165
1
3
MIN
6.4
WR43
6
5
50
0
4
DEN
4.8
WR60
8
5
23
0
5
DET
26.0
WR2
10
6
110
2
6
GB
20.1
WR5
12
10
94
1
7
PIT
30.1
WR1
23
16
161
1
8
NYJ
15.1
WR9
19
12
91
0
9
CHI
14.1
WR17
8
6
111
0
10
11
PIT
4.5
WR56
10
3
30
0
12
13
BAL
14.5
WR16
14
7
110
0
14
BUF
7.7
WR35
8
5
44
0
15
BAL
18.2
WR7
16
10
132
0
16
MIA
15.4
WR15
11
9
109
0
17
ARI
21.5
WR3
9
7
60
2
18
CLE
19.6
WR4
10
8
96
1
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NE
9.2
WR31
6
6
62
0
2
KC
5.5
WR49
5
4
35
0
3
WAS
26.8
WR2
7
6
118
2
4
CAR
16.0
WR15
6
3
85
1
5
BAL
36.3
WR1
12
10
193
2
6
NYG
9.7
WR32
6
5
72
0
7
CLE
15.1
WR10
6
5
55
1
8
PHI
15.9
WR11
11
9
54
1
9
LV
7.8
WR39
11
7
43
0
10
BAL
49.9
WR1
17
11
264
3
11
LAC
23.0
WR5
13
7
75
2
12
13
PIT
17.6
WR11
9
6
86
1
14
DAL
38.1
WR1
18
14
177
2
15
TEN
13.9
WR22
11
9
94
0
16
CLE
19.4
WR9
8
6
97
1
17
DEN
14.7
WR23
15
9
102
0
18
PIT
20.6
WR5
14
10
96
1
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0

Latest takes

Ja'Marr Chase
  • Chase is the WR1 in my rankings. Last year, he finished as the WR4, averaging 19.6 PPR fantasy points per game despite missing one contest with an injury and playing without Joe Burrow for half the season.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 14
  • The trio of Joe Burrow , Ja'Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins forces defenses to respect the passing game.

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 11
  • For two consecutive years, Chase has led the league in targets with 175 and 185, respectively. Chase also has two years with 1400 or more receiving yards, and his consistency is worth paying for.

    Tom Strachan· Aug 7
See 12 more
  • His weekly ceiling remains extremely high, especially near the end zone, although Ja’Marr Chase ‘s presence naturally caps Higgins’ overall target volume.

  • Chase was excellent again in 2025. He led the NFL in targets (185) while catching 125 passes for 1,412 yards and 8 touchdowns. No receiver has Chase's full-field upside.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 10
  • There aren't many questions about Ja'Marr Chase in 2026, but if you remember 2025, there were plenty. The start of the season was rough, and everyone was panicking (and I was buying). It's old news because he led the league in targets, finished as the WR4, and is now going off the board as the WR1, right where Mike and Jason have him ranked.

  • No receiver projects for more volume than Ja'Marr Chase. His 182 targets led the league, reinforcing his status as one of the few true offensive focal points in the game. The surprising part of Chase's season wasn't the workload. It was the TD total. After scoring 17 TDs the previous year, Chase found the end zone just eight times despite finishing with 22 targets inside the 20-yard line, 6th most in the league.

    Chris Cash· Jul 7
  • Chase has averaged 115+ catches, 1,400+ receiving yards and 10+ touchdowns over the last three years, and Joe Burrow is coming into 2026 100% healthy.

  • Chase has led the league in targets each of the last two years. He's averaged 6.7 catches and 87.7 yards per game over his five-year career. Chase also gets to play with Joe Burrow, one of the best pure passers in the game.

  • Much of Chase's ceiling is tied to Joe Burrow's health. In games with Burrow at quarterback since Chase was drafted, he averages 0.78 touchdowns and 20.67 PPR points. In the games without Burrow, those numbers drop to 0.33 touchdowns and 15.48 points.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 6
  • The only question mark is the consistency beyond Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, with the Bengals' next most targeted wide receivers combining for a 16% drop rate while Chase and Higgins were at 4% combined.

  • Ja'Marr Chase, Bengals (4) was the highest rated Wide Receiver in the NFL Top 100 for 2025.

  • One player who notably looks worse in per-route data compared to his annual ADP is Higgins' teammate — Ja'Marr Chase. However, I don't think anyone seriously believes this means Chase isn't one of the best wide receivers in the NFL.

  • In five years in the league, Chase has averaged 1,490 yards a season.

  • The same goes for elite wideouts like Ja'Marr Chase and Puka Nacua. But they are knocked down a peg or two by the top-tier quarterbacks.

Justin Jefferson
  • Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15
  • With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
  • Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.

See 12 more
  • Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently

  • Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?

  • This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 27
  • From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.

  • Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.

    Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23
  • Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.

  • The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.

    Maggie Thraen· Jul 19
  • He opened with Justin Jefferson after a surprising run of young quarterbacks fell in the first round, then doubled up at quarterback anyway, taking Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams back to back once he realized how many were sliding.

  • Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 18