Garrett Wilson vs TreVeyon Henderson

“Gamers are still operating with one foot in and the other out on Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but the upside potential is still on the table.”

“Although the Jets’ offense is looking more crowded, it still has only one truly established NFL pass-catcher in Garrett Wilson .”

“On Garrett Wilson specifically, sentiment has shifted meaningfully. A year ago, ranking a rookie profile like Tate’s anywhere near Wilson would have been unthinkable. Now Wilson is entering the presumed prime of his career, turning 26 later this summer, and still hasn’t played with a clearly competent starting quarterback.”

“Jason is really into Garrett Wilson, having him as his WR12 while his ADP has him at WR17!”

“Garrett Wilson's 395 receiving yards led the Jets despite playing only seven games. Better health from Wilson will give the team their top weapon in scoring territory.”

“The biggest red flag of all is all the weapons around Wilson, which he'll be fighting for targets. The Jets added great pieces to the offense, which is good for the team but not for Wilson's fantasy prospects.”

“The knee is the first landmine, as it was significant enough last season that Wilson missed more than half the season. Wilson is practicing this offseason, but the sprain was the first significant injury of his career, and it remains to be seen how he'll bounce back.”

“Garrett Wilson finished the 2022 rookie class with 215.7 PPR points, one of the few rookies in recent years to surpass the 215-PPR-point threshold.”

“Wilson has finished as a WR2 in 12-team leagues only one other time in his career, with his four-year averages showing a pattern of WR30-WR39 performance. Wilson still has questionable quarterback play with Geno Smith, an unexciting play-calling offensive coordinator in Frank Reich, and more target competition from newly drafted tight end Kenyon Sadiq and wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. Wilson is likely being drafted closer to his ceiling than his median outcome for 2026.”

“Wilson has yet to finish as a true WR1 in fantasy points per game and has an uphill climb this season, making his late third, early-fourth-round cost too steep.”

“Wilson is coming off an injury-plagued season and faces continued quarterback uncertainty with the Jets relying on a veteran upgrade like Geno Smith (a bust with the Raiders last season) or potentially a rookie at some point in 2026.”

“Garrett Wilson is being drafted based on his immense talent rather than his results over the past two seasons. Wilson had to record a 33 percent target share to come close to getting any fantasy return on your investment in him.”

“When Jason’s pick came, he admitted he was purposefully unhelpful in Andy’s decision-making game because he himself wanted Etienne, but settled for TreVeyon Henderson, who he considered taking in the previous round.”

“Henderson could eat into Stevenson’s workload more in 2026 if he can take another step and payoff as an RB2, but he ‘s best viewed as an upside RB3.”

“For RB2, the cutoffs land at TreVeyon Henderson and Tony Pollard respectively.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (RB – NE) Henderson is currently going 58th overall, a full 20 picks ahead of his own backfield mate in the rankings. Last year’s split tells the story: while his teammate was healthy, Henderson managed just 6.6 fantasy points per game across the first eight weeks.”

“TreVeyon Henderson (NE) – ADP 53.6 | RB22 Fantasy players had high hopes for Henderson as a rookie. Unfortunately, he was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21.”

“More importantly, Henderson averaged 11.3 touches and 9.5 fantasy points per game in the regular season with Stevenson healthy. By comparison, he averaged 19 touches and 24.3 fantasy points per game without the veteran playing.”

“TreVeyon Henderson fits well in the Patriots' backfield as an explosive complement to Rhamondre Stevenson. However, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite, Stevenson averaged more yards after contact per attempt and missed tackles forced per attempt than Henderson. He was also given more carries inside the 5-yard line.”

“Without Stevenson in the lineup in Weeks 9-11, Henderson averaged 19 touches and 110 total yards. With Stevenson active, Henderson had 11.2 touches and 57.2 total yards per game. Last year, Henderson was bested by Stevenson in every metric that I care about, namely explosive run rate, missed tackle rate, yards after contact per attempt, yards per route run, and pass protection stats.”

“TreVeyon Henderson finished his rookie season as the RB24 in fantasy points per game, but it wasn't nearly that productive for fantasy managers when you look at the full breakdown of how it unfolded. In Weeks 10-11, Rhamondre Stevenson wasn't active, and Henderson feasted with 60.3 combined PPR points, which accounted for 29.2% of his overall fantasy production for the season.”

“Henderson finished nearly dead-on with his draft placement, ending the year as the RB20. As with Harvey, it took time for the coaching staff to fully trust him and feel confident incorporating him into the game plan. Henderson didn't have a top-20 finish at the position until Week 9, and then he truly burst onto the scene.”

“Henderson is being drafted like New England's unquestioned lead back despite trailing Stevenson in missed tackles forced, yards after contact and pass-blocking reliability, which are the exact traits that keep backs on the field in every situation.”

“TreVeyon Henderson is getting pushed way too high on Sleeper. At an ADP in the low 40s, fantasy managers are treating him like a locked-in RB2 even though ECR has him nearly 20 points lower.”