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Nico Collins
vs Derrick Henry

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Nico Collins
WR · HOU
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Collins

at TEN

Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET

Henry

at ATL

Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET

14.4

Projected

16.8

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

CollinsHenry
22.5Fantasy pts21.8
2Games4
—Carries22.3
—Rush yds94
—Yds/carry4.2
9.0Targets1.8
7.0Receptions1.8
97Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
2025 season, per game
CollinsHenry
12.7Fantasy pts16.0
15Games17
0.1Carries18.1
1Rush yds94
7.5Yds/carry5.2
8.0Targets1.2
4.7Receptions0.9
74Receiving yds9
0.5Touchdowns0.9
Full game log & past seasons +
Nico Collins
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
—
17.7
WR9
10
7
75
1
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
—
27.3
WR3
8
7
118
2
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
LAR
4.0
WR70
5
3
25
—
2
TB
12.7
WR29
9
3
52
1
3
JAX
18.4
WR5
11
8
104
1
4
TEN
9.9
WR27
6
4
79
—
5
BAL
14.0
WR16
5
4
52
1
6
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
SEA
4.7
WR59
10
4
27
—
8
BYE
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
DEN
11.0
WR28
11
7
75
—
10
JAX
19.1
WR5
15
7
136
—
11
TEN
19.7
WR4
10
9
92
1
12
BUF
7.0
WR37
3
3
55
—
13
IND
19.0
WR10
10
5
98
—
14
KC
14.1
WR14
8
4
121
—
15
ARI
22.0
WR4
4
3
85
2
16
LV
7.9
WR38
9
4
59
—
17
LAC
7.2
WR40
4
3
57
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
IND
14.7
WR14
8
6
117
—
2
CHI
23.5
WR4
10
8
135
1
3
MIN
10.6
WR36
10
4
86
—
4
JAX
27.1
WR1
15
12
151
1
5
BUF
14.8
WR16
2
2
78
1
6
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
BYE
—
—
—
—
—
—
9
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
10
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
11
DAL
7.4
WR46
7
4
54
—
12
TEN
17.7
WR8
9
5
92
1
13
JAX
15.9
WR15
11
8
119
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
MIA
15.7
WR19
6
4
17
2
16
KC
9.5
WR37
10
7
60
—
17
BAL
7.4
WR46
6
3
59
—
18
TEN
12.3
WR26
5
5
38
1
Derrick Henry
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
34.8
RB1
24
144
3
1
1
19
—
2
—
16.2
RB7
16
68
1
3
3
19
—
3
—
21.4
RB3
26
89
2
1
1
—
—
4
—
14.9
RB17
23
73
1
2
2
6
—
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
BUF
28.7
RB1
18
169
2
1
1
13
—
2
CLE
2.3
RB59
11
23
—
—
—
—
—
3
DET
10.2
RB22
12
50
1
1
1
7
—
4
KC
6.8
RB42
8
42
—
3
2
16
—
5
HOU
9.3
RB25
15
33
1
1
—
—
—
6
LAR
13.5
RB13
24
122
—
2
1
8
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CHI
19.1
RB8
21
71
2
1
—
—
—
9
MIA
12.6
RB14
19
119
—
1
1
2
—
10
MIN
9.9
RB23
20
75
—
3
3
9
—
11
CLE
19.2
RB7
18
103
1
2
2
19
—
12
NYJ
21.8
RB4
21
64
2
2
2
24
—
13
CIN
16.9
RB10
10
60
1
1
1
44
—
14
PIT
10.7
RB23
25
94
—
2
1
8
—
15
CIN
10.0
RB27
11
100
—
—
—
—
—
16
NE
22.8
RB8
18
128
2
—
—
—
—
17
GB
45.6
RB1
36
216
4
—
—
—
—
18
PIT
12.6
RB14
20
126
—
1
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
KC
10.6
RB30
13
46
1
2
—
—
—
2
LV
16.1
RB9
18
84
1
1
1
12
—
3
DAL
29.9
RB3
25
151
2
1
1
23
—
4
BUF
34.4
RB1
24
199
1
3
3
10
1
5
CIN
16.1
RB7
15
92
1
1
1
4
—
6
WAS
25.2
RB3
24
132
2
—
—
—
—
7
TB
24.7
RB5
15
169
—
1
1
13
1
8
CLE
14.2
RB18
11
73
1
1
1
4
—
9
DEN
25.8
RB3
23
106
2
1
1
27
—
10
CIN
13.6
RB12
16
68
1
1
1
3
—
11
PIT
10.5
RB22
13
65
1
—
—
—
—
12
LAC
14.0
RB12
24
140
—
—
—
—
—
13
PHI
12.6
RB19
19
82
—
3
3
29
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NYG
6.7
RB36
14
67
—
—
—
—
—
16
PIT
19.9
RB11
24
162
—
2
2
27
—
17
HOU
23.5
RB3
27
147
1
2
2
18
—
18
CLE
29.1
RB3
20
138
2
3
2
23
—

Expert takes

Nico Collins
  • “| Hamstring After missing a handful of games with a hamstring injury, Nico Collins returned from the injury report last week and exploded for seven receptions, 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ shootout against the Cowboys. Don’t expect that kind of offensive explosion every week, but do expect Collins to be a regular on the ‘limited’ practice list, even if it is just to give him a chance to rest up before Sundays. He’s good to go.”

    Michael Moore· Oct 9, 2026
  • “Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”

    Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026
  • “I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 9 more
  • “Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026
  • “Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”

    Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026
  • “Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026
  • “Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”

    Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026
  • “Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”

    Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026
  • “Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”

    Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026
  • “Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
  • “A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”

    Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026
  • “Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”

    FantasyPros Staff· May 23, 2026
Derrick Henry
  • “Derrick Henry should see more volume this week and is an auto-start.”

    Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Favorite Leverage: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry might be the best pure leverage play on the slate. Lamar projects within a couple of points of Lawrence and Allen, but we are getting him at a fraction of the ownership with the same kind of slate-breaking ceiling against the worst team in the league. Henry likely trails CMC in the receiving game, but Henry is more likely to score two rushing TDs.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is the first player to make a second appearance in the 10 Most Intriguing article. How could we omit King Henry in a week when he faces his former team, the Tennessee Titans, for the first time ever? Henry played for the Titans from 2016 to 2023.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Derrick Henry did almost all of his damage in the first half (11 carries, 51 yards, the touchdown) before falling off to just 5 carries for 17 yards after intermission as Baltimore’s offense stalled. He got 75% of his rushing yardage in the first half alone, before Baltimore’s offense went cold in the fourth quarter. Overall usage: 16 carries for 68 yards (1 TD), plus a true 4 targets/4 rec/28 yds once his penalty-erased catch is counted.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “There is always concern about Henry’s red zone work being siphoned off by the legs of Lamar Jackson , and while the Ravens QB did have a rushing TD, Henry got plenty of work inside the 20, leading the league in rushing yards in the red zone this week. The consistency that Henry brings near paydirt should keep him as a regular on this list for most of the season.”

    Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
  • “The ageless Derrick Henry rushed for 144 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries Sunday, becoming the focal point for the offense after receivers Zay Flowers and Jakobi Lane left with injuries.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “Ravens Ravens RB Derrick Henry is 10th all-time in rushing going into the 2026 season with 13,018 yards. A typical season would push him all the way to No. 6 on the list ( Curtis Martin , 14,101 yards), and a classic peak Henry season could propel him past Adrian Peterson at No. 5 (14,918 yards). Henry has had over 1,900 yards rushing twice in his career.”

    Tony Camino· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is being overlooked as a major value again this year. Even in a “down year,” Henry still had 16 touchdowns on his way to an RB7 finish without a full season of Lamar Jackson and on a dysfunctional offense.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026
  • “While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 18, 2026
  • “Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”

    Colt Williams· Jul 8, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jul 6, 2026
  • “Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4, 2026
  • “If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29, 2026
  • “For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jun 18, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 22
Nico Collins
WR · HOU · WR9
ADP 13.7
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · RB7
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
54% would rather draft Henry over Collins
46%Collins
54%Henry
Based on 150 comparison results