Tetairoa McMillan
vs Malik Nabers
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McMillan
Bye week
Nabers
at WAS
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
—
Bye week
11.7
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 9.9 | WR28 | 9 | 6 | 69 | — |
2 | — | 0.6 | WR116 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
3 | — | 5.1 | WR66 | 6 | 5 | 26 | — |
4 | — | 20.2 | WR10 | 7 | 6 | 112 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | WAS | 9.6 | WR28 | 12 | 5 | 71 | — |
2 | DAL | 33.2 | WR2 | 13 | 9 | 167 | 2 |
3 | KC | 2.3 | WR88 | 7 | 2 | 13 | — |
4 | LAC | 3.0 | WR77 | 3 | 2 | 20 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 9.1 | WR32 | 7 | 5 | 66 | — |
2 | WAS | 23.7 | WR3 | 18 | 10 | 127 | 1 |
3 | CLE | 24.2 | WR3 | 12 | 8 | 78 | 2 |
4 | DAL | 17.1 | WR12 | 15 | 12 | 115 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 6.1 | WR43 | 8 | 4 | 41 | — |
8 | PIT | 10.6 | WR38 | 13 | 7 | 71 | — |
9 | WAS | 10.4 | WR29 | 11 | 9 | 59 | — |
10 | CAR | 7.8 | WR30 | 10 | 6 | 50 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | TB | 9.4 | WR26 | 9 | 6 | 64 | — |
13 | DAL | 11.3 | WR28 | 13 | 8 | 69 | — |
14 | NO | 12.4 | WR25 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
15 | BAL | 19.2 | WR10 | 14 | 10 | 82 | 1 |
16 | ATL | 10.3 | WR32 | 14 | 7 | 68 | — |
17 | IND | 32.6 | WR2 | 8 | 7 | 171 | 2 |
18 | PHI | 14.9 | WR15 | 8 | 5 | 64 | 1 |
Expert takes
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
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“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
“So far this season, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Nabers has a 25.6% target share on all routes run and averages 0.45 fantasy points per route. This week he is up against Amik Robertson . I do feel bad for name-checking Robertson every week in this column .”
Adam Murfet· Oct 8, 2026“Nabers is coming off a good game, opening the door to selling him high. Daniel Jones has played poorly this year, and Alec Pierce ‘s absence is concerning for Jonathan Taylor ‘s outlook. In 17 games with Pierce since 2025, Taylor has recorded 96.1 rushing yards per game, 4.9 yards per carry and 20.58 half-PPR points per game.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 10, 2026“He is coming off his best game of the season, but let’s be honest with ourselves here: going into the week, you would have loved to be fielding offers for Nabers with the situation the Giants’ offense was facing and the different injuries Nabers was dealing with as well. Now he has his big game, and lets not revert back to holding again, lets take our blessing and sell, sell, sell. I would look to grab someone like a Tetairoa McMillan who just had a monster game, but could easily fool owners into a sell-high situation himself.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
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“Here’s the thing: Malik Nabers is not back to full health yet. He’s near the bottom of the league in separation score this season and is sitting behind Isaiah Likely in target share. With every passing week, Nabers should be inching closer to his old self.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“As a result of Winston getting back to slinging it, Malik Nabers had six receptions for 112 yards and a touchdown on seven targets, and Isaiah Likely had seven receptions for 66 scoreless yards on 12 targets. Winston’s showing provides gamers with hope for Nabers and Likely. That said, it may be best to use this as a selling window for Nabers.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 5, 2026“Winston was trying to keep it simple by going to his first read at the seventh-highest rate, and even though Malik Nabers was the first read on 37% of plays, it counted for nothing because of the poor weather and the crowded area the ball was thrown into. We have to face the fact that this could be another lost season for Nabers, who hasn’t yet reached 10 half-PPR points in any game. The Cardinals’ pass defense ranks 30th in EPA allowed and has given up the 12th-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to wide receivers.”
Tom Strachan· Sep 30, 2026“If you drafted Nabers expecting a weekly WR1, there is plenty of reason to panic. I’m not selling him for scraps, and I’m not outright dropping him, but he’s fallen into risky FLEX territory. On the plus side, the Giants have three favorable matchups coming up.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 29, 2026“Nabers was targeted on four occasions in the loss , missing a handful of snaps due to – what later turned out to be – a dislocated shoulder…and this is what concerns me way more than who happens to be throwing the former first-round pick the ball for the rest of the year. With Dart out, you could be forgiven for proclaiming this an already lost season for John Harbaugh’s men – so would it be crazy to suggest they may just shut down their star WR to save any more damage being done for little to no gain?”
PaulMarnie· Sep 26, 2026“Stack Idea: Dart + Nabers + Kyren + Mevis Malik Nabers $13,500 Nabers is my lower-owned CPT alternative, as I currently have him at just under 10%. He caught six passes for 69 yards in his return last week, and his projected CPT ownership is less than half Dart’s. I want some lineups where the Giants’ biggest receiving performance belongs to Nabers, with Dart collecting the passing points in FLEX.”
Chris Cash· Sep 21, 2026“Nabers ran a route on 24 of those 36 snaps and quickly commanded nine targets.”
Nate Henry· Sep 15, 2026“Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) Going as the WR11, around the 27th overall pick, Nabers has shown real positive injury progression, moving out of the no-contact jersey and into full team drills.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Malik Nabers completely avoided the PUP list this offseason and has been trending towards starting the season as close to completely healthy as anyone could have hoped for. Nabers is still a potential value at his current ECR and ADP, as it was at this time just a year ago, when he was a popular first round draft target.”
Raju Byfield· Aug 23, 2026“At the start of the offseason, this was a no-brainer selection for “riskiest player to draft.” After all, Malik Nabers could barely hobble to first base in a friendly kickball game.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 21, 2026
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