Tetairoa McMillan
vs Lamar Jackson
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5McMillan
Bye week
Jackson
at ATL
Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET
Out
—
Bye week
—
Projected
Half-PPR
projection
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.0 | WR36 | 8 | 5 | 75 | — |
2 | — | 12.6 | WR17 | 10 | 5 | 101 | — |
3 | — | 2.7 | WR88 | 5 | 2 | 17 | — |
4 | — | 38.2 | WR1 | 16 | 14 | 192 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | JAX | 9.3 | WR31 | 9 | 5 | 68 | — |
2 | ARI | 13.0 | WR27 | 10 | 6 | 100 | — |
3 | ATL | 6.3 | WR46 | 8 | 3 | 48 | — |
4 | NE | 8.2 | WR36 | 8 | 4 | 62 | — |
5 | MIA | 10.3 | WR28 | 8 | 6 | 73 | — |
6 | DAL | 16.4 | WR12 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 |
7 | NYJ | 4.8 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — |
8 | BUF | 13.4 | WR14 | 10 | 7 | 99 | — |
9 | GB | 6.6 | WR49 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — |
10 | NO | 8.5 | WR33 | 8 | 5 | 60 | — |
11 | ATL | 29.0 | WR1 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 |
12 | SF | 10.5 | WR27 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
13 | LAR | 10.8 | WR23 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NO | 3.5 | WR73 | 4 | 2 | 25 | — |
16 | TB | 16.3 | WR13 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
17 | SEA | 1.0 | WR109 | 4 | 1 | 5 | — |
18 | TB | 8.5 | WR24 | 6 | 4 | 85 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 25.0 | QB7 | 25 | 17 | 324 | 1 | — | 40 | 1 |
2 | — | 15.8 | QB16 | 31 | 21 | 235 | 1 | 1 | 34 | — |
3 | — | 20.4 | QB13 | 20 | 15 | 186 | 2 | — | 50 | — |
4 | — | 18.9 | QB11 | 20 | 15 | 222 | 2 | — | 20 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 29.4 | QB4 | 19 | 14 | 209 | 2 | — | 70 | 1 |
2 | CLE | 26.3 | QB3 | 29 | 19 | 225 | 4 | — | 13 | — |
3 | DET | 27.0 | QB3 | 27 | 21 | 288 | 3 | — | 35 | — |
4 | KC | 11.7 | QB27 | 20 | 14 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 48 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | MIA | 25.6 | QB9 | 23 | 18 | 204 | 4 | — | 14 | — |
10 | MIN | 16.6 | QB15 | 29 | 17 | 176 | 1 | — | 36 | — |
11 | CLE | 6.7 | QB29 | 25 | 14 | 193 | — | 2 | 10 | — |
12 | NYJ | 7.2 | QB25 | 23 | 13 | 153 | — | — | 11 | — |
13 | CIN | 7.5 | QB27 | 32 | 17 | 246 | — | 1 | 27 | — |
14 | PIT | 22.1 | QB7 | 35 | 19 | 219 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
15 | CIN | 15.6 | QB20 | 12 | 8 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 26 | — |
16 | NE | 4.7 | QB29 | 10 | 7 | 101 | — | — | 7 | — |
17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | PIT | 21.4 | QB7 | 18 | 11 | 238 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | CMP | YD | TD | INT | RuYD | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | KC | 25.1 | QB5 | 41 | 26 | 273 | 1 | — | 122 | — |
2 | LV | 17.4 | QB9 | 34 | 21 | 247 | 1 | 1 | 45 | — |
3 | DAL | 26.0 | QB4 | 15 | 12 | 182 | 1 | — | 87 | 1 |
4 | BUF | 23.6 | QB6 | 18 | 13 | 156 | 2 | — | 54 | 1 |
5 | CIN | 33.4 | QB3 | 42 | 26 | 348 | 4 | — | 55 | — |
6 | WAS | 19.9 | QB12 | 26 | 20 | 323 | 1 | 1 | 40 | — |
7 | TB | 34.4 | QB1 | 22 | 17 | 281 | 5 | — | 52 | — |
8 | CLE | 24.2 | QB8 | 38 | 23 | 289 | 2 | — | 46 | — |
9 | DEN | 23.6 | QB6 | 19 | 16 | 280 | 3 | — | 4 | — |
10 | CIN | 32.9 | QB2 | 33 | 25 | 290 | 4 | — | 33 | — |
11 | PIT | 15.9 | QB23 | 33 | 16 | 207 | 1 | 1 | 46 | — |
12 | LAC | 22.6 | QB5 | 22 | 16 | 177 | 2 | — | 15 | 1 |
13 | PHI | 25.4 | QB6 | 36 | 23 | 237 | 2 | — | 79 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | NYG | 36.1 | QB3 | 25 | 21 | 290 | 5 | — | 65 | — |
16 | PIT | 21.5 | QB12 | 23 | 15 | 207 | 3 | 1 | 22 | — |
