Garrett Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 19, 2026
Should you draft Garrett Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PIT | 19.0 | WR6 | 9 | 7 | 95 | 1 |
2 | BUF | 7.0 | WR61 | 8 | 4 | 50 | 0 |
3 | TB | 19.4 | WR4 | 13 | 10 | 84 | 1 |
4 | MIA | 17.2 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 82 | 1 |
5 | DAL | 16.1 | WR10 | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 |
6 | DEN | 2.8 | WR78 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | CLE | 0.0 | WR107 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SF | 9.0 | WR33 | 11 | 6 | 60 | 0 |
2 | TEN | 8.2 | WR32 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 0 |
3 | NE | 11.8 | WR26 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 1 |
4 | DEN | 4.6 | WR64 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
5 | MIN | 22.6 | WR6 | 23 | 13 | 101 | 1 |
6 | BUF | 20.7 | WR2 | 10 | 8 | 107 | 1 |
7 | PIT | 10.6 | WR20 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
8 | NE | 13.8 | WR23 | 8 | 5 | 113 | 0 |
9 | HOU | 25.5 | WR3 | 10 | 9 | 90 | 2 |
10 | ARI | 6.6 | WR42 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
11 | IND | 3.8 | WR67 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SEA | 6.6 | WR54 | 10 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
14 | MIA | 14.9 | WR17 | 10 | 7 | 114 | 0 |
15 | JAX | 13.1 | WR24 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 1 |
16 | LAR | 8.4 | WR46 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 0 |
17 | BUF | 14.1 | WR26 | 8 | 7 | 66 | 1 |
18 | MIA | 7.1 | WR50 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Jason started addressing his WR room with his third pick, taking Garrett Wilson. After taking a pair of RBs to start the draft, Jason debated between a few WRs here, but ultimately stuck with his rankings and went with Wilson over Tetairoa McMillan and Devonta Smith.”
Kurt Mullen· Aug 14“Garrett Wilson’s supporters will kindly point out that even in a horrible situation last season, he was able to produce at an incredibly high clip before eventually succumbing to a knee injury after Week 6. Fair point, but a deep dive into why he was producing is troubling.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14“Honorable mention: DeVonta Smith and Luther Burden .” – Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts ) Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) “ Garrett Wilson is an elite talent stuck on a team lacking elite quarterback play.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11
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“Garrett Wilson will easily lead the Jets in targets if he stays healthy.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 10“Add in the fact that Wilson has more competition than ever — first-round tight end Kenyon Saddiq, first-round receiver Omar Cooper Jr., and Adonai Mitchell, who the team acquired last year in the Sauce Gardner deal — and I’m just feeling faded by the Jets’ leading wideout.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 7“30 overall, giving him strong enough draft capital to matter, yet a crowded offense with Garrett Wilson, Kenyon Sadiq, and Breece Hall points more toward a complementary early role than instant target dominance.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 30“Meanwhile, Jason’s love for Geno Smith in New York could not be overcome, and got him to pick Garrett Wilson .”
Kurt Mullen· Jul 29“Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 23“Although the Jets’ offense is looking more crowded, it still has only one truly established NFL pass-catcher in Garrett Wilson .”
Ted Chmyz· Jul 22“On Garrett Wilson specifically, sentiment has shifted meaningfully. A year ago, ranking a rookie profile like Tate’s anywhere near Wilson would have been unthinkable. Now Wilson is entering the presumed prime of his career, turning 26 later this summer, and still hasn’t played with a clearly competent starting quarterback.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 18“Jason is really into Garrett Wilson, having him as his WR12 while his ADP has him at WR17!”
Colt Williams· Jul 13“Garrett Wilson's 395 receiving yards led the Jets despite playing only seven games. Better health from Wilson will give the team their top weapon in scoring territory.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 1“The biggest red flag of all is all the weapons around Wilson, which he'll be fighting for targets. The Jets added great pieces to the offense, which is good for the team but not for Wilson's fantasy prospects.”
Michael Moore· Jun 24“The knee is the first landmine, as it was significant enough last season that Wilson missed more than half the season. Wilson is practicing this offseason, but the sprain was the first significant injury of his career, and it remains to be seen how he'll bounce back.”
Michael Moore· Jun 24“Garrett Wilson finished the 2022 rookie class with 215.7 PPR points, one of the few rookies in recent years to surpass the 215-PPR-point threshold.”
Aidin Ebrahimi· Jun 8
“Last season as a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan recorded a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes on 122 targets for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns. He finished as the WR15 in PPR leagues. Now, he’s being drafted as the WR17.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14“While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR15 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14
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“If I missed on early wide receiver in favor of loading up at running back, I would be fine with Egbuka as my WR1 heading into the season.” – Aaron St Denis ( Fantasy Sports Advice Network ) Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) “Few receivers in the WR13-WR30 range offer the kind of ceiling Tetairoa McMillan brings to the table.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.”
Tony Martin· Jul 30“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 24“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 17“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22“Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.”
Evan Hoovler· Jun 19“Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.”
Richard Janvrin· Jun 19“Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.”
Aidin Ebrahimi· Jun 3