Luther Burden III
vs D'Andre Swift

“Even when Burden gets involved, there simply hasn’t been enough passing volume to support consistent fantasy production. The only encouraging news is that Caleb Williams is getting closer to returning. That could give Chicago’s passing game a much-needed boost, but until we see Burden get more reliable usage, he’s hard to start.”

“Burden caught all eight of his targets for 95 yards in Caleb Williams ‘ return, a season-high in receiving yardage. I’m going to continue betting on the talent and efficiency that Burden brings to the table. Though he hasn’t necessarily paid dividends yet this season, his 26.7% target rate and 2.19 yards per route run (YPRR) suggest he’s set to explode if and when he gets an every-down role.”

“Burden did have one WR15 finish in half-PPR scoring formats, occurring in the week he recorded his only touchdown of the season thus far. Regardless of quarterback, Burden has cleared 60+ receiving yards in three out of five contests. Burden averages seven targets per game and is also seemingly quarterback-agnostic.”

“Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”

“Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”

“Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”

“Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”

“Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”

“Swift will continue to be a fringe RB1 moving forward, especially with Kyle Monangai set to miss time with a thumb injury and a case of turf toe. All hail King Swift! That’s it for this week, FootClan.”

“D’Andre Swift had 21 of the backs’ 36 opportunities (58.3%) on 16 carries for 44 yards (2.8) and two goal-line touchdowns, 12 of the 16 carries and both scores in the first half. Caught 4 of 5 targets (6 true) for 26 (15.0% adjusted, from 12.2%). Only 2.8 per carry and 4 carries after halftime.”

“Still, Swift’s ECR ranking of RB13 is a bit too rich for me. He’s a fine back and as consistent as they come, but Swift has never finished that high positionally in his six NFL seasons.”

“Swift had the better role and scored 17.7 half-PPR points per game with 17.75 expected half-PPR points per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0. Monangai averaged 9.77 half-PPR points per game and 7.29 expected half-PPR points per game. According to Jahnke, Swift had a 61.1% snap share versus 38.9% for Monangai over the first six drives, but Swift lost a fumble on the sixth drive.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift is eighth in yards after contact per attempt and tenth in missed tackle rate. Swift has 14 of the team’s 20 running back red zone carries while playing 64.1% of the snaps with a 51.4% rushing share, a 35.7% route share, and a 9.2% target share. Swift should have another strong stat line this week against a Jets’ run defense that has allowed the second-highest rushing success rate, the tenth-most yards before contact per attempt, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift ranks sixth in yards after contact per attempt and eighth in missed tackle rate. Swift should have success again this week. Philly has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.”

““ D’Andre Swift’s fantasy outlook is usually pretty rosy with the potent Bears’ offense and a weaker defensive opponent, but not this week. The injuries to Caleb Williams and backup Tyson Bagent have put a dark cloud over the Windy City. Chicago might have to go with veteran Case Keenum against a stout Eagles’ defense, led by their star linemen Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter .”