Luther Burden vs Joe Burrow
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 26, 2026
Should you draft Luther Burden or Joe Burrow?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 0.2 | WR118 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
2 | DET | 1.0 | WR115 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
3 | DAL | 18.3 | WR6 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 |
4 | LV | 0.6 | WR110 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | WAS | 7.1 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 0 |
7 | NO | 2.6 | WR78 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
8 | BAL | 0.4 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NYG | 6.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 0 |
11 | MIN | 4.2 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 0 |
12 | PIT | 7.6 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 0 |
13 | PHI | 5.6 | WR47 | 6 | 4 | 33 | 0 |
14 | GB | 9.0 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 0 |
15 | CLE | 11.4 | WR26 | 7 | 6 | 84 | 0 |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | SF | 23.8 | WR1 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 |
18 | DET | 6.0 | WR38 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CLE | 8.8 | QB28 | 23 | 14 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
2 | JAX | 7.0 | QB30 | 13 | 7 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | BAL | 19.2 | QB11 | 46 | 24 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
14 | BUF | 25.4 | QB3 | 36 | 25 | 284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
15 | BAL | 7.5 | QB30 | 39 | 25 | 225 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
16 | MIA | 29.0 | QB5 | 32 | 25 | 309 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
17 | ARI | 20.4 | QB11 | 31 | 24 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
18 | CLE | 22.1 | QB5 | 39 | 29 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NE | 8.1 | QB29 | 29 | 21 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
2 | KC | 17.2 | QB10 | 36 | 23 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
3 | WAS | 25.4 | QB7 | 38 | 29 | 324 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
4 | CAR | 17.3 | QB10 | 31 | 22 | 232 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
5 | BAL | 34.8 | QB2 | 39 | 30 | 392 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
6 | NYG | 19.8 | QB13 | 28 | 19 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 |
7 | CLE | 14.9 | QB16 | 25 | 15 | 181 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
8 | PHI | 13.9 | QB23 | 37 | 26 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
9 | LV | 30.1 | QB1 | 39 | 27 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 0 |
10 | BAL | 33.7 | QB1 | 56 | 34 | 428 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
11 | LAC | 29.0 | QB2 | 50 | 28 | 356 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PIT | 20.3 | QB11 | 38 | 28 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
14 | DAL | 25.6 | QB3 | 44 | 33 | 369 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
15 | TEN | 18.8 | QB10 | 37 | 26 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
16 | CLE | 22.0 | QB11 | 30 | 23 | 252 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
17 | DEN | 37.0 | QB1 | 49 | 39 | 412 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 |
18 | PIT | 14.0 | QB18 | 46 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Latest takes
“While Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland are popular breakout candidates, Odunze could easily have a Jameson Williams -like top-12 finish if he sees the same 7.5 targets per game as he did last season. Christian Watson (WR – GB) | ADP: 71.2 ( WR 30) Last season, Christian Watson was the WR15 on a points-per-game basis among wide receivers with at least nine games played.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25“Round 9: Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) With Luther Burden III dealing with a hamstring injury, this is something that could be nagging for quite a bit of time.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Bears wide receiver Luther Burden III is also dealing with some soft-tissue injuries that could hamper him, and Rome Odunze is coming off a foot injury (though he’s been cleared, it’s still worth noting).”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22
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“Dealing with a groin injury but expected to be ready for week one, Burden profiles as one of the quickest players in the league and a real matchup nightmare, especially from the slot, where he takes most of his snaps.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“With Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III apparently looking like prime Tony Gonzalez and Randy Moss, Swift has gone under the radar.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“Luther Burden exemplified this in 2025; he finished the season strong, and now we love him. Only one problem: Burden was a horrible guillotine draft choice. It wasn’t until Week 13 that he saw more than five targets in a game.”
