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Josh Allen vs Derrick Henry

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 20, 2026

ADP 22.9
Josh Allen
QB · BUF · QB1
ADP 17.8
Derrick Henry
RB · BAL · RB12
VS
The crowd's leanDiffers from all time
72.4% would rather draft Henry over Allen

All time: Allen 43.9%Henry 56.1%

27.6%Allen
72.4%Henry

Should you draft Josh Allen or Derrick Henry?

Last season — 2025, per game

AllenQB1 finish
2025
HenryRB7 finish
22.0Fantasy pts16.0
17Games17
216Pass yds0
1.5Pass TD0.0
0.6INT0.0
6.6Carries18.1
34Rush yds94
5.2Yds/carry5.2
0.0Targets1.2
0.0Rec0.9
0Rec yds9
0.8TD0.9
Full game log & past seasons
Josh Allen
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
BAL
38.8
QB1
46
33
394
2
0
30
2
2
NYJ
11.8
QB25
25
14
148
0
0
59
0
3
MIA
23.0
QB5
28
22
213
3
0
25
0
4
NO
25.9
QB7
22
16
209
2
1
45
1
5
NE
20.4
QB12
31
22
253
2
1
53
0
6
ATL
17.4
QB17
26
15
180
2
2
42
0
7
8
CAR
23.2
QB9
19
12
163
1
0
7
2
9
KC
28.8
QB3
26
23
273
1
0
19
2
10
MIA
20.3
QB8
40
28
306
2
1
31
0
11
TB
44.7
QB1
30
19
317
3
2
40
3
12
HOU
10.1
QB22
34
24
253
0
2
20
0
13
PIT
17.7
QB13
23
15
123
1
1
38
1
14
CIN
37.8
QB1
28
22
251
3
0
78
1
15
NE
24.5
QB6
28
19
193
3
0
48
0
16
CLE
6.9
QB27
19
12
130
0
0
17
0
17
PHI
23.2
QB6
35
23
262
0
0
27
2
18
NYJ
0.0
QB42
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTCMPYDTDINTRuYDRuTD
1
ARI
31.2
QB1
23
18
232
2
0
39
2
2
MIA
9.8
QB28
19
13
139
1
0
2
0
3
JAX
30.9
QB1
30
23
263
4
0
44
0
4
BAL
7.3
QB28
29
16
180
0
0
21
0
5
HOU
14.6
QB19
30
9
131
1
0
54
0
6
NYJ
24.4
QB5
25
19
215
2
0
18
1
7
TEN
21.0
QB6
33
21
323
2
0
1
0
8
SEA
20.8
QB14
34
24
283
2
1
25
0
9
MIA
23.1
QB7
39
25
235
3
1
7
0
10
IND
20.2
QB7
37
22
280
0
2
50
1
11
KC
25.0
QB7
40
27
262
1
1
55
1
12
13
SF
28.4
QB3
17
13
148
2
0
18
1
14
LAR
51.9
QB1
37
22
342
3
0
82
3
15
DET
41.3
QB1
34
23
362
2
0
68
2
16
NE
12.2
QB24
29
16
154
1
1
30
0
17
NYJ
23.0
QB12
27
16
182
2
0
17
1
18
NE
0.0
QB45
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Derrick Henry
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
BUF
28.7
RB1
18
169
2
1
1
13
0
2
CLE
2.3
RB59
11
23
0
0
0
0
0
3
DET
10.2
RB22
12
50
1
1
1
7
0
4
KC
6.8
RB42
8
42
0
3
2
16
0
5
HOU
9.3
RB25
15
33
1
1
0
0
0
6
LAR
13.5
RB13
24
122
0
2
1
8
0
7
8
CHI
19.1
RB8
21
71
2
1
0
0
0
9
MIA
12.6
RB14
19
119
0
1
1
2
0
10
MIN
9.9
RB23
20
75
0
3
3
9
0
11
CLE
19.2
RB7
18
103
1
2
2
19
0
12
NYJ
21.8
RB4
21
64
2
2
2
24
0
13
CIN
16.9
RB10
10
60
1
1
1
44
0
14
PIT
10.7
RB23
25
94
0
2
1
8
0
15
CIN
10.0
RB27
11
100
0
0
0
0
0
16
NE
22.8
RB8
18
128
2
0
0
0
0
17
GB
45.6
RB1
36
216
4
0
0
0
0
18
PIT
12.6
RB14
20
126
0
1
0
0
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKATTYDTDTGTRECRYDRTD
1
KC
10.6
RB30
13
46
1
2
0
0
0
2
LV
16.1
RB9
18
84
1
1
1
12
0
3
DAL
29.9
RB3
25
151
2
1
1
23
0
4
BUF
34.4
RB1
24
199
1
3
3
10
1
5
CIN
16.1
RB7
15
92
1
1
1
4
0
6
WAS
25.2
RB3
24
132
2
0
0
0
0
7
TB
24.7
RB5
15
169
0
1
1
13
1
8
CLE
14.2
RB18
11
73
1
1
1
4
0
9
DEN
25.8
RB3
23
106
2
1
1
27
0
10
CIN
13.6
RB12
16
68
1
1
1
3
0
11
PIT
10.5
RB22
13
65
1
0
0
0
0
12
LAC
14.0
RB12
24
140
0
0
0
0
0
13
PHI
12.6
RB19
19
82
0
3
3
29
0
14
15
NYG
6.7
RB36
14
67
0
0
0
0
0
16
PIT
19.9
RB11
24
162
0
2
2
27
0
17
HOU
23.5
RB3
27
147
1
2
2
18
0
18
CLE
29.1
RB3
20
138
2
3
2
23
0

Latest takes

Josh Allen
  • Leaving a crowded receiver room in Chicago for Buffalo in the offseason, Moore becomes the de facto first read for Josh Allen on all passing plays.

