Terry McLaurin
vs Joe Burrow
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McLaurin
vs NYG
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
Burrow
at MIA
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
9.5
Projected
20.6
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 2.4 | WR86 | 4 | 2 | 14 | — |
2 | — | 6.0 | WR46 | 9 | 2 | 50 | — |
3 | — | 16.7 | WR13 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 3.7 | WR75 | 4 | 2 | 27 | — |
2 | GB | 7.3 | WR52 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
3 | LV | 8.9 | WR34 | 4 | 3 | 74 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | KC | 12.9 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 54 | 1 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | DEN | 19.1 | WR9 | 14 | 7 | 96 | 1 |
14 | MIN | 5.6 | WR42 | 6 | 3 | 41 | — |
15 | NYG | 14.4 | WR16 | 4 | 3 | 69 | 1 |
16 | PHI | 6.8 | WR45 | 4 | 3 | 53 | — |
17 | DAL | 8.8 | WR32 | 7 | 5 | 63 | — |
18 | PHI | 7.7 | WR28 | 4 | 4 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 2.7 | WR78 | 4 | 2 | 17 | — |
2 | NYG | 5.2 | WR52 | 8 | 6 | 22 | — |
3 | CIN | 18.0 | WR10 | 6 | 4 | 100 | 1 |
4 | ARI | 14.7 | WR20 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 1 |
5 | CLE | 11.4 | WR27 | 8 | 4 | 112 | — |
6 | BAL | 20.3 | WR5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 2 |
7 | CAR | 12.8 | WR16 | 6 | 6 | 98 | — |
8 | CHI | 15.0 | WR16 | 8 | 5 | 125 | — |
9 | NYG | 14.9 | WR16 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 2 |
10 | PIT | 13.8 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 113 | — |
11 | PHI | 1.5 | WR89 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
12 | DAL | 18.7 | WR7 | 6 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
13 | TEN | 23.3 | WR2 | 8 | 8 | 73 | 2 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 22.8 | WR5 | 10 | 7 | 73 | 2 |
16 | PHI | 14.5 | WR18 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 1 |
17 | ATL | 1.0 | WR113 | 7 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | DAL | 16.2 | WR12 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 15.2 | QB20 | 35 | 25 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | QB15 | 31 | 20 | 207 | 2 | — | -1 | — |
3 | — | 22.6 | QB10 | 37 | 28 | 282 | 3 | — | 13 | — |
4 | — | 25.7 | QB2 | 54 | 39 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | — | 8 | — |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | — | — |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | — | 2 | 5 | — |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | — | — | 15 | — |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | — | 9 | — |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | — |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | — | — | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | — | -3 | — |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | — |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | — | 6 | — |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | — | 28 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | — |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | — | — |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | — | 19 | — |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | — | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
Expert takes
“Terry McLaurin is the WR37 in fantasy points per game, with his best showing of the season last week as the WR14 in weekly scoring. McLaurin is tied for the team lead with a 22% target share, 1.40 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.4% first-read share (leads the team). This week, McLaurin faces an Indy pass defense that has utilized single high at the ninth-highest rate (57.1%).”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“McLaurin was a favorite of mine at cost this offseason, as despite his down performance in 2025, his underlying metrics were still good. McLaurin’s playing style and archetype, as primarily a downfield player, mean his production will always have a bit of variance to it, but you should start him as a fringe WR2 moving forward. Drake Maye’s Awful Start Drake Maye ‘s sophomore season in 2025 was incredible, as he finished first among quarterbacks in adjusted yards per attempt and Expected Points Added (EPA).”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin won’t block him long term, either. McLaurin just turned 31, even if his contract runs through 2028. At some point, Washington will want the younger, faster guy on the field more often.”
