Tetairoa McMillan vs TreVeyon Henderson

“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him”

“ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.”

“However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.”

“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”

“2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.”

“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”

“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”

“Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.”

“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”

“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”

“Tetairoa McMillan (15th in total WR points last year) is going for an average auction value less than their projection.”

“Tetairoa McMillan's consensus ADP is WR19, whereas he's the WR11 on MFL. As a rookie last season, McMillan led the Panthers in target share by a wide margin at 25.4%, though when Jalen Coker was on the field, McMillan's target share dropped to 18.5%. McMillan can volume his way to a respectable fantasy line, but his touchdown upside could be limited given the Panthers' third-hardest schedule and Bryce Young's poor performance against winning records.”

“Coming back around, I opted for TreVeyon Henderson. Of course, Rhamondre Stevenson is still on the roster, but Henderson out-carried him 180-130 (48.5% to 35%) and averaged 5.1 yards per carry. To add, he caught 35 passes for 221 yards and a touchdown.”

“Including the playoffs, Treveyon Henderson scored no more than 8.2 PPR points in six of his last seven games.”

“When Jason’s pick came, he admitted he was purposefully unhelpful in Andy’s decision-making game because he himself wanted Etienne, but settled for TreVeyon Henderson, who he considered taking in the previous round.”

“Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

“For RB2, the cutoffs land at TreVeyon Henderson and Tony Pollard respectively.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (NE) – ADP 53.6 | RB22 Fantasy players had high hopes for Henderson as a rookie. Unfortunately, he was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21.”

“More importantly, Henderson averaged 11.3 touches and 9.5 fantasy points per game in the regular season with Stevenson healthy. By comparison, he averaged 19 touches and 24.3 fantasy points per game without the veteran playing.”

“TreVeyon Henderson fits well in the Patriots' backfield as an explosive complement to Rhamondre Stevenson. However, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Stevenson averaged more yards after contact per attempt and missed tackles forced per attempt than Henderson. He was also given more carries inside the 5-yard line.”

“Without Stevenson in the lineup in Weeks 9-11, Henderson averaged 19 touches and 110 total yards. With Stevenson active, Henderson had 11.2 touches and 57.2 total yards per game. Last year, Henderson was bested by Stevenson in every metric that I care about, namely explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, yards after contact per attempt, yards per route run, and pass protection stats.”

“Henderson finished nearly dead-on with his draft placement, ending the year as the RB20. As with Harvey, it took time for the coaching staff to fully trust him and feel confident incorporating him into the game plan. Henderson didn't have a top-20 finish at the position until Week 9, and then he truly burst onto the scene.”

“Henderson is being drafted like New England's unquestioned lead back despite trailing Stevenson in missed tackles forced, yards after contact and pass-blocking reliability, which are the exact traits that keep backs on the field in every situation.”