Josh Allen
vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Allen
at LAR
Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET
McMillan
Bye week
22.5
Projected
—
Bye week
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 35.7 | QB2 | 29 | 20 | 334 | 2 | — | 23 | 2 |
2 | — | 40.8 | QB1 | 31 | 20 | 248 | 3 | — | 69 | 2 |
3 | — | 19.0 | QB18 | 26 | 16 | 204 | — | 2 | 22 | 2 |
4 | — | 19.5 | QB10 | 33 | 23 | 253 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 38.8 | QB1 | 46 | 33 | 394 | 2 | — | 30 | 2 |
2 | NYJ | 11.8 | QB25 | 25 | 14 | 148 | — | — | 59 | — |
3 | MIA | 23.0 | QB5 | 28 | 22 | 213 | 3 | — | 25 | — |
4 | NO | 25.9 | QB7 | 22 | 16 | 209 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
5 | NE | 20.4 | QB12 | 31 | 22 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 53 | — |
6 | ATL | 17.4 | QB17 | 26 | 15 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 42 | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CAR | 23.2 | QB9 | 19 | 12 | 163 | 1 | — | 7 | 2 |
9 | KC | 28.8 | QB3 | 26 | 23 | 273 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 |
10 | MIA | 20.3 | QB8 | 40 | 28 | 306 | 2 | 1 | 31 | — |
11 | TB | 44.7 | QB1 | 30 | 19 | 317 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
12 | HOU | 10.1 | QB22 | 34 | 24 | 253 | — | 2 | 20 | — |
13 | PIT | 17.7 | QB13 | 23 | 15 | 123 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
14 | CIN | 37.8 | QB1 | 28 | 22 | 251 | 3 | — | 78 | 1 |
15 | NE | 24.5 | QB6 | 28 | 19 | 193 | 3 | — | 48 | — |
16 | CLE | 6.9 | QB27 | 19 | 12 | 130 | — | — | 17 | — |
17 | PHI | 23.2 | QB6 | 35 | 23 | 262 | — | — | 27 | 2 |
18 | NYJ | 0.0 | QB42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ARI | 31.2 | QB1 | 23 | 18 | 232 | 2 | — | 39 | 2 |
2 | MIA | 9.8 | QB28 | 19 | 13 | 139 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
3 | JAX | 30.9 | QB1 | 30 | 23 | 263 | 4 | — | 44 | — |
4 | BAL | 7.3 | QB28 | 29 | 16 | 180 | — | — | 21 | — |
5 | HOU | 14.6 | QB19 | 30 | 9 | 131 | 1 | — | 54 | — |
6 | NYJ | 24.4 | QB5 | 25 | 19 | 215 | 2 | — | 18 | 1 |
7 | TEN | 21.0 | QB6 | 33 | 21 | 323 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
8 | SEA | 20.8 | QB14 | 34 | 24 | 283 | 2 | 1 | 25 | — |
9 | MIA | 23.1 | QB7 | 39 | 25 | 235 | 3 | 1 | 7 | — |
10 | IND | 20.2 | QB7 | 37 | 22 | 280 | — | 2 | 50 | 1 |
11 | KC | 25.0 | QB7 | 40 | 27 | 262 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SF | 28.4 | QB3 | 17 | 13 | 148 | 2 | — | 18 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 51.9 | QB1 | 37 | 22 | 342 | 3 | — | 82 | 3 |
15 | DET | 41.3 | QB1 | 34 | 23 | 362 | 2 | — | 68 | 2 |
16 | NE | 12.2 | QB24 | 29 | 16 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 30 | — |
17 | NYJ | 23.0 | QB12 | 27 | 16 | 182 | 2 | — | 17 | 1 |
18 | NE | 0.0 | QB45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
Expert takes
“Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”
The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026“Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026“LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”
Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026
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“Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 24, 2026“Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026“Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026“Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”
Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026“Josh Allen led Buffalo to a 36-31 victory on the road against Houston, finally able to shake the monkey from his back at Reliant Stadium. A 34-yard touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining in the game proved to be the decisive score and the cherry on top of Allen’s four-touchdown masterpiece. Houston’s typically stingy defense surrendered 334 passing yards and was unable to contain Allen on the ground as a runner, allowing him to score two rushing touchdowns.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“BUF @ HOU (BUF-1.5, O/U 44.5) Josh Allen ranks as the Ballers consensus QB9 behind some names that may be on your waiver wire. However, the Ballers recommend starting Allen over names like Stafford and Goff, who rank above him this week. DJ Moore ranks as a potential FLEX play, but lower your expectations against Houston’s defense.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026“1 — Josh Allen , Buffalo Bills Allen is a model of consistency. In two of the last three years, his adjusted completion rate was above 76 percent. His big-time throw rate went from 6.1 percent in 2023 to 7.0 percent in 2024 to 5.1 percent in 2025, all while keeping his turnover-worthy play rate below three percent.”
Ethan Woodie· Sep 11, 2026“Josh Allen is always startable, but temper expectations slightly. The Rams play the 49ers in East Melbourne on Thursday night (Netflix), a marquee international matchup between two top-10 offenses. Both SF (+0.09) and LA (+0.14) have the firepower to put up big numbers – your Rams and 49ers skill players are strong plays.”
Samuel DiSorbo· Sep 10, 2026“Patrick Mahomes has led the league in passing yards once, and Josh Allen has yet to do it at all.”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 31, 2026
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
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“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
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