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Justin Jefferson vs Trey McBride

2026 draft comparison · half-PPR

Updated Aug 20, 2026

ADP 13.9
Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN · WR6
ADP 24.9
Trey McBride
TE · ARI · TE2
VS
The crowd's leanRecent vs all time
82.3% would rather draft Jefferson over McBride

Last 7 days: Jefferson 87.5%McBride 12.5%

82.3%Jefferson
17.7%McBride

Should you draft Justin Jefferson or Trey McBride?

Last season — 2025, per game

JeffersonWR24 finish
2025
McBrideTE1 finish
9.4Fantasy pts14.9
17Games17
8.3Targets9.9
4.9Rec7.4
62Rec yds73
0.1TD0.6
Full game log & past seasons
Justin Jefferson
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
CHI
12.8
WR20
7
4
44
1
2
ATL
9.6
WR38
6
3
81
0
3
CIN
10.0
WR33
7
5
75
0
4
PIT
17.6
WR9
11
10
126
0
5
CLE
15.8
WR11
11
7
123
0
6
BYE
7
PHI
10.4
WR26
10
5
79
0
8
LAC
10.9
WR26
11
7
74
0
9
DET
13.7
WR18
9
6
47
1
10
BAL
5.7
WR44
12
4
37
0
11
CHI
8.6
WR27
9
5
61
0
12
GB
6.8
WR39
6
4
48
0
13
SEA
1.4
WR95
6
2
4
0
14
WAS
2.1
WR81
4
2
11
0
15
DAL
3.2
WR77
8
2
22
0
16
NYG
11.5
WR26
8
6
85
0
17
DET
5.0
WR52
5
4
30
0
18
GB
14.4
WR10
11
8
101
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NYG
13.9
WR15
6
4
59
1
2
SF
21.3
WR7
7
4
133
1
3
HOU
17.1
WR14
8
6
81
1
4
GB
17.5
WR11
8
6
85
1
5
NYJ
12.2
WR23
14
6
92
0
6
BYE
7
DET
17.9
WR5
8
7
81
1
8
LAR
15.5
WR13
9
8
115
0
9
IND
18.1
WR9
9
7
137
0
10
JAX
7.3
WR33
9
5
48
0
11
TEN
11.1
WR29
8
6
81
0
12
CHI
3.7
WR64
5
2
27
0
13
ARI
13.4
WR23
9
7
99
0
14
ATL
28.7
WR4
7
7
132
2
15
CHI
16.8
WR15
14
7
73
1
16
SEA
31.4
WR1
13
10
144
2
17
GB
13.2
WR29
11
8
92
0
18
DET
6.9
WR55
9
3
54
0
Trey McBride
2025 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
NO
9.1
TE13
9
6
61
0
2
CAR
10.8
TE5
7
6
78
0
3
SF
12.8
TE6
8
5
43
1
4
SEA
8.7
TE15
11
7
52
0
5
TEN
6.6
TE23
7
5
41
0
6
IND
17.2
TE2
11
8
72
1
7
GB
24.4
TE3
13
10
74
2
8
9
DAL
14.0
TE6
9
5
55
1
10
SEA
23.2
TE1
13
9
127
1
11
SF
22.5
TE1
11
10
115
1
12
JAX
12.4
TE3
10
9
79
0
13
TB
18.2
TE2
9
8
82
1
14
LAR
8.3
TE13
9
5
58
0
15
HOU
31.4
TE2
13
12
134
2
16
ATL
4.7
TE21
8
4
27
0
17
CIN
18.6
TE1
13
10
76
1
18
LAR
10.0
TE8
8
7
65
0
Earlier seasons (2024)
2024 game log
WKOPPFPTSRANKTGTRECYDTD
1
BUF
5.5
TE11
9
5
30
0
2
LAR
15.7
TE2
6
6
67
0
3
DET
4.0
TE25
6
3
25
0
4
5
SF
8.3
TE16
9
6
53
0
6
GB
13.6
TE4
8
8
96
0
7
LAC
7.6
TE17
7
5
51
0
8
MIA
16.9
TE5
11
9
124
0
9
CHI
11.2
TE8
4
3
35
0
10
NYJ
9.1
TE9
5
4
71
0
11
12
SEA
19.3
TE2
15
12
133
0
13
MIN
15.6
TE6
12
12
96
0
14
SEA
10.5
TE7
14
7
70
0
15
NE
13.2
TE3
10
9
87
0
16
CAR
3.5
TE30
4
3
20
0
17
LAR
24.3
TE1
16
12
123
1
18
SF
16.0
TE2
11
7
65
1

Latest takes

Justin Jefferson
  • Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.

  • Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.

    Mike Fanelli· Aug 15
  • With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.

    Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14
See 12 more
  • Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.

  • Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).

  • Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently

  • Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing

    Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6
  • Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches

    Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6
  • Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?

  • This wasn’t Jefferson’s fault, however. Among wide receivers with 50+ targets, Jefferson ranked 58th in catchable target rate (71%). J.J. McCarthy stunk, and all indications are that Kyler Murray is the clear favorite to be the starter in 2026, and possibly beyond.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 27
  • From WR2 in 2024 to WR21 in 2025, Justin Jefferson took quite the fall in production.

  • Jefferson should immediately become Murray’s go-to receiver, making an overall WR1 finish well within reach.

    Kyle Zeigler· Jul 23
  • Malik Nabers, CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson all have similar LTV scores in the same range as Love’s.

  • The Ballers agree that if Kyler takes the leading QB role, they are confident that Jefferson will be back as a top-tier WR. However, they see him more as a back-end WR1.

    Maggie Thraen· Jul 19
  • He opened with Justin Jefferson after a surprising run of young quarterbacks fell in the first round, then doubled up at quarterback anyway, taking Joe Burrow and Caleb Williams back to back once he realized how many were sliding.

Trey McBride
  • Cardinals TE Trey McBride has become a prolific fantasy scorer.

  • The second round did see the top two TEs go off the board – Brock Bowers at 2.04 and Trey McBride at 2.06. In a full PPR format, the elite TEs could separate themselves even more than usual, with guys like Bowers and McBride as two of the few guys at the position who could lead their team in targets.

    Kurt Mullen· Aug 14
  • In full-PPR formats, running backs and wide receivers split the top 10 in points per game 50/50, while running backs made up 10 of the top 20 spots in those leagues ( Trey McBride was in there as a tight end).

    Rich Hribar· Aug 12
See 12 more
  • Starting WR/WR with Drake London or Nico Collins in round two could let you lean into Zero RB with an elite tight end such as Brock Bowers or Trey McBride .

    Tom Strachan· Aug 11
  • Let’s use last season’s leading TE scorer, Trey McBride , as an example. He scored 315.9 PPR fantasy points last season. In TE-premium, where he gets an extra half-point for each of his 126 receptions, McBride scored 378.9 fantasy points.

  • McBride ran 156 more routes last year than any other tight end. This fact and McBride’s talent fueled plenty of fantasy teams to championships last season. Among 59 qualifying tight ends, McBride was first in target share (25.4%), receiving yards per game (72.9), red zone targets (32), and first-read share (33.8%).

  • Tight end gets a partial exception: he’s comfortable taking Brock Bowers or Colston Loveland at their going rate in the second round, but not Trey McBride, whose value is tied to a huge target total in Arizona that’s likely to shrink now that the Cardinals used a premium pick on a running back.

  • Trey McBride (199.8 half-PPR points) and Brock Bowers (195.5 half-PPR points) are the only tight ends who clear that mark.

  • We are coming off a season in which Trey McBride provided the largest gap in scoring to the TE2 in league history (which does say more about the field than McBride himself), and he was the 11th-best player in scoring per game.

    Rich Hribar· Aug 6
  • Last season’s production was heavily inflated by his 11 touchdowns, tying Trey McBride for the most at the position

  • ADP: -6 It will be hard for Trey McBride to top the year he had in 2025.

  • Loveland is the consensus TE3 for 2026 fantasy drafts behind only Brock Bowers and Trey McBride .

  • From Week 9 on, Loveland was TE2 in fantasy scoring behind only Trey McBride .

  • Round 3: Trey McBride (TE – ARI) I haven’t taken a receiver yet, but with Trey McBride still on the board, he was too good to pass up.

  • Neither should be drafted this high. Last season, McBride averaged 18.6 PPR points per game, and Bowers averaged 15.5 in 2024, the better season of his two years in the NFL.

    Tom Strachan· Jul 27