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Josh Allen
vs Tetairoa McMillan

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Josh Allen
QB · BUF
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Allen

at LAR

Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET

McMillan

Bye week

22.5

Projected

—

Bye week

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

AllenMcMillan
28.7Fantasy pts15.4
4Games4
260Pass yds—
—Pass TD—
—INT—
8.3Carries—
30Rush yds—
3.6Yds/carry—
—Targets9.8
—Receptions6.5
—Receiving yds96
—Touchdowns—
AllenMcMillan
22.0Fantasy pts10.4
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries0.0
34Rush yds0
5.2Yds/carry—
0.0Targets7.2
0.0Receptions4.1
0Receiving yds60
0.8Touchdowns0.4
Full game log & past seasons +
Josh Allen
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
—
35.7
QB2
29
20
334
2
—
23
2
2
—
40.8
QB1
31
20
248
3
—
69
2
3
—
19.0
QB18
26
16
204
—
2
22
2
4
—
19.5
QB10
33
23
253
1
1
4
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
—
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
—
—
59
—
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
—
25
—
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
—
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
—
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
—
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
—
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
—
2
20
—
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
—
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
—
48
—
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
—
—
17
—
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
—
—
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
—
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
—
2
—
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
—
44
—
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
—
—
21
—
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
—
54
—
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
—
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
—
1
—
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
—
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
—
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
—
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
—
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
—
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
—
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
—
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
—
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Tetairoa McMillan
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
8.0
WR36
8
5
75
—
2
—
12.6
WR17
10
5
101
—
3
—
2.7
WR88
5
2
17
—
4
—
38.2
WR1
16
14
192
2
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
9.3
WR31
9
5
68
—
2
ARI
13.0
WR27
10
6
100
—
3
ATL
6.3
WR46
8
3
48
—
4
NE
8.2
WR36
8
4
62
—
5
MIA
10.3
WR28
8
6
73
—
6
DAL
16.4
WR12
5
3
29
2
7
NYJ
4.8
WR57
5
3
33
—
8
BUF
13.4
WR14
10
7
99
—
9
GB
6.6
WR49
6
4
46
—
10
NO
8.5
WR33
8
5
60
—
11
ATL
29.0
WR1
12
8
130
2
12
SF
10.5
WR27
7
2
35
1
13
LAR
10.8
WR23
2
1
43
1
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NO
3.5
WR73
4
2
25
—
16
TB
16.3
WR13
10
6
73
1
17
SEA
1.0
WR109
4
1
5
—
18
TB
8.5
WR24
6
4
85
—

Expert takes

Josh Allen
  • “Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”

    The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026
  • “Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026
  • “LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”

    Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026
See 10 more
  • “Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026
  • “Josh Allen led Buffalo to a 36-31 victory on the road against Houston, finally able to shake the monkey from his back at Reliant Stadium. A 34-yard touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining in the game proved to be the decisive score and the cherry on top of Allen’s four-touchdown masterpiece. Houston’s typically stingy defense surrendered 334 passing yards and was unable to contain Allen on the ground as a runner, allowing him to score two rushing touchdowns.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “BUF @ HOU (BUF-1.5, O/U 44.5) Josh Allen ranks as the Ballers consensus QB9 behind some names that may be on your waiver wire. However, the Ballers recommend starting Allen over names like Stafford and Goff, who rank above him this week. DJ Moore ranks as a potential FLEX play, but lower your expectations against Houston’s defense.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
  • “1 — Josh Allen , Buffalo Bills Allen is a model of consistency. In two of the last three years, his adjusted completion rate was above 76 percent. His big-time throw rate went from 6.1 percent in 2023 to 7.0 percent in 2024 to 5.1 percent in 2025, all while keeping his turnover-worthy play rate below three percent.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Josh Allen is always startable, but temper expectations slightly. The Rams play the 49ers in East Melbourne on Thursday night (Netflix), a marquee international matchup between two top-10 offenses. Both SF (+0.09) and LA (+0.14) have the firepower to put up big numbers – your Rams and 49ers skill players are strong plays.”

    Samuel DiSorbo· Sep 10, 2026
  • “Patrick Mahomes has led the league in passing yards once, and Josh Allen has yet to do it at all.”

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 31, 2026
Tetairoa McMillan
  • “Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”

    Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”

    Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
See 8 more
  • “Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”

    Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026
  • “As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”

    Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
  • “McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026
  • “Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026
  • “Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”

    Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026
  • “McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026
  • “Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 20.5
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 37.4
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR · WR16
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
61.7% would rather draft Allen over McMillan
61.7%Allen
38.3%McMillan
Based on 81 comparison results