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Josh Allen vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 31, 2026

ADP 20.7
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 12.9
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
86.1% would rather draft Jefferson over Allen

All time: Allen 38.5%Jefferson 61.5%

13.9%Allen
86.1%Jefferson

Should you draft Josh Allen or Justin Jefferson?

Last season — 2025, per game

Allen17 games
2025
Jefferson17 games
22.0Fantasy pts9.4
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries0.1
34Rush yds0
5.2Yds/carry3.5
0.0Targets8.3
0.0Rec4.9
0Rec yds62
0.8TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Josh Allen
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
0
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
0
0
59
0
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
0
25
0
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
0
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
0
7
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
0
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
0
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
0
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
0
2
20
0
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
0
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
0
48
0
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
0
0
17
0
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
0
0
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
0
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
0
2
0
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
0
44
0
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
0
0
21
0
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
0
54
0
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
0
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
0
1
0
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
0
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
0
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
0
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
0
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
0
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
0
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
0
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
0
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0

Latest takes

Josh Allen
  • The quarterback who shares the same efficiency is none other than Josh Allen — the first quarterback being taken off the board in most leagues.

  • Josh Allen is terrific, but the QB position is deep. There are at least 14 quarterbacks I’d be willing to have as my starter in a 1QB league. I will not sacrifice an early-round pick for the luxury of rostering Allen when there’s such good quarterback value in the middle rounds.

  • Knowing when to start Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to maximize their potential fantasy production becomes a season-long planning exercise. Do you start Ja’Marr Chase against Miami in Week 5?

    Raju Byfield· Aug 25
See 12 more
  • DJ Moore (WR – BUF) | ADP: 53.2 ( WR 23) After years of dealing with subpar quarterbacks, DJ Moore gets to play with Josh Allen in 2026. He has been productive, averaging 14+ PPR fantasy points per game in five out of seven seasons since his rookie campaign, despite never being an elite touchdown scorer.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 25
  • Ward’s rough rookie year came in a barren offense, and Tennessee overhauled it, adding Carnell Tate and Wan’Dale Robinson and, crucially, quarterback whisperer Brian Daboll, whose track record with Josh Allen , Daniel Jones , and Jaxson Dart is exactly the profile you want betting on a second-year leap. Cheap, and trending up.

  • With Josh Allen carrying the way as my QB1, Shough will be a nice Superflex option.

  • 1 spot in a Superflex draft, I couldn’t pass up Josh Allen.

  • The talent pool is so deep that it’s not worth sacrificing the chance to draft a top-20 running back or receiver for the chance to take Josh Allen , the consensus QB1.

  • Leaving a crowded receiver room in Chicago for Buffalo in the offseason, Moore becomes the de facto first read for Josh Allen on all passing plays.

  • In fact, he and Josh Allen are the only two QBs to have 300 fantasy points in each of the last two seasons.

    Ellis Johnson· Aug 19
  • Josh Allen should be the undisputed QB1, but the weekly scoring gap at the position is very narrow. Last season, the difference between Allen, the QB1, and Daniel Jones , the QB18, was only four fantasy points per game. With the position so deep, this further strengthens the case for a late-round quarterback strategy in 2026.

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 18
  • While there are five quarterbacks in this tier, Allen stands clearly ahead of the rest. The superstar has finished as a top-five quarterback in six consecutive seasons despite not having a go-to No. 1 wide receiver since the Bills traded away Stefon Diggs.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 16
  • Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset.

  • Josh Allen is microwave popcorn because when he gets hot, he absolutely pops off. One explosive play turns into another, the TDs start piling up, and suddenly you are staring at a fantasy score that felt impossible just a few quarters ago.

    Brooke Morgan· Aug 12
  • There’s no doubt that quarterbacks like Allen, Jackson, Drake Maye, and more should score more, but drafting any in the first few rounds is a bad idea.

Justin Jefferson
  • Bad quarterback play can sink even a talented wide receiver, as Justin Jefferson illustrated last year.

  • Fantasy Football Research & Advice Fantasy Football Expert Rankings 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Pick 1.12 Players to Consider at 1.12 Fantasy Football Draft Pick Here are players that are at the top of ADP when you make your selection: CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL) Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI) Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV) Players to Target at 1.12 Fantasy Football Draft Pick CeeDee Lamb (WR – DAL) 2025 was a really disappointing year for CeeDee Lamb , posting his second lowest numbers of his career in targets, receptions, and yards, with only his rookie season in 2020 worse.

    Tom Strachan· Aug 31
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 29
See 12 more
  • Doubling up on wide receivers lets you come away with some combo of Justin Jefferson , Drake London and A.J.

    Tom Strachan· Aug 29
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.

  • Justin Jefferson failed to live up to his ADP, while Jordan Addison couldn’t be trusted with anyone but Wentz starting. The veteran averaged 7.5 targets and 16 PPR fantasy points per game during the four contests he played with Wentz, totaling 15.1+ points in all but one outing.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 25
  • Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | Under 1,376 Receiving Yards & 293.71 Fantasy Points As is the case with Drake London, Justin Jefferson finds himself in a quarterback situation where neither candidate is particularly promising. Kyler Murray is by far the more reliable option over J.J.

    Steve Krebs· Aug 25
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (QB – MIN) I feel great about Justin Jefferson this season with Kyler Murray as his quarterback.

  • Round 12: Jauan Jennings (WR – MIN) Jauan Jennings enters a crowded offense with Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison and T.

  • Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.

  • Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15
  • With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
  • Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.

  • Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently