Jahmyr Gibbs vs Justin Jefferson
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Jul 5, 2026
Should you draft Jahmyr Gibbs or Justin Jefferson?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 10.0 | RB25 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
2 | CHI | 17.9 | RB9 | 12 | 94 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
3 | BAL | 24.4 | RB3 | 22 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
4 | CLE | 16.7 | RB15 | 15 | 91 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
5 | CIN | 15.7 | RB12 | 12 | 54 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 1 |
6 | KC | 7.0 | RB26 | 17 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7 | TB | 35.3 | RB2 | 17 | 136 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 0 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIN | 4.3 | RB40 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
10 | WAS | 36.7 | RB3 | 15 | 142 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
11 | PHI | 17.1 | RB12 | 12 | 39 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 107 | 0 |
12 | NYG | 49.9 | RB1 | 15 | 219 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 1 |
13 | GB | 10.1 | RB28 | 20 | 68 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
14 | DAL | 33.5 | RB1 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 77 | 0 |
15 | LAR | 7.8 | RB33 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 0 |
16 | PIT | 17.8 | RB13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | 66 | 1 |
17 | MIN | 5.4 | RB37 | 17 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
18 | CHI | 18.8 | RB4 | 19 | 80 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Jahmyr Gibbs, with the departure of David Montgomery, and only Isiah Pacheco added to the running back room, has the clearest avenue he's ever had and is coming off a career-high 94 targets. Gibbs has had over 50 receptions in each of his three seasons in the NFL and averages 13 total touchdowns per season. With more touches, Gibbs could be one of the highest-ceiling plays in fantasy football.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 3“Detroit HC Dan Campbell was clear they are going to lean on Gibbs even more this season. "I mean he is, he's going to be our bell cow now," Campbell said. "He really became more of that last year, but we're going to hang our hat on him quite a bit."”
Tony Camino· Jul 2“Detroit RBs coach Tashard Choice outlined what Gibbs is doing in preparation, including some MMA training. "My conversation with Jah once he finished the season last year was the fact that I wanted him to start faster at the beginning of the season," Choice said. "He's come back and looked the best he's looked so far in his pro career."”
Tony Camino· Jul 2
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“Without David Montgomery, Gibbs is set to smash. If you draft near the top of Round 1, perhaps this helps you decide between the two stud running backs.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Jun 29“It's been interesting to see the recent discourse about Jahmyr Gibbs as the RB1, though he's been my RB1 over Bijan Robinson for quite some time. However you feel about Gibbs vs. Robinson, one thing is for certain: the Lions have an insanely friendly schedule this year.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Jun 29“The star back for the Lions is one of the 2023 first-rounders on the books through 2027 thanks to his fifth-year option, with Detroit long expected to pursue an early extension. Gibbs is in line to handle an even larger workload than before without David Montgomery in the fold, and a recent projection from The Athletic's Austin Mock has Gibbs slotting in with a projected $19.9MM AAV and $46.7MM in guaranteed money, though Mock adds Gibbs is likely to land more than his projected figure.”
Adam La Rose· Jun 26“Jahmyr Gibbs dramatically outperformed his expected rushing touchdown total last year, but that is just the norm for a player who has the explosive ability to score from anywhere. While nearly doubling expected rushing touchdown production would be a regression red flag for a lot of players, it is not for Gibbs because of his track record.”
Raymond Summerlin· Jun 25“Detroit already paid Jack Campbell, who is now the NFL's second-highest-paid off-ball linebacker, and must decide on Jahmyr Gibbs' value and whether to let Sam LaPorta play out a contract year or reach an agreement now.”
Sam Robinson· Jun 7“Gibbs has the clearest avenue he's ever had and is coming off a career-high 94 targets. With more touches, Gibbs could be one of the highest ceiling plays in fantasy football, and an auto-click if he makes it this far.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 6“Another young running back who has seen things clear out behind him is Jahmyr Gibbs, with the departure of David Montgomery, and only Isiah Pacheco has been added to the running back room. Gibbs has had over 50 receptions in each of his three seasons in the NFL and averages 13 total touchdowns per season.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 6“The idea behind "Stars & Scrubs" is to build your team primarily around a few star players. For example, you may be able to walk away with Ja'Marr Chase, Jahmyr Gibbs and someone like Christian McCaffrey, but this will leave you with a significantly lower budget for the remaining picks.”
