Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs Justin Jefferson
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 20, 2026
All time: Smith-Njigba 78.4%Jefferson 21.6%
Should you draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Justin Jefferson?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SF | 14.9 | WR14 | 13 | 9 | 124 | 0 |
2 | PIT | 14.3 | WR19 | 10 | 8 | 103 | 0 |
3 | NO | 18.1 | WR7 | 6 | 5 | 96 | 1 |
4 | ARI | 11.0 | WR25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 0 |
5 | TB | 23.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 132 | 1 |
6 | JAX | 26.2 | WR3 | 13 | 8 | 162 | 1 |
7 | HOU | 22.3 | WR7 | 14 | 8 | 123 | 1 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | WAS | 18.0 | WR9 | 9 | 8 | 129 | 0 |
10 | ARI | 17.8 | WR9 | 6 | 5 | 93 | 1 |
11 | LAR | 16.1 | WR10 | 12 | 9 | 105 | 0 |
12 | TEN | 33.1 | WR1 | 10 | 8 | 167 | 2 |
13 | MIN | 3.3 | WR71 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 24.6 | WR3 | 10 | 7 | 92 | 2 |
15 | IND | 14.8 | WR14 | 9 | 7 | 113 | 0 |
16 | LAR | 19.6 | WR6 | 13 | 8 | 96 | 1 |
17 | CAR | 11.7 | WR22 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 0 |
18 | SF | 11.4 | WR16 | 8 | 6 | 84 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DEN | 2.9 | WR75 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
2 | NE | 17.7 | WR12 | 16 | 12 | 117 | 0 |
3 | MIA | 5.4 | WR59 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 |
4 | DET | 9.1 | WR40 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
5 | NYG | 11.1 | WR30 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 1 |
6 | SF | 7.8 | WR39 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
7 | ATL | 3.8 | WR60 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
8 | BUF | 9.9 | WR42 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 0 |
9 | LAR | 33.5 | WR1 | 13 | 7 | 180 | 2 |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | SF | 16.8 | WR12 | 11 | 10 | 110 | 0 |
12 | ARI | 16.7 | WR11 | 7 | 6 | 77 | 1 |
13 | NYJ | 9.9 | WR33 | 4 | 4 | 74 | 0 |
14 | ARI | 17.1 | WR15 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 1 |
15 | GB | 13.3 | WR23 | 12 | 10 | 83 | 0 |
16 | MIN | 20.0 | WR7 | 12 | 8 | 95 | 1 |
17 | CHI | 4.7 | WR66 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 0 |
18 | LAR | 3.3 | WR82 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | 0 |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | 0 |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 0 |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 0 |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
Latest takes
“It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba , who led the league in receiving yards (1,793) and helped the Seahawks reach the Super Bowl. He also scored 10 touchdowns and was targeted a whopping 163 times (119 receptions).”
Tom Strachan· Aug 15“Smith-Njigba broke out in the second half of the 2024 season, leading to a top-15 ranking last year. However, he was far better, ending the season as the WR2, averaging 21.2 PPR fantasy points per game, leading the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards despite playing on a run-first offense.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14“He was also 5th in target share (28%), 11th in air yards share (35%), and 4th in yards per route run behind Puka Nacua , Jaxon Smith-Njigba , and Luther Burden III .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11
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“Fantasy Football Research & Advice Fantasy Football Expert Rankings 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer Fantasy Football Draft Strategy: Pick 1.04 Players to Consider at 1.04 Fantasy Football Draft Pick These players will likely be available when you make your selection: Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN) Puka Nacua (WR – LAR) Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR – SEA) Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) It’s fair to assume at least one of Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs will be gone, if not both, as they’re the consensus top two picks.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 11“It was a truly special year for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, leading the league in receiving yards and helping the Seahawks to a Super Bowl. The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak, the former offensive coordinator, moving to become the Head Coach of the New Orleans Saints and a potential dip in efficiency from Sam Darnold .”
Tom Strachan· Aug 9“Like Nacua, Smith-Njigba ranked outside the top 20 wide receivers in total routes run, at just 495 despite perfect health. Seattle was a run-first team by choice last year, but they also played a lot of un-competitive 2nd halves — at times induced by a Smith-Njigba eruption. I could see the team’s PROE rising given the changeover in their backfield, and could especially see the actual pass rate rise if the team plays more competitive games.”
Jakob Sanderson· Aug 8“WR5 in expected PPG last year (17.4), just ahead of Jaxon Smith-Njigba (17.2) Most combined red-zone + downfield (15+ yard) targets per game in 2025: 1”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Perhaps waiting to take Darnold for the stack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the final round may have been wiser.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“Flowers’ draft classmate, Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba , reset the market at over $42 million a year this offseason.”
Logan Ulrich· Jul 19“Jaxon Smith-Njigba proved last season that he is one of the best receivers in the league. He is a true No. 1 weapon, finishing with 1,700+ receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, nearly tripling the next-closest player on the team.”
Kurt Blakeway· Jul 7“It's hard to ignore how efficient Jaxon Smith-Njigba was in 2025. Smith-Njigba ranked fifth in targets, but was second in receiving yards (1,794). Four of his touchdowns came on passes of 20+ yards downfield, with an absurd 60% catch rate.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 6“Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the reigning Offensive Player of the Year after leading the NFL with 1,793 receiving yards.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“The only cause for concern is Klint Kubiak leaving to become the head coach of the Las Vegas Raiders, which could lead to a dip in Sam Darnold's efficiency. The positive side, though, is that the team didn't make any major additions at receiver, aside from bringing back Rashid Shaheed. If Zach Charbonnet isn't back and rookie Jadarian Price can't adapt to the NFL quickly, could we see even more volume from Smith-Njigba?”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Other notable cap hit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, $10,371,329 (3.44 percent)”
Logan Ulrich· Jul 5“The Seahawks wasted no time rewarding reigning Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba with the biggest wide receiver contract in NFL history this offseason.”
Nikhil Mehta· Jun 27
“Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
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“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27“From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 24“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23“Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19“He opened with Justin Jefferson after a surprising run of young quarterbacks fell in the first round, then doubled up at quarterback anyway, taking Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams back to back once he realized how many were sliding.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 19