Justin Jefferson
vs Trey McBride
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Jefferson
at NO
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Questionable
McBride
vs DET
Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET
13.4
Projected
14.7
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 27.2 | WR3 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
2 | — | 7.0 | WR40 | 6 | 3 | 55 | — |
3 | — | 4.2 | WR73 | 2 | 2 | 32 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR228 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | — |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | — |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | — |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | — |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | — |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | — |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | — |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | — |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | — |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | — |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | — |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | — |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | — |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | — |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | — |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | — |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | — |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | — |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | — |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 20.0 | TE3 | 13 | 9 | 95 | 1 |
2 | — | 14.1 | TE9 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 1 |
3 | — | 12.0 | TE10 | 11 | 9 | 75 | — |
4 | — | 6.6 | TE22 | 12 | 7 | 31 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NO | 9.1 | TE13 | 9 | 6 | 61 | — |
2 | CAR | 10.8 | TE5 | 7 | 6 | 78 | — |
3 | SF | 12.8 | TE6 | 8 | 5 | 43 | 1 |
4 | SEA | 8.7 | TE15 | 11 | 7 | 52 | — |
5 | TEN | 6.6 | TE23 | 7 | 5 | 41 | — |
6 | IND | 17.2 | TE2 | 11 | 8 | 72 | 1 |
7 | GB | 24.4 | TE3 | 13 | 10 | 74 | 2 |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DAL | 14.0 | TE6 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 1 |
10 | SEA | 23.2 | TE1 | 13 | 9 | 127 | 1 |
11 | SF | 22.5 | TE1 | 11 | 10 | 115 | 1 |
12 | JAX | 12.4 | TE3 | 10 | 9 | 79 | — |
13 | TB | 18.2 | TE2 | 9 | 8 | 82 | 1 |
14 | LAR | 8.3 | TE13 | 9 | 5 | 58 | — |
15 | HOU | 31.4 | TE2 | 13 | 12 | 134 | 2 |
16 | ATL | 4.7 | TE21 | 8 | 4 | 27 | — |
17 | CIN | 18.6 | TE1 | 13 | 10 | 76 | 1 |
18 | LAR | 10.0 | TE8 | 8 | 7 | 65 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 5.5 | TE11 | 9 | 5 | 30 | — |
2 | LAR | 15.7 | TE2 | 6 | 6 | 67 | — |
3 | DET | 4.0 | TE25 | 6 | 3 | 25 | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | SF | 8.3 | TE16 | 9 | 6 | 53 | — |
6 | GB | 13.6 | TE4 | 8 | 8 | 96 | — |
7 | LAC | 7.6 | TE17 | 7 | 5 | 51 | — |
8 | MIA | 16.9 | TE5 | 11 | 9 | 124 | — |
9 | CHI | 11.2 | TE8 | 4 | 3 | 35 | — |
10 | NYJ | 9.1 | TE9 | 5 | 4 | 71 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | SEA | 19.3 | TE2 | 15 | 12 | 133 | — |
13 | MIN | 15.6 | TE6 | 12 | 12 | 96 | — |
14 | SEA | 10.5 | TE7 | 14 | 7 | 70 | — |
15 | NE | 13.2 | TE3 | 10 | 9 | 87 | — |
16 | CAR | 3.5 | TE30 | 4 | 3 | 20 | — |
17 | LAR | 24.3 | TE1 | 16 | 12 | 123 | 1 |
18 | SF | 16.0 | TE2 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 1 |
Expert takes
“Jefferson missed the Vikings’ 15-10 win over the Dolphins last Sunday with a sprained ankle, and Addison is dealing with a hamstring injury.”
Connor Byrne· Oct 10, 2026“Justin Jefferson caught 3 of a team-high 6 targets for 55 yards, no touchdown. Remains the unambiguous WR1 (33.3% adjusted target share, 61% air yards share) even in a shrunken passing game. Jordan Addison caught 2 of 5 targets for 21 yards.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“Wentz threw for just 133 yards in about 3.5 quarters of play Sunday, but his three TDs and clear connection with Justin Jefferson should at least catch fantasy managers’ eyes.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026
See 11 more
“Jefferson looked especially miserable last year while enduring the worst season of his career. With J.J. McCarthy completely overwhelmed as an NFL quarterback, Jefferson finished with 84 catches, 1,048 yards, and two touchdowns.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | ADP: 11.8 (WR6) While he has been a fantasy superstar since entering the NFL, Justin Jefferson is coming off a massively disappointing season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 29, 2026“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28, 2026“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15, 2026“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14, 2026“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6, 2026“This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.”