Richard Janvrin· Jun 4“Gainwell ranked fourth among all backs in receptions in 2025, trailing only the dual-threat elites of Christian McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs.”
Ted Chmyz· May 25“Jahmyr Gibbs had a rough end to the fantasy football season last year, costing managers who leaned on him all year championships. Gibbs should return to fantasy prominence with a wonderful start to the NFL season. The Lions start the season facing the Saints, Bills, Jets, Panthers, and Cardinals.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 21“Pianowski looked thrilled to land Gibbs fourth overall. The argument centered around Detroit's favorable projected schedule and the belief that Gibbs can anchor multiple roster constructions, including hero-RB builds.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 17“Gibbs was already one of fantasy football's most efficient weapons. Now there's a legitimate path toward elite volume to pair with that efficiency. That combination is how overall RB1 seasons happen.”
Jon Machado· May 16
“Jefferson is attached to one of the league's most expensive receiver deals.”
Adam La Rose· Jul 5“It doesn't take a rocket scientist to determine what was holding Justin Jefferson back last season. While Kyler Murray is a flawed quarterback, he has proven an ability to generate big fantasy seasons for his wide receivers and should be a big improvement upon what J.J. McCarthy showed last season.”
Chad Workman· Jun 29“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. This wasn't Jefferson's fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 29
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“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 28“Jefferson averaged 2.43 yards per route run with Wentz on the field last season, averaging nearly 100 yards per game. Using the tool, we can see that Jefferson finished 1.5 fantasy points above his expected total from Week 3 to Week 8, when Wentz was at quarterback for the Vikings.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson was one of the biggest fantasy disappointments in 2025. Still, his usage last season suggests he will be right back in the WR1 conversation if Minnesota gets better quarterback play this season. Jefferson was the WR8 in expected fantasy points last year, but he scored 31.3 fewer points than expected.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 25“Jefferson is coming off career lows in receiving yards (1,084), receptions (68) and receiving touchdowns (two) in a season he played all games. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). All indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and the Vikings had the fourth-fewest pass attempts per game under McCarthy, but in 2024 under Sam Darnold, they ranked 17th.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 25“Justin Jefferson continues to operate as one of the league's best, posting six 1,000-yard seasons to start his NFL career.”
Sharp Football Staff· Jun 24“Jefferson's price tag is a bit steep, and he has more bust potential than anyone else in the first round, though his upside is worth mixing into best ball portfolios.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson was the WR34 in half-PPR points per game (9.4) in the 2025 season when Minnesota's trio of J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz and Max Brosmer couldn't get the job done.”
Josh Shepardson· Jun 23“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns.”
Tom Strachan· Jun 19“Justin Jefferson had fewer receiving yards in 2025 (1,048) than he did in 2023, when he only played 10 games (1,074). Jefferson also had a career-low 12.5 yards per reception and a career-low two receiving touchdowns. Among receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%).”
Tom Strachan· Jun 17“Justin Jefferson said he plans to work with both quarterbacks Kyler Murray and J.J. McCarthy ahead of training camp so that they aren't starting fresh and can build chemistry ahead of time. "For sure, both. Just carrying on what we have been doing for the past couple weeks and just continuing that throughout the summertime," Jefferson said. "It definitely would be impactful. Just to continue to see my route running, to continue to get that timing down pat is really key so we're not really starting over back in training camp."”
Wyatt Grindley· Jun 16“Vikings WR Justin Jefferson gave his outlook on the team's roster ahead of training camp and believes that the team has good playmakers at each offensive position. "Just the weapons that we have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, the running back position is very good. The receiver position is very good. The tight end position is very good."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24“Justin Jefferson finally escaped quarterback misery. Catching passes from JJ McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer felt like an elaborate social experiment designed to test Jefferson's patience.”
Jon Machado· May 16
So who do you have — Gibbs or Jefferson?
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