Justin Jefferson vs Rashee Rice
2026 draft comparison · half-PPR
Updated Aug 29, 2026
Should you draft Justin Jefferson or Rashee Rice?
Last season — 2025, per game
Full game log & past seasons
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | CHI | 12.8 | WR20 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 1 |
2 | ATL | 9.6 | WR38 | 6 | 3 | 81 | 0 |
3 | CIN | 10.0 | WR33 | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 |
4 | PIT | 17.6 | WR9 | 11 | 10 | 126 | 0 |
5 | CLE | 15.8 | WR11 | 11 | 7 | 123 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | PHI | 10.4 | WR26 | 10 | 5 | 79 | 0 |
8 | LAC | 10.9 | WR26 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
9 | DET | 13.7 | WR18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 1 |
10 | BAL | 5.7 | WR44 | 12 | 4 | 37 | 0 |
11 | CHI | 8.6 | WR27 | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 |
12 | GB | 6.8 | WR39 | 6 | 4 | 48 | 0 |
13 | SEA | 1.4 | WR95 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
14 | WAS | 2.1 | WR81 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
15 | DAL | 3.2 | WR77 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 0 |
16 | NYG | 11.5 | WR26 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 0 |
17 | DET | 5.0 | WR52 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 |
18 | GB | 14.4 | WR10 | 11 | 8 | 101 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | 13.9 | WR15 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 1 |
2 | SF | 21.3 | WR7 | 7 | 4 | 133 | 1 |
3 | HOU | 17.1 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 1 |
4 | GB | 17.5 | WR11 | 8 | 6 | 85 | 1 |
5 | NYJ | 12.2 | WR23 | 14 | 6 | 92 | 0 |
6 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | DET | 17.9 | WR5 | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 |
8 | LAR | 15.5 | WR13 | 9 | 8 | 115 | 0 |
9 | IND | 18.1 | WR9 | 9 | 7 | 137 | 0 |
10 | JAX | 7.3 | WR33 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
11 | TEN | 11.1 | WR29 | 8 | 6 | 81 | 0 |
12 | CHI | 3.7 | WR64 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 0 |
13 | ARI | 13.4 | WR23 | 9 | 7 | 99 | 0 |
14 | ATL | 28.7 | WR4 | 7 | 7 | 132 | 2 |
15 | CHI | 16.8 | WR15 | 14 | 7 | 73 | 1 |
16 | SEA | 31.4 | WR1 | 13 | 10 | 144 | 2 |
17 | GB | 13.2 | WR29 | 11 | 8 | 92 | 0 |
18 | DET | 6.9 | WR55 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 0 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | LV | 19.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 2 |
8 | WAS | 21.0 | WR2 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 1 |
9 | BUF | 16.6 | WR10 | 7 | 4 | 80 | 0 |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DEN | 6.8 | WR38 | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
12 | IND | 20.1 | WR8 | 12 | 8 | 141 | 0 |
13 | DAL | 25.4 | WR2 | 12 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
14 | HOU | 5.4 | WR46 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 |
15 | LAC | 8.6 | WR36 | 11 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
Earlier seasons (2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 13.8 | WR16 | 9 | 7 | 103 | 0 |
2 | CIN | 16.0 | WR17 | 6 | 5 | 75 | 1 |
3 | ATL | 23.1 | WR5 | 14 | 12 | 110 | 1 |
4 | LAC | 1.0 | WR107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Latest takes
“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Condolences if you rostered Justin Jefferson in 2025. According to our data, Jefferson teams had a 3.54% win rate in 2025. That level of return stings and isn’t something fantasy managers forget in a hurry, but there are reasons for optimism in 2026.”
Tom Strachan· Aug 28“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Finishes Outside the Top 20 Wide Receivers The prediction: Jefferson, currently going as a top-six receiver, finishes this season outside the top 20 at his position. This is partly a skepticism play on his new starting quarterback’s fit in this specific offense, particularly real questions about accessing the middle of the field effectively. Even last year, on a per-route basis, Jefferson already graded as only a fringe top-15 to top-17 receiver in efficiency metrics, not a true elite option, once poor quarterback play is set aside.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 28“Justin Jefferson failed to live up to his ADP, while Jordan Addison couldn’t be trusted with anyone but Wentz starting. The veteran averaged 7.5 targets and 16 PPR fantasy points per game during the four contests he played with Wentz, totaling 15.1+ points in all but one outing.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 25
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“Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) | Under 1,376 Receiving Yards & 293.71 Fantasy Points As is the case with Drake London, Justin Jefferson finds himself in a quarterback situation where neither candidate is particularly promising. Kyler Murray is by far the more reliable option over J.J.”
