Derrick Henry vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 29, 2026
Should you draft Derrick Henry or Tetairoa McMillan?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 28.7 | RB1 | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
2 | CLE | 2.3 | RB59 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | DET | 10.2 | RB22 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
4 | KC | 6.8 | RB42 | 8 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
5 | HOU | 9.3 | RB25 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | LAR | 13.5 | RB13 | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | CHI | 19.1 | RB8 | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | MIA | 12.6 | RB14 | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
10 | MIN | 9.9 | RB23 | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
11 | CLE | 19.2 | RB7 | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 |
12 | NYJ | 21.8 | RB4 | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 |
13 | CIN | 16.9 | RB10 | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 |
14 | PIT | 10.7 | RB23 | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
15 | CIN | 10.0 | RB27 | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | NE | 22.8 | RB8 | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | GB | 45.6 | RB1 | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | PIT | 12.6 | RB14 | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 10.6 | RB30 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | LV | 16.1 | RB9 | 18 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
3 | DAL | 29.9 | RB3 | 25 | 151 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
4 | BUF | 34.4 | RB1 | 24 | 199 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 16.1 | RB7 | 15 | 92 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
6 | WAS | 25.2 | RB3 | 24 | 132 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | TB | 24.7 | RB5 | 15 | 169 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
8 | CLE | 14.2 | RB18 | 11 | 73 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
9 | DEN | 25.8 | RB3 | 23 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
10 | CIN | 13.6 | RB12 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
11 | PIT | 10.5 | RB22 | 13 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | LAC | 14.0 | RB12 | 24 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | PHI | 12.6 | RB19 | 19 | 82 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 6.7 | RB36 | 14 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | PIT | 19.9 | RB11 | 24 | 162 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
17 | HOU | 23.5 | RB3 | 27 | 147 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
18 | CLE | 29.1 | RB3 | 20 | 138 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) Derrick Henry continues to defy every aging curve. He produced 1,595 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns on 307 carries last season and finished as the RB8 with 279.5 PPR points .”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 27“2.11: Derrick Henry (RB – BAL It’s very rare for me to draft two running backs in the first two rounds in PPR leagues, but I can’t pass up Derrick Henry this late in the second round. Having another pick in three turns to grab a pass-catcher definitely helps in this scenario.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25“While Henry is no spring chicken, fantasy players should have no fear drafting him as a low-end RB1. He has played 17 games in three consecutive seasons. Furthermore, the future Hall of Famer has totaled at least 1,150 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns in four consecutive years, finishing as a top-eight running back every season.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 18
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“Derrick Henry (RB – BAL) Even dating back to his time with the Titans, Derrick Henry has been a massively consistent running back for fantasy football. Since 2023, he’s finished as a top-10 running back in PPR formats (and even better in standard leagues).”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 12“Derrick Henry – 19.2 Joining that contract range this offseason: De’Von Achane , Breece Hall, and Kenneth Walker”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Derrick Henry (BAL) — ECR: RB11 | Projection Rank: RB5 | Projected FPTS: 264.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“Yesterday, I was speaking with Football Absurdity hair model Waleed Ismail about an auction team he mock drafted where he went heavy RB (Bijan, Hampton, Derrick Henry), and paid down at WR (Carnell Tate, Parker Washington).”
Tony Martin· Jul 30“Overall, the increase of under-center snaps favors Derrick Henry , which poses a specific siphoning risk related to rushing TD opportunity.”
Vernon Meighan· Jul 27“Other skill-position players with a similar LTV include fellow veteran Derrick Henry and Sam LaPorta.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 21“Baltimore now turns to head coach Jesse Minter, whose offseason reviews highlight a more explosive and creative scheme. That shift should benefit Henry's usage and the offense as a whole. The veteran's current average draft position in the middle rounds is a clear value.”
Lawrence Iacona· Jul 9“Every season, managers expect Derrick Henry to decline, and every season he proves them wrong. Henry turned 32 in January, yet his power, durability and efficiency remain intact. He finished as the RB8 in PPR formats last year with 279.5 fantasy points and continues to play well beyond typical age curves.”
Lawrence Iacona· Jul 9“Much like fine wine, it just seems like Derrick Henry is getting better with age. However, only the 1972 Miami Dolphins and Father Time are undefeated. King Henry is coming off a career season in which he had 27 carries in the 5-yard line. There isn't anyone challenging him on the depth chart for touches, so the only concern in 2026 is age and the departure of center Tyler Linderbaum.”
Colt Williams· Jul 8“Derrick Henry is entering his late-career danger zone, and the depth behind him is paper-thin.”
Dennis Sosic· Jul 6“Every season fantasy managers wonder whether Derrick Henry is finally slowing down. Jake Ciely isn't buying it. His reasoning is simple. Henry's draft cost continues to fall even though his production hasn't. Ciely also pointed out that Henry's fantasy scoring remains remarkably consistent regardless of game script, making him one of the safest veteran running backs available. At his current ADP, he's comfortable betting on Henry one more time.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 4“While some won't draft Henry for fear his age makes him an injury risk, the veteran has played in at least 15 games in all but one year of his career, including 17 contests in three consecutive seasons. He was RB8 last year, averaging 16.4 PPR fantasy points per game despite totaling only 15 receptions, 18 fewer than any other running back to finish top 20.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 3
“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) “Personally, I’m taking WR17 Tet McMillan over WR15 Zay Flowers in drafts anyway. It’s the touchdown and volume upside for me that has me banking on the superior player despite an inferior offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 27“Tetairoa McMillan emerged as the Panthers’ top option as a rookie, earning the 2025 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award and establishing strong chemistry with Bryce Young .”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14
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“While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR15 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14“If I missed on early wide receiver in favor of loading up at running back, I would be fine with Egbuka as my WR1 heading into the season.” – Aaron St Denis ( Fantasy Sports Advice Network ) Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) “Few receivers in the WR13-WR30 range offer the kind of ceiling Tetairoa McMillan brings to the table.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 11“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) Tetairoa McMillan already produced enough as a rookie to make him an obvious dynasty asset, but he remains particularly attractive because his best football may still be ahead of him”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“ADP: +6 Tetairoa McMillan wasted no time establishing himself as Carolina’s clear-cut WR1, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year after nearly topping 1,100 receiving yards on 126 targets.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5“However, competing with Tetairoa McMillan for targets is one thing, but competing with McMillan to get a share of Bryce Young’s passing game is less tantalizing than what I’d like it to be, since Bryce’s 188 passing yards per game last year was a career high.”
Tony Martin· Jul 30“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25“2025 saw the breakout of Tetairoa McMillan . McMillan claimed WR 16 overall on the season with 70 receptions, 1014 receiving yards, and seven TDs in 17 games.”
Peter Kettering· Jul 24“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) | ADP: 37.7 (WR15) The Panthers should be ecstatic about pulling the trigger on Tetairoa McMillan with the eighth pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He had a stellar rookie season.”
Josh Shepardson· Jul 24“Yet, according to Fantasy Points Data, he had the 11th-highest receiving yards market share (30.7%) among players with at least 30 targets last year. While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR14 in ADP.”
Mike Fanelli· Jul 17“Tetairoa McMillan entered the NFL as an early-declare prospect and had 70 catches for 1,014 yards and seven touchdowns as a rookie. Those numbers might just scratch the surface of McMillan's capabilities.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Jul 6“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25“McMillan was quietly a fantasy star as a rookie despite Carolina's inconsistent passing attack, finishing as the WR15, averaging 8.3 non-PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the team's best weapon in the red zone, totaling seven receiving touchdowns, more than double the next closest Panther.”
Mike Fanelli· Jun 22