A.J. Brown vs Kenneth Walker
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 30, 2026
All time: Brown 38.3%Walker 61.7%
Should you draft A.J. Brown or Kenneth Walker?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DAL | 1.3 | WR100 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
2 | KC | 5.2 | WR72 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
3 | LAR | 19.9 | WR3 | 10 | 6 | 109 | 1 |
4 | TB | 1.7 | WR98 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
5 | DEN | 6.8 | WR51 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
6 | NYG | 11.0 | WR21 | 9 | 6 | 80 | 0 |
7 | MIN | 26.1 | WR3 | 6 | 4 | 121 | 2 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | GB | 2.3 | WR73 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
11 | DET | 8.4 | WR29 | 11 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
12 | DAL | 21.0 | WR5 | 10 | 8 | 110 | 1 |
13 | CHI | 30.2 | WR1 | 12 | 10 | 132 | 2 |
14 | LAC | 13.0 | WR16 | 13 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
15 | LV | 11.1 | WR27 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 1 |
16 | WAS | 14.0 | WR17 | 12 | 9 | 95 | 0 |
17 | BUF | 9.3 | WR31 | 7 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | GB | 20.4 | WR7 | 10 | 5 | 119 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | CLE | 20.6 | WR3 | 9 | 6 | 116 | 1 |
7 | NYG | 17.4 | WR7 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 1 |
8 | CIN | 10.9 | WR36 | 6 | 5 | 84 | 0 |
9 | JAX | 4.6 | WR62 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 0 |
10 | DAL | 13.4 | WR16 | 7 | 5 | 109 | 0 |
11 | WAS | 9.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 0 |
12 | LAR | 19.9 | WR5 | 7 | 6 | 109 | 1 |
13 | BAL | 9.1 | WR38 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 0 |
14 | CAR | 6.3 | WR46 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0 |
15 | PIT | 21.0 | WR9 | 11 | 8 | 110 | 1 |
16 | WAS | 19.7 | WR8 | 15 | 8 | 97 | 1 |
17 | DAL | 11.1 | WR36 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SF | 3.9 | RB42 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
2 | PIT | 18.3 | RB8 | 13 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
3 | NO | 17.5 | RB10 | 16 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
4 | ARI | 11.5 | RB26 | 19 | 81 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
5 | TB | 9.1 | RB26 | 10 | 86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6 | JAX | 4.2 | RB40 | 10 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
7 | HOU | 6.6 | RB28 | 17 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | WAS | 7.1 | RB28 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
10 | ARI | 7.5 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
11 | LAR | 18.6 | RB10 | 16 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 0 |
12 | TEN | 11.6 | RB17 | 11 | 71 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
13 | MIN | 8.9 | RB35 | 13 | 56 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 3.3 | RB49 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | IND | 2.4 | RB56 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
16 | LAR | 23.9 | RB7 | 11 | 100 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 64 | 0 |
17 | CAR | 6.7 | RB30 | 15 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
18 | SF | 15.3 | RB11 | 16 | 97 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DEN | 17.9 | RB8 | 20 | 103 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | DET | 31.6 | RB2 | 12 | 80 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 0 |
5 | NYG | 11.1 | RB21 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
6 | SF | 16.9 | RB13 | 14 | 32 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
7 | ATL | 22.3 | RB9 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
8 | BUF | 6.5 | RB41 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 0 |
9 | LAR | 12.2 | RB19 | 25 | 83 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | SF | 12.9 | RB15 | 14 | 54 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
12 | ARI | 11.3 | RB15 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 0 |
13 | NYJ | 5.6 | RB44 | 16 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | MIN | 9.9 | RB28 | 8 | 31 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Touchdown regression is almost certain (his former high was five, back in 2019), but I expect a dramatic rise in targets, thanks to the departure of A.J. Brown to New England, coupled with first-round rookie Makai Lemon nursing a hamstring injury in training camp.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 19“Brown has been a WR1 in fantasy points per game over the last four seasons (WR10, WR12, WR8, WR8), and I don’t see that stopping this season. Brown moves from an Eagles offense that ranked 15th in neutral passing rate to a Patriots system that ranked 9th in neutral passing rate and could climb even higher this season with the additions of Brown and Romeo Doubs this offseason.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15“02: A.J. Brown (WR – NE) Let’s return to New England with my third pick of this mock draft.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 10
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“After being traded to New England, Brown should immediately command massive volume and reclaim high-end WR1 upside, with an ascending quarterback in Drake Maye .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9“The other side of it is that the Eagles moved on from A.J. Brown this offseason”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 6“A.J. Brown (WR – NE): Up 2 spots to No. 14 – Tier 3 into Tier 2 A two-spot move that’s the most significant riser of the summer, because of where it happened. Brown crossed from Tier 3 into Tier 2, joining the elite handful of receivers the consensus treats as set-and-forget WR1s.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 24“There’s no doubting Brown’s talent; however, I do wonder if the way to replace a slot receiver (Diggs) that was the key piece of your offense is to add a physical outside receiver like Brown. There are also my concerns about his knee in the long term.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 23“At 28, Brown is a big upgrade for a Patriots passing game that ranked fifth in the league, a huge improvement from the Eagles’ 27th-ranked unit.”
