Breece Hall vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 10, 2026
Should you draft Breece Hall or Tetairoa McMillan?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | PIT | 15.5 | RB9 | 19 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
2 | BUF | 4.8 | RB43 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
3 | TB | 7.2 | RB32 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
4 | MIA | 13.6 | RB19 | 14 | 81 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
5 | DAL | 15.5 | RB13 | 14 | 113 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 0 |
6 | DEN | 5.9 | RB30 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | CAR | 6.2 | RB31 | 11 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
8 | CIN | 31.9 | RB3 | 18 | 133 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | CLE | 19.0 | RB6 | 21 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
11 | NE | 7.4 | RB33 | 14 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
12 | BAL | 11.9 | RB16 | 16 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 0 |
13 | ATL | 14.6 | RB16 | 19 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
14 | MIA | 4.3 | RB44 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | JAX | 4.7 | RB46 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
16 | NO | 7.3 | RB40 | 16 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
17 | NE | 19.9 | RB9 | 14 | 111 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SF | 15.8 | RB15 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
2 | TEN | 20.9 | RB4 | 14 | 62 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 1 |
3 | NE | 16.3 | RB12 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 0 |
4 | DEN | 2.8 | RB56 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
5 | MIN | 5.2 | RB40 | 9 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
6 | BUF | 19.4 | RB8 | 18 | 113 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
7 | PIT | 23.1 | RB8 | 12 | 38 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 103 | 0 |
8 | NE | 9.4 | RB31 | 16 | 80 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
9 | HOU | 9.5 | RB28 | 15 | 74 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
10 | ARI | 10.3 | RB20 | 10 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
11 | IND | 27.6 | RB3 | 16 | 78 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 1 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | SEA | 6.0 | RB43 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | JAX | 12.1 | RB19 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 |
16 | LAR | 11.5 | RB24 | 14 | 52 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 0 |
17 | BUF | 5.8 | RB33 | 10 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
18 | MIA | 16.7 | RB8 | 12 | 57 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
Latest takes
“De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“9 | Diff: +2 Breece Hall had a tough time last year despite finishing as the RB20 in fantasy points per game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“30 overall, giving him strong enough draft capital to matter, yet a crowded offense with Garrett Wilson, Kenyon Sadiq, and Breece Hall points more toward a complementary early role than instant target dominance.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 30
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“Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 23“Breece Hall (NYJ) — ECR: RB16 | Projection Rank: RB13 | Projected FPTS: 229.8 Breece Hall had a tough time last year despite finishing as the RB20 in fantasy points per game. New York’s quarterback play was dreadful, and the offense overall was a mess, which led to them ranking 29th in points per game and red zone scoring opportunities per game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 22“Hall should see an increase in targets, especially considering Ashton Jeanty saw 69 targets with Smith under center for the Raiders last season. If Hall sees more opportunities in the passing game, his receiving role alone justifies taking him in the dead zone.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 20“Specific round targets mentioned include Breece Hall and Javonte Williams in round three, and Cam Akers and David Montgomery in round four, with DeAndre Swift as a round five option.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 18“With Geno Smith commanding the offense, this may be the most stable quarterback Hall has played with in his young career. That said, we are also coming off a horrific season for Smith with the Raiders in 2026.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 17“Do keep that in mind when you draft Wilson and Hall because if you are aiming for ceiling, you might airball.”
Colt Williams· Jul 13“Breece Hall blows his RB14 ADP out of the water and finishes as a top 5 back. Hall quietly logged 243 carries (11th in the NFL) and 17.4 touches per game last season despite playing in one of football's least efficient offenses, yet found the end zone just five times on 291 opportunities, a glaring positive regression candidate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 2“Hall is also due for some positive regression in the passing game. After catching 76 passes in 2023 and 57 in 2024, he was held to just 36 last season. Hall still posted the third-best yards per reception among running backs last season.”
Chad Workman· Jun 29“The projections call for more than 1,500 total yards, nearly 50 receptions, and close to double-digit touchdowns. Hall remains one of the league's most efficient runners on a per-touch basis.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 13“Their rebuild just so happens to be consuming Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, plus the addition of Sadiq and Cooper.”
Tera Roberts· Apr 28“Vikings HC Kevin O'Connell complimented Jets GM Darren Mougey on how they handled some of their internal situations, including getting their running back Breece Hall re-signed.”
Wyatt Grindley· Jul 7“The Jets signed RB Breece Hall to a three-year, $45.75 million extension this offseason. Hall expressed confidence about the team's direction, saying "Getting that nucleus paid and having that core group of guys that they're investing in that they expect to change the franchise, it means a lot for us."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jul 1
“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.”
Tony Martin· Jul 30
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“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25“2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.”
Peter Kettering· Jul 24“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 24“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 17“Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 6“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22“Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.”
Evan Hoovler· Jun 19“Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.”
Richard Janvrin· Jun 19“Among rookie wide receivers in the 2025 NFL season, only three (Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuka, and Luther Burden III) managed to crack the 600 receiving yards mark.”
Aidin Ebrahimi· Jun 3“Tetaiora McMillan generated significant intrigue because of the upside tied to his profile and potential long-term role. The discussion focused on the possibility that he develops into a true featured receiving option. There was acknowledgment that younger receivers often come with volatility, but the talent and opportunity combination clearly made McMillan one of the more exciting names in this tier.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23“Guys like Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker are better served in the short and intermediate range.”
Jeff Krisko· May 20