Luther Burden
vs Emeka Egbuka
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Burden
at GB
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Egbuka
at DAL
Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET
10.6
Projected
14.2
Game ended
Half-PPR
points
This week's comparison isn't ready yet. Check back later.
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 7.0 | WR42 | 5 | 5 | 63 | — |
2 | — | 4.7 | WR66 | 7 | 3 | 32 | — |
3 | — | 16.3 | WR15 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 |
4 | — | 9.4 | WR40 | 6 | 4 | 63 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 0.2 | WR118 | 1 | 1 | -3 | — |
2 | DET | 1.0 | WR115 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
3 | DAL | 18.3 | WR6 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 |
4 | LV | 0.6 | WR110 | 2 | 2 | -4 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | WAS | 7.1 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 51 | — |
7 | NO | 2.6 | WR78 | 2 | 1 | 22 | — |
8 | BAL | 0.4 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NYG | 6.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 51 | — |
11 | MIN | 4.2 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 27 | — |
12 | PIT | 7.6 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 46 | — |
13 | PHI | 5.6 | WR47 | 6 | 4 | 33 | — |
14 | GB | 9.0 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 67 | — |
15 | CLE | 11.4 | WR26 | 7 | 6 | 84 | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | SF | 23.8 | WR1 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 |
18 | DET | 6.0 | WR38 | 4 | 3 | 35 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.8 | WR33 | 6 | 5 | 63 | — |
2 | — | 8.8 | WR32 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 1 |
3 | — | 8.7 | WR42 | 9 | 5 | 62 | — |
4 | — | 2.3 | WR83 | 4 | 2 | 13 | — |
5 | — | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ATL | 21.6 | WR3 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 2 |
2 | HOU | 10.9 | WR32 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 1 |
3 | NYJ | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | — |
4 | PHI | 18.1 | WR8 | 10 | 4 | 101 | 1 |
5 | SEA | 27.8 | WR1 | 7 | 7 | 163 | 1 |
6 | SF | 3.4 | WR69 | 4 | 2 | 24 | — |
7 | DET | 7.8 | WR34 | 12 | 4 | 58 | — |
8 | NO | 5.0 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 35 | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NE | 20.5 | WR4 | 13 | 6 | 115 | 1 |
11 | BUF | 6.5 | WR44 | 9 | 5 | 40 | — |
12 | LAR | 4.7 | WR51 | 8 | 3 | 32 | — |
13 | ARI | 6.2 | WR43 | 8 | 4 | 42 | — |
14 | NO | 2.5 | WR76 | 9 | 2 | 15 | — |
15 | ATL | 8.4 | WR38 | 7 | 4 | 64 | — |
16 | CAR | 4.5 | WR66 | 2 | 1 | 40 | — |
17 | MIA | 3.5 | WR72 | 5 | 3 | 20 | — |
18 | CAR | 1.3 | WR89 | 3 | 1 | 8 | — |
Expert takes
“Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 27, 2026
See 8 more
“Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 24, 2026“Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“Luther Burden was just as buzzy as Parker Washington within the fantasy community this summer. Like Washington, Burden did some things late last season that whetted our appetite for a full breakout in 2026.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Luther Burden of the Chicago Bears is my pick for league-winner at receiver. With DJ Moore now in Buffalo, Burden steps into a much larger role alongside Rome Odunze and should command a significant target share in an improving Bears offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“Shifting Burden into this alpha role makes perfect sense. Burden is an elite YAC monster, and Ben Johnson would use him as an offensive weapon all over the formation. In a record-breaking year, Burden’s ceiling isn’t just a low-end WR1 – it is an overall top-5 standard/PPR finish fueled by manufactured touches and explosive chunk plays.”
Nate Henry· Aug 28, 2026“The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14, 2026“Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
“Meanwhile, Egbuka is a solid option because of the matchup against the Dallas Cowboys, but having Jalon Daniels under center makes starting him a risk.”
Mike Fanelli· Oct 6, 2026“Egbuka finished with only 13 receiving yards and one red zone target. It was a disappointing showing for Egbuka. With Daniels still finding his footing, I’d love to craft a narrative that Egbuka immediately bounces back; I don’t know if that happens, but it’s possible.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“Egbuka has yet to log a week higher than WR30 through four games, and his top-down role as a potential target hog hasn't materialized in his second season. His 19.8% target share ranks WR29, and he has been targeted on 17.4% of his routes. Egbuka is a WR3/FLEX in the offense as it stands .”
Rich Hribar· Oct 6, 2026
See 12 more
“Egbuka has yet to reach 65 receiving yards in a game this season, and with Baker Mayfield potentially sidelined for an extended stretch, an already underwhelming passing environment just got worse. He’s still involved enough to remain fantasy relevant, but “relevant” isn’t exactly what you were hoping for when you drafted him. Consider Egbuka a low-ceiling FLEX option until he gives us a reason to believe otherwise.”
Tim Brosnan· Oct 6, 2026“Emeka Egbuka’s Advanced Metrics The bigger concern is that Egbuka’s production — and dynasty value — is unlikely to rebound in the short term.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Oct 2, 2026“Two weeks in, it doesn’t look like Emeka Egbuka will take a huge step forward in his second season. His 18% target share and 31% air yards share are both fine, but they aren’t the numbers that managers betting on a breakout were hoping for. Especially given that Tampa Bay’s offense is struggling, I’d move Egbuka while his WR2 average draft position (ADP) is still fresh enough to do the heavy lifting.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Baker Mayfield could lean heavily on Godwin if Emeka Egbuka is being followed by DJ Turner all day.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“Emeka Egbuka is on track to play on Sunday after missing time in training camp with turf toe.”
Mike Fanelli· Sep 10, 2026“Round 7: Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) While he’ll compete with Chris Godwin for targets, Emeka Egbuka is who I’d consider to be the No.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22, 2026“Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) offers real top-five receiver upside if his hot start from last season extends across a full year, positioned as his team’s clear top receiver under a new offensive coordinator as long as the starting quarterback stays healthy.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 10, 2026“Emeka Egbuka ‘s rookie season was a rollercoaster, but the underlying usage points toward a major Year 2 breakout in Tampa Bay. The former Ohio State standout earned elite target volume for a rookie and looked like a future star early in the season before injuries and shifting usage slowed his momentum late in the year (top-10 WR from Weeks 1-11). With Mike Evans gone, Egbuka is positioned for a much larger role in Zac Robinson’s offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 9, 2026“Emeka Egbuka (WR – TB) Emeka Egbuka had a 23.5% target share last season, which led the Buccaneers”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6, 2026“With Mike Evans gone, Egbuka is positioned for a much larger role in Zac Robinson’s offense. He is one of the more appealing second-year breakout WR candidates in fantasy football.”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 28, 2026“Emeka Egbuka could crush his mid WR2 draft cost this season. Egbuka faded after Week 5 last year after he sustained a hamstring injury, and Baker Mayfield ‘s injury severely impacted his ability to feed catchable targets to the receiving options in Tampa Bay. In Weeks 1-5, Egbuka was the WR3 in fantasy points per game, commanding a 22.1% target share with 89 receiving yards per game, 2.71 yards per route run, a 26.1% first-read share, and 0.104 first downs per route run (per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Jul 22, 2026“He started off extremely hot last season before fading down the stretch, but with Mike Evans gone, Egbuka is in line for huge volume and opportunity.”
Kurt Blakeway· Jul 17, 2026
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