Luther Burden
vs Bucky Irving
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Burden
at GB
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Irving
at DAL
Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET
10.6
Projected
30.5
Game ended
Half-PPR
points
2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 7.0 | WR42 | 5 | 5 | 63 | — |
2 | — | 4.7 | WR66 | 7 | 3 | 32 | — |
3 | — | 16.3 | WR15 | 11 | 7 | 61 | 1 |
4 | — | 9.4 | WR40 | 6 | 4 | 63 | — |
Earlier seasons (2025)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | MIN | 0.2 | WR118 | 1 | 1 | -3 | — |
2 | DET | 1.0 | WR115 | 2 | 1 | 5 | — |
3 | DAL | 18.3 | WR6 | 3 | 3 | 101 | 1 |
4 | LV | 0.6 | WR110 | 2 | 2 | -4 | — |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | WAS | 7.1 | WR36 | 4 | 4 | 51 | — |
7 | NO | 2.6 | WR78 | 2 | 1 | 22 | — |
8 | BAL | 0.4 | WR93 | 1 | 1 | -1 | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | NYG | 6.6 | WR41 | 3 | 3 | 51 | — |
11 | MIN | 4.2 | WR57 | 5 | 3 | 27 | — |
12 | PIT | 7.6 | WR35 | 5 | 3 | 46 | — |
13 | PHI | 5.6 | WR47 | 6 | 4 | 33 | — |
14 | GB | 9.0 | WR28 | 6 | 4 | 67 | — |
15 | CLE | 11.4 | WR26 | 7 | 6 | 84 | — |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | SF | 23.8 | WR1 | 9 | 8 | 138 | 1 |
18 | DET | 6.0 | WR38 | 4 | 3 | 35 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 16.8 | RB13 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 48 | — |
2 | — | 11.0 | RB15 | 17 | 89 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
3 | — | 6.8 | RB35 | 15 | 46 | — | 4 | 2 | 12 | — |
4 | — | 6.1 | RB40 | 16 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | — | 30.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ATL | 12.5 | RB19 | 14 | 37 | — | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
2 | HOU | 15.1 | RB14 | 17 | 71 | — | 6 | 6 | 50 | — |
3 | NYJ | 11.9 | RB17 | 25 | 66 | — | 4 | 4 | 33 | — |
4 | PHI | 23.0 | RB9 | 15 | 63 | — | 5 | 5 | 102 | 1 |
5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
13 | ARI | 15.1 | RB14 | 17 | 61 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | — |
14 | NO | 15.1 | RB12 | 15 | 55 | — | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
15 | ATL | 7.6 | RB34 | 16 | 60 | — | 3 | 1 | 11 | — |
16 | CAR | 7.1 | RB41 | 19 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | MIA | 5.8 | RB35 | 9 | 19 | — | 6 | 5 | 14 | — |
18 | CAR | 10.3 | RB19 | 26 | 85 | — | 2 | 1 | 13 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | ATT | YD | TD | TGT | REC | RYD | RTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | WAS | 8.6 | RB31 | 9 | 62 | — | 3 | 2 | 14 | — |
2 | DET | 2.2 | RB62 | 7 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | DEN | 9.9 | RB24 | 9 | 70 | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | — |
4 | PHI | 12.0 | RB22 | 10 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | — |
5 | ATL | 4.6 | RB43 | 9 | 44 | — | 2 | 2 | 12 | — |
6 | NO | 17.5 | RB11 | 14 | 81 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | — |
7 | BAL | 15.2 | RB17 | 9 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 54 | — |
8 | ATL | 11.9 | RB24 | 9 | 44 | — | 7 | 7 | 40 | — |
9 | KC | 4.9 | RB41 | 7 | 24 | — | 3 | 3 | 10 | — |
10 | SF | 16.2 | RB6 | 13 | 73 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | — |
11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | NYG | 24.2 | RB3 | 12 | 88 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 64 | — |
13 | CAR | 26.0 | RB1 | 25 | 152 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 33 | — |
14 | LV | 2.3 | RB49 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
15 | LAC | 12.3 | RB17 | 15 | 117 | — | 2 | 2 | -4 | — |
16 | DAL | 16.7 | RB16 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 24 | — |
17 | CAR | 21.0 | RB5 | 20 | 113 | — | 4 | 4 | 77 | — |
18 | NO | 15.4 | RB9 | 19 | 89 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -5 | — |
Expert takes
“Burden has a 23.5% target share with 1.95 YPRR, six red zone targets (leads the team), zero deep targets, and a 32.8% first-read share (leads the team). This week, he faces a Jets’ secondary that has the fifth-highest two-high rate in the NFL (65.4%). Against two high, Burden is second on the team with a 21% target-per-route run rate with only 0.79 YPRR.”
Derek Brown· Oct 1, 2026“Bagent/Burden is worth building out, then comparing the whole lineup against a Brissett or Goff version rather than assuming cheaper is better.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026“Per Fantasy Points Data Suite, Burden has seen a 31% first-read target rate (WR13). His biggest issues right now are route participation and Kalif Raymond . The upside still exists in a Ben Johnson offense, and I am willing to buy at a discount from a manager who has already lost faith.”
Joshua Poniatowski· Sep 27, 2026
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“Burden has played 55% of his snaps from the slot, but he has been targeted on only 12.5% of his slot routes (0.75 yards per route), compared with 32% of his routes outside (2.84 yards per route). The Eagles obviously have awesome boundary corners in Quinyon Mitchell and Riq Woolen , so it is hard to play through Burden's splits outside. Philadelphia has allowed 10 catches for 150 yards and 2 touchdowns to slot receivers so far, which likely plays a role in adding Kenny Moore this week and potentially giving them more flexibility to move Cooper DeJean around more like they did last week.”
