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Brock Bowers vs Justin Jefferson

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 23, 2026

ADP 22.8
Brock Bowers
TE · LV · TE1
ADP 13.2
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
89.5% would rather draft Jefferson over Bowers

All time: Bowers 27.2%Jefferson 72.8%

10.5%Bowers
89.5%Jefferson

Should you draft Brock Bowers or Justin Jefferson?

Last season — 2025, per game

Bowers12 games
2025
Jefferson17 games
12.0Fantasy pts9.4
12Games17
7.2Targets8.3
5.3Rec4.9
57Rec yds62
0.6TD0.1
Full game log & past seasons
Brock Bowers
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NE
12.8
TE2
8
5
103
0
2
LAC
6.3
TE16
8
5
38
0
3
WAS
7.8
TE14
5
4
38
0
4
CHI
7.1
TE19
6
5
46
0
5
6
7
8
9
JAX
37.3
TE1
13
12
127
3
10
DEN
3.2
TE29
3
1
31
0
11
DAL
10.7
TE6
12
7
72
0
12
CLE
8.5
TE10
9
6
55
0
13
LAC
20.3
TE1
4
4
63
2
14
DEN
12.6
TE5
5
4
46
1
15
PHI
5.8
TE21
8
6
28
0
16
HOU
11.8
TE12
5
5
33
1
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
LAC
8.8
TE5
8
6
58
0
2
BAL
14.3
TE4
9
9
98
0
3
CAR
5.6
TE15
4
3
41
0
4
CLE
4.1
TE23
3
2
19
0
5
DEN
19.7
TE2
12
8
97
1
6
PIT
11.6
TE8
10
9
71
0
7
LAR
14.3
TE4
14
10
93
0
8
KC
8.3
TE18
5
5
58
0
9
CIN
13.0
TE6
8
5
45
1
10
11
MIA
24.8
TE3
16
13
126
1
12
DEN
5.8
TE19
10
4
38
0
13
KC
25.2
TE1
14
10
140
1
14
TB
6.7
TE16
5
3
49
0
15
ATL
5.0
TE22
6
3
35
0
16
JAX
15.4
TE1
13
11
99
0
17
NO
11.1
TE11
7
7
77
0
18
LAC
13.0
TE8
9
4
50
1
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0

Latest takes

Brock Bowers
  • There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers , Trey McBride , and Colston Loveland .

  • Brock Bowers (TE – LV) Going around the 21st overall pick, Bowers has real belief behind him as a potential consensus first-round pick a year from now.

  • A fully healthy Brock Bowers with improved quarterback play, an improved offensive line and really no new weapons to compete with means the possibility of a 30% target share.

See 12 more
  • They also have Brock Bowers fully healthy, which is a massive addition to the offense as a whole.

    Ellis Johnson· Aug 19
  • He’s the one player I wouldn’t want to miss out on, as he’ll likely be the TE1 this season if he can stay healthy. Bowers will be the No. 1 receiver for this Raiders offense led by Kirk Cousins and/or Fernando Mendoza .

  • With better health in 2026, he has a chance to match or exceed his rookie numbers. The Raiders are talent-starved at wide receiver, so Bowers is poised to be their alpha pass catcher.

  • Brock Bowers has been fantastic since he entered the NFL. He dealt with injuries last season, but was unstoppable when healthy.

  • Starting WR/WR with Drake London or Nico Collins in round two could let you lean into Zero RB with an elite tight end such as Brock Bowers or Trey McBride .

    Tom Strachan· Aug 11
  • If limited to the 10 final starts, which include two games against the Broncos and a game against the Seahawks, 230 yards per game given the limited receiving options outside of Brock Bowers is a lofty target.

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 10
  • Brock Bowers (TE – LV) is a long-shot dark horse for Offensive Player of the Year.

  • Despite playing on one leg for the entire season, Bowers still ranked 13th in yards per route run and first downs per route run last season (per Fantasy Points Data). To understand Bowers’ 2026 upside and talent, we need to rewind to 2024 when he was the TE3 in fantasy points per game. During that season, he was seventh in target per route run rate, sixth in yards per route run, third in receiving yards per game, second in first read share, and seventh in first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Well, here we are… Brock Bowers is hands down the fantasy TE1.

  • Brock Bowers (TE – LV) Brock Bowers was injured a lot last season, and the quarterback situation was poor

  • Round 4: Brock Bowers (TE – LV) Brock Bowers dealt with injuries last season, but assuming he stays healthy this season, he should be in for a TE1-caliber season.

  • I’m certainly willing to spend early-round draft capital on Brock Bowers , who’s capable of putting up the sort of numbers the elite wide receivers produce, or Colston Loveland , who turned into a monster late in his rookie season.

Justin Jefferson
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (QB – MIN) I feel great about Justin Jefferson this season with Kyler Murray as his quarterback.

  • Round 12: Jauan Jennings (WR – MIN) Jauan Jennings enters a crowded offense with Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison and T.

  • Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.

See 12 more
  • Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15
  • With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
  • Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.

  • Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently

  • Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?

  • This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 27
  • From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.

  • Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.

    Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23
  • Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.