Justin Jefferson vs Ashton Jeanty
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 11.0 | RB23 | 19 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
2 | LAC | 5.9 | RB38 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
3 | WAS | 6.3 | RB35 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | CHI | 32.5 | RB1 | 21 | 138 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
5 | IND | 13.4 | RB17 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 0 |
6 | TEN | 15.6 | RB12 | 23 | 75 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
7 | KC | 3.9 | RB43 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | JAX | 17.4 | RB5 | 13 | 42 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 1 |
10 | DEN | 13.8 | RB14 | 19 | 60 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
11 | DAL | 6.4 | RB37 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
12 | CLE | 20.8 | RB5 | 17 | 50 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 1 |
13 | LAC | 9.1 | RB34 | 15 | 31 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 0 |
14 | DEN | 4.8 | RB43 | 10 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
15 | PHI | 6.2 | RB41 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
16 | HOU | 31.3 | RB1 | 24 | 128 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 60 | 1 |
17 | NYG | 8.3 | RB22 | 16 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
18 | KC | 10.9 | RB17 | 26 | 87 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25
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“Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“J.J. McCarthy was so impressively bad that the coaching staff had to take middle-of-the-field passes out of the playbook because he couldn't read the field. Perhaps McCarthy has enough talent to turn things around, or maybe Kyler Murray is the answer, but so far camp reports don't suggest either player is distancing themselves from the other.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 16“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24“The Vikings face the second-easiest schedule against opposing pass defenses based on 2025 EPA allowed per dropback.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Justin Jefferson could have his way with the Lions' secondary, which was particularly vulnerable to the pass and waited until Round 5 before adding a cornerback.”
Tom Strachan· May 15“Jefferson no longer feels completely 'quarterback proof.' That does not mean fantasy managers should avoid him. It simply means there is now slightly more risk compared to the top receivers being drafted ahead of him.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 9
“He racked up over 1,200 yards and scored 10 times behind an abysmal offensive line. Now he gets Klint Kubiak as his head coach, bringing over an offensive system that helped Seattle win the Super Bowl. Expect Jeanty's efficiency to skyrocket if he keeps evading tackles as he did in 2025, when his juke rate (27.7%) ranked fifth among all running backs.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Jun 27“You can make a similar case for Ashton Jeanty, assuming the Raiders are better up front after their offseason additions and coaching changes and are better overall on offense with either Kirk Cousins or Fernando Mendoza at quarterback.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“The Raiders' offensive line allowed Jeanty to get contacted at or behind the line of scrimmage on 54% of his carries, the league's second-worst rate.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24
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“Jeanty is a volatile pick who could fail to live up to the expectations that accompany his fantasy football ADP, despite a massive ceiling if the Raiders' offensive line gels and new quarterback Mendoza clicks right away.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Despite a massive workload last season, Jeanty was only the RB17 in half-PPR points per game (12.8) among running backs with at least eight games played, and volume alone won't assure Jeanty pans out and finishes as an RB6 or better this season.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“It's going to be an uphill battle for Mike Washington to dominate backfield touches, given that the Raiders have an all-time running back prospect ahead of him with Ashton Jeanty.”
Jeff Krisko· Jun 21“Raiders RB coach Omar Young said the team has put RB Ashton Jeanty "in all different kinds of positions to see exactly what he can and cannot do."”
Logan Ulrich· Jun 19“Ashton Jeanty finished the 2025 season with 245.1 PPR points, one of only two rookies to score more than 215.0 points.”
Aidin Ebrahimi· Jun 8“Ashton Jeanty was the only rookie to finish as an RB1 in PPR scoring, ending the year as the RB11.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 5“Raiders HC Klint Kubiak says the team plans to challenge RB Ashton Jeanty in his sophomore season and put pressure on him in order to get the best out of last year's first-round pick. "We want to put a lot of pressure on Ashton," Kubiak said. "The next guy that steps up, whoever that may be, that's going to be seen here in practice, OTAs and training camp, but we think we should continue to challenge Ashton and get more out of him."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 25“Fitzmaurice drafted Ashton Jeanty over Jonathan Taylor late in the first round. Fitz explained that Jeanty survived terrible offensive circumstances last season and still managed double-digit touchdowns. The expectation now is that Las Vegas will field a significantly improved rushing environment thanks to offensive line upgrades and a coaching staff expected to lean heavily on the run game.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 17“Jeanty enters his second season facing brutal run defenses while potentially sharing touches; the breakout can still happen because the talent is undeniable, but the schedule definitely lowered the margin for error.”
Jon Machado· May 16“The talent is exciting, and the situation is favorable. The schedule, however, is horrifying. The Raiders landed one of the toughest schedules, the second-lowest projected win total, and the single hardest schedule against opposing run defenses.”
Jon Machado· May 16“Ashton Jeanty was supposed to come in and ignite this ground game, but the Raiders averaged only 77.5 rushing yards per game — the next-closest team was Arizona at 93.1 each week.”
Evan Tarracciano· May 15“We knew Vegas would add a running back in this draft because the Raiders' depth behind Ashton Jeanty is nonexistent. However, with Washington, I do have legitimate concerns because his size and skillset leans to him being more of the short-yardage and goal line contributor between the pair. I do caution against overreacting because it's entirely possible his contribution will have minimal fantasy effect on Jeanty.”
Tera Roberts· Apr 28
So who do you have — Jefferson or Jeanty?
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