  • In fact, he and Josh Allen are the only two QBs to have 300 fantasy points in each of the last two seasons.

    Ellis Johnson· Aug 19
  • Josh Allen should be the undisputed QB1, but the weekly scoring gap at the position is very narrow. Last season, the difference between Allen, the QB1, and Daniel Jones , the QB18, was only four fantasy points per game. With the position so deep, this further strengthens the case for a late-round quarterback strategy in 2026.

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 18
See 12 more
  • While there are five quarterbacks in this tier, Allen stands clearly ahead of the rest. The superstar has finished as a top-five quarterback in six consecutive seasons despite not having a go-to No. 1 wide receiver since the Bills traded away Stefon Diggs.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 16
  • Bills QB Josh Allen is an amazing football player and a time-tested fantasy asset.

  • Josh Allen is microwave popcorn because when he gets hot, he absolutely pops off. One explosive play turns into another, the TDs start piling up, and suddenly you are staring at a fantasy score that felt impossible just a few quarters ago.

    Brooke Morgan· Aug 12
  • There’s no doubt that quarterbacks like Allen, Jackson, Drake Maye, and more should score more, but drafting any in the first few rounds is a bad idea.

  • Most notably, he oversaw the development of Josh Allen as Offensive Coordinator in Buffalo from 2018 through 2021.

    Kyle Lesti· Aug 11
  • The Sharp Football Analysis projections are aggressive in factoring in increased passing from Allen and are well above the Vegas passing yards total. ESPN’s publicly available projections have a moderate increase in passing attempts and yardage from last year and are still more than 300 yards over the passing total.

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 10
  • Since the start of 2022, Allen is second in EPA per play and has finished among the top four quarterbacks in EPA per play in every single year.

    Curtis Hirsch· Aug 10
  • Josh Allen , Patrick Mahomes , Brock Purdy , Dak Prescott , and Jared Goff were the only quarterbacks selected as top-12 players who were also top 12 in points per game.

    Rich Hribar· Aug 5
  • Josh Allen 2026 Over/Under Predictions The Buffalo offense played at the league's slowest pace and ran the ball at the second-highest rate last season, which seems very counterintuitive for a team with Josh Allen at quarterback.

  • Josh Allen is once again the consensus QB1 in fantasy. He finished QB1 in fantasy scoring last season for the fourth time in the last six years. After down years from Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts , the gap between Allen and other fantasy QBs seems to have widened.

  • There is hope that a healthy Kincaid can live up to the hype that he has carried since entering the league as a first-round pick in the NFL Draft and be an elite TE option in an offense with Josh Allen .

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
  • With the first pick in the draft, Mike takes what feels like an obvious choice of Josh Allen, who has finished as the QB1 overall in four of the last six seasons.

    Kurt Mullen· Jul 29
Derrick Henry
  • While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 18
  • Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) Even dating back to his time with the Titans, Derrick Henry has been a massively consistent running back for fantasy football. Since 2023, he’s finished as a top-10 running back in PPR formats (and even better in standard leagues).

  • Derrick Henry – 19.2 Joining that contract range this offseason: De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker

See 12 more
  • Derrick Henry (BAL) — ECR: RB11 | Projection Rank: RB5 | Projected FPTS: 264.

  • Yesterday, I was speaking with Football Absurdity hair model Waleed Ismail about an auction team he mock drafted where he went heavy RB (Bijan, Hampton, Derrick Henry), and paid down at WR (Carnell Tate, Parker Washington).

    Tony Martin· Jul 30
  • Overall, the increase of under-center snaps favors Derrick Henry , which poses a specific siphoning risk related to rushing TD opportunity.

  • Derrick Henry (BAL) — ECR: RB11 | Projection Rank: RB6 | Projected FPTS: 264.0 Last year was another impressive year for Derrick Henry . He didn’t show any signs of slowing down with 307 rushing attempts, 1.595 rushing yards, 16 total touchdowns, and an RB8 finish in fantasy points per game.

  • Other skill-position players with a similar LTV include fellow veteran Derrick Henry and Sam LaPorta.

  • Baltimore now turns to head coach Jesse Minter, whose offseason reviews highlight a more explosive and creative scheme. That shift should benefit Henry's usage and the offense as a whole. The veteran's current average draft position in the middle rounds is a clear value.

  • Every season, managers expect Derrick Henry to decline, and every season he proves them wrong. Henry turned 32 in January, yet his power, durability and efficiency remain intact. He finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year with 279.5 fantasy points and continues to play well beyond typical age curves.

  • Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.

  • Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.

    Dennis Sosic· Jul 6
  • Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.

  • While some won't draft Henry for fear his age makes him an injury risk, the veteran has played in at least 15 games in all but one year of his career, including 17 contests in three consecutive seasons. He was RB8 last year, averaging 16.4 PPR fantasy points per game despite totaling only 15 receptions, 18 fewer than any other running back to finish top 20.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 3
  • If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.