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A.J. Brown vs Derrick Henry

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Sep 1, 2026

ADP 19.4
A.J. Brown
WR · NE · WR7
ADP 16.4
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · RB10
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
73.5% would rather draft Henry over Brown

All time: Brown 40.9%Henry 59.1%

26.5%Brown
73.5%Henry

Should you draft A.J. Brown or Derrick Henry?

Last season — 2025, per game

Brown15 games
2025
Henry17 games
12.1Fantasy pts16.0
15Games17
0.0Carries18.1
0Rush yds94
0.0Yds/carry5.2
8.1Targets1.2
5.2Rec0.9
67Rec yds9
0.5TD0.9
Full game log & past seasons
A.J. Brown
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
DAL
1.3
WR100
1
1
8
0
2
KC
5.2
WR72
8
5
27
0
3
LAR
19.9
WR3
10
6
109
1
4
TB
1.7
WR98
9
2
7
0
5
DEN
6.8
WR51
8
5
43
0
6
NYG
11.0
WR21
9
6
80
0
7
MIN
26.1
WR3
6
4
121
2
8
9
10
GB
2.3
WR73
3
2
13
0
11
DET
8.4
WR29
11
7
49
0
12
DAL
21.0
WR5
10
8
110
1
13
CHI
30.2
WR1
12
10
132
2
14
LAC
13.0
WR16
13
6
100
0
15
LV
11.1
WR27
2
2
41
1
16
WAS
14.0
WR17
12
9
95
0
17
BUF
9.3
WR31
7
5
68
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
GB
20.4
WR7
10
5
119
1
2
3
4
5
6
CLE
20.6
WR3
9
6
116
1
7
NYG
17.4
WR7
5
5
89
1
8
CIN
10.9
WR36
6
5
84
0
9
JAX
4.6
WR62
4
2
36
0
10
DAL
13.4
WR16
7
5
109
0
11
WAS
9.0
WR36
8
5
65
0
12
LAR
19.9
WR5
7
6
109
1
13
BAL
9.1
WR38
6
5
66
0
14
CAR
6.3
WR46
4
4
43
0
15
PIT
21.0
WR9
11
8
110
1
16
WAS
19.7
WR8
15
8
97
1
17
DAL
11.1
WR36
5
3
36
1
Derrick Henry
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
BUF
28.7
RB1
18
169
2
1
1
13
0
2
CLE
2.3
RB59
11
23
0
0
0
0
0
3
DET
10.2
RB22
12
50
1
1
1
7
0
4
KC
6.8
RB42
8
42
0
3
2
16
0
5
HOU
9.3
RB25
15
33
1
1
0
0
0
6
LAR
13.5
RB13
24
122
0
2
1
8
0
7
8
CHI
19.1
RB8
21
71
2
1
0
0
0
9
MIA
12.6
RB14
19
119
0
1
1
2
0
10
MIN
9.9
RB23
20
75
0
3
3
9
0
11
CLE
19.2
RB7
18
103
1
2
2
19
0
12
NYJ
21.8
RB4
21
64
2
2
2
24
0
13
CIN
16.9
RB10
10
60
1
1
1
44
0
14
PIT
10.7
RB23
25
94
0
2
1
8
0
15
CIN
10.0
RB27
11
100
0
0
0
0
0
16
NE
22.8
RB8
18
128
2
0
0
0
0
17
GB
45.6
RB1
36
216
4
0
0
0
0
18
PIT
12.6
RB14
20
126
0
1
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
KC
10.6
RB30
13
46
1
2
0
0
0
2
LV
16.1
RB9
18
84
1
1
1
12
0
3
DAL
29.9
RB3
25
151
2
1
1
23
0
4
BUF
34.4
RB1
24
199
1
3
3
10
1
5
CIN
16.1
RB7
15
92
1
1
1
4
0
6
WAS
25.2
RB3
24
132
2
0
0
0
0
7
TB
24.7
RB5
15
169
0
1
1
13
1
8
CLE
14.2
RB18
11
73
1
1
1
4
0
9
DEN
25.8
RB3
23
106
2
1
1
27
0
10
CIN
13.6
RB12
16
68
1
1
1
3
0
11
PIT
10.5
RB22
13
65
1
0
0
0
0
12
LAC
14.0
RB12
24
140
0
0
0
0
0
13
PHI
12.6
RB19
19
82
0
3
3
29
0
14
15
NYG
6.7
RB36
14
67
0
0
0
0
0
16
PIT
19.9
RB11
24
162
0
2
2
27
0
17
HOU
23.5
RB3
27
147
1
2
2
18
0
18
CLE
29.1
RB3
20
138
2
3
2
23
0

Latest takes

A.J. Brown
  • Touchdown regression is almost certain (his former high was five, back in 2019), but I expect a dramatic rise in targets, thanks to the departure of A.J. Brown to New England, coupled with first-round rookie Makai Lemon nursing a hamstring injury in training camp.

