Josh Allen vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 10, 2026
All time: Allen 63.6%McMillan 36.4%
Should you draft Josh Allen or Tetairoa McMillan?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 38.8 | QB1 | 46 | 33 | 394 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 2 |
2 | NYJ | 11.8 | QB25 | 25 | 14 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
3 | MIA | 23.0 | QB5 | 28 | 22 | 213 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
4 | NO | 25.9 | QB7 | 22 | 16 | 209 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 1 |
5 | NE | 20.4 | QB12 | 31 | 22 | 253 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 0 |
6 | ATL | 17.4 | QB17 | 26 | 15 | 180 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CAR | 23.2 | QB9 | 19 | 12 | 163 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
9 | KC | 28.8 | QB3 | 26 | 23 | 273 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 |
10 | MIA | 20.3 | QB8 | 40 | 28 | 306 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 |
11 | TB | 44.7 | QB1 | 30 | 19 | 317 | 3 | 2 | 40 | 3 |
12 | HOU | 10.1 | QB22 | 34 | 24 | 253 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
13 | PIT | 17.7 | QB13 | 23 | 15 | 123 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
14 | CIN | 37.8 | QB1 | 28 | 22 | 251 | 3 | 0 | 78 | 1 |
15 | NE | 24.5 | QB6 | 28 | 19 | 193 | 3 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
16 | CLE | 6.9 | QB27 | 19 | 12 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
17 | PHI | 23.2 | QB6 | 35 | 23 | 262 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 |
18 | NYJ | 0.0 | QB42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ARI | 31.2 | QB1 | 23 | 18 | 232 | 2 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
2 | MIA | 9.8 | QB28 | 19 | 13 | 139 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
3 | JAX | 30.9 | QB1 | 30 | 23 | 263 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 0 |
4 | BAL | 7.3 | QB28 | 29 | 16 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
5 | HOU | 14.6 | QB19 | 30 | 9 | 131 | 1 | 0 | 54 | 0 |
6 | NYJ | 24.4 | QB5 | 25 | 19 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
7 | TEN | 21.0 | QB6 | 33 | 21 | 323 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
8 | SEA | 20.8 | QB14 | 34 | 24 | 283 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 0 |
9 | MIA | 23.1 | QB7 | 39 | 25 | 235 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
10 | IND | 20.2 | QB7 | 37 | 22 | 280 | 0 | 2 | 50 | 1 |
11 | KC | 25.0 | QB7 | 40 | 27 | 262 | 1 | 1 | 55 | 1 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SF | 28.4 | QB3 | 17 | 13 | 148 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 51.9 | QB1 | 37 | 22 | 342 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 3 |
15 | DET | 41.3 | QB1 | 34 | 23 | 362 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 2 |
16 | NE | 12.2 | QB24 | 29 | 16 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
17 | NYJ | 23.0 | QB12 | 27 | 16 | 182 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
18 | NE | 0.0 | QB45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Josh Allen , Patrick Mahomes , Brock Purdy , Dak Prescott , and Jared Goff were the only quarterbacks selected as top-12 players who were also top 12 in points per game.”
Rich Hribar· Aug 5“Josh Allen 2026 Over/Under Predictions The Buffalo offense played at the league's slowest pace and ran the ball at the second-highest rate last season, which seems very counterintuitive for a team with Josh Allen at quarterback.”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 5“Josh Allen is once again the consensus QB1 in fantasy. He finished QB1 in fantasy scoring last season for the fourth time in the last six years. After down years from Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts , the gap between Allen and other fantasy QBs seems to have widened.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 4
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“There is hope that a healthy Kincaid can live up to the hype that he has carried since entering the league as a first-round pick in the NFL Draft and be an elite TE option in an offense with Josh Allen .”
Kurt Mullen· Jul 29“With the first pick in the draft, Mike takes what feels like an obvious choice of Josh Allen, who has finished as the QB1 overall in four of the last six seasons.”
Kurt Mullen· Jul 29“The most obvious thing to consider is your positional strengths and weaknesses — trading for Lamar Jackson when you already have Josh Allen probably isn’t a good idea.”
Ted Chmyz· Jul 26“The counter to this would be that Josh Allen is coming off his lowest passing yardage total since 2019 (3,668), and hasn’t thrown for more than 30 touchdowns in the last three seasons.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 25“Josh Allen’s 0.8 points per game above QB2 in 2025 was the lowest QB1 to QB2 gap since 2022, when QB1 and QB2 tied atop the ranks.”
Jeff Krisko· Jul 23“Skyler Bell is headed to Buffalo to catch passes from Josh Allen after being selected in the fourth round of the NFL Draft.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 22“When I say avoid Josh Allen, this is purely a fade at his ADP. He’s definitely the best quarterback to have for fantasy, but his 33rd overall ADP leaves so much value on the board around that spot.”
Richard Janvrin· Jul 20“Ever since Diggs left, we have been chasing the upside of Josh Allen ‘s WR1.”
Matthew Betz· Jul 19“Allen rushed for 14 touchdowns, his third straight year with at least 12 rushing touchdowns. He was second in fantasy points scored inside the red zone in 2025 (148.7). Allen has ranked first or second among all position players in fantasy points inside the red zone for five consecutive seasons.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 9“No player has a track record of pushing the top of positional scoring more consistently than Allen. Since 2020, Allen has finished as the QB1, QB1, QB2, QB1, QB2, and QB1 in overall quarterback scoring.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 9“Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 8“Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset. But drafting McBride in the second round and Allen is a recipe for disaster.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 3
“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.”
Tony Martin· Jul 30
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“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25“2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.”
Peter Kettering· Jul 24“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 24“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 17“Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 6“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22“Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.”
Evan Hoovler· Jun 19“Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.”
Richard Janvrin· Jun 19“Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.”
Aidin Ebrahimi· Jun 3“Tetaiora McMillan generated significant intrigue because of the upside tied to his profile and potential long-term role. The discussion focused on the possibility that he develops into a true featured receiving option. There was acknowledgment that younger receivers often come with volatility, but the talent and opportunity combination clearly made McMillan one of the more exciting names in this tier.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23“Guys like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker are better served in the short and intermediate range.”
Jeff Krisko· May 20