Tetairoa McMillan
vs Rashee Rice
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McMillan
Bye week
Rice
Bye week
Questionable
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Bye week
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Bye week
Half-PPR
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2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.9 | WR32 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 10.3 | WR26 | 6 | 4 | 83 | — |
3 | — | 12.3 | WR25 | 9 | 7 | 88 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR236 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | LV | 19.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 2 |
8 | WAS | 21.0 | WR2 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 1 |
9 | BUF | 16.6 | WR10 | 7 | 4 | 80 | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DEN | 6.8 | WR38 | 9 | 6 | 38 | — |
12 | IND | 20.1 | WR8 | 12 | 8 | 141 | — |
13 | DAL | 25.4 | WR2 | 12 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
14 | HOU | 5.4 | WR46 | 8 | 4 | 34 | — |
15 | LAC | 8.6 | WR36 | 11 | 7 | 51 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 13.8 | WR16 | 9 | 7 | 103 | — |
2 | CIN | 16.0 | WR17 | 6 | 5 | 75 | 1 |
3 | ATL | 23.1 | WR5 | 14 | 12 | 110 | 1 |
4 | LAC | 1.0 | WR107 | — | — | — | — |
Expert takes
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
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“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
“Rice has clearly lost a step (or three) following a clean-up procedure on his right knee this offseason. The primary issue is that the Chiefs aren’t giving Rice as many manufactured looks around the line of scrimmage, preventing him from being the PPR scam he once was. With an ECR ranking of WR23, I’d frantically look to sell.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“Rice has a 21% target rate per route and 2.45 Y/RR on 58 routes against zone and a 21% target rate per route and 2.45 Y/RR on 42 routes against two-high coverage this season. Since 2024, he has had a 31% target rate per route and 3.26 Y/RR on 263 routes against zone, and a 30% target rate per route and 2.89 Y/RR on 187 routes against two-high coverage.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 2, 2026“The issue is the unknown nature of what Rice is outside of the Chiefs franchise. Plus, the addition of Kenneth Walker and the resurgence of Travis Kelce have impacted his overall offensive involvement. Rebuilders should look to trade him due to long-term contract ambiguity and off-field risk.”
Vernon Meighan· Sep 30, 2026
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“Watching him live, Rice looks slow and stiff as he gets through his routes. Rice grabbed seven of his nine targets, but he should’ve had the other two as well. One of them was a drop that turned into a Miami interception.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 30, 2026“Rashee Rice was never as talented as his fantasy production would indicate. He racked up points over the last few years thanks to the Chiefs’ half-functional offense. Now that Kansas City has a real running game, Rice’s PPR scam days seem over.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Rashee Rice ‘s expected fantasy points is a woeful 5.6 per game.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 21, 2026“Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy . Rice has since turned heads for the wrong reasons in training camp, looking slow. Meanwhile, Worthy sprained his shoulder in early August and returned to practice one week later .”
Josh Shepardson· Aug 28, 2026“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Unfortunately, Rice has been in the news for all the wrong reasons this offseason. He served a 30-day sentence for violating his probation.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 27, 2026“Second, he hasn’t been on the field enough over the last two seasons to justify his current average draft position (ADP), which hasn’t accounted for several factors. Currently ranked as the WR13 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), Rice is being treated as a low-end WR1.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 26, 2026“3.02: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Probably the most uncomfortable pick you can make this year is Rashee Rice because you have no idea what you are going to get with him. But Rice’s upside is through the roof.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Rice has commanded targets every time the Chiefs have given him a full-time role. Season Period Target Share 2023 Final 10 games with full-time snaps, including playoffs 24% 2024 Three complete games 31.5% 2025 Eight games 26.5%”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23, 2026“In eight games last season, Rice recorded: 78 targets 53 receptions 571 receiving yards Five receiving TDs 20 rushing yards One rushing TD That comes out to 9.8 targets and 15.5 half-PPR points per game.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23, 2026“Round 2: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Rashee Rice is certainly a bit risky with his off-field issues, including serving time in jail earlier this offseason, but when he was on the field last season, he had a staggering 37.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22, 2026
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