17 | HOU | 29.4 | QB6 | 15 | 10 | 168 | 2 | — | 87 | 1 |
18 | CLE | 23.0 | QB10 | 32 | 16 | 217 | 2 | — | 63 | — |
Expert takes
“Tetairoa McMillan is the WR21 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 23% target share with 2.38 YPRR, a 27.3% first-read share, three red zone targets, and five deep targets. This week, he’ll face a Browns pass defense that has the highest single high rate in the NFL (78.1%). Against single high, McMillan has a 20% target per route run rate (second on the team) with 1.40 YPRR, but last week he was the leading receiver for Young against single high with a 27% target per route run rate and 2.18 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Sep 24, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan has been a little overshadowed by Jalen Coker in the Panthers’ offense so far. But the second-year wideout has seen only one fewer target than his third-year compatriot (18 to 17), and he easily leads in air yards (253 to 179). Bryce Young has looked like a new quarterback so far this season, and Carolina’s offense ranks near the top of the league in PROE.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Mike : Tetairoa McMillan vs CHI McMillan is one of eight rookie WRs over the last decade to finish with a 26% target share. Mike gives confidence to fantasy managers starting McMillan as he faces off against a Bears defense that ranked bottom-5 in schedule-adjusted points allowed to WRs, yards per game, and pressure rate last season. Jason : Davante Adams vs SF Adams was the most targeted receiver inside the 5-yard line in NFL history last season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 12, 2026
See 8 more
“Tetairoa McMillan is still quite a ways away from reaching elite status. However, the young receiver is the first option on a team that doesn’t have much of a run game.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Coming off a Rookie of the Year performance, Tetairoa McMillan is primed for an even bigger season in 2026.”
Wyatt Bertolone· Sep 2, 2026“As a rookie, Tetairoa McMillan had a 25.4% target share, catching 70 passes for over 1,000 yards. He should see plenty of targets once again as the No. 1 WR for the Panthers this season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 29, 2026“McMillan is currently ranked as the WR17 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), and I feel that managers are paying a premium for a player with many surrounding question marks. Last season, the chips fell nicely for McMillan to finish as a volume play, but increased competition and middling play under center have me worried about his outlook in 2026.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 14, 2026“Tetairoa McMillan (WR – CAR) McMillan is coming off an Offensive Rookie of the Year season, but his outlook depends heavily on his quarterback and that quarterback’s offensive line, which is off to a rough start with two starting tackles already dealing with camp injuries.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 25, 2026“Morgan took a first-round receiver for the second straight year in 2025, grabbing Tetairoa McMillan eighth overall. That pick looks like a home run. McMillan won Offensive Rookie of the Year honors on the heels of a 70-catch, 1,014-yard, seven-score debut.”
Connor Byrne· Jul 10, 2026“McMillan commanded a 23% target share for Carolina's offense, but the main problem is that Carolina doesn't want to throw the ball and instead leans heavily on its run game to move the chains on each possession. McMillan will undoubtedly lead Carolina in targets again, but that number is hard-capped.”
