Garrett Wilson vs Lamar Jackson

“Although the Jets’ offense is looking more crowded, it still has only one truly established NFL pass-catcher in Garrett Wilson .”

“On Garrett Wilson specifically, sentiment has shifted meaningfully. A year ago, ranking a rookie profile like Tate’s anywhere near Wilson would have been unthinkable. Now Wilson is entering the presumed prime of his career, turning 26 later this summer, and still hasn’t played with a clearly competent starting quarterback.”

“Jason is really into Garrett Wilson, having him as his WR12 while his ADP has him at WR17!”

“Garrett Wilson's 395 receiving yards led the Jets despite playing only seven games. Better health from Wilson will give the team their top weapon in scoring territory.”

“The biggest red flag of all is all the weapons around Wilson, which he'll be fighting for targets. The Jets added great pieces to the offense, which is good for the team but not for Wilson's fantasy prospects.”

“The knee is the first landmine, as it was significant enough last season that Wilson missed more than half the season. Wilson is practicing this offseason, but the sprain was the first significant injury of his career, and it remains to be seen how he'll bounce back.”

“Garrett Wilson finished the 2022 rookie class with 215.7 PPR points, one of the few rookies in recent years to surpass the 215-PPR-point threshold.”

“Wilson has finished as a WR2 in 12-team leagues only one other time in his career, with his four-year averages showing a pattern of WR30-WR39 performance. Wilson still has questionable quarterback play with Geno Smith, an unexciting play-calling offensive coordinator in Frank Reich, and more target competition from newly drafted tight end Kenyon Sadiq and wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. Wilson is likely being drafted closer to his ceiling than his median outcome for 2026.”

“Wilson has yet to finish as a true WR1 in fantasy points per game and has an uphill climb this season, making his late third, early-fourth-round cost too steep.”

“Wilson is coming off an injury-plagued season and faces continued quarterback uncertainty with the Jets relying on a veteran upgrade like Geno Smith (a bust with the Raiders last season) or potentially a rookie at some point in 2026.”

“Garrett Wilson is being drafted based on his immense talent rather than his results over the past two seasons. Wilson had to record a 33 percent target share to come close to getting any fantasy return on your investment in him.”

“While he is a phenomenal talent, Garrett Wilson finds himself in a slightly odd position with the New York Jets. The Jets are not expected to be contenders this year, but they did bring in two noteworthy pieces via the draft to compete with Wilson for downfield touches in Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq. The presence of OCJ and Sadiq may limit Wilson's overall upside, while also being a part of the New York Jets doesn't help his cause either.”

“Injuries and a steep decline in rushing production cratered Lamar Jackson ‘s fantasy value in 2025. After finishing QB1 in fantasy scoring in 2024, Jackson plummeted to a QB20 fantasy finish last season and was QB16 in fantasy points per game at the position. Jackson lost three games to an early-season hamstring injury and one game to a late-season back injury.”

“Lamar Jackson cratered many fantasy rosters in 2025. Before an early October hamstring injury, he was on pace for 3,700 passing yards, 437 rushing yards, and 47 total TDs.”

“The most obvious thing to consider is your positional strengths and weaknesses — trading for Lamar Jackson when you already have Josh Allen probably isn’t a good idea.”

“If you want an elite QB, pocket your picks for a round and a half and take Lamar Jackson, instead.”

“There isn’t a single drafted player on the Ravens that goes higher than I would take them, with Lamar Jackson standing out as the single best 1QB value I have ever seen if you want to get a top-two quarterback, going at pick 46, 19 picks past QB1, Josh Allen.”

“With plenty of time to recover from last season, Jackson is a ticking time bomb for fantasy production.”

“Things did not go well for Lamar Jackson in 2025, but he still displayed his ceiling early on before injuries started to stack up.”

“For what it’s worth, Lamar did speak highly of Doyle’s offense this spring, saying: “ It’s a different system than what I’m accustomed to being in, and I feel like there’s going to be a lot of explosiveness this year.”

“The case for Lamar staying near the top of the market: he’s not even 30 years old, he was still playing at an elite level in weeks one and two last season before his injury in week three derailed the rest of his year, and he has never failed to have an MVP-caliber first season under a new play caller, which is exactly the situation he’s in again this year.”

“Jackson's 2025 performance was marred by injury and a subpar level of play (by his standards). Therefore, while he has tremendous leverage by virtue of the restructure and the $84.34MM cap number it created for 2027, he may want to come to the negotiating table on the heels of a better season.”

“Todd Monken, reflecting on where things went wrong in Baltimore last season, feels that he didn't get the most out of Lamar Jackson. "I didn't coach well enough," Monken said. "I didn't get Lamar to play at his best when the best was needed."”

“Jackson mentioned that Doyle is running a completely different system from what Todd Monken deployed last season, while there are some concepts from what Greg Roman ran in 2022. Jackson expects more "explosiveness" this season, and Doyle is proving to be a very creative playcaller. "I feel like there's going to be a lot of explosiveness this year," Jackson said. "The way Declan calls plays and his creativity with his mind — how detailed he is — it's mind-blowing. I'm excited."”