Nico Collins
vs Rashee Rice
2026 · Week 5 · Half-PPR
The crowd’s lean
Week 5No weekly comparisons recorded for this pair.
This week
WEEK 5Collins
at TEN
Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET
Rice
Bye week
Questionable
14.4
Projected
—
Bye week
Half-PPR
projection
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2026 season, per game
2025 season, per game
Full game log & past seasons +
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 17.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 75 | 1 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 27.3 | WR3 | 8 | 7 | 118 | 2 |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | LAR | 4.0 | WR70 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — |
2 | TB | 12.7 | WR29 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 1 |
3 | JAX | 18.4 | WR5 | 11 | 8 | 104 | 1 |
4 | TEN | 9.9 | WR27 | 6 | 4 | 79 | — |
5 | BAL | 14.0 | WR16 | 5 | 4 | 52 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | SEA | 4.7 | WR59 | 10 | 4 | 27 | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | DEN | 11.0 | WR28 | 11 | 7 | 75 | — |
10 | JAX | 19.1 | WR5 | 15 | 7 | 136 | — |
11 | TEN | 19.7 | WR4 | 10 | 9 | 92 | 1 |
12 | BUF | 7.0 | WR37 | 3 | 3 | 55 | — |
13 | IND | 19.0 | WR10 | 10 | 5 | 98 | — |
14 | KC | 14.1 | WR14 | 8 | 4 | 121 | — |
15 | ARI | 22.0 | WR4 | 4 | 3 | 85 | 2 |
16 | LV | 7.9 | WR38 | 9 | 4 | 59 | — |
17 | LAC | 7.2 | WR40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 14.7 | WR14 | 8 | 6 | 117 | — |
2 | CHI | 23.5 | WR4 | 10 | 8 | 135 | 1 |
3 | MIN | 10.6 | WR36 | 10 | 4 | 86 | — |
4 | JAX | 27.1 | WR1 | 15 | 12 | 151 | 1 |
5 | BUF | 14.8 | WR16 | 2 | 2 | 78 | 1 |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
8 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 7 | 4 | 54 | — |
12 | TEN | 17.7 | WR8 | 9 | 5 | 92 | 1 |
13 | JAX | 15.9 | WR15 | 11 | 8 | 119 | — |
14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
15 | MIA | 15.7 | WR19 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 |
16 | KC | 9.5 | WR37 | 10 | 7 | 60 | — |
17 | BAL | 7.4 | WR46 | 6 | 3 | 59 | — |
18 | TEN | 12.3 | WR26 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | 8.9 | WR32 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
2 | — | 10.3 | WR26 | 6 | 4 | 83 | — |
3 | — | 12.3 | WR25 | 9 | 7 | 88 | — |
4 | — | 0.0 | WR236 | — | — | — | — |
Earlier seasons (2025, 2024)
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | BYE | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | LV | 19.7 | WR9 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 2 |
8 | WAS | 21.0 | WR2 | 9 | 9 | 93 | 1 |
9 | BUF | 16.6 | WR10 | 7 | 4 | 80 | — |
10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
11 | DEN | 6.8 | WR38 | 9 | 6 | 38 | — |
12 | IND | 20.1 | WR8 | 12 | 8 | 141 | — |
13 | DAL | 25.4 | WR2 | 12 | 8 | 92 | 2 |
14 | HOU | 5.4 | WR46 | 8 | 4 | 34 | — |
15 | LAC | 8.6 | WR36 | 11 | 7 | 51 | — |
| WK | OPP | FPTS | RANK | TGT | REC | YD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | BAL | 13.8 | WR16 | 9 | 7 | 103 | — |
2 | CIN | 16.0 | WR17 | 6 | 5 | 75 | 1 |
3 | ATL | 23.1 | WR5 | 14 | 12 | 110 | 1 |
4 | LAC | 1.0 | WR107 | — | — | — | — |
Expert takes
“| Hamstring After missing a handful of games with a hamstring injury, Nico Collins returned from the injury report last week and exploded for seven receptions, 118 yards and two touchdowns in the Texans’ shootout against the Cowboys. Don’t expect that kind of offensive explosion every week, but do expect Collins to be a regular on the ‘limited’ practice list, even if it is just to give him a chance to rest up before Sundays. He’s good to go.”
Michael Moore· Oct 9, 2026“Without Collins, Stroud averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game and 6.3 yards per attempt; with Collins active, those numbers jump to 2.0 touchdowns per game and 9.2 yards per attempt, along with a 50-yard-per-game increase. This week is a tale of two 0-4 teams, with the Texans heading to Tennessee, who are probably slightly less surprised to be 0-4. The Titans allow the fourth-most wide receiver fantasy points and rank 25th in EPA allowed against the pass.”
Tom Strachan· Oct 8, 2026“I do not need TEN to turn this into a shootout if Collins catches a couple of TDs before the game gets away.”
Chris Cash· Oct 10, 2026
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“Jason: Dalton Schultz @ IND Doctor Schultz should be plugged right back into your lineup if Nico Collins misses another game due to a hamstring injury. He posted 12 catches for 140 yards last week against the Bengals, and should continue TE1 production as one of CJ Stroud ’s primary targets. Fantasy Forecast Mark Konezny-Imagn Images LAC @ BUF (BUF-7, O/U 50.5) Andy was tempted to make the Chargers his almost-upset of the week, but the Bills and Chargers have looked too opposite of each other to start the season.”
