Nico Collins
vs Derrick Henry
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Collins
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Henry
at ATL
Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET
14.4
Projected
16.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 17.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 27.3 | WR3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | — |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | — |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | — |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | — |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | — |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | — |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | — |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | — |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | — |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | — |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 34.8 | RB1 | 24 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | RB7 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
3 | — | 21.4 | RB3 | 26 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
4 | — | 14.9 | RB17 | 23 | 73 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 28.7 | RB1 | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
2 | CLE | 2.3 | RB59 | 11 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | DET | 10.2 | RB22 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | — |
4 | KC | 6.8 | RB42 | 8 | 42 | — | 3 | 2 | 16 | — |
5 | HOU | 9.3 | RB25 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
6 | LAR | 13.5 | RB13 | 24 | 122 | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CHI | 19.1 | RB8 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
9 | MIA | 12.6 | RB14 | 19 | 119 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
10 | MIN | 9.9 | RB23 | 20 | 75 | — | 3 | 3 | 9 | — |
11 | CLE | 19.2 | RB7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | — |
12 | NYJ | 21.8 | RB4 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | — |
13 | CIN | 16.9 | RB10 | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | — |
14 | PIT | 10.7 | RB23 | 25 | 94 | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | — |
15 | CIN | 10.0 | RB27 | 11 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | NE | 22.8 | RB8 | 18 | 128 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
17 | GB | 45.6 | RB1 | 36 | 216 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
18 | PIT | 12.6 | RB14 | 20 | 126 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 10.6 | RB30 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
2 | LV | 16.1 | RB9 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — |
3 | DAL | 29.9 | RB3 | 25 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | — |
4 | BUF | 34.4 | RB1 | 24 | 199 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 16.1 | RB7 | 15 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
6 | WAS | 25.2 | RB3 | 24 | 132 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
7 | TB | 24.7 | RB5 | 15 | 169 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
8 | CLE | 14.2 | RB18 | 11 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
9 | DEN | 25.8 | RB3 | 23 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | — |
10 | CIN | 13.6 | RB12 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
11 | PIT | 10.5 | RB22 | 13 | 65 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
12 | LAC | 14.0 | RB12 | 24 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PHI | 12.6 | RB19 | 19 | 82 | — | 3 | 3 | 29 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 6.7 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 19.9 | RB11 | 24 | 162 | — | 2 | 2 | 27 | — |
17 | HOU | 23.5 | RB3 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | — |
18 | CLE | 29.1 | RB3 | 20 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | — |
Expert takes
“| Hamstring After missing a handful of games with a hamstring injury, Nico Collins returned from the injury report last week and exploded for seven receptions, 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ shootout against the Cowboys. Don’t expect that kind of offensive explosion every week, but do expect Collins to be a regular on the ‘limited’ practice list, even if it is just to give him a chance to rest up before Sundays. He’s good to go.”
Michael Moore· Oct 9, 2026“Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 9 more
“Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026“Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026“Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026“Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23, 2026
“Derrick Henry should see more volume this week and is an auto-start.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“Favorite Leverage: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry might be the best pure leverage play on the slate. Lamar projects within a couple of points of Lawrence and Allen, but we are getting him at a fraction of the ownership with the same kind of slate-breaking ceiling against the worst team in the league. Henry likely trails CMC in the receiving game, but Henry is more likely to score two rushing TDs.”
Chris Cash· Oct 3, 2026“Derrick Henry is the first player to make a second appearance in the 10 Most Intriguing article. How could we omit King Henry in a week when he faces his former team, the Tennessee Titans, for the first time ever? Henry played for the Titans from 2016 to 2023.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Derrick Henry did almost all of his damage in the first half (11 carries, 51 yards, the touchdown) before falling off to just 5 carries for 17 yards after intermission as Baltimore’s offense stalled. He got 75% of his rushing yardage in the first half alone, before Baltimore’s offense went cold in the fourth quarter. Overall usage: 16 carries for 68 yards (1 TD), plus a true 4 targets/4 rec/28 yds once his penalty-erased catch is counted.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“There is always concern about Henry’s red zone work being siphoned off by the legs of Lamar Jackson , and while the Ravens QB did have a rushing TD, Henry got plenty of work inside the 20, leading the league in rushing yards in the red zone this week. The consistency that Henry brings near paydirt should keep him as a regular on this list for most of the season.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026“The ageless Derrick Henry rushed for 144 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries Sunday, becoming the focal point for the offense after receivers Zay Flowers and Jakobi Lane left with injuries.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“Ravens Ravens RB Derrick Henry is 10th all-time in rushing going into the 2026 season with 13,018 yards. A typical season would push him all the way to No. 6 on the list ( Curtis Martin , 14,101 yards), and a classic peak Henry season could propel him past Adrian Peterson at No. 5 (14,918 yards). Henry has had over 1,900 yards rushing twice in his career.”
Tony Camino· Sep 11, 2026“Derrick Henry is being overlooked as a major value again this year. Even in a “down year,” Henry still had 16 touchdowns on his way to an RB7 finish without a full season of Lamar Jackson and on a dysfunctional offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 18, 2026“Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”
Colt Williams· Jul 8, 2026“Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”
Dennis Sosic· Jul 6, 2026“Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4, 2026“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29, 2026“For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”
Dennis Sosic· Jun 18, 2026
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