Evan Tarracciano· Jun 25, 2026“Jalen Coker missed that game after leading Carolina with 18 catches and 222 yards through three weeks, and McMillan had just an 18% target share entering Week 4, so I expect more competition for volume when Coker returns. Carolina is also on bye in Week 5, giving me even more incentive to capitalize on McMillan’s WR1 overall performance now. I would deal him for a player like Rashee Rice , who will be more heavily involved down the stretch.” – Ryan Linkletter ( Blitz Sports Media ) “ Tetairoa McMillan looked great and did it on an island game.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026
“Jackson, 29, has missed games due to five different injuries (two ankle issues to go with knee, hamstring and back problems) since 2021. He also did not look himself for a while following the 2025 hamstring issue, and the Ravens needed Huntley — brought back because of Cooper Rush ’s struggles in the QB2 role last season — again when Jackson sustained the back injury late last season. Although Jackson’s injury issues bring obvious concern given his play style, the Ravens armed their top player with extraordinary leverage this offseason by restructuring his deal .”
Sam Robinson· Oct 10, 2026“Lamar Jackson | QB, Baltimore Ravens (OUT) Lamar Jackson is recovering from an ankle sprain that has been described as “neither low nor high.” Timelines for recovery have been all over the place, but a one or two-week absence appears to be the consensus. Tyler Huntley is the backup and will step in for Jackson.”
Jonathan Lange· Oct 10, 2026“Ravens Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is the focal point of OC Declan Doyle ‘s offense, with HC Jesse Minter noting that he and Jackson were looking forward to working together as a group.”
Wyatt Grindley· Sep 27, 2026
See 10 more
“In both of his matchups with the Cowboys, Jackson has run for 181 yards and a TD.”
Julia Papworth· Sep 25, 2026“Lamar Jackson has a massive ceiling in what projects to be a high-scoring matchup against the Cowboys. Dallas was getting torched by Jayden Daniels before he went down with an injury, which bodes well for Jackson’s outlook in this spot. With his ability to make plays through the air and on the ground, Jackson has the potential to put up a monster performance here.”
Frank Ammirante· Sep 25, 2026“But Jackson has looked far more like his electric self at the start of this season than he did in 2025. By the end of the season, he should be right up next to (OK, maybe behind) Allen as a top-tier fantasy quarterback.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Unfortunately, Jackson had arguably his worst season as a starter in 2025. He missed four games because of injury and played part of the year hurt. The superstar finished as the QB14 on a points-per-game basis among qualifying quarterbacks, averaging 19.8 fantasy points per contest. However, I expect a bounce-back season for Jackson, especially with Declan Doyle taking over as Baltimore’s offensive coordinator.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 16, 2026“If Lamar Jackson can bounce back, Henry could inch back closer to his 2024 production (RB4 in fantasy points per game).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 5, 2026“With plenty of time to recover from last season, Jackson is a ticking time bomb for fantasy production.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 23, 2026“Jackson's 2025 performance was marred by injury and a subpar level of play (by his standards). Therefore, while he has tremendous leverage by virtue of the restructure and the $84.34MM cap number it created for 2027, he may want to come to the negotiating table on the heels of a better season.”
Rory Parks· Jul 12, 2026“Jackson mentioned that Doyle is running a completely different system from what Todd Monken deployed last season, while there are some concepts from what Greg Roman ran in 2022. Jackson expects more "explosiveness" this season, and Doyle is proving to be a very creative playcaller. "I feel like there's going to be a lot of explosiveness this year," Jackson said. "The way Declan calls plays and his creativity with his mind — how detailed he is — it's mind-blowing. I'm excited."”
Tony Camino· Jul 10, 2026“It was only a season ago that we saw Jackson finish as the QB1 with 425 fantasy points. That was his second time surpassing 400 fantasy points, a threshold that Allen has never exceeded.”
Ellis Johnson· Jul 10, 2026“Over his final eight starts, Jackson was the QB29 in fantasy points per game (11.9). He completed just 57.6% of his passes (28th) with 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. He had the highest inaccurate throw rate in the league over that span (15.8%).”
Rich Hribar· Jul 9, 2026
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