Joe Harris· Aug 18“The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14“He was also 5th in target share (28%), 11th in air yards share (35%), and 4th in yards per route run behind Puka Nacua , Jaxon Smith-Njigba , and Luther Burden III .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11“Ever since DJ Moore was traded to Buffalo, Burden’s ADP shot up like a cannon. He’s still ranked above proven veterans like Moore, Christian Watson , and Mike Evans . From Week 13 on last season, among receivers with at least 100 routes run, Burden ranked third in yards per route run, fifth in targets per route run, and fourth in first downs per route run, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite.”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 7“This is a reference to a song by The Rolling Stones. It also highlights how Luther Burden III is going to be an absolute beast this season. Don’t be afraid, buy into the hype. He’s a stud in a great situation.”
Frank Ammirante· Aug 4“08) – Luther Burden (WR, CHI) For the first and only time in this mock draft, Round 5 saw all three Ballers take a player at the same position.”
Kurt Mullen· Jul 29“Luther Burden III (WR – CHI) | ECR: WR24/ADP: 49 Don’t get me wrong, there’s a lot of optimism surrounding Luther Burden III and this entire Bears offense.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 28“Like most fantasy football enthusiasts, count me among the stans. I am a fan of Burden’s game. I think he is great, but the LTV absolutely loves Burden.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10“Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10
“Joe Burrow’s health has been a concern in recent years, but I’ll bank on him playing a full season with one of the easiest schedules in football. I believe 4,500 yards and 40 touchdowns are more than doable.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 23“After a slow start in a Joe Burrow -less offense, Chase Brown finished as the RB7 in PPG from Week 7 onward (18.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22“Chase also gets to play with Joe Burrow , one of the best pure passers in the game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 22
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“For Pollard to find his way into the top-12, we need a Drake Maye / Joe Burrow -esque second season from Ward.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“Joe Burrow paired with Ja’Marr Chase is obviously a nightmare matchup to go head-to-head against, but the variance the pair would inject into your lineup is prohibitively high in this format. An explosive game from them will only truly save your season when the rest of your team lays some eggs.”
Joe Harris· Aug 18“But if Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who missed nine games last season, enjoys a season of good health, McPherson should have his fair share of FG and PAT opportunities.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15“The trio of Joe Burrow , Ja'Marr Chase , and Tee Higgins forces defenses to respect the passing game.”
Curtis Hirsch· Aug 11“When Joe Burrow was healthy, he was a top-three quarterback last season”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6“Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) According to Sharp Football Analysis , the Bengals have the second-easiest schedule this season, which bodes well for a passing attack featuring Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6“For example, fantasy players would need to use four of their first five or six picks to build a Cincinnati Bengals stack of Ja’Marr Chase , Chase Brown , Tee Higgins , and Joe Burrow”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 6“Lamar Jackson , Jayden Daniels , Joe Burrow , Baker Mayfield , and Kyler Murray all were selected as top-12 players at the position and finished double-digit slots behind expectations in terms of points per game.”
Rich Hribar· Aug 5“Round 1: Joe Burrow (QB – CIN) To kick things off at No. 4 overall, I went with Joe Burrow .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5“Even with a modest target share, Higgins maximizes his opportunities in one of the NFL’s premier passing offenses led by Joe Burrow .”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“The pivot to more under-center passing won’t be as natural and certainly might not be anywhere near as successful for the Bengals, because Burrow clearly isn’t as comfortable and doesn’t perform as well. In fact, if we go back the last three years, Burrow’s under-center dropbacks average just 3.6 air yards, which ranked dead last: #69 out of 69 qualifying QBs. His time to throw of 2.81 seconds was the #5 fastest out of 69 QBs, and he threw just 17% of passes 10+ yards downfield, also ranking dead last.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4“Zac Taylor wants the Bengals to play more from under center in 2026. Unfortunately, Joe Burrow under center is precisely where this offense struggles most, which is why the Bengals haven't used it often of late. How much the Bengals choose to pivot to under-center passing and how much Burrow can improve on these dropbacks might have a large impact on their fortunes in 2026.”
Warren Sharp· Aug 4