Garrett Wilson
vs Lamar Jackson

“Garrett Wilson will vacuum up the targets in his absence.”

“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, Wilson has rock-solid or better marks of a 21.5% target share, 0.24 targets per route run (TPRR), 33.3% first-read rate and 37.5% air yard share this season. Mitchell’s 25% first-read rate trails behind Wilson’s. However, Mitchell is pacing the Jets in target share (23.1%), targets per route run (0.26 TPRR) among players with at least 30 routes and air yard share (59.4%).”

“Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic pointed out that Wilson led all Jets receivers with 42 targets during camp — the next closest was Adonai Mitchell with 27. I don’t think Smith will suddenly find the fountain of youth, but if he plays with remote levels of competence, volume alone should drive Wilson into low-end WR1 territory without issues.”

“Wilson is cheaper, his QB situation is better, and his early schedule is the second-easiest. This might finally be the year I’m buying.”

“his counterpart for the Jets, Garrett Wilson, is coming off a much less severe season-ending injury. Potentially playing with the best QB of his career in Geno Smith.”

“Honorable mention: DeVonta Smith and Luther Burden .” – Mark Ringo ( Sleepers and Busts ) Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ) “ Garrett Wilson is an elite talent stuck on a team lacking elite quarterback play.”

“Garrett Wilson will easily lead the Jets in targets if he stays healthy.”

“Add in the fact that Wilson has more competition than ever — first-round tight end Kenyon Saddiq, first-round receiver Omar Cooper Jr., and Adonai Mitchell, who the team acquired last year in the Sauce Gardner deal — and I’m just feeling faded by the Jets’ leading wideout.”

“In both of his matchups with the Cowboys, Jackson has run for 181 yards and a TD.”

“Lamar Jackson has a massive ceiling in what projects to be a high-scoring matchup against the Cowboys. Dallas was getting torched by Jayden Daniels before he went down with an injury, which bodes well for Jackson’s outlook in this spot. With his ability to make plays through the air and on the ground, Jackson has the potential to put up a monster performance here.”

“But Jackson has looked far more like his electric self at the start of this season than he did in 2025. By the end of the season, he should be right up next to (OK, maybe behind) Allen as a top-tier fantasy quarterback.”

“Unfortunately, Jackson had arguably his worst season as a starter in 2025. He missed four games because of injury and played part of the year hurt. The superstar finished as the QB14 on a points-per-game basis among qualifying quarterbacks, averaging 19.8 fantasy points per contest. However, I expect a bounce-back season for Jackson, especially with Declan Doyle taking over as Baltimore’s offensive coordinator.”

“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game).”

“With plenty of time to recover from last season, Jackson is a ticking time bomb for fantasy production.”

“Jackson's 2025 performance was marred by injury and a subpar level of play (by his standards). Therefore, while he has tremendous leverage by virtue of the restructure and the $84.34MM cap number it created for 2027, he may want to come to the negotiating table on the heels of a better season.”

“Jackson mentioned that Doyle is running a completely different system from what Todd Monken deployed last season, while there are some concepts from what Greg Roman ran in 2022. Jackson expects more "explosiveness" this season, and Doyle is proving to be a very creative playcaller. "I feel like there's going to be a lot of explosiveness this year," Jackson said. "The way Declan calls plays and his creativity with his mind — how detailed he is — it's mind-blowing. I'm excited."”

“It was only a season ago that we saw Jackson finish as the QB1 with 425 fantasy points. That was his second time surpassing 400 fantasy points, a threshold that Allen has never exceeded.”

“Over his final eight starts, Jackson was the QB29 in fantasy points per game (11.9). He completed just 57.6% of his passes (28th) with 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He had the highest inaccurate throw rate in the league over that span (15.8%).”