Brittney Foxworth· Jul 23“A.J. Brown was the round two pick, built on a significant situational upgrade. His new offense ranked ninth in neutral passing rate last year, compared to his old offense’s 15th-ranked mark, and that gap could widen further with continued quarterback development, a new star receiver alongside him, and a tougher schedule that should force more passing.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 20“Even in a “down” season, Brown topped 1,000 yards receiving on a run-first offense and scored seven touchdowns. In ESPN’s open score and PFF’s receiving grade — both metrics that seek to evaluate a wide receiver’s performance even if he’s not targeted on a passing play — Brown ranked No. 9 and No. 13 out of over a hundred wideouts.”
Logan Ulrich· Jul 19“Getting AJ Brown, who was the WR5 over the final seven games of 2025, cannot hurt Maye. All three Ballers think he is a receiver who could truly finish as the WR1 overall.”
Colt Williams· Jul 13“Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed. Now he climbed into Maye's draft pocket, and while he can still pay off pick 16, the price feels closer to stacking tax than pure value.”
Chris Cash· Jul 9“Andrew Erickson isn't worried about A.J. Brown's "down" season. He believes it created a buying opportunity. Despite modest touchdown totals last year, Brown still produced at a high level while commanding an elite target share. Erickson expects Josh McDaniels to feature Brown as the unquestioned focal point of New England's passing attack. If that happens, Brown could easily return to top-three fantasy wide receiver production.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4“A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert each missed just one game due to injury. Brown has since been traded.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 1“Repeating a first-place ranking in both categories is unlikely, and it will be even more challenging if the offensive line can't take a step forward in protecting Maye, even with A.J. Brown added to the receiver room.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 1
“Don’t be surprised if Walker takes advantage of a light box and dominates as the featured guy in a dangerous Kansas City offense.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 26“Walker is the most interesting addition. He has good hands and could take away some short opportunities. He can also help Kansas City sustain drives, create more red zone possessions, and improve an offense that ranked only 15th in points last season.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23“The final piece of evidence I lay before the court is that of the brand-new, three-year, $45.04m contract of a man who has disintegrated the pants of one Mike Wright these last few months…Mr Kenneth Walker. Looking back at the long list of RBs Kansas City have deployed since the days of Jamaal Charles, only Kareem Hunt and most recently Isaiah Pacheco have given this run game any kind of consistency…until now.”
PaulMarnie· Aug 23
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“Round 13: Travis Kelce (TE – KC) The Chiefs didn’t add any new weapons besides Kenneth Walker III .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“That should change with the arrival of big-play RB Kenneth Walker III.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“Check out all of DBro’s top fantasy football draft picks to target >> Kenneth Walker III (RB – KC) The Chiefs have had a plodding backfield in recent years, with Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt producing few explosives in the running game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“Selected with the final pick in the first round, Seattle brought in Jadarian Price to immediately slide into the vacancy that Kenneth Walker III left behind.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 19“Last year, he orchestrated one of the most dynamic rushing attacks in the league, ultimately leading Kenneth Walker to a Super Bowl MVP accolade.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“According to Fantasy Points Data, the Chiefs saw a two-high safety look at the third-highest rate in the NFL last year. If defenses continue to defend Kansas City with that look, Walker will take advantage of the light box. He had the second-highest explosive run rate (8.1%) among qualifying running backs last season (per Fantasy Points Data).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 18“However, Kenneth Walker III will be the workhorse of this offense and should see an uptick in usage in the passing game, especially with Patrick Mahomes coming off his ACL injury.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 16“Reportedly, the Chiefs will make Kenneth Walker III their featured running back, including in the passing game.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 12“With Zach Charbonnet injured, Walker had a ridiculously productive postseason run last season: 65 carries, 313 rushing yards, four touchdowns, nine receptions, 104 receiving yards.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 12“Seattle let Kenneth Walker III go despite Zach Charbonnet still recovering from his ACL injury.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 11“Kenneth Walker III (RB – KC) Currently RB9 in dynasty ECR, one analyst believes Walker is at his absolute peak value right now given the wave of hype around his move to a new, higher-profile situation, valuing him personally much lower. The concern is a real track record of not handling a massive workload, with his new team’s added backfield depth suggesting the coaching staff may share that concern.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9“The opportunity ahead of Walker in the Chiefs offense could push him into the elite fantasy production tier, as Kansas City has lacked a top-end RB in Andy Reid’s offense for some time. If Walker can stay on the field, he should have every chance to be a great value in the second round of drafts.”
Kurt Mullen· Aug 7