Jonathan Taylor
vs Justin Jefferson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Taylor
at PIT
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Jefferson
at NO
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
16.1
Projected
13.4
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 23.6 | RB8 | 19 | 98 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | — |
2 | — | 27.2 | RB1 | 24 | 92 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 40 | — |
3 | — | 8.2 | RB28 | 23 | 68 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | — |
4 | — | 22.2 | RB9 | 20 | 95 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIA | 11.3 | RB22 | 18 | 71 | — | 3 | 3 | 27 | — |
2 | DEN | 28.5 | RB1 | 25 | 165 | — | 2 | 2 | 50 | 1 |
3 | TEN | 31.3 | RB1 | 17 | 102 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | — |
4 | LAR | 12.1 | RB22 | 17 | 76 | — | 5 | 5 | 20 | — |
5 | LV | 30.1 | RB2 | 17 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | — |
6 | ARI | 21.7 | RB7 | 21 | 123 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | — |
7 | LAC | 32.7 | RB3 | 16 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 38 | — |
8 | TEN | 36.4 | RB1 | 12 | 153 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
9 | PIT | 6.7 | RB30 | 14 | 45 | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | — |
10 | ATL | 48.1 | RB1 | 32 | 244 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 42 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | KC | 7.6 | RB26 | 16 | 58 | — | 3 | 2 | 8 | — |
13 | HOU | 13.6 | RB19 | 21 | 85 | — | 5 | 3 | 36 | — |
14 | JAX | 11.4 | RB20 | 21 | 74 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
15 | SEA | 11.6 | RB21 | 25 | 87 | — | 4 | 3 | 14 | — |
16 | SF | 15.4 | RB18 | 16 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 | — |
17 | JAX | 15.9 | RB13 | 21 | 70 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | — |
18 | HOU | 4.9 | RB48 | 14 | 26 | — | 2 | 2 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | HOU | 10.8 | RB29 | 16 | 48 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
2 | GB | 14.5 | RB14 | 12 | 103 | — | 4 | 2 | 32 | — |
3 | CHI | 26.0 | RB4 | 23 | 110 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | — |
4 | PIT | 18.3 | RB13 | 21 | 88 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | HOU | 18.2 | RB11 | 20 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — |
9 | MIN | 7.4 | RB35 | 13 | 48 | — | 5 | 3 | 11 | — |
10 | BUF | 13.2 | RB15 | 21 | 114 | — | 4 | 2 | 8 | — |
11 | NYJ | 6.5 | RB28 | 24 | 57 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
12 | DET | 3.5 | RB35 | 11 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | NE | 16.8 | RB13 | 25 | 96 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | DEN | 9.6 | RB25 | 22 | 107 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
16 | TEN | 39.8 | RB1 | 29 | 218 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
17 | NYG | 26.6 | RB1 | 32 | 125 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
18 | JAX | 24.5 | RB5 | 34 | 177 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
Expert takes
“In 17 games with Pierce since 2025, Taylor has recorded 96.1 rushing yards per game, 4.9 yards per carry and 20.58 half-PPR points per game. In four games without him, Taylor has averaged 76.3 rushing yards per game, 4.0 yards per carry and 18.15 half-PPR points per game. Taylor is also game-script sensitive, making Jones’ lousy play alarming.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 10, 2026“Meanwhile, Taylor is an elite running back who will get you 20 PPR fantasy points most weeks, while Watson has quietly been one of the better wide receivers over the first month of the season.”
Mike Fanelli· Oct 6, 2026“Taylor has a league-high 91.5% of his backfield touches, accounting for 20-plus touches in every game. I also expect the Colts' passing game to be better here, opening things up and creating more scoring chances than last week. Washington RBs Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the backfield 58.5% of the snaps on Sunday, handling 20 touches for 43 yards. 19 of those touches were runs.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026
See 10 more
““ Jonathan Taylor ranks inside the top 40 of the FantasyPros half-PPR flex rankings but faces a difficult matchup against the Texans’ stout run defense. Houston has limited opposing backs effectively through two games, which could keep Taylor’s yardage and touchdown chances in check. Even with his usual workload, the low matchup rating suggests a higher risk of a muted outing than his ranking implies.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 24, 2026“Last season, Jonathan Taylor averaged 31.5 PPG in Colts wins and 12.4 PPG in Colts losses.”
Ryan Steinberg· Sep 7, 2026“Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND) With a caveat. Taylor was the RB4 overall, but his season was a tale of two halves.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 3, 2026“Jonathan Taylor (+600) is the current favorite to lead the league in rushing yards for the 2026 NFL Season.”
Curtis Hirsch· Sep 2, 2026“Jonathan Taylor was absolutely dominant for the first half of last season. Had Daniel Jones not gotten injured, Taylor most likely could have stayed effective throughout the whole season.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 23, 2026“Round 2: Jonathan Taylor (RB – IND) With Daniel Jones coming off a torn Achilles, it’s fair to assume Jonathan Taylor will continue to get a massive amount of work in the running game and as a pass-catcher.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22, 2026“Meanwhile, Jonathan Taylor is the focal point of the offense, totaling 323 rushing attempts and 55 targets last season, setting a career high in targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 12, 2026“$39M guaranteed The #Colts and star RB Jonathan Taylor have agreed to terms on a big-time 2-year, $44M extension, per me and @AdamSchefter”
FFToday· Aug 6, 2026“Taylor is heading into a contract year, likely his last massive one, after turning 27 this offseason. He’ll be motivated, have his quarterback returning, who might need to lean on the run game more, and once again has virtually no competition for touches. There’s a very real world where Taylor is a top-two back this season.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Yes, Jonathan Taylor is the bellcow for Indy, and I don’t see that changing, but the RB2 spot is up for grabs in Indy.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 22, 2026
“Jefferson missed the Vikings’ 15-10 win over the Dolphins last Sunday with a sprained ankle, and Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 10, 2026“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
See 11 more
“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19, 2026
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