Saquon Barkley
vs Justin Jefferson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Barkley
at JAX
Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET
Out
Jefferson
at NO
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
—
Live
13.4
Projected
Half-PPR
points
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.5 | RB28 | 15 | 83 | — | 2 | 1 | -3 | — |
2 | — | 2.5 | RB58 | 4 | 9 | — | 2 | 1 | 11 | — |
3 | — | 8.5 | RB26 | 15 | 82 | — | 2 | 1 | -2 | — |
4 | — | 1.5 | RB61 | 2 | 8 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DAL | 16.4 | RB7 | 18 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 24 | — |
2 | KC | 16.4 | RB10 | 22 | 88 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — |
3 | LAR | 7.5 | RB31 | 18 | 46 | — | 5 | 4 | 9 | — |
4 | TB | 15.4 | RB17 | 19 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 31 | — |
5 | DEN | 16.3 | RB10 | 6 | 30 | — | 3 | 3 | 58 | 1 |
6 | NYG | 7.7 | RB21 | 12 | 58 | — | 3 | 2 | 9 | — |
7 | MIN | 4.7 | RB38 | 18 | 44 | — | 1 | 1 | -2 | — |
8 | NYG | 31.4 | RB4 | 14 | 150 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | GB | 11.6 | RB20 | 22 | 60 | — | 3 | 3 | 41 | — |
11 | DET | 9.5 | RB27 | 26 | 83 | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | — |
12 | DAL | 8.9 | RB24 | 10 | 22 | — | 8 | 7 | 52 | — |
13 | CHI | 5.6 | RB43 | 13 | 56 | — | 2 | — | — | — |
14 | LAC | 18.2 | RB6 | 20 | 122 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
15 | LV | 16.2 | RB10 | 22 | 78 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | — |
16 | WAS | 21.2 | RB10 | 21 | 132 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
17 | BUF | 6.8 | RB29 | 19 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 32.2 | RB1 | 24 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 15.6 | RB11 | 22 | 95 | — | 5 | 4 | 21 | — |
3 | NO | 31.6 | RB1 | 17 | 147 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | — |
4 | TB | 12.6 | RB21 | 10 | 84 | — | 4 | 2 | 32 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | CLE | 6.4 | RB32 | 18 | 47 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | — |
7 | NYG | 25.7 | RB3 | 17 | 176 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | — |
8 | CIN | 11.6 | RB25 | 22 | 108 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
9 | JAX | 31.4 | RB1 | 27 | 159 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 1 |
10 | DAL | 8.3 | RB25 | 14 | 66 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | — |
11 | WAS | 32.8 | RB2 | 26 | 146 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 52 | — |
12 | LAR | 44.2 | RB1 | 26 | 255 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 47 | — |
13 | BAL | 18.7 | RB7 | 23 | 107 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | — |
14 | CAR | 14.4 | RB16 | 20 | 124 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
15 | PIT | 8.4 | RB30 | 19 | 65 | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | — |
16 | WAS | 27.0 | RB4 | 29 | 150 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
17 | DAL | 17.9 | RB6 | 31 | 167 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
Expert takes
“Tank Bigsby was placed on IR, and Saquon Barkley was projected to be out and is. Barkley’s timeline isn’t clear, but Shipley has a brutal matchup this week. Jacksonville has allowed the fourth-fewest half-PPR points per game to running backs (14.3) this season, holding them to only 47.5 rushing yards per game and 2.84 yards per carry.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 10, 2026“Through four games, Barkley has just 182 rushing yards, eight receiving yards and zero touchdowns, good for roughly 23 total PPR points. That’s the kind of production you’d be disappointed to get from your FLEX player, let alone your first-round pick. To make matters worse, Barkley left Sunday’s game with a hamstring injury after just two carries, adding durability to the growing list of concerns.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026“The offense still looks broken.” – Shaun Ireland ( FantasyPros ) “ Saquon Barkley gets a short-week matchup against the Rams, who have allowed only 14.4 half-PPR points per game to running backs so far this year, the 7th stingiest matchup, but the bigger red flag is that Barkley is slumping independent of any matchup… he’s averaging -2.1 fantasy points versus expectation this season. Stacking a tough run defense on top of an already underperforming workload on a team with major offensive struggles in a short week is a quadruple negative, not a single data point that regression can easily fix.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 1, 2026
See 10 more
“News Lamar Jackson and Saquon Barkley are considered week-to-week with lower-body injuries.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“With a soft schedule for running backs the rest of the way, Barkley is a guy I’d be hunting for. The fantasy points will start flowing soon; he won’t stay down like this for long. If I could turn a receiver like Rashee Rice into Barkley, I’d be a happy camper.” – Wolf Trelles-Heard ( FantasyPros )”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 23, 2026“Best Bet: Saquon Barkley to Lead the NFL in Rushing Yards (+1000) Saquon Barkley is my value candidate who may be underpriced despite his clear path to volume.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“Saquon Barkley had a down season in 2025, but he is still a dynamic workhorse who could easily have a bounce-back season with coordinator Sean Mannion at the helm of the offense.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI) Yes, last season was pretty awful for Saquon Barkley and those who drafted him, but the warning signs were there. Barkley had an absurd number of touches in 2024.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 29, 2026“In a standard scoring league, Saquon Barkley was the smart move, especially since six running backs went in the first nine picks. 2.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 23, 2026“I think Barkley could have a bounce-back year, and he is being underrated. After he was going 1.01 in drafts, most fantasy owners will rightfully feel burned by him this year.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Aug 11, 2026“After an insane 2024 season, Saquon Barkley was poised to come back down to earth some in 2025.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 7, 2026“Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI) After running laps around the position in 2024, Saquon Barkley’s finish of RB14 was a shock. Despite only missing one game, he scored 214 fantasy points compared to the 339 points he scored in 2024.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 17, 2026“Given the season he had in 2024 and the expectations created for gamers, Barkley may have produced the most disappointing 1,413-yard, 9-touchdown season in history. Regression was certainly expected coming off his historic run the year before, and a lot went wrong for this offense.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 7, 2026
“Jefferson missed the Vikings’ 15-10 win over the Dolphins last Sunday with a sprained ankle, and Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 10, 2026“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
See 11 more
“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19, 2026
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