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Josh Allen
vs Derrick Henry

2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR

Josh Allen
QB · BUF
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL

The crowd’s lean

Week 5

No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.

This week

WEEK 5

Allen

at LAR

Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET

Henry

at ATL

Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET

22.5

Projected

16.8

Projected

Half-PPR
projection

2026 season, per game

AllenHenry
28.7Fantasy pts21.8
4Games4
260Pass yds—
—Pass TD—
—INT—
8.3Carries22.3
30Rush yds94
3.6Yds/carry4.2
—Targets1.8
—Receptions1.8
—Receiving yds—
—Touchdowns—
AllenHenry
22.0Fantasy pts16.0
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries18.1
34Rush yds94
5.2Yds/carry5.2
0.0Targets1.2
0.0Receptions0.9
0Receiving yds9
0.8Touchdowns0.9
Full game log & past seasons +
Josh Allen
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
—
35.7
QB2
29
20
334
2
—
23
2
2
—
40.8
QB1
31
20
248
3
—
69
2
3
—
19.0
QB18
26
16
204
—
2
22
2
4
—
19.5
QB10
33
23
253
1
1
4
1
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
—
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
—
—
59
—
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
—
25
—
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
—
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
—
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
—
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
—
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
—
2
20
—
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
—
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
—
48
—
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
—
—
17
—
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
—
—
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
—
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
—
2
—
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
—
44
—
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
—
—
21
—
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
—
54
—
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
—
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
—
1
—
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
—
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
—
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
—
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
—
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
—
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
—
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
—
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
—
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Derrick Henry
2026 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
—
34.8
RB1
24
144
3
1
1
19
—
2
—
16.2
RB7
16
68
1
3
3
19
—
3
—
21.4
RB3
26
89
2
1
1
—
—
4
—
14.9
RB17
23
73
1
2
2
6
—
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
BUF
28.7
RB1
18
169
2
1
1
13
—
2
CLE
2.3
RB59
11
23
—
—
—
—
—
3
DET
10.2
RB22
12
50
1
1
1
7
—
4
KC
6.8
RB42
8
42
—
3
2
16
—
5
HOU
9.3
RB25
15
33
1
1
—
—
—
6
LAR
13.5
RB13
24
122
—
2
1
8
—
7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
8
CHI
19.1
RB8
21
71
2
1
—
—
—
9
MIA
12.6
RB14
19
119
—
1
1
2
—
10
MIN
9.9
RB23
20
75
—
3
3
9
—
11
CLE
19.2
RB7
18
103
1
2
2
19
—
12
NYJ
21.8
RB4
21
64
2
2
2
24
—
13
CIN
16.9
RB10
10
60
1
1
1
44
—
14
PIT
10.7
RB23
25
94
—
2
1
8
—
15
CIN
10.0
RB27
11
100
—
—
—
—
—
16
NE
22.8
RB8
18
128
2
—
—
—
—
17
GB
45.6
RB1
36
216
4
—
—
—
—
18
PIT
12.6
RB14
20
126
—
1
—
—
—
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
KC
10.6
RB30
13
46
1
2
—
—
—
2
LV
16.1
RB9
18
84
1
1
1
12
—
3
DAL
29.9
RB3
25
151
2
1
1
23
—
4
BUF
34.4
RB1
24
199
1
3
3
10
1
5
CIN
16.1
RB7
15
92
1
1
1
4
—
6
WAS
25.2
RB3
24
132
2
—
—
—
—
7
TB
24.7
RB5
15
169
—
1
1
13
1
8
CLE
14.2
RB18
11
73
1
1
1
4
—
9
DEN
25.8
RB3
23
106
2
1
1
27
—
10
CIN
13.6
RB12
16
68
1
1
1
3
—
11
PIT
10.5
RB22
13
65
1
—
—
—
—
12
LAC
14.0
RB12
24
140
—
—
—
—
—
13
PHI
12.6
RB19
19
82
—
3
3
29
—
14
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
15
NYG
6.7
RB36
14
67
—
—
—
—
—
16
PIT
19.9
RB11
24
162
—
2
2
27
—
17
HOU
23.5
RB3
27
147
1
2
2
18
—
18
CLE
29.1
RB3
20
138
2
3
2
23
—

Expert takes

Josh Allen
  • “Josh Allen averaged 21.6 passing points per game (standard scoring) across the first two weeks of the season. Over the last two, he’s been at 7.1.”

    The FF Newsletter· Oct 8, 2026
  • “Only Josh Allen has run hotter, and we saw Allen hit a spot of regression last week. The 49ers are stacking enough injuries to impact things, too. It sounds as if Trent Williams will be good for Sunday.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026
  • “LAC | DraftKings: $8,000/FanDuel: $9,100* It’s odd to say Josh Allen could be a contrarian play, but his rostership should come in very moderate this week. There’s a $500 difference between Allen and Lamar Jackson , and Jackson is in a high-volume matchup against Dallas, making him a popular play this week. Playing Allen doesn’t need much justification.”

    Tera Roberts· Sep 26, 2026
See 10 more
  • “Josh Allen should meet little resistance, and James Cook can gash them on the ground, too.”

    Josh Shepardson· Sep 24, 2026
  • “Bills Fantasy Quarterback Preview Josh Allen (TRUST) We could be seeing the best season of Allen's career, which is saying something. We are only two weeks in, so we will keep things in check, but Allen is averaging career-highs in touchdown rate (8.3%), yards per pass attempt (9.7), and yards per completion (14.6). The Bills are throwing more, and they are throwing it downfield, something we were betting on this offseason.”

