Nico Collins vs Derrick Henry
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 9, 2026
All time: Collins 49.2%Henry 50.8%
Should you draft Nico Collins or Derrick Henry?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | 0 |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | 0 |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | 0 |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | 0 |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 0 |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | 0 |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | 0 |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 0 |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | 0 |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 0 |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 0 |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | 0 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | 0 |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 28.7 | RB1 | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
2 | CLE | 2.3 | RB59 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | DET | 10.2 | RB22 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
4 | KC | 6.8 | RB42 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
5 | HOU | 9.3 | RB25 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | LAR | 13.5 | RB13 | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CHI | 19.1 | RB8 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | MIA | 12.6 | RB14 | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
10 | MIN | 9.9 | RB23 | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
11 | CLE | 19.2 | RB7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
12 | NYJ | 21.8 | RB4 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
13 | CIN | 16.9 | RB10 | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
14 | PIT | 10.7 | RB23 | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
15 | CIN | 10.0 | RB27 | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | NE | 22.8 | RB8 | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | GB | 45.6 | RB1 | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | PIT | 12.6 | RB14 | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 10.6 | RB30 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | LV | 16.1 | RB9 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
3 | DAL | 29.9 | RB3 | 25 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
4 | BUF | 34.4 | RB1 | 24 | 199 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 16.1 | RB7 | 15 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
6 | WAS | 25.2 | RB3 | 24 | 132 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | TB | 24.7 | RB5 | 15 | 169 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
8 | CLE | 14.2 | RB18 | 11 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
9 | DEN | 25.8 | RB3 | 23 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
10 | CIN | 13.6 | RB12 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
11 | PIT | 10.5 | RB22 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | LAC | 14.0 | RB12 | 24 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | PHI | 12.6 | RB19 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 6.7 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | PIT | 19.9 | RB11 | 24 | 162 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
17 | HOU | 23.5 | RB3 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
18 | CLE | 29.1 | RB3 | 20 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Alec Pierce, Nico Collins – 3.7 How to support a QB on a rookie deal ( Drake Maye ):”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Collins was productive again in 2025, catching 71 passes for 1,117 yards and 6 touchdowns. He did take a slight dip in per-game output. After 5.3 and 5.7 receptions per game in C.J. Stroud's first two seasons, Collins averaged 4.7 catches per game in 2025.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 10“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10
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“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3“At worst, Collins profiles as a reliable fantasy WR1/WR2 hybrid with one of the strongest WR efficiency profiles in the NFL.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29“Nico Collins continued his run as Houston's unquestioned WR1 in 2025, posting his third 1,000-yard season in the last four years while finishing as a top-10 fantasy receiver once again. Despite battling injuries, Collins remained highly efficient and continued to dominate targets and red-zone usage in the Texans offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29“The Texans have a lot of passing game weapons, but outside of Schultz and Nico Collins, none of them are very good at all.”
Jeff Krisko· Jun 21“On the flip side, what if you have Nico and got a value on Jacobs (as his ADP free-falls thanks to off-field issues)? Montgomery would make more sense there for the stack-and-run back correlation.”
Chris Cash· Jun 6“Nico Collins' ADP is essentially one round behind his ECR in a 12-team league, with a 66% gap between his ADP and ECR that trails only Ja'Marr Chase. Although he has been "just" a back-end fantasy WR1 over the last two years, the 27-year-old is a genuine top-tier talent at the position, ranking seventh, second and fifth among qualified receivers in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the last three seasons.”
Ted Chmyz· Jun 5“Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23“Collins saw a career-high 120 targets in 2025. Furthermore, he had six receiving touchdowns after totaling 15 over the previous two years.”
Mike Fanelli· May 19“Top cap hit: Nico Collins, $14,939,529 (4.96 percent)”
Logan Ulrich· Jul 5“Houston will head into training camp later this month with back-to-back Pro Bowler Nico Collins continuing to lead its receiving corps. Stroud has formed a strong connection with Collins, a 1,000-yard receiver three years in a row.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 3“Nico Collins has since received a raise as part of the Texans' changes to their wide receiver room.”
Sam Robinson· Jun 19“Coming off a rough stretch to end the year, Texans WR Nico Collins outlined the different mindset from QB C.J. Stroud. "Different guy, different dude, man on a mission," Collins said. "Man, he's ready to hunt."”
Wyatt Grindley· May 24
“Derrick Henry – 19.2 Joining that contract range this offseason: De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Derrick Henry (BAL) — ECR: RB11 | Projection Rank: RB5 | Projected FPTS: 264.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“Yesterday, I was speaking with Football Absurdity hair model Waleed Ismail about an auction team he mock drafted where he went heavy RB (Bijan, Hampton, Derrick Henry), and paid down at WR (Carnell Tate, Parker Washington).”
Tony Martin· Jul 30
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“Top-12 Drafted RBs in 2025 RB 2025 ADP 2024 Finish 2025 Games Played Bijan Robinson RB1 RB3 17 Saquon Barkley RB2 RB13 16 Jahmyr Gibbs RB3 RB4 17 Christian McCaffrey RB4 RB1 17 Derrick Henry RB5 RB7 17 Ashton Jeanty RB6 RB12 17 Josh Jacobs RB7 RB15 15 De’Von Achane RB8 RB6 16 Jonathan Taylor RB9 RB2 17 Bucky Irving RB10 RB33 10 Chase Brown RB11 RB8 17 Kyren Williams RB12 RB9 17 2025 RB Health Last season, nine out of 12 top RBs drafted finished as an RB1, resulting in a mostly chalky season at the top for RBs.”
Jordan Pullett· Jul 29“Overall, the increase of under-center snaps favors Derrick Henry , which poses a specific siphoning risk related to rushing TD opportunity.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 27“Other skill-position players with a similar LTV include fellow veteran Derrick Henry and Sam LaPorta.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“Baltimore now turns to head coach Jesse Minter, whose offseason reviews highlight a more explosive and creative scheme. That shift should benefit Henry's usage and the offense as a whole. The veteran's current average draft position in the middle rounds is a clear value.”
Lawrence Iacona· Jul 9“Every season, managers expect Derrick Henry to decline, and every season he proves them wrong. Henry turned 32 in January, yet his power, durability and efficiency remain intact. He finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year with 279.5 fantasy points and continues to play well beyond typical age curves.”
Lawrence Iacona· Jul 9“Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”
Colt Williams· Jul 8“Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”
Dennis Sosic· Jul 6“Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29“Last year was another impressive year for Derrick Henry. He didn't show any signs of slowing down with 307 rushing attempts, 1,595 rushing yards, 16 total touchdowns, and an RB8 finish in fantasy points per game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29“For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“The Ravens run first and do everything else second, and they run through Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, leaving few rush attempts for Randall.”
Jeff Krisko· Jun 21