Jon Machado· Oct 9, 2026
See 10 more
“McLaurin: Targets and share held roughly flat (27.0% adjusted → 28.1% adjusted), continuing as Washington’s clear passing-game priority — but for the second straight week, a real, meaningful gain of his was taken away by replay review (see Replay Reversal above).”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 29, 2026“Against two high, McLaurin has had a 24% target-per-route-run rate, but he has produced only 1.12 YPRR. Even if the coverage structure leaned in McLaurin’s favor, I wouldn’t expect much from him against a secondary that has allowed the fourth-fewest yards per target and fantasy points per target to perimeter wide receivers this season. Sit McLaurin this week, if possible.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026“Terry McLaurin has also struggled to start the season, but his outlook for the near future is not as bright as Jamo’s. Jayden Daniels ’ elbow injury makes McLaurin a shaky flex play until he returns. Carnell Tate might end up being a product of a bad situation with Cam Ward struggling so far, and he can stay on your bench until something changes.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Though he led the Commanders in targets (9) and receiving yards (50), McLaurin’s season-long outlook is concerning because of the rise of Stefon Diggs and the nasty, dislocated elbow injury Jayden Daniels suffered. We don’t yet have a timeline for how long Daniels will be out, but I expect this injury to cost him several weeks, and veteran Marcus Mariota will fill in his stead. The major thought I had going through this weekend: if McLaurin isn’t able to have a big game against the Dallas secondary, what will it take?”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 21, 2026“Going back to the Commanders’ offense, Terry McLaurin had a scary bad game for a 31-year-old receiver in the late stages of his career. He finished the afternoon with just two receptions on four targets for 14 receiving yards. He managed just an 11% target share and 0.40 yards per route run (YPRR), basically just running cardio the entire game.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 15, 2026“Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS) Both Finish as Wide Receiver Twos The prediction: both receivers finish this season as at least a top-24 fantasy option. Diggs isn’t washed the way public perception might suggest. He averaged a respectable points-per-game clip last year and ranked top 10 in yards per route run among receivers with 100-plus routes, along with a 90th-percentile mark in targets per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Terry McLaurin set career highs across the board in Jayden Daniels ‘ rookie season. If Daniels can stay healthy, McLaurin is set up for another big year.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 23, 2026“Terry McLaurin is still the top target in the Commanders’ passing game. I expect them to be much more successful through the air with David Blough calling plays.”
Frank Ammirante· Aug 11, 2026“McLaurin is a target of mine because he doesn’t have much competition for targets of his. The Commanders’ passing game is essentially McLaurin and newly signed Stefon Diggs.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Aug 11, 2026“With Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz gone, only Antonio Williams and Chig Okonkwo were added to this receiving depth chart; McLaurin should return to his target hog WR2 ways in 2026. He’s a strong bounceback candidate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026
“Burrow is projected for around 19.6 points in an offense that’s throwing the ball 36-plus times a game. When a quarterback is that entrenched as the engine of his offense, a tough matchup on paper isn’t enough to scare me off. Burrow’s also sitting in a game with a 27-point implied team total for Cincinnati, which tells me the market expects Cincinnati to move the ball regardless of what Jacksonville’s defensive numbers say.”
Matty Kiwoom· Oct 1, 2026“The Bengals’ run game has struggled this season, and Joe Burrow has had at least 31 attempts in every game.”
Tera Roberts· Oct 11, 2026“Joe Burrow finished as the QB2 after throwing for 428 passing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars .”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
See 12 more
“Bengals Bengals QB Joe Burrow had 58 passing attempts in the loss to the Jaguars on Sunday, but feels that the team can throw it even more going forward.”
Wyatt Grindley· Oct 5, 2026“Burrow had an underwhelming opener, but he’s tallied 489 passing yards (244.5 per game), 7.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A), five passing touchdowns, and zero interceptions in two subsequent contests, scoring 19.88 DraftKings points per game and 19.88 FanDuel points per game in the last two weeks. The Bengals lost a shootout last week, and the Jaguars have the firepower to push Burrow into a ceiling performance through the air. His top passing-game weapon will be featured in the core studs.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026“Joe Burrow may not be a must-start this week, but Chase Brown , Ja’Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins are all auto-starts.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“According to the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0, among 33 quarterbacks with at least 20 dropbacks, Burrow ranks: 13th in passing yards per game (230.5) 19th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (6.14 ANY/A) Tied for 14th in passing touchdowns (three) 10th in expected passing touchdowns (3.5) 21st in rushing yards per game (9.5) Interestingly, the Bengals are just fifth in pass rate over expected (6.3% PROE) this year. That’s still pass-happy, but Cincinnati tied for first in PROE (7.9%) from 2023 through 2025. Their defense is better, and the washed-up, Aaron Rodgers -led Steelers are unlikely to push Burrow and Cincinnati’s offense into a shootout.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 25, 2026“Joe Burrow nearly gifted Tampa Bay a pick-six, the Buccaneers heavily guarded Chase, and Burrow simply could not connect with his WR1. That extra attention also opened things up elsewhere: TE Mike Gesicki finished with five catches for 78 yards and a TD as Tampa Bay focused on containing Chase and Tee Higgins . Look, that does not completely let Chase off the hook.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 16, 2026“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23, 2026“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4, 2026“Overvalued: Joe Burrow, Quarterback (QB4, Pick 59 OVR) Now, this isn’t to say that I don’t like Joe Burrow, or that I don’t think that Joe Burrow is a talented player; I just think that Joe Burrow is capped insofar as he doesn’t rush at all, and the Bengals’ offensive line isn’t strong enough for him to be a consistent top-four player without the rushing.”
Jeff Krisko· Jul 25, 2026“Of the top-10 quarterbacks based on LTV, Burrow is the one quarterback with little to no rushing upside, making him the quarterback I would want to trade away.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21, 2026
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