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Luther Burden
vs TreVeyon Henderson

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Luther Burden
WR · CHI
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Burden

at GB

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Henderson

vs LV

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

10.6

Projected

9.5

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

BurdenHenderson
9.4Fantasy pts7.1
4Games3
—Carries12.7
—Rush yds47
—Yds/carry3.7
7.3Targets—
4.8Receptions—
55Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
BurdenHenderson
7.0Fantasy pts11.1
15Games17
0.4Carries10.6
2Rush yds54
6.2Yds/carry5.1
4.0Targets2.5
3.1Receptions2.1
43Receiving yds13
0.1Touchdowns0.6
Full game log & past seasons +
Luther Burden
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
7.0
WR42
5
5
63
—
2
—
4.7
WR66
7
3
32
—
3
—
16.3
WR15
11
7
61
1
4
—
9.4
WR40
6
4
63
—
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
MIN
0.2
WR118
1
1
-3
—
2
DET
1.0
WR115
2
1
5
—
3
DAL
18.3
WR6
3
3
101
1
4
LV
0.6
WR110
2
2
-4
—
5
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
6
WAS
7.1
WR36
4
4
51
—
7
NO
2.6
WR78
2
1
22
—
8
BAL
0.4
WR93
1
1
-1
—
9
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
10
NYG
6.6
WR41
3
3
51
—
11
MIN
4.2
WR57
5
3
27
—
12
PIT
7.6
WR35
5
3
46
—
13
PHI
5.6
WR47
6
4
33
—
14
GB
9.0
WR28
6
4
67
—
15
CLE
11.4
WR26
7
6
84
—
16
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
17
SF
23.8
WR1
9
8
138
1
18
DET
6.0
WR38
4
3
35
—
TreVeyon Henderson
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
13.6
RB9
16
76
1
—
—
—
—
3
—
3.4
RB44
8
23
—
1
1
6
—
4
—
4.2
RB47
14
42
—
2
—
—
—
Earlier seasons (2025)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
LV
8.1
RB26
5
27
—
6
6
24
—
2
MIA
5.0
RB42
3
10
—
2
2
30
—
3
PIT
6.2
RB36
11
28
—
3
3
19
—
4
CAR
11.6
RB25
7
32
1
2
2
14
—
5
BUF
3.7
RB43
6
24
—
3
2
3
—
6
NO
4.1
RB42
9
27
—
2
1
9
—
7
TEN
0.5
RB69
2
5
—
—
—
—
—
8
CLE
5.5
RB34
10
75
—
—
—
—
—
9
ATL
10.7
RB20
14
55
—
6
4
32
—
10
TB
27.5
RB4
14
147
2
1
1
3
—
11
NYJ
29.8
RB3
19
62
2
5
5
31
1
12
CIN
9.6
RB21
18
66
—
4
3
15
—
13
NYG
10.1
RB30
11
67
—
4
3
19
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
BUF
29.1
RB3
14
148
2
3
2
13
—
16
BAL
1.7
RB61
5
3
—
1
1
9
—
17
NYJ
8.2
RB24
19
82
—
—
—
—
—
18
MIA
17.3
RB7
13
53
2
—
—
—
—

Expert takes

Luther Burden
  • “Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”

    Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026
  • “Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”

    Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 27, 2026
See 8 more
  • “Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026
  • “Luther Burden was just as buzzy as Parker Washington within the fantasy community this summer. Like Washington, Burden did some things late last season that whetted our appetite for a full breakout in 2026.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026
  • “Luther Burden of the Chicago Bears is my pick for league-winner at receiver. With DJ Moore now in Buffalo, Burden steps into a much larger role alongside Rome Odunze and should command a significant target share in an improving Bears offense.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026
  • “Shifting Burden into this alpha role makes perfect sense. Burden is an elite YAC monster, and Ben Johnson would use him as an offensive weapon all over the formation. In a record-breaking year, Burden’s ceiling isn’t just a low-end WR1 – it is an overall top-5 standard/PPR finish fueled by manufactured touches and explosive chunk plays.”

    Nate Henry· Aug 28, 2026
  • “The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 14, 2026
  • “Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
  • “Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
TreVeyon Henderson
  • “TreVeyon Henderson will split the workload with Rhamondre Stevenson again this week. In their three games together this season, Henderson has had a 43.5% snap rate, a 42.7% rushing share, and a 31.1% route share (2.2% target share). I’d expect Henderson to help out more on early downs this week, with Stevenson taking more of the passing downs.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Last week, Henderson finished with nine touches and 29 total yards while having a 33.3% snap rate, a 30.8% rushing share, and a 27% route share (3.2% target share). Henderson has gotten off to a disappointing start again this season on a per-touch basis. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is 27th in explosive run rate, 42nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 39th in missed tackle rate.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60.4% of the snaps with 57.1% of the rushing attempts and a 40.7% route share.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Henderson played 13 more snaps and had 10 more carries than Rhamondre Stevenson , possibly because Stevenson lost a fumble on New England’s first possession of the game. But Stevenson is regarded as the far better pass blocker, and the Patriots’ offensive line has not done a great job of handling pressure this season. It’s going to be very hard to predict the workload split between Henderson and Stevenson.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 25, 2026
  • “According to Nathan Jahnke , Stevenson played on New England’s first four snaps of their opening drive before losing a fumble, and TreVeyon Henderson played 21 out of 25 snaps across five subsequent drives while Stevenson recorded just six snaps during that stretch. Stevenson wasn’t completely mothballed, but he opened the door for Henderson, and the speedy second-year pro took advantage of the opportunity. Henderson played 33 snaps, ran 12 routes and carried the ball 16 times for 76 yards and a touchdown.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 21, 2026
  • “Henderson played 60% of the snaps and received 61.5% of the backfield opportunities on his way to 13.6 PPR points. Stevenson, on the other hand, scored only 4.3 PPR points while getting 30.8% of the backfield opportunities on 36.4% of the snaps. Stevenson is a solid back, but Henderson has the higher ceiling; it shouldn’t surprise anyone if he commands the majority of the backfield for the rest of the season.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 20, 2026
  • “More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026
  • “According to Fantasy Points Data, his 5.6% explosive run rate last season was higher than Saquon Barkley (4.6%) and Travis Etienne Jr. (3.5%). More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”

    Mike Fanelli· Sep 3, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn’t nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn’t active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 1, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) All offseason, TreVeyon Henderson was drafted several spots ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson , but the gap has narrowed significantly.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Aug 31, 2026
  • “” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) “I didn’t think I would be taking much TreVeyon Henderson , but at an RB26 ranking, it’s hard to find more talented players or those with more upside. Henderson is being called by many the bust of the year already, and he does have some risk, but so do Tuten, Warren, and Price, who may be bench players at the end of the year.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026
  • “While fantasy players had high hopes for him as a rookie, Henderson was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell’ s (13) and Rhamondre Stevenson ‘s (12.8).”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026
  • “Including the playoffs, Treveyon Henderson scored no more than 8.2 PPR points in six of his last seven games.”

    Wyatt Bertolone· Aug 3, 2026
  • “Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
  • “TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 60.7
Luther Burden
WR · CHI · WR26
ADP 58.2
TreVeyon Henderson
RB · NE · RB25
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
55.4% would rather draft Henderson over Burden
44.6%Burden
55.4%Henderson
Based on 56 comparison results