Derrick Henry
vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 · Week 6 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 6No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 6Henry
at CLE
Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
McMillan
at PHI
Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET
15.7
Projected
10.8
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 34.8 | RB1 | 24 | 144 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | — |
2 | — | 16.2 | RB7 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | — |
3 | — | 21.4 | RB3 | 26 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
4 | — | 14.9 | RB17 | 23 | 73 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — |
5 | — | 20.5 | RB5 | 24 | 102 | — | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 28.7 | RB1 | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | — |
2 | CLE | 2.3 | RB59 | 11 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | DET | 10.2 | RB22 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | — |
4 | KC | 6.8 | RB42 | 8 | 42 | — | 3 | 2 | 16 | — |
5 | HOU | 9.3 | RB25 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
6 | LAR | 13.5 | RB13 | 24 | 122 | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CHI | 19.1 | RB8 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
9 | MIA | 12.6 | RB14 | 19 | 119 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
10 | MIN | 9.9 | RB23 | 20 | 75 | — | 3 | 3 | 9 | — |
11 | CLE | 19.2 | RB7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | — |
12 | NYJ | 21.8 | RB4 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | — |
13 | CIN | 16.9 | RB10 | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | — |
14 | PIT | 10.7 | RB23 | 25 | 94 | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | — |
15 | CIN | 10.0 | RB27 | 11 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | NE | 22.8 | RB8 | 18 | 128 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
17 | GB | 45.6 | RB1 | 36 | 216 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
18 | PIT | 12.6 | RB14 | 20 | 126 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 10.6 | RB30 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — |
2 | LV | 16.1 | RB9 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — |
3 | DAL | 29.9 | RB3 | 25 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | — |
4 | BUF | 34.4 | RB1 | 24 | 199 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 16.1 | RB7 | 15 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
6 | WAS | 25.2 | RB3 | 24 | 132 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
7 | TB | 24.7 | RB5 | 15 | 169 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
8 | CLE | 14.2 | RB18 | 11 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
9 | DEN | 25.8 | RB3 | 23 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | — |
10 | CIN | 13.6 | RB12 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
11 | PIT | 10.5 | RB22 | 13 | 65 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
12 | LAC | 14.0 | RB12 | 24 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | PHI | 12.6 | RB19 | 19 | 82 | — | 3 | 3 | 29 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 6.7 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | PIT | 19.9 | RB11 | 24 | 162 | — | 2 | 2 | 27 | — |
17 | HOU | 23.5 | RB3 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | — |
18 | CLE | 29.1 | RB3 | 20 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
Expert takes
“Derrick Henry should see more volume this week and is an auto-start.”
Jordan Pullett· Oct 10, 2026“Favorite Leverage: Lamar Jackson or Derrick Henry might be the best pure leverage play on the slate. Lamar projects within a couple of points of Lawrence and Allen, but we are getting him at a fraction of the ownership with the same kind of slate-breaking ceiling against the worst team in the league. Henry likely trails CMC in the receiving game, but Henry is more likely to score two rushing TDs.”
Chris Cash· Oct 3, 2026“Derrick Henry is the first player to make a second appearance in the 10 Most Intriguing article. How could we omit King Henry in a week when he faces his former team, the Tennessee Titans, for the first time ever? Henry played for the Titans from 2016 to 2023.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Derrick Henry did almost all of his damage in the first half (11 carries, 51 yards, the touchdown) before falling off to just 5 carries for 17 yards after intermission as Baltimore’s offense stalled. He got 75% of his rushing yardage in the first half alone, before Baltimore’s offense went cold in the fourth quarter. Overall usage: 16 carries for 68 yards (1 TD), plus a true 4 targets/4 rec/28 yds once his penalty-erased catch is counted.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 22, 2026“There is always concern about Henry’s red zone work being siphoned off by the legs of Lamar Jackson , and while the Ravens QB did have a rushing TD, Henry got plenty of work inside the 20, leading the league in rushing yards in the red zone this week. The consistency that Henry brings near paydirt should keep him as a regular on this list for most of the season.”
Kurt Mullen· Sep 15, 2026“The ageless Derrick Henry rushed for 144 yards and three touchdowns on 24 carries Sunday, becoming the focal point for the offense after receivers Zay Flowers and Jakobi Lane left with injuries.”
Evan Tarracciano· Sep 14, 2026“Ravens Ravens RB Derrick Henry is 10th all-time in rushing going into the 2026 season with 13,018 yards. A typical season would push him all the way to No. 6 on the list ( Curtis Martin , 14,101 yards), and a classic peak Henry season could propel him past Adrian Peterson at No. 5 (14,918 yards). Henry has had over 1,900 yards rushing twice in his career.”
Tony Camino· Sep 11, 2026“Derrick Henry is being overlooked as a major value again this year. Even in a “down year,” Henry still had 16 touchdowns on his way to an RB7 finish without a full season of Lamar Jackson and on a dysfunctional offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 18, 2026“Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”
Colt Williams· Jul 8, 2026“Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”
Dennis Sosic· Jul 6, 2026“Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4, 2026“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game). He's at worst a low-end RB1 with top-five upside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jun 29, 2026“For all of his accolades as the league's most physical runner, Henry is a non-factor in Baltimore's passing game. With 20 or fewer receptions in eight of Henry's 10 NFL seasons, a sudden shift turning him into the next Christian McCaffrey or Jahmyr Gibbs is not envisioned.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Derrick Henry's 30.2 Sleeper ADP is a classic case of dynasty anxiety ruining redraft logic. Managers see his age and automatically assume a total collapse, completely ignoring the fact he ran for 1,500+ yards and 16 touchdowns last season. Henry remains the ultimate hammer in a Baltimore Ravens offense that completely sanitizes his negative game scripts. He retains a locked-in monopoly on goal-line touches and high-value red-zone opportunities.”
Dennis Sosic· Jun 18, 2026
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR10 in fantasy points per game with a 22.7% target share, 2.41 YPRR, a 31.6% first-read share, five red zone targets, and six deep targets. McMillan has been fantastic. Bryce Young will continue to lean on him this week, so the target volume should be there.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 15, 2026“Quinyon Mitchell (CB – PPHI) Tetairoa McMillan has been the true definition of an alpha receiver so far this season for fantasy managers. He has been running routes on 88.8% of dropbacks, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite. And he has over a 26.5% target share so far this season.”
Adam Murfet· Oct 15, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026
See 7 more
“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026
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