    Rich Hribar· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Last Thursday, Allen ran in Buffalo’s first TD himself , then proceeded to spread the love to Joshua Palmer , Dawson Knox , and Dalton Kincaid before running in another TD himself for good measure. Only then did he finally hand it off to Cook for Buffalo’s sixth and final trip to the end zone. But this was ultimately the Josh Allen show, which is exactly why he lands among our overachievers this week.”

    Brooke Morgan· Sep 23, 2026
  • “Josh Allen remains a two-way scoring threat for the second straight week — 2 rushing TDs again. Another dual-threat scoring day (20-of-31 for 248, 3 TD passes, plus 14 carries for 69 yards with the aforementioned scores). Buffalo opened with a notable heavy package: three tight ends on the field to start.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “Houston Texans Hot take alert: Josh Allen is good at football. The Bills quarterback supermanned his squad to a win over the vaunted Texans defense, creating big play after big play and frustrating an extremely talented unit on the other side. Offseason acquisition D.J.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 15, 2026
  • “Josh Allen led Buffalo to a 36-31 victory on the road against Houston, finally able to shake the monkey from his back at Reliant Stadium. A 34-yard touchdown pass to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining in the game proved to be the decisive score and the cherry on top of Allen’s four-touchdown masterpiece. Houston’s typically stingy defense surrendered 334 passing yards and was unable to contain Allen on the ground as a runner, allowing him to score two rushing touchdowns.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “BUF @ HOU (BUF-1.5, O/U 44.5) Josh Allen ranks as the Ballers consensus QB9 behind some names that may be on your waiver wire. However, the Ballers recommend starting Allen over names like Stafford and Goff, who rank above him this week. DJ Moore ranks as a potential FLEX play, but lower your expectations against Houston’s defense.”

    Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
  • “1 — Josh Allen , Buffalo Bills Allen is a model of consistency. In two of the last three years, his adjusted completion rate was above 76 percent. His big-time throw rate went from 6.1 percent in 2023 to 7.0 percent in 2024 to 5.1 percent in 2025, all while keeping his turnover-worthy play rate below three percent.”

    Ethan Woodie· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Josh Allen is always startable, but temper expectations slightly. The Rams play the 49ers in East Melbourne on Thursday night (Netflix), a marquee international matchup between two top-10 offenses. Both SF (+0.09) and LA (+0.14) have the firepower to put up big numbers – your Rams and 49ers skill players are strong plays.”

    Samuel DiSorbo· Sep 10, 2026
  • “Patrick Mahomes has led the league in passing yards once, and Josh Allen has yet to do it at all.”

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 31, 2026
Derrick Henry
  • “Derrick Henry should see more volume this week and is an auto-start.”

    Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026
  • “Favorite Leverage: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry might be the best pure leverage play on the slate. Lamar projects within a couple of points of Lawrence and Allen, but we are getting him at a fraction of the ownership with the same kind of slate-breaking ceiling against the worst team in the league. Henry likely trails CMC in the receiving game, but Henry is more likely to score two rushing TDs.”

    Chris Cash· Oct 3, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is the first player to make a second appearance in the 10 Most Intriguing article. How could we omit King Henry in a week when he faces his former team, the Tennessee Titans, for the first time ever? Henry played for the Titans from 2016 to 2023.”

    Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
  • “Derrick Henry did almost all of his damage in the first half (11 carries, 51 yards, the touchdown) before falling off to just 5 carries for 17 yards after intermission as Baltimore’s offense stalled. He got 75% of his rushing yardage in the first half alone, before Baltimore’s offense went cold in the fourth quarter. Overall usage: 16 carries for 68 yards (1 TD), plus a true 4 targets/4 rec/28 yds once his penalty-erased catch is counted.”

    Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026
  • “There is always concern about Henry’s red zone work being siphoned off by the legs of Lamar Jackson , and while the Ravens QB did have a rushing TD, Henry got plenty of work inside the 20, leading the league in rushing yards in the red zone this week. The consistency that Henry brings near paydirt should keep him as a regular on this list for most of the season.”

    Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
  • “The ageless Derrick Henry rushed for 144 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries Sunday, becoming the focal point for the offense after receivers Zay Flowers and Jakobi Lane left with injuries.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026
  • “Ravens Ravens RB Derrick Henry is 10th all-time in rushing going into the 2026 season with 13,018 yards. A typical season would push him all the way to No. 6 on the list ( Curtis Martin , 14,101 yards), and a classic peak Henry season could propel him past Adrian Peterson at No. 5 (14,918 yards). Henry has had over 1,900 yards rushing twice in his career.”

    Tony Camino· Sep 11, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is being overlooked as a major value again this year. Even in a “down year,” Henry still had 16 touchdowns on his way to an RB7 finish without a full season of Lamar Jackson and on a dysfunctional offense.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026
  • “While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 18, 2026
  • “Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”

    Colt Williams· Jul 8, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jul 6, 2026
  • “Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4, 2026
  • “If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”

    FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29, 2026
  • “For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”

    Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026
  • “Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”

    Dennis Sosic· Jun 18, 2026

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Past weeks
Draft history and ADP
ADP 20.5
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 13.7
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · RB7
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
61.5% would rather draft Henry over Allen
38.5%Allen
61.5%Henry
Based on 291 comparison results