  • Brown has been a WR1 in fantasy points per game over the last four seasons (WR10, WR12, WR8, WR8), and I don’t see that stopping this season. Brown moves from an Eagles offense that ranked 15th in neutral passing rate to a Patriots system that ranked 9th in neutral passing rate and could climb even higher this season with the additions of Brown and Romeo Doubs this offseason.

  • 02: A.J. Brown (WR – NE) Let’s return to New England with my third pick of this mock draft.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 10
See 12 more
  • After being traded to New England, Brown should immediately command massive volume and reclaim high-end WR1 upside, with an ascending quarterback in Drake Maye .

  • The other side of it is that the Eagles moved on from A.J. Brown this offseason

  • A.J. Brown (WR – NE): Up 2 spots to No. 14 – Tier 3 into Tier 2 A two-spot move that’s the most significant riser of the summer, because of where it happened. Brown crossed from Tier 3 into Tier 2, joining the elite handful of receivers the consensus treats as set-and-forget WR1s.

  • There’s no doubting Brown’s talent; however, I do wonder if the way to replace a slot receiver (Diggs) that was the key piece of your offense is to add a physical outside receiver like Brown. There are also my concerns about his knee in the long term.

  • At 28, Brown is a big upgrade for a Patriots passing game that ranked fifth in the league, a huge improvement from the Eagles’ 27th-ranked unit.

  • A.J. Brown was the round two pick, built on a significant situational upgrade. His new offense ranked ninth in neutral passing rate last year, compared to his old offense’s 15th-ranked mark, and that gap could widen further with continued quarterback development, a new star receiver alongside him, and a tougher schedule that should force more passing.

  • Even in a “down” season, Brown topped 1,000 yards receiving on a run-first offense and scored seven touchdowns. In ESPN’s open score and PFF’s receiving grade — both metrics that seek to evaluate a wide receiver’s performance even if he’s not targeted on a passing play — Brown ranked No. 9 and No. 13 out of over a hundred wideouts.

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 19
  • Getting AJ Brown, who was the WR5 over the final seven games of 2025, cannot hurt Maye. All three Ballers think he is a receiver who could truly finish as the WR1 overall.

    Colt Williams· Jul 13
  • Brown gives Drake Maye the true alpha this offense needed. Now he climbed into Maye's draft pocket, and while he can still pay off pick 16, the price feels closer to stacking tax than pure value.

    Chris Cash· Jul 9
  • Andrew Erickson isn't worried about A.J. Brown's "down" season. He believes it created a buying opportunity. Despite modest touchdown totals last year, Brown still produced at a high level while commanding an elite target share. Erickson expects Josh McDaniels to feature Brown as the unquestioned focal point of New England's passing attack. If that happens, Brown could easily return to top-three fantasy wide receiver production.

  • A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert each missed just one game due to injury. Brown has since been traded.

  • Repeating a first-place ranking in both categories is unlikely, and it will be even more challenging if the offensive line can't take a step forward in protecting Maye, even with A.J. Brown added to the receiver room.

Derrick Henry
  • Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) Derrick Henry continues to defy every aging curve. He produced 1,595 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns on 307 carries last season and finished as the RB8 with 279.5 PPR points .

  • 2.11: Derrick Henry (RB – BAL It’s very rare for me to draft two running backs in the first two rounds in PPR leagues, but I can’t pass up Derrick Henry this late in the second round. Having another pick in three turns to grab a pass-catcher definitely helps in this scenario.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25
  • While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 18
See 12 more
  • Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) Even dating back to his time with the Titans, Derrick Henry has been a massively consistent running back for fantasy football. Since 2023, he’s finished as a top-10 running back in PPR formats (and even better in standard leagues).

  • Derrick Henry – 19.2 Joining that contract range this offseason: De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker

  • Derrick Henry (BAL) — ECR: RB11 | Projection Rank: RB5 | Projected FPTS: 264.

  • Yesterday, I was speaking with Football Absurdity hair model Waleed Ismail about an auction team he mock drafted where he went heavy RB (Bijan, Hampton, Derrick Henry), and paid down at WR (Carnell Tate, Parker Washington).

    Tony Martin· Jul 30
  • Overall, the increase of under-center snaps favors Derrick Henry , which poses a specific siphoning risk related to rushing TD opportunity.

  • Other skill-position players with a similar LTV include fellow veteran Derrick Henry and Sam LaPorta.

  • Baltimore now turns to head coach Jesse Minter, whose offseason reviews highlight a more explosive and creative scheme. That shift should benefit Henry's usage and the offense as a whole. The veteran's current average draft position in the middle rounds is a clear value.

  • Every season, managers expect Derrick Henry to decline, and every season he proves them wrong. Henry turned 32 in January, yet his power, durability and efficiency remain intact. He finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year with 279.5 fantasy points and continues to play well beyond typical age curves.

  • Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.

  • Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.

    Dennis Sosic· Jul 6
  • Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.

  • While some won't draft Henry for fear his age makes him an injury risk, the veteran has played in at least 15 games in all but one year of his career, including 17 contests in three consecutive seasons. He was RB8 last year, averaging 16.4 PPR fantasy points per game despite totaling only 15 receptions, 18 fewer than any other running back to finish top 20.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 3