Nico Collins
vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 · Week 6 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 6No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 6Collins
at JAX
Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET
McMillan
at PHI
Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
14.8
Projected
10.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 17.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 27.3 | WR3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
5 | — | 8.1 | WR37 | 7 | 5 | 56 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | — |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | — |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | — |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | — |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | — |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | — |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | — |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | — |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | — |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | — |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
Expert takes
“Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“Stroud took a step back after his rookie season, and Nico Collins is the clear alpha in the offense.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 14, 2026“Nico Collins is a through-and-through alpha, and that won’t change because of Harrison. Projecting how Harrison would fit into the offense, he should remain the X, and that could free up Collins to move around the formation more. The big difference for Harrison is that the X has been a valuable role with the Texans.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Oct 12, 2026
See 9 more
“I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026“Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026“Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR10 in fantasy points per game with a 22.7% target share, 2.41 YPRR, a 31.6% first-read share, five red zone targets, and six deep targets. McMillan has been fantastic. Bryce Young will continue to lean on him this week, so the target volume should be there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 15, 2026“Quinyon Mitchell (CB – PPHI) Tetairoa McMillan has been the true definition of an alpha receiver so far this season for fantasy managers. He has been running routes on 88.8% of dropbacks, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite. And he has over a 26.5% target share so far this season.”
Adam Murfet· Oct 15, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026
See 7 more
“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026
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