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Josh Allen vs Tetairoa McMillan

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 10, 2026

ADP 24.2
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 37.2
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR · WR13
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
64.7% would rather draft McMillan over Allen

All time: Allen 63.6%McMillan 36.4%

35.3%Allen
64.7%McMillan

Should you draft Josh Allen or Tetairoa McMillan?

Last season — 2025, per game

AllenQB1 finish
2025
McMillanWR15 finish
22.0Fantasy pts10.4
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries0.0
34Rush yds0
5.2Yds/carry0.0
0.0Targets7.2
0.0Rec4.1
0Rec yds60
0.8TD0.4
Full game log & past seasons
Josh Allen
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
0
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
0
0
59
0
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
0
25
0
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
0
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
0
7
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
0
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
0
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
0
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
0
2
20
0
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
0
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
0
48
0
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
0
0
17
0
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
0
0
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
0
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
0
2
0
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
0
44
0
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
0
0
21
0
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
0
54
0
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
0
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
0
1
0
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
0
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
0
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
0
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
0
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
0
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
0
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
0
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
0
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
9.3
WR31
9
5
68
0
2
ARI
13.0
WR27
10
6
100
0
3
ATL
6.3
WR46
8
3
48
0
4
NE
8.2
WR36
8
4
62
0
5
MIA
10.3
WR28
8
6
73
0
6
DAL
16.4
WR12
5
3
29
2
7
NYJ
4.8
WR57
5
3
33
0
8
BUF
13.4
WR14
10
7
99
0
9
GB
6.6
WR49
6
4
46
0
10
NO
8.5
WR33
8
5
60
0
11
ATL
29.0
WR1
12
8
130
2
12
SF
10.5
WR27
7
2
35
1
13
LAR
10.8
WR23
2
1
43
1
14
15
NO
3.5
WR73
4
2
25
0
16
TB
16.3
WR13
10
6
73
1
17
SEA
1.0
WR109
4
1
5
0
18
TB
8.5
WR24
6
4
85
0

Latest takes

Josh Allen
  • Josh Allen , Patrick Mahomes , Brock Purdy , Dak Prescott , and Jared Goff were the only quarterbacks selected as top-12 players who were also top 12 in points per game.

    Rich Hribar· Aug 5
  • Josh Allen 2026 Over/Under Predictions The Buffalo offense played at the league's slowest pace and ran the ball at the second-highest rate last season, which seems very counterintuitive for a team with Josh Allen at quarterback.

  • Josh Allen is once again the consensus QB1 in fantasy. He finished QB1 in fantasy scoring last season for the fourth time in the last six years. After down years from Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts , the gap between Allen and other fantasy QBs seems to have widened.

See 12 more
  • There is hope that a healthy Kincaid can live up to the hype that he has carried since entering the league as a first-round pick in the NFL Draft and be an elite TE option in an offense with Josh Allen .

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
  • With the first pick in the draft, Mike takes what feels like an obvious choice of Josh Allen, who has finished as the QB1 overall in four of the last six seasons.

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
  • The most obvious thing to consider is your positional strengths and weaknesses — trading for Lamar Jackson when you already have Josh Allen probably isn’t a good idea.

    Ted Chmyz· Jul 26
  • The counter to this would be that Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage total since 2019 (3,668), and hasn’t thrown for more than 30 touchdowns in the last three seasons.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 25
  • Josh Allen’s 0.8 points per game above QB2 in 2025 was the lowest QB1 to QB2 gap since 2022, when QB1 and QB2 tied atop the ranks.

    Jeff Krisko· Jul 23
  • Skyler Bell is headed to Buffalo to catch passes from Josh Allen after being selected in the fourth round of the NFL Draft.

  • When I say avoid Josh Allen, this is purely a fade at his ADP. He’s definitely the best quarterback to have for fantasy, but his 33rd overall ADP leaves so much value on the board around that spot.

  • Ever since Diggs left, we have been chasing the upside of Josh Allen ‘s WR1.

    Matthew Betz· Jul 19
  • Allen rushed for 14 touchdowns, his third straight year with at least 12 rushing touchdowns. He was second in fantasy points scored inside the red zone in 2025 (148.7). Allen has ranked first or second among all position players in fantasy points inside the red zone for five consecutive seasons.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 9
  • No player has a track record of pushing the top of positional scoring more consistently than Allen. Since 2020, Allen has finished as the QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1, QB2, and QB1 in overall quarterback scoring.

    Rich Hribar· Jul 9
  • Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.

  • Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset. But drafting McBride in the second round and Allen is a recipe for disaster.

Tetairoa McMillan
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.

  • However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.

    Tony Martin· Jul 30
See 12 more
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.

  • 2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.

  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.

  • Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 17
  • Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.

  • McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.

  • McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.

    Mike Fanelli· Jun 22
  • Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.

    Evan Hoovler· Jun 19
  • Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.

  • Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.

  • Tetaiora McMillan generated significant intrigue because of the upside tied to his profile and potential long-term role. The discussion focused on the possibility that he develops into a true featured receiving option. There was acknowledgment that younger receivers often come with volatility, but the talent and opportunity combination clearly made McMillan one of the more exciting names in this tier.

  • Guys like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker are better served in the short and intermediate range.

    Jeff Krisko· May 20