D'Andre Swift
vs Zay Flowers

“Swift will continue to be a fringe RB1 moving forward, especially with Kyle Monangai set to miss time with a thumb injury and a case of turf toe. All hail King Swift! That’s it for this week, FootClan.”

“Still, Swift’s ECR ranking of RB13 is a bit too rich for me. He’s a fine back and as consistent as they come, but Swift has never finished that high positionally in his six NFL seasons.”

“Swift had the better role and scored 17.7 half-PPR points per game with 17.75 expected half-PPR points per game, per the Fantasy Points Data Suite 2.0. Monangai averaged 9.77 half-PPR points per game and 7.29 expected half-PPR points per game. According to Jahnke, Swift had a 61.1% snap share versus 38.9% for Monangai over the first six drives, but Swift lost a fumble on the sixth drive.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift is eighth in yards after contact per attempt and tenth in missed tackle rate. Swift has 14 of the team’s 20 running back red zone carries while playing 64.1% of the snaps with a 51.4% rushing share, a 35.7% route share, and a 9.2% target share. Swift should have another strong stat line this week against a Jets’ run defense that has allowed the second-highest rushing success rate, the tenth-most yards before contact per attempt, and the third-highest missed tackle rate.”

“Among 43 qualifying backs, Swift ranks sixth in yards after contact per attempt and eighth in missed tackle rate. Swift should have success again this week. Philly has allowed the ninth-highest explosive run rate, the fifth-most yards after contact per attempt, and the fifth-highest missed tackle rate.”

““ D’Andre Swift’s fantasy outlook is usually pretty rosy with the potent Bears’ offense and a weaker defensive opponent, but not this week. The injuries to Caleb Williams and backup Tyson Bagent have put a dark cloud over the Windy City. Chicago might have to go with veteran Case Keenum against a stout Eagles’ defense, led by their star linemen Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter .”

“D’Andre Swift has one of the largest deltas (12%) in his TPRR and his True Target Rate (factoring in pass blocks).”

“The yards after catch haven’t shown up either, and with Zay Flowers projected to be back in the lineup, Andrews’ target competition is only getting tougher. Until the usage changes, I’d rather chase the matchup upside somewhere else at the position. Final Thoughts Three weeks into the season, the gap between box score and underlying performance is starting to matter more than ever.”

“Zay Flowers is coming off WR12 in FPPG last season, and could have an improved situation with Declan Doyle as offensive coordinator.”

“There’s a world where Zay Flowers has the talent to be a top-5 fantasy WR if he can ever score TDs. Over 1,200 yards. 86 catches and 5 TDs (WR7) in 2025. WR3 over the last five games. 4+ catches in 13 of his 17 games: a testament to his reliable floor and consistent involvement.”

“Zay Flowers will be the focal point of the passing attack, leading Baltimore in targets. However, Lane is competing with Rashod Bateman and an aging Mark Andrews for the No.”

“Zay Flowers dominated Baltimore’s passing game in 2025 and remains Lamar Jackson’s most trusted target.”

“Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) “ Zay Flowers is being drafted as WR17, which is a bit of a head scratcher considering he finished as WR12 in PPG for receivers that played more than half the year (WR14 if not).”

“Flowers posted 86 catches, 1,211 yards, and six total touchdowns last year despite playing for a team that threw the fewest passes in the league over the last three years.”

“Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) is set up for touchdown regression in the best way. Every other receiver who topped 1,200 receiving yards last year scored at least eight touchdowns except him.”