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Tetairoa McMillan
vs TreVeyon Henderson

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

McMillan

Bye week

Henderson

vs LV

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

—

Bye week

9.5

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

McMillanHenderson
15.4Fantasy pts7.1
4Games3
—Carries12.7
—Rush yds47
—Yds/carry3.7
9.8Targets—
6.5Receptions—
96Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
McMillanHenderson
10.4Fantasy pts11.1
17Games17
0.0Carries10.6
0Rush yds54
—Yds/carry5.1
7.2Targets2.5
4.1Receptions2.1
60Receiving yds13
0.4Touchdowns0.6
Full game log & past seasons +
Tetairoa McMillan
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
8.0
WR36
8
5
75
—
2
—
12.6
WR17
10
5
101
—
3
—
2.7
WR88
5
2
17
—
4
—
38.2
WR1
16
14
192
2
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
9.3
WR31
9
5
68
—
2
ARI
13.0
WR27
10
6
100
—
3
ATL
6.3
WR46
8
3
48
—
4
NE
8.2
WR36
8
4
62
—
5
MIA
10.3
WR28
8
6
73
—
6
DAL
16.4
WR12
5
3
29
2
7
NYJ
4.8
WR57
5
3
33
—
8
BUF
13.4
WR14
10
7
99
—
9
GB
6.6
WR49
6
4
46
—
10
NO
8.5
WR33
8
5
60
—
11
ATL
29.0
WR1
12
8
130
2
12
SF
10.5
WR27
7
2
35
1
13
LAR
10.8
WR23
2
1
43
1
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NO
3.5
WR73
4
2
25
—
16
TB
16.3
WR13
10
6
73
1
17
SEA
1.0
WR109
4
1
5
—
18
TB
8.5
WR24
6
4
85
—
TreVeyon Henderson
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
13.6
RB9
16
76
1
—
—
—
—
3
—
3.4
RB44
8
23
—
1
1
6
—
4
—
4.2
RB47
14
42
—
2
—
—
—
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
LV
8.1
RB26
5
27
—
6
6
24
—
2
MIA
5.0
RB42
3
10
—
2
2
30
—
3
PIT
6.2
RB36
11
28
—
3
3
19
—
4
CAR
11.6
RB25
7
32
1
2
2
14
—
5
BUF
3.7
RB43
6
24
—
3
2
3
—
6
NO
4.1
RB42
9
27
—
2
1
9
—
7
TEN
0.5
RB69
2
5
—
—
—
—
—
8
CLE
5.5
RB34
10
75
—
—
—
—
—
9
ATL
10.7
RB20
14
55
—
6
4
32
—
10
TB
27.5
RB4
14
147
2
1
1
3
—
11
NYJ
29.8
RB3
19
62
2
5
5
31
1
12
CIN
9.6
RB21
18
66
—
4
3
15
—
13
NYG
10.1
RB30
11
67
—
4
3
19
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
BUF
29.1
RB3
14
148
2
3
2
13
—
16
BAL
1.7
RB61
5
3
—
1
1
9
—
17
NYJ
8.2
RB24
19
82
—
—
—
—
—
18
MIA
17.3
RB7
13
53
2
—
—
—
—

Expert takes

Tetairoa McMillan
  • “Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”

    Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”

    Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
See 8 more
  • “Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”

    Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026
  • “As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”

    Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026
  • “McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026
  • “Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026
  • “Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”

    Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026
  • “McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026
  • “Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
TreVeyon Henderson
  • “TreVeyon Henderson will split the workload with Rhamondre Stevenson again this week. In their three games together this season, Henderson has had a 43.5% snap rate, a 42.7% rushing share, and a 31.1% route share (2.2% target share). I’d expect Henderson to help out more on early downs this week, with Stevenson taking more of the passing downs.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Last week, Henderson finished with nine touches and 29 total yards while having a 33.3% snap rate, a 30.8% rushing share, and a 27% route share (3.2% target share). Henderson has gotten off to a disappointing start again this season on a per-touch basis. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is 27th in explosive run rate, 42nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 39th in missed tackle rate.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60.4% of the snaps with 57.1% of the rushing attempts and a 40.7% route share.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Henderson played 13 more snaps and had 10 more carries than Rhamondre Stevenson , possibly because Stevenson lost a fumble on New England’s first possession of the game. But Stevenson is regarded as the far better pass blocker, and the Patriots’ offensive line has not done a great job of handling pressure this season. It’s going to be very hard to predict the workload split between Henderson and Stevenson.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 25, 2026
  • “According to Nathan Jahnke , Stevenson played on New England’s first four snaps of their opening drive before losing a fumble, and TreVeyon Henderson played 21 out of 25 snaps across five subsequent drives while Stevenson recorded just six snaps during that stretch. Stevenson wasn’t completely mothballed, but he opened the door for Henderson, and the speedy second-year pro took advantage of the opportunity. Henderson played 33 snaps, ran 12 routes and carried the ball 16 times for 76 yards and a touchdown.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 21, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60% of the snaps and received 61.5% of the backfield opportunities on his way to 13.6 PPR points. Stevenson, on the other hand, scored only 4.3 PPR points while getting 30.8% of the backfield opportunities on 36.4% of the snaps. Stevenson is a solid back, but Henderson has the higher ceiling; it shouldn’t surprise anyone if he commands the majority of the backfield for the rest of the season.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 20, 2026
  • “More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026
  • “According to Fantasy Points Data, his 5.6% explosive run rate last season was higher than Saquon Barkley (4.6%) and Travis Etienne Jr. (3.5%). More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    Mike Fanelli· Sep 3, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn’t nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn’t active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 1, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) All offseason, TreVeyon Henderson was drafted several spots ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson , but the gap has narrowed significantly.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Aug 31, 2026
  • “” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) “I didn’t think I would be taking much TreVeyon Henderson , but at an RB26 ranking, it’s hard to find more talented players or those with more upside. Henderson is being called by many the bust of the year already, and he does have some risk, but so do Tuten, Warren, and Price, who may be bench players at the end of the year.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026
  • “While fantasy players had high hopes for him as a rookie, Henderson was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell’ s (13) and Rhamondre Stevenson ‘s (12.8).”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026
  • “Including the playoffs, Treveyon Henderson scored no more than 8.2 PPR points in six of his last seven games.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Aug 3, 2026
  • “Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 37.4
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR · WR16
ADP 58.2
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE · RB25
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
86.2% would rather draft McMillan over Henderson
86.2%McMillan
13.8%Henderson
Based on 29 comparison results