Rich Hribar· Sep 24, 2026“Luther Burden steps into a much larger workload in 2026. Last year (including the playoffs), Burden had only five games in which he played at least 53% of the snaps. In those games, he had a 15.5% target share and 61.2 receiving yards per game, which is concerning, but his per-route metrics were outstanding, with 2.30 yards per route run, a 23.6% first-read share, and 0.120 first downs per route run.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“Luther Burden was just as buzzy as Parker Washington within the fantasy community this summer. Like Washington, Burden did some things late last season that whetted our appetite for a full breakout in 2026.”
Pat Fitzmaurice· Sep 9, 2026“Luther Burden of the Chicago Bears is my pick for league-winner at receiver. With DJ Moore now in Buffalo, Burden steps into a much larger role alongside Rome Odunze and should command a significant target share in an improving Bears offense.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 2, 2026“Shifting Burden into this alpha role makes perfect sense. Burden is an elite YAC monster, and Ben Johnson would use him as an offensive weapon all over the formation. In a record-breaking year, Burden’s ceiling isn’t just a low-end WR1 – it is an overall top-5 standard/PPR finish fueled by manufactured touches and explosive chunk plays.”
Nate Henry· Aug 28, 2026“The hype around Burden has gotten out of control. He averaged fewer PPR fantasy points per game than Theo Wease Jr. last season (8.6 vs. 8.5).”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 14, 2026“Burden averaged 13.9 YPC, which is high when considering his low aDOT. That's attributable to the fact that Burden was a YAC machine in 2025, averaging 7.1 YAC per reception, which ranked 3rd in the NFL among WRs.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“Burden finished 2025 with a paltry 12.8% target share on the season. This number obviously grew throughout the season, as his snap share increased, but that's still an uninspiring number. Better, though, were his Team Reception % (16%), Team Receiving Yards % (19%), and team WR Points % (26.9%), which shows how efficient Burden was when targeted.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026
“Irving had a 37.5% snap rate inside the 20-yard line last week while logging two red zone rushing attempts, with Tucker finishing with three. This is a horrible outcome for Irving’s touchdown prospects weekly if it continues. Irving’s per-touch metrics have started to dip from a strong start, which tells me he likely isn’t 100% healthy.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 8, 2026“The matchup with Green Bay is favorable on paper, yet I’d be worried that Irving needs a touchdown to justify his elevated ranking this week.” – Aaron St Denis ( Fantasy Sports Advice Network ) “ Bucky Irving is just inside the top 40 flex rankings right now. This week he gets the Green Bay Packers that couldn’t tackle Brian Robinson Jr. , let alone Bijan Robinson . But Bucky is dealing with a glute injury after finishing RB35 last week.”
FantasyPros Staff· Oct 1, 2026“Irving posted notable declines in success rate, EPA/rush, red zone efficiency, targets, and fantasy points per game. The Buccaneers’ run game has been one of the only highlights on an otherwise miserable offense led by under-pressure Todd Bowels — sorry, Bowles.”
Elliott Troop· Oct 3, 2026
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“Bucky Irving has been Tampa Bay’s clear RB1 to start the season, out-carrying Kenny Gainwell by 15 carries last week and running 10 more routes.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“The results have been just OK, but Bucky Irving’s usage has been incredibly exciting so far this season. He has played 71% of Tampa Bay’s snaps, handled 78% of their running back carries and seen an 18% target share on a 57% route participation rate. Kenneth Gainwell is barely relevant, and Sean Tucker didn’t play a single snap in his season debut on Sunday.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 24, 2026“Minnesota Vikings Bucky Irving has played well through two games, averaging 5.36 yards per carry. He’s got a little extra pep in his step, ranking eighth in explosive yards, 11th in yards after contact per attempt and 17th in missed tackles per attempt, according to the Fantasy Points Data Suite. The Vikings pose the stiffest test for Irving, as they have yet to allow a rushing touchdown and have allowed only 14.2 fantasy points per game to running backs.”
Kyle Zeigler· Sep 23, 2026“Looking at the Buccaneers backfield, Bucky Irving was not usurped by any means by Kenneth Gainwell . In fact, Bucky saw 32% of Tampa Bay’s total rush attempts and targets on the day. Anything above 30% is an elite workload according to our “work” metrics on our site.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 14, 2026“Bucky Irving finished the game with 35 snaps to 26 for Gainwell, but that wasn’t all; every other opportunity metric tilted towards Irving, including one surprising one. Bucky finished with 22 routes, seven targets, and eight carries, while Gainwell ran only thirteen routes and finished with one target and five carries. The routes are a huge development for Bucky Irving, because those routes were where Gainwell was supposed to make hay this season, and where he was supposed to take from Irving.”
Jeff Krisko· Sep 13, 2026“Bucky Irving has dealt with a number of injuries in his short career with a foot sprain and a shoulder/ AC joint sprain last year.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 12, 2026“It was only one of two games where Rice failed to score double-digit fantasy points in 2025.” – Mike Fanelli ( FantasyPros ) Bucky Irving (RB – TB) “ Bucky Irving is a good player, but the opener on the road in Cincinnati seems daunting.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 10, 2026“Bucky Irving had a sophomore season to forget.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 4, 2026
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