Josh Allen
vs Justin Jefferson
2026 · Week 6 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 6No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 6Allen
at LV
Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET
Jefferson
Bye week
25.0
Projected
—
Bye week
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 35.7 | QB2 | 29 | 20 | 334 | 2 | — | 23 | 2 |
2 | — | 40.8 | QB1 | 31 | 20 | 248 | 3 | — | 69 | 2 |
3 | — | 19.0 | QB18 | 26 | 16 | 204 | — | 2 | 22 | 2 |
4 | — | 19.5 | QB10 | 33 | 23 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
5 | — | 31.5 | QB3 | 19 | 12 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 121 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 38.8 | QB1 | 46 | 33 | 394 | 2 | — | 30 | 2 |
2 | NYJ | 11.8 | QB25 | 25 | 14 | 148 | — | — | 59 | — |
3 | MIA | 23.0 | QB5 | 28 | 22 | 213 | 3 | — | 25 | — |
4 | NO | 25.9 | QB7 | 22 | 16 | 209 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
5 | NE | 20.4 | QB12 | 31 | 22 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 53 | — |
6 | ATL | 17.4 | QB17 | 26 | 15 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 42 | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CAR | 23.2 | QB9 | 19 | 12 | 163 | 1 | — | 7 | 2 |
9 | KC | 28.8 | QB3 | 26 | 23 | 273 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 |
10 | MIA | 20.3 | QB8 | 40 | 28 | 306 | 2 | 1 | 31 | — |
11 | TB | 44.7 | QB1 | 30 | 19 | 317 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
12 | HOU | 10.1 | QB22 | 34 | 24 | 253 | — | 2 | 20 | — |
13 | PIT | 17.7 | QB13 | 23 | 15 | 123 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
14 | CIN | 37.8 | QB1 | 28 | 22 | 251 | 3 | — | 78 | 1 |
15 | NE | 24.5 | QB6 | 28 | 19 | 193 | 3 | — | 48 | — |
16 | CLE | 6.9 | QB27 | 19 | 12 | 130 | — | — | 17 | — |
17 | PHI | 23.2 | QB6 | 35 | 23 | 262 | — | — | 27 | 2 |
18 | NYJ | 0.0 | QB42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ARI | 31.2 | QB1 | 23 | 18 | 232 | 2 | — | 39 | 2 |
2 | MIA | 9.8 | QB28 | 19 | 13 | 139 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
3 | JAX | 30.9 | QB1 | 30 | 23 | 263 | 4 | — | 44 | — |
4 | BAL | 7.3 | QB28 | 29 | 16 | 180 | — | — | 21 | — |
5 | HOU | 14.6 | QB19 | 30 | 9 | 131 | 1 | — | 54 | — |
6 | NYJ | 24.4 | QB5 | 25 | 19 | 215 | 2 | — | 18 | 1 |
7 | TEN | 21.0 | QB6 | 33 | 21 | 323 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
8 | SEA | 20.8 | QB14 | 34 | 24 | 283 | 2 | 1 | 25 | — |
9 | MIA | 23.1 | QB7 | 39 | 25 | 235 | 3 | 1 | 7 | — |
10 | IND | 20.2 | QB7 | 37 | 22 | 280 | — | 2 | 50 | 1 |
11 | KC | 25.0 | QB7 | 40 | 27 | 262 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SF | 28.4 | QB3 | 17 | 13 | 148 | 2 | — | 18 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 51.9 | QB1 | 37 | 22 | 342 | 3 | — | 82 | 3 |
15 | DET | 41.3 | QB1 | 34 | 23 | 362 | 2 | — | 68 | 2 |
16 | NE | 12.2 | QB24 | 29 | 16 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 30 | — |
17 | NYJ | 23.0 | QB12 | 27 | 16 | 182 | 2 | — | 17 | 1 |
18 | NE | 0.0 | QB45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | 15.8 | WR15 | 7 | 6 | 79 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
Expert takes
“Top CPT Plays Josh Allen $17,700 Allen leads our projection blend, and the tougher matchup does not make him a fade. I like a 4-2 LAR build with Allen at CPT with a pass catcher. We are betting on Allen collecting much of BUF’s production while LAR spreads its points around, with a rushing TD giving him a way to separate from his pass catchers.”
Chris Cash· Oct 12, 2026“Since 2020 (his breakout), Allen averages 22.7 fantasy points per game when his defense allows 24 or more points. The Raiders have allowed 10 passing touchdowns in the past three games and are coming off allowing a QB1 overall week to Drake Maye (39.5 points). The Raiders have also allowed rushing production to Malik Willis (39 yards and a touchdown), Tyler Shough (36 yards), and Maye (25 yards and a score).”
Rich Hribar· Oct 14, 2026“Allen is on pace for 812 rushing yards and 27 rushing touchdowns. For context, LaDainian Tomlinson holds the single-season record with 28. LT was a running back; Allen plays quarterback.”
Jon Machado· Oct 14, 2026
See 10 more
“Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”
The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026“Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026“LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”
Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026“Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 24, 2026“Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026“Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026“Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”
Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026“Josh Allen led Buffalo to a 36-31 victory on the road against Houston, finally able to shake the monkey from his back at Reliant Stadium. A 34-yard touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining in the game proved to be the decisive score and the cherry on top of Allen’s four-touchdown masterpiece. Houston’s typically stingy defense surrendered 334 passing yards and was unable to contain Allen on the ground as a runner, allowing him to score two rushing touchdowns.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“BUF @ HOU (BUF-1.5, O/U 44.5) Josh Allen ranks as the Ballers consensus QB9 behind some names that may be on your waiver wire. However, the Ballers recommend starting Allen over names like Stafford and Goff, who rank above him this week. DJ Moore ranks as a potential FLEX play, but lower your expectations against Houston’s defense.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026
See 9 more
“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026
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