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Nico Collins vs Tetairoa McMillan

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 30, 2026

ADP 23.5
Nico Collins
WR · HOU · WR9
ADP 36.6
Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR · WR15
VS
The crowd's leanAll time
88% would rather draft Collins over McMillan
88%Collins
12%McMillan
Based on 25 comparison results

Should you draft Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan?

Last season — 2025, per game

Collins15 games
2025
McMillan17 games
12.7Fantasy pts10.4
15Games17
8.0Targets7.2
4.7Rec4.1
74Rec yds60
0.5TD0.4
Full game log & past seasons
Nico Collins
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
LAR
4.0
WR70
5
3
25
0
2
TB
12.7
WR29
9
3
52
1
3
JAX
18.4
WR5
11
8
104
1
4
TEN
9.9
WR27
6
4
79
0
5
BAL
14.0
WR16
5
4
52
1
6
7
SEA
4.7
WR59
10
4
27
0
8
BYE
9
DEN
11.0
WR28
11
7
75
0
10
JAX
19.1
WR5
15
7
136
0
11
TEN
19.7
WR4
10
9
92
1
12
BUF
7.0
WR37
3
3
55
0
13
IND
19.0
WR10
10
5
98
0
14
KC
14.1
WR14
8
4
121
0
15
ARI
22.0
WR4
4
3
85
2
16
LV
7.9
WR38
9
4
59
0
17
LAC
7.2
WR40
4
3
57
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
IND
14.7
WR14
8
6
117
0
2
CHI
23.5
WR4
10
8
135
1
3
MIN
10.6
WR36
10
4
86
0
4
JAX
27.1
WR1
15
12
151
1
5
BUF
14.8
WR16
2
2
78
1
6
7
8
BYE
9
10
11
DAL
7.4
WR46
7
4
54
0
12
TEN
17.7
WR8
9
5
92
1
13
JAX
15.9
WR15
11
8
119
0
14
15
MIA
15.7
WR19
6
4
17
2
16
KC
9.5
WR37
10
7
60
0
17
BAL
7.4
WR46
6
3
59
0
18
TEN
12.3
WR26
5
5
38
1
Tetairoa McMillan
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
JAX
9.3
WR31
9
5
68
0
2
ARI
13.0
WR27
10
6
100
0
3
ATL
6.3
WR46
8
3
48
0
4
NE
8.2
WR36
8
4
62
0
5
MIA
10.3
WR28
8
6
73
0
6
DAL
16.4
WR12
5
3
29
2
7
NYJ
4.8
WR57
5
3
33
0
8
BUF
13.4
WR14
10
7
99
0
9
GB
6.6
WR49
6
4
46
0
10
NO
8.5
WR33
8
5
60
0
11
ATL
29.0
WR1
12
8
130
2
12
SF
10.5
WR27
7
2
35
1
13
LAR
10.8
WR23
2
1
43
1
14
15
NO
3.5
WR73
4
2
25
0
16
TB
16.3
WR13
10
6
73
1
17
SEA
1.0
WR109
4
1
5
0
18
TB
8.5
WR24
6
4
85
0

Latest takes

Nico Collins
  • Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .

  • Nico Collins saw a respectable 21.7% target share last season, and it was even higher (24.6%) when C.J. Stroud was under center. He’s the No. 1 WR for this team.

  • Many gamers and analysts are drafting as if second-year wideout Jayden Higgins is the de facto second option behind incumbent alpha Nico Collins .

    Kyle Lesti· Aug 11
See 12 more
  • Starting WR/WR with Drake London or Nico Collins in round two could let you lean into Zero RB with an elite tight end such as Brock Bowers or Trey McBride .

    Tom Strachan· Aug 11
  • Alec Pierce, Nico Collins – 3.7 How to support a QB on a rookie deal ( Drake Maye ):

  • Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.

    Kemper Trull· Jul 10
  • A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.

  • At worst, Collins profiles as a reliable fantasy WR1/WR2 hybrid with one of the strongest WR efficiency profiles in the NFL.

  • Nico Collins continued his run as Houston's unquestioned WR1 in 2025, posting his third 1,000-yard season in the last four years while finishing as a top-10 fantasy receiver once again. Despite battling injuries, Collins remained highly efficient and continued to dominate targets and red-zone usage in the Texans offense.

  • The Texans have a lot of passing game weapons, but outside of Schultz and Nico Collins, none of them are very good at all.

    Jeff Krisko· Jun 21
  • On the flip side, what if you have Nico and got a value on Jacobs (as his ADP free-falls thanks to off-field issues)? Montgomery would make more sense there for the stack-and-run back correlation.

    Chris Cash· Jun 6
  • Nico Collins' ADP is essentially one round behind his ECR in a 12-team league, with a 66% gap between his ADP and ECR that trails only Ja'Marr Chase. Although he has been "just" a back-end fantasy WR1 over the last two years, the 27-year-old is a genuine top-tier talent at the position, ranking seventh, second and fifth among qualified receivers in Pro Football Focus receiving grade over the last three seasons.

    Ted Chmyz· Jun 5
  • Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.

  • Top cap hit: Nico Collins, $14,939,529 (4.96 percent)

    Logan Ulrich· Jul 5
  • Houston will head into training camp later this month with back-to-back Pro Bowler Nico Collins continuing to lead its receiving corps. Stroud has formed a strong connection with Collins, a 1,000-yard receiver three years in a row.

    Connor Byrne· Jul 3
Tetairoa McMillan
  • As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.

  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) “Personally, I’m taking WR17 Tet McMillan over WR15 Zay Flowers in drafts anyway. It’s the touchdown and volume upside for me that has me banking on the superior player despite an inferior offense.

  • Tetairoa McMillan emerged as the Panthers’ top option as a rookie, earning the 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award and establishing strong chemistry with Bryce Young .

See 12 more
  • McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.

  • While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR15 in ADP.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 14
  • If I missed on early wide receiver in favor of loading up at running back, I would be fine with Egbuka as my WR1 heading into the season.” – Aaron St Denis ( Fantasy Sports Advice Network ) Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) “Few receivers in the WR13-WR30 range offer the kind of ceiling Tetairoa McMillan brings to the table.

  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.

  • However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.

    Tony Martin· Jul 30
  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.

  • 2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.

  • Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.

  • Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.

    Mike Fanelli· Jul 17
  • Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.

  • McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.