Tyler Warren
vs Tetairoa McMillan
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Warren
at PIT
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
McMillan
Bye week
8.8
Projected
—
Bye week
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.8 | TE14 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
2 | — | 11.4 | TE10 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 1 |
3 | — | 10.2 | TE13 | 10 | 9 | 55 | — |
4 | — | 6.6 | TE21 | 5 | 5 | 41 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIA | 11.4 | TE5 | 9 | 7 | 76 | — |
2 | DEN | 9.9 | TE7 | 7 | 4 | 79 | — |
3 | TEN | 5.3 | TE22 | 5 | 3 | 38 | — |
4 | LAR | 15.8 | TE3 | 6 | 5 | 70 | — |
5 | LV | 12.4 | TE11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
6 | ARI | 15.3 | TE3 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 1 |
7 | LAC | 14.9 | TE6 | 5 | 4 | 69 | 1 |
8 | TEN | 7.3 | TE13 | 5 | 4 | 53 | — |
9 | PIT | 5.1 | TE29 | 7 | 5 | 26 | — |
10 | ATL | 13.9 | TE5 | 10 | 8 | 99 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | KC | 7.0 | TE14 | 7 | 5 | 45 | — |
13 | HOU | 9.7 | TE11 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
14 | JAX | 2.7 | TE29 | 6 | 2 | 15 | — |
15 | SEA | 3.4 | TE34 | 6 | 3 | 19 | — |
16 | SF | 4.5 | TE24 | 9 | 3 | 30 | — |
17 | JAX | 6.8 | TE20 | 5 | 5 | 43 | — |
18 | HOU | 5.1 | TE24 | 8 | 5 | 26 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
Expert takes
“Tyler Warren has checked almost every top-five TE usage metric we want to see. The only things holding him back right now are efficiency and Daniel Jones . The Colts game was in London this week.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Oct 4, 2026“TE Tyler Warren @ WAS Warren has given you consistency so far this year, scoring at least 8.5 fantasy points in all three weeks. Mike thinks this could be the week we see his ceiling against a Washington defense that won’t offer much in the way of resistance. They are currently ranked 31st in fantasy points allowed to the TE position.”
Parker Hagen· Oct 1, 2026“None of those metrics are good, but we know the type of talent Warren has, so I’m not pressing any panic button after only three games when his quarterback has been playing horrible football. Warren has three red zone targets and zero deep targets. Warren should have a nice week against a Washington pass defense that has allowed the third-most yards per target and the most fantasy points per opportunity to tight ends.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026
See 12 more
“Warren has been used near the line of scrimmage so far, averaging only 1.9 air yards per target. 36.4% of his targets have been at or behind the line of scrimmage, the third-highest rate among tight ends with double-digit targets. That said, he is playing a ton of snaps and getting regular targets.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 30, 2026“Tyler Warren played 94.4% of the snaps, ran 92.7% of the routes, and had a 27.8% target share. Laquon Treadwell filled in for Pierce, running clear-out routes. Downs, Allen, and Warren all had good days, scoring 12.7, 18.3, and 14.7 PPR points, respectively.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 28, 2026“While the Colts signed Darius Slay ton as Pierce’s replacement in the offense, Josh Downs and Tyler Warren will likely benefit the most from Pierce’s absence. TE Quick Hitters Brock Bowers | TE, Las Vegas Raiders (QUESTIONABLE) – Bowers is officially questionable after getting in two limited practices to start the week and then not practicing Friday. The Raiders indicated that Bowers’ Friday absence was planned and not a setback.”
Edward DeLauter· Sep 26, 2026“Tyler Warren is being asked to pass block more in 2026 (11.9% versus 6.9% last year) and his aDOT is a paltry 1.4 yards.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 21, 2026“Tyler Warren had a fantastic rookie season as the TE10 in fantasy points per game, but there was plenty of meat left on the bone that should have fantasy gamers excited going into 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026“Over his first 10 games of 2025, Warren averaged 5.0 catches, 61.7 receiving yards and 11.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with four touchdowns. Over his last seven games, Warren averaged 3.7 catches, 28.6 receiving yards and 5.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, with one touchdown.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 3, 2026“Warren was excellent last year on a per-route basis. Among 59 qualifying tight ends, he was sixth in target share, ninth in receiving yards per game, 18th in yards per route run and first downs per route run, and sixth in first-read-read share (per Fantasy Points Data). His target share and first-read share should increase this season with Pittman Jr. gone, and his per-route productivity should also improve if Daniel Jones can stay healthy for the entire season and be at least a shadow of his healthy self.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8, 2026“Obviously, Tyler Warren will see a great deal, and Alec Pierce just secured the bag, but Downs should not be forgotten”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6, 2026“While Daniel Jones appears healthy heading into 2026, I expect to see more of Warren taking snaps at quarterback, as he did at Penn State. Warren offers unique upside that has received little discussion this offseason.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“The Colts offense took a big step forward in 2025, and they will need to rely even more on Tyler Warren to keep that momentum going. Warren had an outstanding rookie year after leading the Colts in targets last season. The departure of Michael Pittman (PIT) will lead to even more looks for Warren's second season.”
Jonathan Lange· Jul 9, 2026“Warren had a strong rookie season, catching 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added a rushing touchdown. Warren played 84% of the snaps as a rookie, running a route on 83.6% of the team's dropbacks.”
Rich Hribar· Jul 8, 2026“In the games that Tyler Warren played with Daniel Jones, he averaged 12.36 PPR points and 53.7 yards. In the four that he played in without Jones, his numbers dropped to 6.95 points and 29.5 yards.”
Tom Strachan· May 15, 2026
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
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“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
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