Jordan Pullett· Sep 25, 2026“Schultz is a must-start as long as Collins remains sidelined. That’s especially true this week against an Indianapolis defense that’s given up over 1,000 yards in two games and just got shredded by Travis Kelce . Beyond that, he appears to be headed for another top-10 fantasy season, something he’s accomplished in five of the last six seasons.”
Wolf Trelles-Heard· Sep 22, 2026“Nico Collins is Houston’s unquestioned No. 1 WR — he had the highest true target share, highest route participation and a touchdown on the same drive as his own erased deep shot. Collins commanded a true 12 targets (up from an already team-high 10 official targets) and a 28.6% adjusted target share.”
Andrew Erickson· Sep 16, 2026“Nico Collins – 10 targets, 7 rec Collins is the unquestioned alpha WR in Houston. He set a new career-high with 120 targets last season, and he has yet to play a full 17-game season. If he can stay healthy, he will likely be a target leader all season long.”
Aaron Larson· Sep 15, 2026“Nico Collins finished eighth amongst all wide receiver options in PPR leagues last season. Collins crossed the goal line on six occasions and hauled in over 70 passes for 1,117 yards.”
Steve Krebs· Sep 5, 2026“Playing in 15 games last season, Nico Collins had a 21.7% target share, catching 71 passes on 120 targets for 1,117 yards and six touchdowns. This season, Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel have another season under their belt. The Texans’ running game should be better with David Montgomery .”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 18, 2026“Nico Collins is a bona fide stud, and we are hopeful that Jayden Higgins will emerge as a startable fantasy asset this year.”
Kemper Trull· Jul 10, 2026“A healthy Nico Collins will also be a huge factor, as the connection between those two has consistently elevated Stroud's efficiency and touchdown production since coming into the league.”
Jason Kamlowsky· Jul 3, 2026“Nico Collins was discussed as a receiver whose combination of physical traits and offensive role keeps him firmly in the upper fantasy conversation. The analysis focused heavily on his ability to command targets while also producing explosive plays. There was a sense throughout the discussion that Collins has moved beyond simply being a breakout candidate and now belongs in the tier of receivers fantasy managers can trust weekly.”
FantasyPros Staff· May 23, 2026
“Rice has clearly lost a step (or three) following a clean-up procedure on his right knee this offseason. The primary issue is that the Chiefs aren’t giving Rice as many manufactured looks around the line of scrimmage, preventing him from being the PPR scam he once was. With an ECR ranking of WR23, I’d frantically look to sell.”
Jim Moorman· Oct 6, 2026“Rice has a 21% target rate per route and 2.45 Y/RR on 58 routes against zone and a 21% target rate per route and 2.45 Y/RR on 42 routes against two-high coverage this season. Since 2024, he has had a 31% target rate per route and 3.26 Y/RR on 263 routes against zone, and a 30% target rate per route and 2.89 Y/RR on 187 routes against two-high coverage.”
Josh Shepardson· Oct 2, 2026“The issue is the unknown nature of what Rice is outside of the Chiefs franchise. Plus, the addition of Kenneth Walker and the resurgence of Travis Kelce have impacted his overall offensive involvement. Rebuilders should look to trade him due to long-term contract ambiguity and off-field risk.”
Vernon Meighan· Sep 30, 2026
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“Watching him live, Rice looks slow and stiff as he gets through his routes. Rice grabbed seven of his nine targets, but he should’ve had the other two as well. One of them was a drop that turned into a Miami interception.”
FantasyPros Staff· Sep 30, 2026“Rashee Rice was never as talented as his fantasy production would indicate. He racked up points over the last few years thanks to the Chiefs’ half-functional offense. Now that Kansas City has a real running game, Rice’s PPR scam days seem over.”
Ted Chmyz· Sep 23, 2026“Rashee Rice ‘s expected fantasy points is a woeful 5.6 per game.”
Kyle Borgognoni· Sep 21, 2026“Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy . Rice has since turned heads for the wrong reasons in training camp, looking slow. Meanwhile, Worthy sprained his shoulder in early August and returned to practice one week later .”
Josh Shepardson· Aug 28, 2026“Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Unfortunately, Rice has been in the news for all the wrong reasons this offseason. He served a 30-day sentence for violating his probation.”
Mike Fanelli· Aug 27, 2026“Second, he hasn’t been on the field enough over the last two seasons to justify his current average draft position (ADP), which hasn’t accounted for several factors. Currently ranked as the WR13 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), Rice is being treated as a low-end WR1.”
Evan Tarracciano· Aug 26, 2026“3.02: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Probably the most uncomfortable pick you can make this year is Rashee Rice because you have no idea what you are going to get with him. But Rice’s upside is through the roof.”
Kurt Blakeway· Aug 25, 2026“Rice has commanded targets every time the Chiefs have given him a full-time role. Season Period Target Share 2023 Final 10 games with full-time snaps, including playoffs 24% 2024 Three complete games 31.5% 2025 Eight games 26.5%”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23, 2026“In eight games last season, Rice recorded: 78 targets 53 receptions 571 receiving yards Five receiving TDs 20 rushing yards One rushing TD That comes out to 9.8 targets and 15.5 half-PPR points per game.”
Javier Manzanera· Aug 23, 2026“Round 2: Rashee Rice (WR – KC) Rashee Rice is certainly a bit risky with his off-field issues, including serving time in jail earlier this offseason, but when he was on the field last season, he had a staggering 37.”
Richard Janvrin· Aug 22, 2026
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