Tom Strachan· Jul 27, 2026“Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.”
Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23, 2026“The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.”
Maggie Thraen· Jul 19, 2026
“DET | DraftKings: $6,700/FanDuel: $7,200 Trey McBride is a no-brainer at tight end this week against a Lions defense that has been absolutely shredded through the air. Detroit has been especially vulnerable against tight ends, making this an ideal spot for McBride to put up a monster fantasy performance. With Arizona likely forced to throw to keep pace with Detroit’s high-powered offense, McBride should have plenty of opportunities to rack up receptions.”
Frank Ammirante· Oct 10, 2026“Hockenson $4,800 MIN @NO 10.6 2.21 1.42% Michael Mayer $3,500 LV @NE 6.3 1.8 1.38% Pat Freiermuth $3,900 PIT IND 7.5 1.92 1.23% Greg Dulcich $3,100 MIA CIN 6.1 1.97 1.07% McBride is still my first look when paying up. I would change another position before forcing a TE fade in a lineup I already like. Bowers is my preferred alternative.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Trey McBride was a monster last year, and he’s continuing to smash this season. The stud tight end has the following marks through three games: 85.5% snap share 81.5% route participation rate 28.2% target share 0.33 TPRR 32.5% first-read rate 26.8% air yard share 8.7 receptions per game 70.3 receiving yards per game 7 red-zone targets 4 end-zone targets 2 receiving touchdowns (both on end-zone targets) 2.8 expected receiving touchdowns 19.70 DraftKings points per game 20.86 expected DraftKings points per game 15.37 FanDuel points per game 16.93 expected FanDuel points per game Michael Wilson is the other stellar selection in Arizona’s passing game.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Speaking of positional advantage, Trey McBride is averaging 15.4 half-PPR points per game and leads all tight ends in targets and receptions. It’s all McBride and Michael Wilson in Arizona, with these two accounting for nearly 60% of the target share. With 10+ targets in all three games this year, McBride’s fantasy floor is elite.”
Jim Moorman· Sep 29, 2026“ARI @ SF (SF-8.5, O/U 47.5) Trey McBride is the only Arizona Cardinal that you can start with confidence this week, as Jeremiyah Love has only seen 27 opportunities in two weeks on a bad offense.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“The apple of Brissett’s eye all afternoon, McBride led the team in targets with 13, catching nine passes for 95 yards and a score in an upset victory over the Los Angeles Chargers. McBride will look to keep the train a’ rollin’ in a more difficult matchup at home against Seattle next week. Stud:”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“Star TE Trey McBride had nine for 95 and the score, while veteran WR Kendrick Bourne racked up eight catches for 75 yards. First-round RB Jeremiyah Love got in the end zone for the first time in his career, while WRs Michael Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr. also chipped in with big plays. Arizona has pretty solid weapons but it’s notable that the Cardinals had as much success as they did against a Chargers defense that was No. 5 in total defense last year and returned most of the unit.”
Logan Ulrich· Sep 14, 2026“While Trey McBride is a must-start, there are serious questions around the rest of the Cardinals.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026“Brock Bowers , Colston Loveland , and Trey McBride are the obvious examples heading into this season.”
Brooke Morgan· Sep 4, 2026“Trey McBride (TE – ARI) Trey McBride has a top-20 ADP after catching 126 passes for 1,239 yards and 11 touchdowns last season.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“Trey McBride (TE – ARI) Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn’t really matter. Neither should be drafted this high. Last season, McBride averaged 18.6 PPR points per game, and Bowers averaged 15.5 in 2024, the better season of his two years in the NFL.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 28, 2026“Taking a look at the top options from last season, McBride averaged 11.2 fantasy points per game, and Bowers averaged 9.4 points per game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27, 2026“Cardinals TE Trey McBride has become a prolific fantasy scorer.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 15, 2026“In full-PPR formats, running backs and wide receivers split the top 10 in points per game 50/50, while running backs made up 10 of the top 20 spots in those leagues ( Trey McBride was in there as a tight end).”
Rich Hribar· Aug 12, 2026“Let’s use last season’s leading TE scorer, Trey McBride , as an example. He scored 315.9 PPR fantasy points last season. In TE-premium, where he gets an extra half-point for each of his 126 receptions, McBride scored 378.9 fantasy points.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9, 2026
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