Jaylen Waddle
vs TreVeyon Henderson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Waddle
at LAC
Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET
Henderson
vs LV
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
10.1
Projected
9.5
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 0.7 | WR103 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
2 | — | 17.8 | WR12 | 10 | 8 | 138 | — |
3 | — | 5.4 | WR64 | 7 | 2 | 10 | — |
4 | — | 12.0 | WR25 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 5.0 | WR57 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
2 | NE | 15.3 | WR14 | 6 | 5 | 68 | 1 |
3 | BUF | 12.4 | WR23 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 1 |
4 | NYJ | 6.3 | WR47 | 6 | 3 | 48 | — |
5 | CAR | 20.0 | WR4 | 9 | 6 | 110 | 1 |
6 | LAC | 12.8 | WR17 | 8 | 6 | 95 | — |
7 | CLE | 2.0 | WR86 | 4 | 1 | 15 | — |
8 | ATL | 18.4 | WR4 | 6 | 5 | 99 | 1 |
9 | BAL | 11.2 | WR27 | 9 | 6 | 82 | — |
10 | BUF | 16.9 | WR11 | 7 | 5 | 84 | 1 |
11 | WAS | 6.7 | WR40 | 7 | 3 | 52 | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | NO | 5.5 | WR48 | 6 | 3 | 40 | — |
14 | NYJ | 15.6 | WR10 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 1 |
15 | PIT | 3.6 | WR72 | 4 | 2 | 26 | — |
16 | CIN | 9.7 | WR29 | 9 | 5 | 72 | — |
17 | TB | 0.7 | WR118 | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 13.7 | WR17 | 5 | 5 | 109 | — |
2 | BUF | 6.5 | WR39 | 4 | 4 | 41 | — |
3 | SEA | 4.6 | WR68 | 5 | 4 | 26 | — |
4 | TEN | 5.6 | WR60 | 6 | 4 | 36 | — |
5 | NE | 6.6 | WR48 | 8 | 4 | 46 | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | IND | 1.6 | WR93 | 2 | 1 | 11 | — |
8 | ARI | 6.5 | WR56 | 6 | 4 | 45 | — |
9 | BUF | 6.6 | WR46 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
10 | LAR | 7.1 | WR35 | 6 | 3 | 57 | — |
11 | LV | 4.7 | WR57 | 3 | 2 | 37 | — |
12 | NE | 24.4 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 144 | 1 |
13 | GB | 9.3 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 53 | — |
14 | NYJ | 16.4 | WR16 | 12 | 9 | 99 | — |
15 | HOU | 0.0 | WR138 | 2 | — | — | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | NYJ | 7.0 | WR52 | 9 | 4 | 44 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | 13.6 | RB9 | 16 | 76 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | 3.4 | RB44 | 8 | 23 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
4 | — | 4.2 | RB47 | 14 | 42 | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LV | 8.1 | RB26 | 5 | 27 | — | 6 | 6 | 24 | — |
2 | MIA | 5.0 | RB42 | 3 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 30 | — |
3 | PIT | 6.2 | RB36 | 11 | 28 | — | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
4 | CAR | 11.6 | RB25 | 7 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — |
5 | BUF | 3.7 | RB43 | 6 | 24 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | — |
6 | NO | 4.1 | RB42 | 9 | 27 | — | 2 | 1 | 9 | — |
7 | TEN | 0.5 | RB69 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CLE | 5.5 | RB34 | 10 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | ATL | 10.7 | RB20 | 14 | 55 | — | 6 | 4 | 32 | — |
10 | TB | 27.5 | RB4 | 14 | 147 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
11 | NYJ | 29.8 | RB3 | 19 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 1 |
12 | CIN | 9.6 | RB21 | 18 | 66 | — | 4 | 3 | 15 | — |
13 | NYG | 10.1 | RB30 | 11 | 67 | — | 4 | 3 | 19 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | BUF | 29.1 | RB3 | 14 | 148 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | — |
16 | BAL | 1.7 | RB61 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | — |
17 | NYJ | 8.2 | RB24 | 19 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | MIA | 17.3 | RB7 | 13 | 53 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Expert takes
“Waddle has a 19.3% target share, 1.70 YPRR, two red zone targets, four deep targets, and a 28.2% first-read share. It has been tough when you can see Waddle getting open on film, but he can’t toss the ball to himself. If Bo Nix can get himself together this week, Waddle could have a nice game, but that’s a huge question mark.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“His 8.0 FPPG are well below every other receiver on your roster, and even though I have voiced my concern over Denzel Boston ’s season-long outlook, Waddle is no more than your WR4…arguably your WR5 behind Matthew Golden , so I would have no hesitation in trading him away for a solid RB2 who may also be currently underperforming; but who could you target? We can split this list into “ guys who are significantly underperforming compared to their draft spot ” and “ guys who are significantly overperforming compared to their draft spot ”…with both offering potential for a bargain. Let’s start with the underperformers.”
PaulMarnie· Oct 3, 2026“Nix/Waddle is a bet on DEN getting its TDs through the air, and I would keep that as a secondary tournament build.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
See 8 more
“Jaylen Waddle was the prince who was promised to solve all of Denver’s offensive issues and to finally be the joker that Sean Payton craved for the Broncos. Unfortunately, over four games, he has as many weekly finishes below 5.5 half-PPR points as he does above 12.0. half-PPR points While it can be frustrating to see that kind of return from Waddle, it’s abundantly clear when you look at the film and the stats that this isn’t on him.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“This year, we have JK Dobbins swearing to the old gods and new that he will play 17 games, and a rookie RB Jonah Coleman getting rave reviews in camp (ready to step in when Dobbins does inevitably get hurt); Jaylen Waddle is exactly what this team needs offensively , offering up YAC opportunities, strong route running in the short + intermediate part of the field, and a level of improvisation with Nix that Franklin + Mimms just weren’t able to offer.”
Ryan Steinberg· Sep 13, 2026“Waddle should get a wonderful infusion of volume this season, moving from an offense that was 29th in neutral passing rate to one that was fourth in that metric last season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“Now the alpha receiver for the Broncos, Waddle will bring his electric route-running to an offense that thrives upon precision and isn’t afraid to sling it. Fantasy managers can look for a spike in Waddle’s yards per route run and target rate, as Courtland Sutton draws away defensive attention downfield.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 3, 2026“Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) “ Jaylen Waddle is one of my favorite targets this year because I think people are looking too much at last season’s final numbers and not enough at how well he actually played. He ranked 12th in targets per route run, 12th in yards per route run, and seventh in first downs per route run, so the talent and efficiency are clearly still there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“4.11: Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) Jaylen Waddle is being overlooked as he enters his first year with the Broncos. Evan Silva of Establish The Run projects him to a huge year under Sean Payton, comparing him to Brandin Cooks during his time in New Orleans.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Adding Jaylen Waddle is not some small improvement.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19, 2026“The arrival of Jaylen Waddle will change that this year. Sutton still can be a highly productive player in a pass-happy offense, but he’ll take a backseat to Waddle.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11, 2026
“TreVeyon Henderson will split the workload with Rhamondre Stevenson again this week. In their three games together this season, Henderson has had a 43.5% snap rate, a 42.7% rushing share, and a 31.1% route share (2.2% target share). I’d expect Henderson to help out more on early downs this week, with Stevenson taking more of the passing downs.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 10, 2026“Last week, Henderson finished with nine touches and 29 total yards while having a 33.3% snap rate, a 30.8% rushing share, and a 27% route share (3.2% target share). Henderson has gotten off to a disappointing start again this season on a per-touch basis. Among 43 qualifying backs, he is 27th in explosive run rate, 42nd in yards after contact per attempt, and 39th in missed tackle rate.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 3, 2026“Henderson played 60.4% of the snaps with 57.1% of the rushing attempts and a 40.7% route share.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 26, 2026
See 12 more
“Henderson played 13 more snaps and had 10 more carries than Rhamondre Stevenson , possibly because Stevenson lost a fumble on New England’s first possession of the game. But Stevenson is regarded as the far better pass blocker, and the Patriots’ offensive line has not done a great job of handling pressure this season. It’s going to be very hard to predict the workload split between Henderson and Stevenson.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 25, 2026“According to Nathan Jahnke , Stevenson played on New England’s first four snaps of their opening drive before losing a fumble, and TreVeyon Henderson played 21 out of 25 snaps across five subsequent drives while Stevenson recorded just six snaps during that stretch. Stevenson wasn’t completely mothballed, but he opened the door for Henderson, and the speedy second-year pro took advantage of the opportunity. Henderson played 33 snaps, ran 12 routes and carried the ball 16 times for 76 yards and a touchdown.”
Josh Shepardson· Sep 21, 2026“Henderson played 60% of the snaps and received 61.5% of the backfield opportunities on his way to 13.6 PPR points. Stevenson, on the other hand, scored only 4.3 PPR points while getting 30.8% of the backfield opportunities on 36.4% of the snaps. Stevenson is a solid back, but Henderson has the higher ceiling; it shouldn’t surprise anyone if he commands the majority of the backfield for the rest of the season.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 20, 2026“More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 5, 2026“According to Fantasy Points Data, his 5.6% explosive run rate last season was higher than Saquon Barkley (4.6%) and Travis Etienne Jr. (3.5%). More importantly, Henderson is an injury to Stevenson away from being a league winner and a top-10 running back.”
Mike Fanelli· Sep 3, 2026“TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn’t nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn’t active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 1, 2026“TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) All offseason, TreVeyon Henderson was drafted several spots ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson , but the gap has narrowed significantly.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 31, 2026“” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) “I didn’t think I would be taking much TreVeyon Henderson , but at an RB26 ranking, it’s hard to find more talented players or those with more upside. Henderson is being called by many the bust of the year already, and he does have some risk, but so do Tuten, Warren, and Price, who may be bench players at the end of the year.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 30, 2026“While fantasy players had high hopes for him as a rookie, Henderson was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell’ s (13) and Rhamondre Stevenson ‘s (12.8).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“Including the playoffs, Treveyon Henderson scored no more than 8.2 PPR points in six of his last seven games.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Aug 3, 2026“Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026“TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026
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