Steve Krebs· Aug 25“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (QB – MIN) I feel great about Justin Jefferson this season with Kyler Murray as his quarterback.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Round 12: Jauan Jennings (WR – MIN) Jauan Jennings enters a crowded offense with Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison and T.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Brown , Jaxon Smith‑Njigba , Justin Jefferson and CeeDee Lamb all provide stable weekly production because their offenses run directly through them.”
Lawrence Iacona· Aug 19“Jefferson has been a fantasy superstar since he entered the NFL. Unfortunately, the veteran is coming off a massively disappointing season, finishing last year as the WR21, averaging 11.9 PPR fantasy points per game despite finishing seventh in the league with 141 targets.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 15“With a better quarterback, Justin Jefferson is a top-five pick, but with J.J. McCarthy ‘s past poor play and the uncertainty of Kyler Murray , we get a discount on one of the best wide receivers in the league.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 14“Last year, Jefferson was still sixth in target share (28.5%) and seventh in first-read share (35.1%), so we should all expect the Minnesota passing attack to run through their alpha wide receiver again in 2026.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Last year, Justin Jefferson had a horrible runout as the WR28 in fantasy points per game (WR14 in expected fantasy points per game). Obviously, a ton of his season was impacted by the level of quarterback play, but Jefferson also slid to 36th in separation score and 38th in route win rate (among 109 qualifying receivers, per Fantasy Points Data).”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 14“Justin Jefferson is the fifth-best wide receiver in the Madden universe, apparently”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Tate isn’t entering the NFL with the pedigree of a Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson , for example, but his combination of age, draft capital, and college production is extremely appealing”
Ryan Kirksey· Aug 6“Having Justin Jefferson , Jordan Addison , and Jauan Jennings at your disposal is an embarrassment of riches”
Kyle Zeigler· Aug 6“Round 3: Justin Jefferson (WR – MIN) Wow. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Justin Jefferson ?”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 5
“Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy . Rice has since turned heads for the wrong reasons in training camp, looking slow. Meanwhile, Worthy sprained his shoulder in early August and returned to practice one week later .”
Josh Shepardson· Aug 28“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Unfortunately, Rice has been in the news for all the wrong reasons this offseason. He served a 30-day sentence for violating his probation.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 27“Second, he hasn’t been on the field enough over the last two seasons to justify his current average draft position (ADP), which hasn’t accounted for several factors. Currently ranked as the WR13 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), Rice is being treated as a low-end WR1.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 26
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“3.02: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Probably the most uncomfortable pick you can make this year is Rashee Rice because you have no idea what you are going to get with him. But Rice’s upside is through the roof.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25“Rice has commanded targets every time the Chiefs have given him a full-time role. Season Period Target Share 2023 Final 10 games with full-time snaps, including playoffs 24% 2024 Three complete games 31.5% 2025 Eight games 26.5%”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23“In eight games last season, Rice recorded: 78 targets 53 receptions 571 receiving yards Five receiving TDs 20 rushing yards One rushing TD That comes out to 9.8 targets and 15.5 half-PPR points per game.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23“It’s easy to understand the appeal of Rashee Rice in fantasy football. Over the last two years, he’s averaged 6.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 23“Even though Travis Kelce is getting older and this is his final season, he should still see a fair number of targets behind Rashee Rice .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Round 10: Travis Kelce (TE – KC) Behind Rashee Rice, the next target will likely still be Travis Kelce, even though he’s probably entering his final NFL season.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“Round 2: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Rashee Rice is certainly a bit risky with his off-field issues, including serving time in jail earlier this offseason, but when he was on the field last season, he had a staggering 37.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22“With Xavier Worthy already dealing with a shoulder issue, and Rashee Rice only running in straight lines, Kelce will be a consistent part of this offense each week.”
Ellis Johnson· Aug 19“He had a late-sixth-round ADP, and I got him cheaper than that in a couple of home leagues. Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I’m fleeing at that price.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Going as the WR11, 29th overall, the projections have Rice at 99 catches, 1,099 yards, and 9.7 touchdowns, which would rank him ahead of several more established names.”
FantasyPros Staff· Aug 8“press Only four wide receivers posted a higher PPG than Rashee Rice (currently valued outside top 10 WRs in redraft and top 20 in dynasty) last season:”
The FF Newsletter· Aug 6“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Taking Rashee Rice here as my WR2 is much more comfortable than relying on him as my WR1”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 6