Tetairoa McMillan vs Rashee Rice

“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”

“2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.”

“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”

“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”

“Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.”

“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”

“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”

“Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.”

“Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.”

“Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.”

“Tetaiora McMillan generated significant intrigue because of the upside tied to his profile and potential long-term role. The discussion focused on the possibility that he develops into a true featured receiving option. There was acknowledgment that younger receivers often come with volatility, but the talent and opportunity combination clearly made McMillan one of the more exciting names in this tier.”

“Guys like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker are better served in the short and intermediate range.”

“Rashee Rice faces a potential suspension, Cyrus Allen is dealing with a shin injury, and Xavier Worthy hurt his shoulder.”

“I had my eye on Bowers, but this felt like a spot to roll the dice on Rashee Rice. I know he’s had a plethora of off-field issues, but when he’s on the field, he’s constantly targeted. Last season, in limited time, Rice had a target share of about 30% while on the field.”

“20 come from two buckets: Hyper-specified role players (Stefon Diggs, Rashee Rice) Guys with other top 24 or strong ancillary target competition (Both Rams WRs, Jameson Williams, CeeDee Lamb, Tee Higgins, Quentin Johnston with Ladd McConkey/Keenan Allen) You may notice there’s one guy on this list who fits in neither, and it’s Thundering Herd legend Christian Watson (shout out to NDSU).”

“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Rice is going 25th overall as the WR11, a price that reflects real excitement about his upside. His track record supports some of that: he ranked 11th in target share among receivers last year, fourth in targets per route run, and 10th in receiving yards per game, all despite playing only eight games.”

“Rice is a tricky player to grade. He's one of the league's most dynamic receivers, but off-field issues and repeated legal troubles have put his career in jeopardy.”

“Rice has been one of the best receivers in the league in terms of counting production when he has been available. From Week 7 to Week 15 last year, Rice averaged 6.6 receptions for 71.4 yards per game. Rice has been targeted on 30.4% of his routes over the past two seasons.”

“Rashee Rice is a bit of a gimmick wide receiver dependent on being force-fed low aDOT targets, with a 4.9-yard average depth of target that ranked 106th among 109 wideouts with at least 200 routes run in 2025. Beyond Rice's fantasy value being tied to low aDOT targets, he also has durability concerns after playing only eight games in 2025 and four in 2024, plus he earned his lowest PFF receiving grade in 2025 with the lowest yards per target (7.3) of his career.”

“When Rice was on the field, he had a target share of 37.9%. I believe Rice is a top-12 wide receiver in PPR formats.”

“When he's on the field, though, Rice smashes for fantasy managers. He's talented, but no one is going to mistake him for being a nuanced route-runner. Where he wins is underneath on manufactured touches.”

“Rice recently served a 30-day sentence for violating his probation and is rehabbing following a clean-up procedure on his knee. He was outstanding when on the field last year, averaging 18.8 PPR fantasy points per game, scoring over 23.1 in half the contests.”

“Based on what information is available to us in mid-June, there is just too much risk here to make Rashee Rice a top-10 wide receiver in redraft leagues, and for him to return value as the WR8 is asking a lot. Rice's legal troubles continue to linger after he broke parole, and a recent knee procedure forced him to miss organized team activities (OTAs), in addition to the jail time.”

“This format elevates Rashee Rice into the elite wideout conversation — for fantasy purposes, not skill. Last season, Rice played only eight games, but he was pacing for 113 catches, 1,213 yards and 11 touchdowns over a full season. If Rice can lock in and stay healthy for a full season, top-five output is in play.”